AI Chips• $Broadcom(AVGO)$ helps Google design custom TPUs so it can lower AI chip costs & avoid $NVDA pricing• $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ only foundry currently capable of producing Google’s leading-edge TPUs at scale with acceptable yields.• $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ licenses the CPU architecture Google uses alongside TPUs for AI inference & control• $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ sells the software Google uses to design each new generation of AI chips• $Synopsys(SNPS)$ provides chip testing/ IP so Google can ship complex TPUs without failures•
3 THINGS THAT MATTER ABOUT THE $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ + GROQ DEAL1. This was about owning inference economics, not fixing a chip gap Nvidia didn't aqui-hired Groq because it was behind on chips since Nvidia already dominates training and most inference & its roadmap (GB300, Rubin) continues to push cost-per-token down while expanding performance faster than nearly anyone else. Training is a one-time event while inference is where the new AI business model lives so as AI moves into real products the money shifts to whoever controls runtime.2. The future where inference escapes Nvidia just got absorbedGroq was one of the few credible proofs that latency-sensitive inference could eventually move off GPUs and over time that would have chipped away at Nvid
1. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ goes from Mag-7 laggard to leader as AWS reaccelerates.Compute bottlenecks fade, Trainium gains real adoption & AWS growth moves back toward the mid-twenties, while Ads continues its steady climb & becomes a second profit engine that structurally lifts $AMZN margins.2. Space industry becomes a mainstream investment theme.A $1.5T SpaceX IPO forces public markets to rethink what the space economy is actually worth. That shift accelerates as Sam Altman explores a direct SpaceX competitor & as Sundar Pichai, Jeff Bezos & Elon Musk openly discuss orbital compute which creates a rare moment where politics, capital & technology align. $RKLB & $ASTS are my highest-conviction ways to express that re-rating.3. E
3 REASONS $Broadcom(AVGO)$ EARNINGS REACTION WENT NEGATIVE1. The backlog quality suddenly looked less securedMany investors treated the OpenAI relationship like a typical binding hyperscaler contract but Broadcom’s “multiyear journey” language in the Q&A made it sound more like a general framework than a firm capacity commitment.2. The revenue timing moved far outManagement made it clear that meaningful XPU revenue does not show up in 2026 & instead ramps in 2027–2029 and long-dated revenue always carries higher risk so this needs to be discounted.3. Supply constraints cap 2026 upsideBroadcom disclosed a $72B backlog with 18-month lead times which signals they're already running at full capacity & cannot accelerate deliveries even if d
MY 3 THOUGHTS ON $Oracle(ORCL)$ EARNINGS1. Revenue missed at the worst possible momentOracle is trying to convince the market it is becoming a top-tier AI infra supplier but another revenue miss in an environment where AI spend is exploding tells investors the monetization curve still isn’t matching the bookings narrative.2. Margins compressed right as the company needs to fund multi-gigawatt buildoutsCapex pushed past $20B in six months, FCF swung from +$11B to –$13B, cloud expenses jumped 45%, and Oracle is carrying $120B+ of debt with $25B due in three years. This is real financial strain. 3. Oracle as a high-beta, high-capex AI buildout storyRPO hitting $523B is incredible but the equity is now a bet that Oracle can• build capacity faster than
THE 5 NAMES YOU NEED TO FOLLOW IN THE SPACE ECONOMY
Space is one of my favorite 2026 themes because the real customer base is moving from commercial buyers to fully funded government programs that view this theme as national security infrastructure. It's a once in a lifetime thematic that sits inside budgets that renew every year and grow when geopolitical pressure rises. Once you understand that shift, the companies positioned for federal procurement start to separate from the rest of the sector.1. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ | Rocket LabRocket Lab already understands this shift because they stopped presenting themselves as a launch company years ago. Every decision they have made points toward a world where fully integrated space company with vertical control across manufacturing, payload, conne
PRESIDENT TRUMP WEIGHING A ROBOTICS EXECUTIVE ORDER FOR 2026
Commerce Secretary Lutnick has been meeting with robotics CEOs & is pushing to accelerate the industry with the administration now evaluating a formal robotics order for next year.How robotics is quietly getting built out across the economy:1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ & $UiPath(PATH)$ are the traffic controllers for the whole fleet while $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ & $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ are the engines & nervous system that let the robots sense and act.2. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ ,
1. Not building size in the pure-play drone names when the window was wide open. I saw the opportunity in $ONDS, bought shares at $0.73 but sold at $3.17 because the move felt too fast. I did restart the position at $5.26 but the hesitation cost me some upside.2. I believed the AI Utility names like $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ & $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ were built for what I call the overflow era which is that brief high-margin window where AI compute demand outstrips what $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ AWS, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Azure & $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Cloud can supply. What I underestimated