Should reach 125 at least but the end of this week for USO

Since the start of the Iran War, we have urged investors to stay invested. Markets are forward-looking by nature. They don’t wait for a full conflict resolution before rallying. All it takes is a viable path to peace, signs of which began emerging over the past week The rebound that followed the Iran-US ceasefire last week reminds us that good days can happen in bad markets. The S&P is now trading at pre-war levels. For investors looking to participate in the recovery while navigating uncertainty simmering from te Middle East situation, diversification across broad equities, income-generating assets, and high-conviction bets on (e.g. on AI) can help build the balance you need.  Markets have staged a notable rebound over the past week, reminding investors just how quickly sentiment

Oil pushing to $120 on Iran US tensions is definitely possible, but it likely depends on escalation rather than just ongoing noise. The market has already priced in a risk premium, so further upside needs a real supply shock like disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz or a significant hit to Iranian exports. Without that, prices can spike on headlines but usually pull back quickly. So $120 is realistic as a short-term move if things worsen, but hard to sustain unless the conflict materially impacts global supply for an extended period.

Oil pushing to $120 on Iran US tensions is definitely possible, but it likely depends on escalation rather than just ongoing noise. The market has already priced in a risk premium, so further upside needs a real supply shock like disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz or a significant hit to Iranian exports. Without that, prices can spike on headlines but usually pull back quickly. So $120 is realistic as a short-term move if things worsen, but hard to sustain unless the conflict materially impacts global supply for an extended period.

So is it open or close

🤣🤣🤣🤣[开心]  [开心]  [开心]  [开心]  

On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money "rotating tracks"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm.Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The "Three Keys" to CFTC DataThe CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's "sentiment barometer," released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries—w

This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe

That's not the best, it won't help with the market

[Miser]  $UOBAM ASEAN(UPD.SI)$  

Market is gonna tank when inflation hits the economy

Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b

Oil prices will goes up and this war will comtinue between 6 months to 1 year. Yes price will reach more than 120$

Hormuz Shock: $120 Oil or Strategic Bluff? I’m taking a BULLISH stance on oil — and a BEARISH stance on risk assets like the Nasdaq Composite if escalation holds. This isn’t just geopolitics — it’s a macro regime shift trigger. ⸻ 1. This Isn’t “Tension” — It’s a Supply Chokepoint Event The Strait of Hormuz isn’t symbolic — it’s structural: • ~20% of global oil flows through it • Core artery for Gulf exports • No immediate full-capacity alternative routes 👉 A sustained blockade = instant supply shock, not gradual tightening Markets don’t price that smoothly — they gap to worst-case first ⸻ 2. Why $120 Isn’t Extreme — It’s Logical Oil doesn’t need full disruption to spike. It just needs: • Uncertainty of flow • Insurance + shipping risk premiums • Inventory hoarding behavior In this setup: •

Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. Course Link:

Need see what is happening

After a grueling 21-hour negotiation marathon, the U.S. and Iran went from deadlock straight into full breakdown, with President Trump announcing a U.S.-led blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that has completely shattered the market’s pricing assumptions from the past week. 😤 This aggressive move targets Iran’s oil export lifeline, choking off roughly 20% of global crude flows and instantly reigniting fears of a prolonged supply squeeze that could push WTI and Brent well above $100. The blockade raises the stakes dramatically — will it force a hawkish Fed pivot that resets sky-high Nasdaq valuations, or does Iran’s “time-wasting strategy” crack first before oil hits the $120 threshold? Emerging markets are already feeling the heat, with Asia’s energy importers seeing currency pressure while