TheMarketLens101
TheMarketLens101
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#Reward: Tech Stocks — Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? My answer: I would buy the dip selectively—but I would not blindly chase every AI stock. This does not necessarily mean that the AI story is ending. Now the market has moved from asking, “Is AI real?” to asking, “Which companies can convert AI spending into sustainable revenue, profit and cash flow?” AI investment is finally producing measurable returns The latest results from the major cloud companies provide strong evidence that AI capital expenditure is beginning to generate real commercial returns. Microsoft reported quarterly Microsoft Cloud revenue of $59.3 billion, up 27% year on year, while Azure and other cloud-services revenue increased 43%. More importantly, its commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678
avatarTheMarketLens101
08-24 17:58
24 Aug 2026 — Daily Market Update US stocks rebounded last Friday as stronger US services data and improving corporate earnings expectations eased recession concerns. However, Treasury yields remain elevated, oil prices continue to rise, and geopolitical risks around Iran are still keeping overall risk sentiment cautious. S&P 500: +0.43% to 7,674.37 Dow Jones: +0.98% to 53,277.01 Nasdaq: +0.44% to 26,180.46 US 2Y Treasury: roughly unchanged at ~4.19% US 10Y Treasury: +4bps to ~4.69% ⸻ 1) China steps up consumption support while AI and semiconductor earnings remain strong * China’s Ministry of Finance further upgraded its consumer-loan interest subsidy programme, extending support through end-2026. * Credit-card instalments are now included, with fiscal subsidies covering 1 percentage p
avatarTheMarketLens101
08-24 18:09
English Caption AVGO remains one of the key beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure cycle, but technically the stock is still in a consolidation phase. 📊 My current view: Cautiously Bullish Key levels I’m watching: 🟢 $340–350 — Major support 🔵 $360–380 — Current accumulation zone 🟠 $400–420 — Key resistance 🔴 $435–450 — Breakout confirmation 🚀 $495 — Previous high The weekly structure remains constructive as long as the rising trendline holds. A convincing breakout above $435–450 would strengthen the case for another move toward the previous high. For a 12M FCN, if the priority is reducing KI risk rather than maximising coupon, I prefer: 75–80% Strike | 60% KI At around $221, the 60% KI sits near an important historical support / consolidation zone, providing a stronger downside buffer if t
Markets Pause Near Record Highs Ahead of CPI — Is 3.4% the Pass Mark? U.S. stocks are pausing near record highs ahead of today’s July CPI report. The market expects headline inflation to ease to 3.4% year-on-year, with core inflation at 2.5%. But with expectations for a September rate hike now near 50-50, the details—not just the headline number—could determine whether the rally continues. Previous Data: Numbers and Impact * June CPI: Headline -0.4% MoM / +3.5% YoY; core 0.0% / +2.6% Impact: Lower gasoline and shelter inflation reduced rate-hike fears and supported bonds and technology stocks. * June PCE: Headline -0.1% MoM / +3.7% YoY; core +0.1% / +3.3% Impact: Monthly inflation cooled, but elevated annual PCE kept the Fed cautious. * June JOLTS: Job openings fell to 7.36 million Impact:

Daily Update

17/08/2026 U.S. equities pulled back slightly from record highs on Friday, as weaker-than-expected retail sales and rising shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea weighed on risk sentiment. Meanwhile, the AI theme remains intact, but the market is shifting its focus from “Is there enough demand?” to “How will massive AI infrastructure be financed, powered and delivered?” S&P 500 fell 0.17% to 7,785.76 Dow Jones fell 0.20% to 53,732.41 Nasdaq fell 0.28% to 26,729.16 U.S. 2-Year Treasury yield fell ~5 bps to ~4.15% U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield fell ~5 bps to ~4.63% ⸻ News 1) Strait of Hormuz tensions escalate: U.S. and Iran clash over “control” as shipping nears a standstill * Trump said the U.S. could declare the Strait of Hormuz “U.S. territory” after defeating Iran, esca
Daily Update
Payrolls Fell 23,000, Yet Stocks Hit a Record — Can Wednesday’s CPI Keep the Rally Going? The U.S. unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, but the S&P 500 still closed at a record high. Why? Investors interpreted weaker employment as reducing the likelihood of another Federal Reserve rate hike. Wednesday’s July CPI will now determine whether that “bad news is good news” rally can continue. Recent Economic Data: Cooling Inflation, Weakening Jobs July 14 — June CPI * Headline CPI: -0.4% MoM, +3.5% YoY * Core CPI: 0.0% MoM, +2.6% YoY * Gasoline: -9.7% MoM * Shelter: +0.1% MoM Inflation cooled sharply, although much of the improvement came from lower energy prices. July 30 — June PCE * Headline PCE: -0.1% MoM, +3.7% YoY * Core PCE: +0.1% MoM, +3.3% YoY * Real consumer spending: +0.4% The Fe
Record Earnings—So Why Did Memory Stocks Fall Together? Recently, $SNDK$,$WDC$,$MU$,$SKHY$,$STX$ all experienced sharp pullbacks. Strictly speaking, Micron, SK hynix, and Sandisk are producers of DRAM, HBM, or NAND memory chips, while Western Digital and Seagate mainly focus on enterprise hard disk drives. However, under the broader AI data-center investment theme, the market often treats all five companies as part of the same “AI storage trade.” This selloff does not mean that demand for AI storage has suddenly disappeared. Instead, it appears to be a broad repricing of the sector as elevated valuations, high expectations, and excessive leverage cooled simultaneously. 1. Macro Environment: Lower Rate Pressure, but Capital Rotated Out of Memory Stocks U.S. nonfarm payrolls unexpectedl
avatarTheMarketLens101
08-23 09:03
Bullish on NVDA - One of the Catalyst NVIDIA’s $500B AI Financing Plan —  What It Actually Means?$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   NVIDIA’s newly announced >$500 billion AI infrastructure financing initiative sounds like NVIDIA is spending $500B itself. It isn’t. The $500B refers to a target amount of third-party capital that could be mobilized over time through financing partners such as Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR. The objective is simple: Make it easier for companies to finance AI infrastructure instead of paying the entire cost upfront. 1. Where does the $500B come from? Capital can ultimately come from: * Pension funds * Insurance companies * Sovereign wealth funds * Private cred
21 Aug 2026 — Daily Market Update U.S. stocks fell as higher Treasury yields, rising oil prices and concerns over consumer spending weighed on sentiment. At the same time, the latest developments from Alibaba, Broadcom, Microsoft and Micron show that AI investment is still accelerating — but investors are increasingly focused on whether these massive investments can generate sufficient returns and how they will be financed. S&P 500: -0.87% to 7,641.16 Dow Jones: -1.32% to 52,759.21 Nasdaq: -1.00% to 26,067.17 U.S. 2Y Treasury: roughly flat at 4.19% U.S. 10Y Treasury: +4 bps to around 4.70% U.S. 30Y Treasury: around 5.24% ⸻ 1. Alibaba: AI monetisation is improving, but cash flow remains under pressure Alibaba’s quarterly revenue rose about 9% YoY, slightly above expectations, while AI a
【Voting Post】2027 Memory Outlook: HBM/DRAM Remain Tight, While NAND Supply Eases The memory market may begin to diverge in 2027. TrendForce expects NAND Flash to remain undersupplied throughout 2026, with an estimated supply deficit of 4–5%. However, as new capacity and more advanced NAND production ramp up, supply could begin exceeding demand in the second half of 2027—particularly if smartphone and notebook demand remains weak. This does not mean NAND demand is collapsing. AI data centres continue to drive strong demand for enterprise SSDs and high-capacity storage. The concern is that supply may eventually grow faster than demand, reducing NAND manufacturers’ pricing power. Investment implications: • SK Hynix $SK hynix(SKHY)$  remains best positio

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