Murphy Raymond

    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-25 05:10
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ The picture speaks volumes. 20-year historical PE ratio compared to today's level. This feels like Google at the beginning of 2026.
      570Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-24 22:53
      This is honestly a pretty clean long-term example of what Peter Lynch used to talk about. He always said price and earnings don't drift apart forever; over time, they move together. If you just zoom out on Microsoft, it's pretty obvious: earnings have compounded steadily for years, and the stock follows that same long arc, even through ugly drawdowns. Every dip eventually gets "explained" by earnings catching up. That's really the core idea here—not that price is perfect in the short term, but that long-term it tends to respect the earnings curve. $Microsoft(MSFT)$  is basically what happens when execution stays consistent for decades while sentiment keeps swinging back and forth.
      162Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-24 22:39
      $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Some may not be excited about the Dow 30 inclusion, but I am. For years I've felt Google was more deserving of that recognition than several current members of the club.
      448Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-24 11:47
      $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Berkshire's confidence in Google lends credibility to Google's addition to the Dow Jones.
      81Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-24 05:29
      $Alphabet(GOOG)$  Google joining the Dow, that's something. Means index funds have to buy in, they're bidding it up now, taking Verizon's spot. I like that it can add some juice to the Dow, normally I'm not too into Dow stocks.
      241Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-24 04:33
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$  Today was more than just another AI headline. The Wisconsin hyperscale data center is now operational. There's a planned $4.7B infrastructure investment. The new Azure Copilot Observability Agent has launched. It's infrastructure, Azure, and AI services. Microsoft continues building both the capacity and the products needed to monetize enterprise AI at scale.
      508Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-23 05:14
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ At around 20 times forward earnings, Microsoft is basically back to 2016-type valuation levels, but the company's structure is very different today. What stands out isn't just the multiple, but what's underneath it: Office as the default enterprise workflow layer, Windows still entrenched at scale, and Azure as a second (or potentially first) major cloud engine on top. Management guiding toward over $500 billion in revenue by 2030 adds another compounding lens to the story, especially if margins stay structurally elevated from AI integration across the entire stack. At this valuation, the debate isn't whether Microsoft is a "good company"—that's obvious. It's whether the market is underappreciating the durability of cash flo
      186Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-23
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$  The price keeps sliding along the downtrend line... I think that's the low of the day. It feels more like some mechanical selling, and I don't believe it's due to any fundamental issues.
      1.61K2
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-22
      $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Wow, seems like a lot of people are selling shares right now who apparently think they know more than Berkshire Hathaway, which just invested billions. I'll just keep holding my shares and watch the ridiculousness of traders.
      190Comment
      Report
    • Murphy RaymondMurphy Raymond
      ·06-22
      From a technical perspective, $Microsoft(MSFT)$  could reach $500 by mid-July. The current price is around $379, which looks like a solid base after the pullback from the all-time high of $555. Key signals: - Testing the major support zone near $356-$380, around the 2026 lows and prior breakout area. Historically, there's been strong buying interest here. - Daily and weekly RSI is approaching oversold levels, which is a classic setup for a rebound. - A bull flag appears to be forming on the weekly chart, with decreasing volume on the pullback, suggesting an accumulation phase. - The 200-day MA has acted as dynamic long-term support; once the 50-day MA is reclaimed, momentum could pick up. Catalysts include AI momentum (Copilot/Azure), potenti
      625Comment
      Report
     
     
     
     

    Most Discussed