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1. Fundamentals vs Market Reaction AppLovin • AppLovin reported excellent Q4 results: revenue ~US$1.66 billion (+66 % year-on-year) and net income +84 % to ~US$1.10 billion, with adjusted EBITDA up ~82 %. These outcomes beat expectations and point to strong earnings quality and profit margin expansion.  • Management also guided for continued sequential revenue growth in Q1.  • Despite this, the shares fell sharply on earnings day. The decline reflects investor concern rather than lack of operational performance. Palantir • Recent price weakness in PLTR is part of a broader pullback in software and technology stocks. Reuters and market sources have noted Palantir among software names with significant drawdowns as sentiment deteriorated.  Implication: The divergence between st

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ AppLovin's Q4 earnings just dropped like a bombshell, smashing expectations with revenue soaring 66% year-over-year to $1.658 billion and net income exploding 84% to $1.102 billion – adjusted EBITDA jumped 82% amid AI-driven ad tech dominance that's turning mobile gaming into a cash machine. Yet, despite this powerhouse performance pushing back against the "software apocalypse" sparked by Anthropic's workflow-crushing AI agents, APP shares cratered 20% post-earnings to $80 levels, dragging Palantir (PLTR) down 15% in sympathy as the sector reels from Apollo Co-President's chilling warning of an "extremely violent" tech cycle. Valuations are res

The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) has created one of the largest infrastructure buildouts in modern technological history. While companies such as GPU manufacturers and cloud providers receive the majority of investor attention, a critical layer enabling AI scalability operates behind the scenes. One such company is $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$. Credo focuses on high-speed connectivity solutions that allow AI servers and data centers to transmit vast amounts of data efficiently. As AI workloads continue to scale, connectivity increasingly becomes a performance bottleneck, positioning Credo as an important infrastructure enabler within the AI ecosystem. Credo is a semiconductor connectivity company specializing in hi

Applovin Q4 Earnings Review: Blowout Results, Strong Guidance. How Should Investors Play the Volatility? Amid intensifying debate over AI's long-term impact on software business models and heightened volatility following Unity's earnings, $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$   reported its fourth-quarter results. The company delivered revenue of $1.66 billion (vs. $1.62 billion expected), up 66% year over year, and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $3.24 (vs. $3.07 expected). Shares initially fell more than 10% in after-hours trading before sharply narrowing losses to around 1%. Such volatility suggests the market is digesting concerns about future competition and structural industry shifts rather than questioning the quarter

Short answer: the sell-off in APP (and arguably PLTR) is less about deteriorating fundamentals and more about a regime shift in how markets price software in the AI era. But that does not automatically mean “mispriced”. What you are seeing is a transition from growth-multiple valuation to AI survivability valuation. The distinction matters. Let us unpack this carefully. --- 1. The paradox: exceptional fundamentals, collapsing stock Your numbers are correct, and the magnitude matters. AppLovin Q4 2025: Revenue: $1.658B (+66% YoY) Net income: $1.102B (+84% YoY) Adjusted EBITDA: +$1.399B (+82% YoY) Free cash flow surged with ~84% EBITDA margins Operationally, this is elite performance for a software platform. The company beat expectations and even issued above-consensus guidance.  Yet sh

🌟🌟🌟Some days the market feels like it is being narrated by Clawdbot - that overly cheerful AI assistant who tells you your favourite SaaS stock is down 25% and then brightly asks if you would like a mindfulness exercise to "process your emotions". Welcome to 2026 where AI is reshaping how we work, how we invest and occasionally how we emotionally stabilise ourselves.  So What Exactly is Clawdbot? Clawdbot began as an open source personal AI assistant, created by a small group of independent developers who believed AI should be transparent, accessible and community driven.  Because it is open source, developers worldwide began contributing at lightning speed and Clawdbot evolved from a simple chatbot into a full conversational operating layer.  Today Clawdbot can: Fetch files

Software stocks recovered some losses for last week on Friday (06 Feb), and we have some names coming up with their earnings this week. $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Tuesday, February 10, 2026, after the market closes. The company heads into this print with significant momentum, having reaccelerated revenue growth to 31% in Q3. However, with the stock coming off recent all-time highs and a premium valuation, the margin for error is slim. Key Metrics to Watch Investors will focus on whether Cloudflare can maintain its "rule of 40" performance (growth + margin) while scaling its AI and enterprise segments. Strategic Focus Areas The AI Tailwinds: Management has touted that 80% of leading AI companies use

The past week has been painful for the entire AI trade, but $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ has suffered more than most, falling 31% before even reporting Q4 2025 earnings. Shareholders hoping that earnings would bring back optimism in the stock were greatly disappointed, as Iren fell as much as 20% in the after-hours. This means that Iren was down close to 50% in just a few days! I believe there are 3 key reasons why the stock reacted so negatively to the earnings: No Hyperscaler Deals Revenue Miss Earnings Miss In my opinion, the market wildly overreacted to these developments. Furthermore, investors are completely ignoring the positives that Iren announced: Secured $3.6B GPU Financing New Massive Data Center Strong ARR Guidance Let’s dig deeper. 1. No Hypersc

The recent earnings reports from Credo Technology (CRDO) and Cloudflare (NET) have sparked significant interest and optimism in the SaaS (Software as a Service) sector. To analyze the implications of these reports and assess the potential for a SaaS comeback: Credo Technology's Stunning Guidance Revenue Guidance: Credo's fiscal Q3 revenue guidance of 404−408M, significantly above the 341M consensus, demonstrates the company's strong momentum in the market. This guidance implies a substantial increase in demand for the company's AEC (Active Electrical Cables) and optical interconnect solutions. FY2026 Revenue Growth: The expectation of revenue growth above 200% for FY2026 is a remarkable forecast, driven by surging AI data-center demand. This growth trajectory suggests that Credo is we

Anthropic just flipped the script on the software world with its release of 11 game-changing plugins for Claude Cowork on January 30, sparking a brutal selloff that erased $285 billion across software, finance, and asset management stocks in a single session. This isn't your typical model upgrade – these tools dive straight into full workflows like financial modeling, legal research, and sales operations, bypassing APIs to own the application layer outright. Bloomberg's data paints the carnage: Goldman's software basket plunged 6% in its worst drop since April, the financial services index tanked 7%, and Nasdaq dipped 2.4% at its low. Wall Street's dubbing it the “SaaSpocalypse,” as foundation model giants like Anthropic shift from enablers to dominators, threatening markets built on autom

The recent earnings report from AppLovin (APP) and the subsequent market reaction, along with the warnings from Apollo's Co-President, present a complex scenario for investors. Let's analyze the situation: Strong Earnings Report: AppLovin's Q4 revenue and net income growth of 66% and 84% YoY, respectively, along with an 82% increase in adjusted EBITDA, indicate a robust financial performance. These numbers suggest that the company is executing well and growing its business substantially. Market Reaction: Despite the strong earnings, APP's stock price plunged 20% post-earnings. This reaction seems counterintuitive, given the positive fundamentals. The disconnect between the company's performance and the market's response could be attributed to broader market sentiment and the "software apoc

The recent earnings reports from Credo Technology and Cloudflare have indeed sent shockwaves of excitement through the markets. Credo Technology's impressive revenue guidance of 404−408M for fiscal Q3, exceeding the consen susestimate of 341M, and the anticipated revenue growth of over 200% for FY2026, are strong indicators of the surging demand for AI data-center solutions, particularly in the areas of AEC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) and optical interconnect solutions. Similarly, Cloudflare's Q4 revenue of 614.5M, representing a (+33.6% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.28, has led to a significant surge in its shares. The notable jump in non-GAAP net income to 106.8M and the near doubling of free cashflow to 99.4M, resulting in a 16.2% margin, demonstrate the compa

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Dow Jones(.DJI)$  🚀⚡📈 AI Leaders Reignite, $TSLA Reclaims Structure as $NVDA Explodes Higher 📈⚡🚀 I’m watching $TSLA reclaim critical structure in real time. A close above $413.50 snaps price straight back into the weekly blue box zone, effectively erasing yesterday’s panic and restoring bullish momentum like nothing ever happened 😅 👀 Liquidity hunts shake out weak hands, structure resets, and the trend quietly rebuilds. 🇨🇳 Tesla China VP Tao Lin also confirmed today the company will play an active role in advancing assisted driving tech across the Chinese market 🔥 No timeline yet,

$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ delivered 66% growth & 84% margins, yet the stock dipped. 📉 Is the market mispricing this cash machine? This infographic breaks down the post-earnings battle: 🐂 Bulls (Score 4.1): Elite fundamentals. $1.4B EBITDA, massive buybacks & AI moat. 🐻 Bears (Score 3.1): Valuation fears, intensifying competition & sentiment. Fundamentals vs. Fear. Who wins? 👇 @Tiger_comments @TigerObserver