Lack of follow-through volume...one of the lowest volume days for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ in over a year. Look back now. > HUGE volume day last tuesday > lower volume wednesday > even lower volume thursday > and tiny volume today ...all while price is moving higher. Price moving up + volume moving down = weakening participation...BUT context matters. So let's look again. Last tuesday was the big emotional/impulse move day, but was it real demand? Or was most of that volume end of month/quarter flows, shorts covering, and re-positioning?...has there been any true demand confirming this counter trend rally? i'm questioning this. What we're seeing is classic volume taper after expansion. So what's next? Two options: a) volume com
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$SPY Weak Participation Signals Fragile Upside
$SPY Weak Participation Signals Fragile Upside
Trade Against Instinct — Why Opposite Moves Often Win
Remember opposite day? Here’s some situations where you do the opposite of what human nature is telling you to do: 1) All of social media agrees on direction - human nature: confidence up, size up, feels good - what you should do: be very cautious, consensus usually shows up WAY too late 2) Price breaks below key psychological level that everyone is watching - human nature: stop out / sell - what you should do: see if level is quickly recovered, and if so, look for entry 3) Bad news - human nature: sell immediately - what you should do: see how price reacts to news…if no selling pressure? Buy 4) Big green (or red) candle - human nature: chase it right away - what you should do: wait for the candle to close (based on the timeframe you're trading). If the candle closes with strength? Buy 5)
Trade Against Instinct — Why Opposite Moves Often Win
$SPX Stays Below 200DMA as $KSS Forms Death Cross and $NKE Suffers Major Drop
Markets remain under pressure as key indices extend bearish streaks, while major names flash technical breakdowns and extreme downside moves. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX closed below its 200-day moving average for the 11th consecutive day, the longest stretch since April/May 2025 📉📉 S&P 500 on track for its 10th consecutive red Thursday, the longest streak in history 📉📉 2. $Kohl's(KSS)$ Kohl's $KSS forms a Death Cross ☠️ for the first time since June 2024 🚨 The last one sent prices plunging 74% over the next 10 months 📉📉📉 3. $Nike(NKE)$ Nike $NKE obliterated for its 2nd largest loss in the last 25 years 📉📉📉 Nike reportedly considering legal options
$SPX Stays Below 200DMA as $KSS Forms Death Cross and $NKE Suffers Major Drop
NVDA Trap Risk, $MU Correction, $ENPH Bull Signal While $SPY Eyes 660 Resistance
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA had a strong bounce today. I sold all my shares last month and I am not touching it yet. Here is why I think this bounce is a trap and why $140 is still on the table. Plus exactly what needs to happen for me to turn bullish again. 2. $Micron Technology(MU)$ Called the $MU top last month Down over 30% since. Now the real question is when do you buy it back. Not every pullback is a buying opportunity. 3. $Enphase Energy(ENPH)$ $ENPH just triggered a bull cycle alert. 🔔 This signal fires rarely. When it does 50% of the time price rallies 100% to 400% over the next one to two years. I started a position today. 4.
NVDA Trap Risk, $MU Correction, $ENPH Bull Signal While $SPY Eyes 660 Resistance
S&P 500 Stays Below 200 Day Average as Fear Spikes
Market sentiment has shifted sharply into risk-off mode. The S&P 500 is now trading below its 200-day moving average for nine consecutive sessions, while less than 43% of constituents remain above that key level, signaling weak breadth. The Fear Index has dropped to extreme levels not seen since November, reflecting heightened uncertainty. 1.Stock Market hits an Extreme Fear reading of 9, the most amount of Fear since November 👻😱🫂 2.Fewer than 43% of S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average, the worst market breadth since May 🚨📉😱 3.S&P 500 $SPX closes under its 200-day moving average for the 9th consecutive day, the longest stretch since April/May 2025 📉📉 4. Nike
S&P 500 Stays Below 200 Day Average as Fear Spikes
Lumentum: Nvidia Moment or Hype?
Is $Lumentum(LITE)$ experiencing an $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Moment? When the AI boom really began after the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia saw the demand for its AI GPUs explode. A graph of green bars AI-generated content may be incorrect. From 2022 to 2026, Nvidia’s data center business grew 18x in just 4 years, to nearly $200B! As we are reaching the limits of what current technologies can achieve, Nvidia has invested billions in its suppliers to help them develop technologies critical for making AI better, faster, and cheaper. $2B went to the company we are covering today, Lumentum! Lumentum is a technology company that specializes in photonics, a field that is enabling the shift from electrical signals to light-ba
Lumentum: Nvidia Moment or Hype?
Here are 6 Simple Reasons I am Bullish $SOFI
Here are 6 Simple Reasons I am Bullish $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 1/ Rockstar CEO Investors worry about Wars, Oil Shocks, Pandemics, High Interest Rates, and BS Short Reports. Anthony Noto Executes. - During Covid $SOFI pivoted from student lending to consumer loans. Bears cried about the use of Fair Value Accounting over CECL, but $SOFI executed. - During the inflation crisis of 2022, bears promised huge loan losses, which didn't happen. - There have been numerous short reports and bearish takes, $SOFI has proven them all to be baseless. 2/ Student Loan Originations Student loans have been $SOFI bread and butter. This is an ingenious way to acquire high-value long-term customers. Student loan refinancing brings in high-income, creditworthy bo
Here are 6 Simple Reasons I am Bullish $SOFI
$SPX Breakdown Deepens, Worst Start Since 1926 Raises Red Flags
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 is showing historically weak momentum, with just 3 positive weeks so far this year—matching one of the worst starts on record. The index is also on track for its longest stretch below the 200-day moving average since 2025, reinforcing bearish technical pressure. Seasonality adds another layer of risk: historically, midterm election cycles have seen average drawdowns of over 18% before stabilizing, suggesting further volatility may lie ahead before a more durable bottom forms. 1.S&P 500 $SPX has only had 3 green weeks during the first 12 weeks this year, equaling the worst start to a year in history 🚨🚨🚨 2.S&P 500 $SPX on track for its 8th consecutive close below the 200-day moving average, the longest str
$SPX Breakdown Deepens, Worst Start Since 1926 Raises Red Flags
$SOFI Down 50%, Sentiment Reset or Broken Thesis?
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ is officially in a 50%+ Drawdown. In situations like this, one needs to examine the causes to determine whether the thesis is broken. 1) What is driving this sell-off? The sell-off is mostly caused by macro fears, not company-specific weakness. The recent short-seller report has mostly been brushed off by the market as BS. However, global uncertainty, including tensions like the Iran war, has made investors more cautious with growth stocks. At the same time, rising interest rate concerns and general market volatility are pushing fintech stocks down together. There has also been short-term worry about consumer health, especially after reports questioning spending strength. Overall, this looks like a sentiment-driven p
$SOFI Down 50%, Sentiment Reset or Broken Thesis?
Leaders Cracking: $META Below 200DMA, $SPX Bleeds, $SNAP Destroyed
Markets are showing clear signs of stress. $META is deeply below its 200DMA, $SPX is heading for its worst month since 2022, and $UNH has erased key institutional levels. Meanwhile, $SNAP highlights long-term value destruction — a reminder that not all dips recover. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META has now fallen below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since 2022 📉📉📉 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX on track for its biggest monthly loss since September 2022 📉👻😱👀 3. $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UnitedHealth $UNH has now plunged all the way back below Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway 2025 purchase price 📉💸 4.
Leaders Cracking: $META Below 200DMA, $SPX Bleeds, $SNAP Destroyed
5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN
5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ 1/ Huge Demand "We can't meet the demand fast enough," Dan Roberts There is a huge demand for AI computing power, as hyperscalers invest hundreds of billions of dollars. IREN is perfectly situated to meet that demand. 2/ Focus on Bare Metal over Colocation "Colocation would be a lot easier, but we don't feel that it is the best value-creating opportunity." Dan Roberts, $IREN CEO AI cloud (bare metal) services can generate roughly $10M per megawatt, whereas simply leasing data center space (collocation) only brings in about $1.5-2M. We can see these dynamics at play with the $MSFT contract. The deal involves a 200MW deployment and will generate $9.7B in 5 years. A colocation contract would have
5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN
Size Up or Sit Out? Let $SPY $VIX $BTC Decide
How much money to risk per trade: Risk tolerance should fluctuate. I get questions all the time about "exactly how much do u risk per trade". And I have to give the annoying non-answer of "it depends"...bc there's variables. It's nuanced. 5 buckets I use to determine level of risk: - current environment - relative strength of leaders - $vix behavior - breadth / participation - macro backdrop Here's each one with more detail: Current environment: - $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ trend (up/down bias?...don't overcomplicate) - spy, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ relationship to key moving averages (above/below 50sma, 200sma?) - btc behavior...use to gauge risk/speculation appetite (ex: relative weakness = risk off grow
Size Up or Sit Out? Let $SPY $VIX $BTC Decide
Grab Taiwan Entry: One-Off or A Blueprint For the Future?
After rising $1.5B using convertible notes, $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ ended 2025 with $6.8B in cash! Retail investors are not very patient, so for many months, Grab has been criticized for not putting its large cash balance to good use, and some even questioned why a profitable company would raise this much in the first place. However, the funds were clearly intended to purchase its biggest competitor in Indonesia, Gojek. While that deal has been rumored to be in the works for years, it seems Gojek will have to remain an independent company for longer, as any potential deal is stalled while Gojek goes through various scandals and government investigations. Grab was forced to pivot and find another M&A target, and they finally did. Grab is buying
Grab Taiwan Entry: One-Off or A Blueprint For the Future?
$SPY $MSFT $GOOGL Break Down as $SRPT $CORZ $FLY Surge on Momentum
Markets are showing clear divergence, with $SPY, $MSFT, and $GOOGL breaking down technically, while select high-beta names like $SRPT, $CORZ, and $FLY surge on strong momentum and catalysts. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY on track for its 5th consecutive close below the 200-day moving average, the longest streak since May 📉🤯👀 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft $MSFT on track to close below its 200-week moving average for the first time in more than 13 years 📉📉 3. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Alphabet $GOOGL has entered a technical correction after falling more than 10% from its February all-time high 📉📉📉 4.$Sarepta T
$SPY $MSFT $GOOGL Break Down as $SRPT $CORZ $FLY Surge on Momentum
$ADBE $CRM $ZM: Buybacks Rise as Software Weakness Deepens
As Software stocks fall, they are resorting to BuyBacks in hopes to stabilise the share price. - $Dropbox Inc.(DBX)$ 31.7% - $Docusign(DOCU)$ 11.6% - $Adobe(ADBE)$ 10.5% - $Box(BOX)$ 10.2% - $Workday(WDAY)$ 9.4% - $Zoom(ZM)$ 7.9% - $Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$ 7.3% - $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ 6.6% - $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ 6% - $UiPath(PATH)$ 5.7% BuyBacks only increase EPS and share price
$ADBE $CRM $ZM: Buybacks Rise as Software Weakness Deepens
10 High-Growth Stocks to Hold Till 2040
10 High-Growth Stocks to Hold Till 2040 1/ $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ $ONDS is developing an autonomous military infrastructure platform that combines AI-driven drones and robotics with advanced wireless networks. Furthermore, $ONDS is also actively expanding through M&A, consolidating the fragmented military drone and robotics industries. In the context of the Iran War, the demand for its capabilities has become especially clear. The company is moving beyond the technology validation stage and shifting into the rapid execution and deployment phase. It is securing new contracts for its drones and robotic systems almost every week. 2025 revenues are up 605% Y/Y, whilst 2026 guidance was increased to $375M, up from $180M Consensus estimate. Fol
10 High-Growth Stocks to Hold Till 2040
Mixed Signals: Stocks & Silver Weak, Gold Shows Strength
This week, key markets show a mix of weakness and resilience. $SPY and $MSFT are testing critical 200-day moving averages, while $SLV extends its losing streak. Meanwhile, $GLD is bouncing off its 200-day MA, hinting at potential upside. Investors should watch these levels closely as volatility remains elevated. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY closed below its 200-day moving average for 4 consecutive days, the longest streak since May 📉 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft $MSFT is now trading below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since the Global Financial Crisis 📉🤯👀 3. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Silver on track for its 10th conse
Mixed Signals: Stocks & Silver Weak, Gold Shows Strength
Tech, Copper, Travel, and Crypto Poised for High-Beta Snapback
If a resolution is real and the markets want to gap up & go this week, here's what I believe has the most "torque". 4 buckets. 1.Semiconductors. - ai infrastructure buildout hasn't stopped...this is a temporary fear selloff. When risk-on returns, this can be the highest-beta snapback. 2.Copper snapback. - still HUGE structural demand story (AI data centers, EVs, grid buildout, reshoring). Purely a risk-off/liquidity-driven selloff...demand drivers are completely unrelated to Hormuz. 3.Airlines & Travel. - leading this morning on the initial pop...but was crushed on high jet fuel costs + demand fear. Most direct Hormuz-reversal trade. 4.Crypto. - quietly bottoming first. Historically one of the first + fastest movers when risk appetite returns. Honorable mention - watching financial
Tech, Copper, Travel, and Crypto Poised for High-Beta Snapback
$SPY, $TSLA Slide; $VIX >25 Signals Volatility, $GLD Drains
Markets show mounting stress: $SPY hits its lowest in 4 months with a fourth straight red week, $VIX remains elevated above 25, $GLD faces record outflows, and $TSLA dips to multi-month lows. 1. $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ Gold $GLD ETF has seen an outflow of $5.5 Billion this month, on track for its largest monthly outflow since April 2013 🚨🚨 2. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ CBOE Volatility Index $VIX posts 3rd consecutive weekly close above 25 🚨🚨 This is only the 2nd time that's happened since 2023 🤯👀 3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY suffers 2nd consecutive close below the 200-day moving average for the first time since May 📉📉 S&P 500 $SPY on trac
$SPY, $TSLA Slide; $VIX >25 Signals Volatility, $GLD Drains
$SPY + $VIX: 6-Step Exit Framework Before Entry
Before every trade, I do a "thesis invalidation" writeup. Basically a breakdown of where & why I would exit if wrong. Here's what it looks like (6 parts): 1) technical...if the stock [blank], I'm out: - breaks a key level - loses prior breakout level - hits my stop - fails to hold higher low structure - re-enters prior range (failed breakout) - stock loses relative strength vs $spy 2) fundamental...if the stock's [blank], I'm out: - narrative breaks (no longer strong "story”) - sector / theme loses momentum - insiders start selling aggressively - macro shifts directly hurt the business - leadership starts showing cracks 3) thesis…if the [blank], I’m out: - reason I entered changes - news/narrative shifts - earnings/catalyst invalidates original idea - leaders break down 4) risk…if my [
$SPY + $VIX: 6-Step Exit Framework Before Entry
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