AfraSimon
AfraSimon
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HIMS Takes Big Swings and Faces Volatility with Long Term Upside at 18

$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ has some balls. Leadership taking big swings and striking out every once in awhile is not necessarily a bad thing. Big thinkers and innovators play big. Often in the gray areas...seeing that now with the $nvo lawsuit. Move fast and break things. All the hyper growth players looked reckless early on...and made stupid mistakes when trying to really lift off. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ halted trading during the $GameStop(GME)$ saga. $Uber(UBER)$ launched in cities without approval and got banned. States called $DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$ "illegal gambling" in
HIMS Takes Big Swings and Faces Volatility with Long Term Upside at 18

SPY Remains Resilient While Growth Themes Stay Volatile

It won't go down. Current admin won't let it. Every meaningful dip "tacos" within two weeks. Volatility sure, but meaningful downside? It's going to take something outside of the President's control to really roll this thing over in the first half of this year. Sure there will be many 1%-3% mini drops in $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ next few months...but another -15% correction before midterms is less than likely. Market performance is the current admin's metric of choice...they call out the "historic stock market" seemingly daily. Will do almost anything to maintain current trajectory. Individual high-beta names will continue to get caught in little rolling bubbles, and that volatility will create opportunity for great entries in many growth-
SPY Remains Resilient While Growth Themes Stay Volatile
avatarAfraSimon
02-09 17:10

Another 10 companies will dominate the AI age:META, MSFT, TSM, BABA, TSLA

AI names are crashing 10-20% 🔴 Yet, AI investments are accelerating - $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $100B - $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $115-135B - $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $175-185B FOLLOW THE MONEY 💸 Here are another 10 companies that will dominate the AI age: 11/ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META controls the attention of the world. - 3.6B Daily Users - 15% ARPU Growth - 22% Revenue Growth - 41% EBIT Margin A few months ago, they announced new smart glasses that could bring a new form factor to the masses. And AI will turbocharge everything! Before AI, social networks relied on manual sharing and simple algorithms to surface posts an
Another 10 companies will dominate the AI age:META, MSFT, TSM, BABA, TSLA
avatarAfraSimon
02-09 16:58

From Hype to Hazard: $HIMS's Reckless Growth Leads to Implosion

I don't think there has ever been a bigger RED flag than $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ CEO Dudum retweeting a known charlatan stock pumper course seller. This action alone should warrant his termination, but he did it a day before selling shares. Yet, HIMS investors completely ignored this obvious red flag because they were watching through rose-colored glasses. However, this was not the only red flag the company did: - Giving out an aggressive 2030 guidance was a red flag. Hims is not a mature company to know its sales 5 years in advance. Any CEO of a fast-growing company who can tell their sales 5 years from now, is either 1 lying 2 delusional 3 or trying to pump the stock. - Expanding internationally, when the US TAM is 100x, the global
From Hype to Hazard: $HIMS's Reckless Growth Leads to Implosion
avatarAfraSimon
02-09 16:54

Betting on $SOFI: Why This Could Be a Historic Entry Point

New position in $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ . Larger allocation than usual...here's why. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ inclusion candidate. Rebalancing happens quarterly with next one being March 20th, '26. Near term catalyst. Inclusion could pop the stock 5%-10%. Anticipation alone can be a strong tailwind. Just launched crypto trading, but unlike $Robinhood(HOOD)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ monetizes relationships...not trading volume + market activity. Revenue is tied to member LTV. Lower rates are mega bullish for SOFI too...student loan refi's, mo
Betting on $SOFI: Why This Could Be a Historic Entry Point
avatarAfraSimon
02-08 16:02

Here is why IREN fell 50%!

The past week has been painful for the entire AI trade, but $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ has suffered more than most, falling 31% before even reporting Q4 2025 earnings. Shareholders hoping that earnings would bring back optimism in the stock were greatly disappointed, as Iren fell as much as 20% in the after-hours. This means that Iren was down close to 50% in just a few days! I believe there are 3 key reasons why the stock reacted so negatively to the earnings: No Hyperscaler Deals Revenue Miss Earnings Miss In my opinion, the market wildly overreacted to these developments. Furthermore, investors are completely ignoring the positives that Iren announced: Secured $3.6B GPU Financing New Massive Data Center Strong ARR Guidance Let’s dig deeper. 1. No Hypersc
Here is why IREN fell 50%!

Despite a 50% drop, $IREN remains a high-potential AI play

By now, everyone and their grandmother knows that the world is experiencing a once-in-a-century AI-driven technological revolution. However, if we want AI to be able to do more than just create silly cat videos, it needs to be properly trained on lots of high-quality data. Furthermore, for this data to be processed, the world needs to build more data centers than it has ever built before! Researchers at McKinsey forecast that by 2030, data center capex will reach $7T and data center capacity will almost triple to 219 GW! To meet this insatiable demand for computing power, capacity will come from clever and previously overlooked places. And increasingly, a trend has emerged of bitcoin mining companies turning into AI data center businesses. For years, aspiring crypto entrepreneurs built eve
Despite a 50% drop, $IREN remains a high-potential AI play

10 companies will dominate the AI age:GOOGL, ASML, NU, NVDA, AMD, PLTR & UBER

AI names are crashing 10-20% 🔴 Yet, AI investments are accelerating - $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $100B - $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $115-135B - $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $175-185B FOLLOW THE MONEY 💸 Here are 10 companies that will dominate the AI age: 1/ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Iren is redefining data center infrastructure by building THE world’s most efficient platforms for powering AI compute with 100% renewable energy. As the CEO says, the industry is growing so rapidly, "They can't meet the demand". - 3GW Contracted Power - $9.7B $MSFT Contract - Next Hyperscaler deal is inevitable The company is reporting earnings tomorrow, and many are e
10 companies will dominate the AI age:GOOGL, ASML, NU, NVDA, AMD, PLTR & UBER

The Strongest Stocks Live Inside the Strongest Themes $RKLB $ASTS $RKT $UUUU $MU

"Stock picker's market" I prefer to call it a theme picker's market...because the strongest themes are where the post powerful individual stocks live. The themes I'm involved with right now are: Space (catalyst being SpaceX IPO): - $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ - $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ - $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Mortgage, housing, real estate: - $Rocket Companies(RKT)$ - $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ Critical minerals, rare earths, domestic energy: - $Energy Fuels(UUUU)$ - $United States Antim
The Strongest Stocks Live Inside the Strongest Themes $RKLB $ASTS $RKT $UUUU $MU

Best Risk-Reward Right Now? These 16 Stocks Are on the Table

Best Risk-Reward Right Now? These 16 Stocks Are on the Table

33x P/E for 9% Growth? The $AAPL Valuation Question

$Apple(AAPL)$ for 33 P/E gives you 9% Revenue growth 🔴 Why would anyone buy it if: - $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ 34 P/E 36% Revenue growth - $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ 22 P/S 129% growth - $Pagaya Technologies Ltd.(PGY)$ 1.4 P/S 15% - $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 59 P/S 374% - $Micron Technology(MU)$ 39 P/E 49% - $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 31 P/E 20% - $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 59 P/E 37% - $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 27 P/E 16% -
33x P/E for 9% Growth? The $AAPL Valuation Question

Trump’s “Project Vault” Lifts $MP, $USAR, $CRML, $TMC, $UAMY & $NB

Trump Launches Rare Earths "Project Vault" 🟢 $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ +3% 🟢 $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ +3% 🟢 $CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ +2% 🟢 $The Metals Company(TMC)$ +2% 🟢 $United States Antimony(UAMY)$ +4.5% 🟢 $NioCorp Developments Ltd.(NB)$ +4% The initiative aims to ensure that American businesses and workers are not harmed by mineral shortages, similar to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for oil. The project involves a combination of $10B in Export-Import Bank financing and $2B in private sector investment. To bolster domestic
Trump’s “Project Vault” Lifts $MP, $USAR, $CRML, $TMC, $UAMY & $NB

$IREN Earnings: 5 Major Catalysts That Could Move the Stock

$IREN Ltd(IREN)$ reports earnings on Thursday! Here are 5️⃣ catalysts to watch! 1/ New Hyperscaller Deals $IREN announced the $9.7B $Microsoft(MSFT)$ deal on November 3, 2025, sending the stock up over 20%. This was 4 months ago, and in this time, the company has made meaningful progress towards building additional capacity. A new hyperscaler deal is expected to be announced at any moment and would be a huge catalyst for the stock. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
$IREN Earnings: 5 Major Catalysts That Could Move the Stock

The End of Sub-$500 Tesla? Elon’s 2026 Inflection Moment

I do think we are fast approaching the end of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 's days ...under $500 Betting against Elon Musk has been financial suicide for over a decade. 2026 feels like a major "inflection point" for Elon. - merges xAI + SpaceX (maybe Tesla soon?!) - SpaceX goes public - becomes world's first trillionaire? - ai, autonomy, humanoid robotics, and space scaling at the *same time* - bought $1B worth of TSLA stock personally (largest ever) Tesla is the cleanest public-market exposure to all of it...currently trading at $420. Hard to imagine TSLA not seeing $500 at some point this year. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well a
The End of Sub-$500 Tesla? Elon’s 2026 Inflection Moment

Edge AI and Biometric Innovation $SYNA $GOOG $QCOM

$Synaptics(SYNA)$ is my next big swing trade. Never heard of it? Good. $3B market cap...very real chance this becomes a monster. For you non-technical folks (like me), AI is starting to run on device, not just in the cloud. So instead of a camera, phone, or robot sending data to a data center to “think", SYNA allows this to happen instantly, privately, and directly on the device. Privacy is the huge advantage here. Gov't, military, business, personal...privacy is becoming a non-negotiable. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ only a year ago, selected SYNA as a key partner to "accelerate development of context aware devices". Another angle I like is SYNA's positio
Edge AI and Biometric Innovation $SYNA $GOOG $QCOM

90% of Profits from 10% of Trades $VSCO $INTC

Was having lunch yesterday with one of my guys from the venture capital world.Got talking about pareto's principle.Often called "law of the vital few", which suggests only focusing on the most impactful actions.In the VC world, 5% of startup investments create 95%+ of returns.Trading is the exact same way.Roughly 90% of profits are generated by 10% of trades.Everyone uses the word "sniper" and sh*t like that...but it's true...sit & wait until the huge opportunity inevitably presents itself, then swing big like druckenmiller.I don't like trading. I like making money. Big difference.I don't need to spam tickers, take a thousand trades a year, and be mentally exhausted weekly.Most of my yearly returns come from 2-3 trades going 100%+...(it's been $Vi
90% of Profits from 10% of Trades $VSCO $INTC

$META’s AI Capex Isn’t a Cost, It’s the Growth Engine

"Where is the ROI on $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ AI Capex?" Here it is: - Price per ad 📈 +6% - Ad Impressions 📈 +18% - Daily Active Users 📈 +6.9% - 📈 +40M Q/Q - 📈 +230M Y/Y - Total Revenues 📈+24% - Operating Cash Flow 📈+29% - Other Revenue (WhatsApp) 📈+54% The AI capex is already delivering ROI. Without the capex, the company wouldn't be growing as fast as it is. Just because there isn't a single line in the income statement called "AI revenue" doesn't mean that META isn't generating AI revenues. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Acco
$META’s AI Capex Isn’t a Cost, It’s the Growth Engine

The Automation Narrative Is Being Set: $TSLA, $SYM, $ISRG, $CGNX, $XPEV

Feels like a coordinated effort this week to push the "layoffs due to AI" headlines. What happened behind closed doors in Davos? Can't say for sure, but seems like word is spreading that ai, automation, and robotics technology is ready. Even $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is shifting logistics to focus on Optimus (announced yesterday). Timing is notable, and coincidences don't exist. They’re about to push this narrative hard. Here are my fav robotics & automation stocks right now: TSLA...optimus (obv). humanoids, real-world robotics, ai, maybe the best positioned to re-price. $Symbotic Inc.(SYM)$ ...ai-driven warehouse robotics, pure-play automation with real deployment at scale.
The Automation Narrative Is Being Set: $TSLA, $SYM, $ISRG, $CGNX, $XPEV

Can ASML become Europe’s first $1T company?

We are currently experiencing a massive semiconductor boom due to the convergence of multiple technological trends. Battery costs have fallen to a level that makes electric vehicles, smartphones, laptops, and other devices more affordable than ever before! Internet has never been faster and more widely available, driving growing demand for connected technologies! Semiconductor designers, such as $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , are creating extremely powerful chips, enabling new use cases! Specialized $25B+ semiconductor fabrication facilities built by $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ are manufacturing millions of semiconductor chips like clockwork! All while the AI revolution is fueling unprecedented demand for
Can ASML become Europe’s first $1T company?

SOFI Earnings Friday: 5 Key Metrics That Matter

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ reports earnings on Friday! Here are 5️⃣ key metrics to pay attention to:🧵 1/ Members & Products $SOFI Member Ads in 2025: - Q1 800K - Q2 850K - Q3 905K Can they add 1M in Q4? 2/ ADJ EBITDA This is a key metric and a proxy for FCF. $SOFI guided for $1,035B for 2025. So far in 2025, they have earned $736M. $299M to reach the guide would imply 51% Y/Y growth. 3/ Lending Originations In Q3, $SOFI Originated: - $3.4B in Loan Platform Business - $4.1B in Personal Loans - $1.5B in Student Loans - $945M in Home Loans Strong LPB growth is required for the share price to increase. 4/ The Technology Platform This segment has been underperforming expectations for 3 years. - 12% Y/Y growth in 2023 - 12% in 2024 - 10.6% in LT
SOFI Earnings Friday: 5 Key Metrics That Matter

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