With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg

Yay for nvidias ,$25b bond draws 

I lean toward this being a positive signal, with an important caveat. A bond deal that attracts US$85 billion of orders for a US$25 billion issuance suggests credit investors view NVIDIA as a very high-quality borrower. The ability to borrow at only a modest spread over Treasuries gives Nvidia a powerful advantage. It can fund data centres, networking, software, and AI infrastructure without heavily diluting shareholders. That strengthens the moat because: Lower cost of capital than most competitors. Greater flexibility to invest through cycles. Ability to scale faster if AI demand remains strong. The caveat is what the money is funding. If AI demand keeps growing, cheap debt today could look brilliant in hindsight. If industry capacity expands faster than demand, today's investment could

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ noway. Yhe stock will crash again soon when Trumps deal fails. It wont make make it to Friday. Looking forward to the drop.

The semiconductor sector has been an absolute thriller lately. This classic "roller coaster" behavior—where a sharp multi-week pullback is followed by an aggressive, violent rip to the upside—is exactly what we expect when macro jitters collide with undeniable, structural AI fundamentals. With $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ turning on a dime and surging over 24% off its immediate lows, the big question is how to play the pre-earnings summer stretch. Has the Sector Bottomed Out? It looks highly likely that we’ve put in a solid, medium-term local bottom. What we just witnessed wasn't a crack in the fundamental AI thesis; it was an inventory and valuation "cleansing cycle." Institutional capital used macroeconomic noise to shake

$NVTS 20260612 21.5 PUT$ lower strike than previous week. Still not assigned. Will sell another put again when. Volatility is my best friend

$GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ perhaps time to exit. Not advisable to hold leverage etf for longer than necessary

24% up today, but with the way chip stocks have been moving lately, we could be looking at a true market bottom or just another classic bear market trap.

24% up today, but with the way chip stocks have been moving lately, we could be looking at a true market bottom or just another classic bear market trap.

24% up today, but with the way chip stocks have been moving lately, we could be looking at a true market bottom or just another classic bear market trap.

🎢 The Semiconductor Rollercoaster: A 24% Face-Ripping Rally Semiconductors just staged their second violent rebound of the week, proving that extreme volatility is officially the new normal. For traders navigating the chop, the intraday swings have been nothing short of historic. Here is the scoreboard from the latest explosive session: $SOXL (3x Semi Bull ETF): Surged an unbelievable +23.99% in a single day. Micron ($MU): Ripped +11.66%, successfully reclaiming the critical $99 psychological level. Marvell ($MRVL): Jumped +11.13%. Intel ($INTC): Rose +9.27%. The Structural Debate: Bottom or Trap? Since last week's brutal selloff, the market has been stuck in a relentless down-up-down-up cycle. This erratic price action has cleanly split the market into two distinct camps: 🟢 The Bull Case:

A 24% rally in a 3x leveraged ETF is evidence of volatility, not confirmation of a bottom. The biggest bear-market rallies often happen before the real recovery begins. I’d rather miss the first 10% of a new bull market than catch the last 20% of a bear-market trap.

$SpaceX(SPCX)$   ......

$SNDK VERTICAL 260612 CALL 1835.0/CALL 1837.5$ $GLW VERTICAL 260612 CALL 170.0/CALL 172.5$ $AMAT VERTICAL 260612 CALL 540.0/CALL 542.5$  My thesis of expecting further profit taking from whales to participate in the SPCX IPO was proven wrong by the decision from Trump to annnounce positive talks with Iran mid day on Thursday, resulting in a sharp recovery by most tech companies. My bear call positions all ended up in red, causing a bloodbath for me. I've learnt that no matter

🚀 SOXL +24%: The Market Just Told You Something Important While many investors were waiting for “confirmation,” semiconductor stocks just delivered one of the strongest signals we’ve seen since the recent correction. SOXL surged 23.99% in a single session. Meanwhile: * Micron Technology +11.66% * Marvell Technology +11.13% * Intel +9.27% The biggest mistake investors make during corrections is assuming that bottoms will feel comfortable. They don’t. The market turns when fear is still high, headlines are still negative, and most people are still waiting for lower prices. The AI story hasn’t changed. Data centers are still expanding. Compute demand is still exploding. The world’s largest technology companies are still spending billions on chips. Yet many semiconductor names were recently pr

The  Silicon Roller Coaster & Which Chip Stocks to Buy? 🌟🌟🌟The semiconductor sector underwent an absolute high velocity short squeeze.  The Direxion 3x Leveraged Semiconductor Bull ETF ( SOXL) surged a violent 24% in a single session.  Memory giant Micron jumped 11.66%, networking master Marvell surged 11% and legacy titan Intel climbed 9.27%. Is this explosive bounce a good time to buy these semiconductor stocks or is it a brutal bear market trap? Let's take a closer look at what these stocks do and why they are up. $Micron Technology(MU)$  is the AI Storage Vault.  Micron is one of the only 3 global companies capable of manufacturing High Bandwidth Memory (HBM).  Think of graphics ch

Not yet bottom!!! Wait for reverse signal to be safe

My view: the bottom is likely in for quality AI semiconductor names, but I'm less certain for SOXL. The recent rebound wasn't just short covering. We're seeing continued evidence that hyperscalers (Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google and Oracle) are still increasing AI infrastructure spending. Oracle's massive RPO growth is another signal that AI demand remains strong. That said, SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. Even if my long-term thesis is bullish, timing matters. A 10% pullback in semis can become a 30% drawdown in SOXL very quickly. Personally, I'd rather own NVDA, Broadcom, TSMC or SMH than hold SOXL for the long term. Bull case: ✅ AI capex keeps accelerating ✅ Fed remains supportive ✅ Data center demand continues to surprise Bear case: ❌ Higher-for-longer rates ❌ AI spending disappoints ❌ Va

S&P inclusion sounds bullish but passive flows hit on the 22nd. Whoever's holding by then is selling into the rebalancing. New CFO starting same week adds uncertainty. 85x forward PE in a sector that averages 35x. That's not AI premium — that's hope. Holding MU and AVGO. Keeping cash dry. The dip after inclusion is the entry, not today.

Bottom, nowhere near. Macroeconomic picture will deteriorate. The strait will remain closed and inflation will climb.  Interest rates will continue to climb. Its just  the beginning. [Smile]  we will enter a bear market for some time.