Powell Says No to Market Rescue: S&P 500 May Head to 5000?

Citi equity strategists have downgraded their rating on the U.S. stock market, citing recent developments such as Deepseek, Europe’s fiscal stance, ad rising trade tensions as reinforcing their view on diversifying investments outside the U.S. market. “From both GDP and EPS perspectives, the drivers of the 'exceptionalism' narrative are fading,” noted the bank’s strategists, including Beata Manthey. The U.S. stock market rating has been lowered from Overweight to Neutral. Is it a double bottom coming? What's your target price for S&P 500? Will it head for 5000 or lower?

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avatarWanEH
08:27
I don't think will have economy recession. but definitely it will cause the high inflation in global.

S&P 500 at a Turning Point: Double Bottom or Drop to 5000?

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $NASDAQ(. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ )$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ )$ As of April 16, 2025, the S&P 500 faces a critical juncture. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has dashed hopes of a market bailout, stating, “Our focus is on inflation, not equity prices.” Meanwhile, Citi equity strategists, led by Beata Manthey, have downgraded the U.S. stock market from Overweight to Neutral, pointing to fading U.S. exceptionalism amid challenges like Deepseek, Europe’s fiscal stance, and rising trade tensions. With the index hovering near key support levels, is a double bottom forming, or are we headed for 5000—or low
S&P 500 at a Turning Point: Double Bottom or Drop to 5000?
avatarJacob X
04:55

Trump’s Tariffs and Policies: A Shield Against Recession and Deflation?

As of April 17, 2025, concerns about "tarifflation" and "Trumpflation" dominate economic headlines, with predictions of steep price hikes for consumer goods due to the Trump administration's sweeping tariffs—145% on $541 billion of Chinese imports, 10% on non-Chinese imports, and 20–100% on select countries. Despite these fears, retail prices have largely held steady: iPhones still start at $799, shirts average $50, and PlayStation 5s remain $499. This price stability—alongside declining inflation (Truflation at 1.4%), plunging consumer sentiment (University of Michigan Sentiment Survey at 50.8, near record lows), and sluggish retail sales growth (1.8% YoY)—suggests Trump's economic agenda may be mitigating the risks of a consumer-led recession and deflation, rather than triggering hyperin
Trump’s Tariffs and Policies: A Shield Against Recession and Deflation?
📉 Recent Pullback: A Buying Opportunity? Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has experienced a sharp correction, dropping 5.17% to $106.27, after peaking at $125.41. This pullback has caught many traders off guard, but the technical indicators suggest that the sell-off might be overdone, presenting a potential buying opportunity. 📊 Key Oversold Signals from the Chart 1. Strong Support at EMA Levels • PLTR remains above the 50-day EMA ($87.08) and 30-day EMA ($96.18), indicating that the long-term uptrend is still intact.@TigerStars   @TigerTradingNotes • The price is testing support around the EMA10 ($110.86) and EMA5 ($113.06), which means we are near a possible bounce zone. • The last major correction found strong support at $63.40, leading to a massive r

Where’s the Task Force for Singaporeans? Urgent Action Needed on Cost of Living and Infrastructure Strain

I find it quite frustrating that a new special task force is quickly set up in response to sweeping US tariffs, yet we don’t see the same urgency when it comes to critical domestic issues like lowering the cost of living or reducing the cost of doing business. For years, these have been pressing concerns—exacerbated by the long-term influx of foreign labour, which has strained our public healthcare system, housing, and transport infrastructure. Yet, there’s no dedicated task force to seriously tackle these challenges head-on. To me, it often feels like these task forces are just another layer of optics. They pull ideas from civil servants and then parade them as ministerial initiatives. A friend of mine who was an ex-MTI officer shared how policies are actually formulated: ministers give t
Where’s the Task Force for Singaporeans? Urgent Action Needed on Cost of Living and Infrastructure Strain
avatarkoolgal
04-16 20:41
Tariffs act as a tax on imported goods, making them more expensive.  This increased cost can reduce consumer purchasing power, possibly leading to companies cutting back on investment and even reducing its workforce leading to higher levels of unemployment. Donald Trump's tough tariffs may trigger retaliatory measures and cause a ripple effect where global supply chains are disrupted, trade volumes decline and business confidence takes a big hit.  The global economy faces a double whammy - higher costs domestically with lower demand and reduced exports internationally. This may trigger a  recession. Investing in a Bear Market calls  for a thoughtful disciplined approach on capital preservation, quality assets and to seek out opportunities to buy stocks that are on sal
avatarDr Rck
04-16 17:43
Regardless how you look at it, do you think paying more taxes like tariffs will have a shrink on your discretionary spending and what happen then? The whole economy will suffer whether some industries are better or not. TSLA and auto manufacturers will also not spared! Consumers will tighten their pockets for a season. So stock market naturally drops, unless Trump once again pulls back tariffs at the last minute! 
avatarECLC
04-16 17:17
With tariff tensions and on-going trade wars still playing out, it is possible for double bottom of S&P 500. Waiting to buy on sharp drops.
avatarKKLEE
04-16 15:33
Just when the markets seemed to find their footing, fresh tariff tensions have re-entered the scene — and the S&P 500 is showing signs of stress. With volatility creeping back and investor sentiment turning cautious, the question on many traders’ minds is this: are we about to revisit the recent lows… or worse? Historically, double bottoms form when a market tests its previous low, shakes out the weak hands, and either rebounds or breaks. But in this case, global macro conditions aren't making things easy. Tariff battles, especially between the U.S. and China, are flaring up again, and this time they’re hitting sensitive sectors like semiconductors, EVs, and tech hardware — the very pillars that propped up recent market gains. Earnings season has been a mixed bag, inflation prints rema
avatarAqa
04-16 15:16
The current market fear index remains at its lowest. The effect of the tariffs war is still rippling through out the markets. Markets will continue to be jittery until the final tariff outcomes. Compare to 2018, 2025 is more complicated and recession risks are still hanging over the market. Anything can happen… Thanks @Tiger_comments @icycrystal
avatarTheStrategist
04-16 15:00
The mortgage crisis vs this tariff crap is definitely incomparable. This was engineered to drop the markets
avatarShyon
04-16 14:17
I believe the current correction is more complicated than what we saw in 2018. While the S&P 500’s recent drop has already surpassed 2018’s levels, today’s backdrop includes elevated valuations, lingering recession risks, and tariff uncertainty. Unlike 2018, a clear rebound catalyst like a Fed pivot hasn’t emerged yet. A breakthrough in US-China talks could provide a short-term boost, especially if it helps cool inflation and support growth. But with markets still pricing in optimistic earnings expectations, I wouldn’t rule out a second wave of selling — particularly if economic data softens or guidance gets revised down. That said, I don’t expect a deep crash. If GDP stays above recession territory and inflation stabilizes, a second dip could set up a double bottom. I’m watching close
avataricycrystal
04-16 13:56
avataricycrystal
04-16 13:56
avatarSuccess88
04-16 13:24
I just buy S&P 500 just to try if it go up. 
avatarJacksNiffler
04-16 13:05

An Arbitrage Opportunity For NFLX Earnings!

$Netflix(NFLX)$ has shown notable strength recently, delivering a YTD return of +9.5%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 (.SPX), which is down -8.25%.Last week's rally could be attributed to the market's belief that Netflix is relatively immune to tariff-related headwinds. This week's strength, however, appears more related to heightened earnings expectations. What's surprising is that NFLX rose 6.31% in the week leading up to its earnings, despite its Monday-implied volatility (IV) pricing in a ±10% move post-earnings.More interestingly—perhaps coincidentally or by design—the anticipated earnings gap (post-earnings gap-up/down) will not impact the weekly options expiring on April 17, as the market is closed on April 18 due to a holiday
An Arbitrage Opportunity For NFLX Earnings!
avatarhighhand
04-16 13:03
I'm expecting another lower low...then that's enough for me to buy in. after that, some deal will be made and stock market rally to the moon.. [Happy]
avatar1PC
04-16 12:53
From the S&P500 weekly chart 📉📈, if the Low 4835.04 is taken out, this will trigger a potential Next Selling wave 🌊.  Prior to this, I will view that the market will be Super Choppy & Ranging [Sweats] [Sweats] [Sweats]. But there's always short term Opportunities with these ranging movements  Stay Nimble & Keep Cash 💰 A Big Game changer will definitely be the Breakthrough of the US -China talks But there's no sign of this happening soonest 😞
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