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浴缸潜水员
浴缸潜水员
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2021-08-27
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浴缸潜水员
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2021-08-19
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浴缸潜水员
浴缸潜水员
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2021-07-26
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浴缸潜水员
浴缸潜水员
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2021-06-19
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一夜之間從65美元到清零,幣圈最大的噩夢終於出現了
@何安迪:
事件 雖然幣圈動不動血崩/暴漲,大家多半也見怪不怪,但是大家見過幾小時內就從60美元暴跌清零的嘛?着實還是震驚了我一番。 美東時間6月16日週三晚,TITAN代幣的價格從最高點65美元迅速跌到0,這都不是跳水,是跳懸崖了,最後一筆交易的價格爲0.000000035美元。雖然0也很多,但是放在小數點後就不那麼美觀了。 首先我們要了解一個概念,就是DeFi DeFi全稱“Decentralized finance”,中文名“去中心化金融”,是一種基於區塊鏈的金融制度。 在傳統金融的模式下,我們需要找銀行借一筆錢,需要經過幾道門檻,首先要找個銀行的上班日,其次需要提供涉及個人隱私的資料審查,然後需要等待銀行審批,最後能不能成功借到錢還是另一回事。如果存錢,由於制度不透明,我們不知道自己的錢究竟被銀行用到了什麼地方,只能祈禱最後這筆錢不要變成銀行收不回來的不良資產。 這個時候就有了“去中心化”的概念,就是跳過銀行這個中介,直接用戶與用戶進行資產的轉移,省事省力還不用泄露隱私。區塊鏈的本質,就是一個共享數據庫,可以理解成爲公開賬本,上面記錄了每一筆交易,對所有人開放,不可篡改,全程留痕,集體維護。 所以DeFi制度相當於就是傳統金融+區塊鏈,DeFi平臺管理的也不是實打實的金錢,而是用戶的加密貨幣資產。 貨幣市場IRON Finance 在DeFi領域,有許多貨幣市場,比如比特幣、Uniswap、Compound、還有這次血崩的IRON Finance。 如果你在IRON Finance上出借了自己的加密貨幣資產,有借款就會有利息,你收到的利息,就是平臺的原生代幣TITAN。每個平臺的原生代幣都不一樣,比如Compound的原生代幣就是COMP代幣。 當平臺的用戶越多,代幣的價格就上漲的越多。 但是還有一個問題,加密貨幣有一個不容忽視的特點,就是愛好血崩,動不動就暴漲暴跌,這對借貸雙
一夜之間從65美元到清零,幣圈最大的噩夢終於出現了
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浴缸潜水员
浴缸潜水员
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2021-03-16
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浴缸潜水员
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2021-03-07
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Apocalypse of the Big Fall
传说鱼的记忆只有7秒。 投资者的记忆能有几天? 我们觉得今天很惨,却忘了去年春节后第一个交易日大盘几乎跌停,更忘了去年2月25日创业板见顶后,最大跌幅20%。 过段时间又会忘了这几天的苦。 过段时间世
Apocalypse of the Big Fall
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浴缸潜水员
浴缸潜水员
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2021-03-07
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SPAC?不就是穿上馬甲的次貸麼
@格隆汇:
“如果狗屎能賣出去,投行就會去賣狗屎。” —— 查理·芒格 在剛剛過去的1月份,賈躍亭與他的法拉第未來,憑藉準備通過與特殊目的收購公司(SPAC)合併而在美國上市的消息,在幾乎已經不關心他到底回不回國了的各大新聞、自媒體的素材庫中死灰復燃。 如果合併成功,FF可以獲得10億美元左右的資金,以及34億美元左右的估值。 (圖源:網絡) 就在上週,有知情人士稱,由李嘉誠家族支持的一家公司,正在就潛在的SPAC上市與顧問合作中,如果該SPAC成功上市,預計可融資4億美元。 除了李嘉誠本人,李嘉誠之子李澤楷也被傳出在已經擁有兩家SPAC的情況下,正在考慮成立第三家。 無獨有偶,賭王何鴻燊之子、新濠國際董事長兼行政總裁何猷龍的私人家族辦公室黑桃資本,也在着力籌備第二筆SPAC投資。 (圖源:網絡) 去年年底,軟銀也遞交了首份SPAC上市申請,並表示還有兩份申請正在籌劃中。 SPAC,無疑已是近年來投資圈的“必入單品”。 01 私募“盲盒”與IPO“黃牛” SPAC—Special Purpose Acquisition Company,可以直譯爲特殊目的收購公司。沒有業務,只有現金,上市唯一的目的就是在合適的時間收購一家合適的未上市公司,助其曲線上市。 說白了,SPAC的全部業務就是“當好一個殼”,上市的使命就是在兩年時間內把自己“借”出去。 由於沒有實業,在這種模式誕生的初期,也被稱爲“空白支票公司”。而“空白”,就是它能在3-6個月內就走完IPO流程的祕訣 —— 路演的時候不需要解釋業務,只需要提供願景,然後重點“吹”一下管理團隊。 SPAC的管理團隊,是SPAC區別於“皮包公司”、“空殼公司”的主要原因。根據美國證券交易委員會的要求,SPAC的發起人需要在5人及以上,其中至少3人須是某一領域的專家或者資深高管。 發起人團隊主攻哪個領域,基本就算指明瞭這個SPAC日後收購的大方向。
SPAC?不就是穿上馬甲的次貸麼
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浴缸潜水员
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2021-03-07
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搞投資,聽說你還不懂PE、ROE及ROA的意義?一文講明白
@生财小王子:
股市就像美女,只有多花心思才能獲得芳心 股票基本分析之PE、ROE、ROA 基本分析是長期投資者最重要的分析方法。 基本分析包含了許多種不同的比率。這次介紹其中三個很基本,也很重要的比率:本益比、ROE 及 ROA,還有三者之間的關係。 PE的概念及意義 介紹:本益比 (P/E Ratio) PE用來衡量股價便宜不便宜,是否被低估 本益比的意義是現在的股價是公司一年獲利的幾倍。 本益比算是基本分析中最基本也是最常用的比率。對投資人來說,本益比也可以理解爲「現在的股價買進的話,公司要幾年才能讓我回本」。本益比越低越好,因爲低本益比代表可以更快回本。 大家應該知道,要讓一個數字變小有兩個方法,讓分子變小或分母變大。所以本益比要低,就要股價低或者 EPS 高(EPS,每股收益即每股盈利,是每股稅後淨利潤)。 簡單地說,本益比是用來衡量公司便不便宜的工具。順便一提,本益比的倒數,稱爲收益率 (收益率= EPS ÷股價) 。我認爲收益率纔是股東的報酬率。比如PE=50,說明股東每年能夠獲得2%的回報,比銀行存款略低。 補充:股東賺到的錢是 EPS,不是股利。所以股東的報酬率是收益率,而不是股利殖利率。 股東權益報酬率 (ROE) ROE的概念與定義 ROE 代表的是公司用自有資本賺錢的能力。這裏解釋一下什麼是股東權益。 首先大家要知道,公司實際持有的資產,其資金來源有兩個:股東出的錢 (股東權益) 及借來的錢 (負債) 。這就是會計恆等式:「資產=負債+股東權益」。 一家公司如果用資產來還清負債,剩下的部分就是屬於股東的錢,叫做股東權益 (股東權益=資產-負債) 。 ROE 想要表達的意義是「公司用股東出的錢來賺取獲利的能力」。 ROE 越高越好,因爲越高 ROE 代表公司可以用同樣的股東權益賺到更多的錢。 要讓一個數字變大有兩個方法,讓分子變大和讓分母變小。 所以 ROE 要高,就
搞投資,聽說你還不懂PE、ROE及ROA的意義?一文講明白
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浴缸潜水员
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2021-02-22
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雖然幣圈動不動血崩/暴漲,大家多半也見怪不怪,但是大家見過幾小時內就從60美元暴跌清零的嘛?着實還是震驚了我一番。 美東時間6月16日週三晚,TITAN代幣的價格從最高點65美元迅速跌到0,這都不是跳水,是跳懸崖了,最後一筆交易的價格爲0.000000035美元。雖然0也很多,但是放在小數點後就不那麼美觀了。 首先我們要了解一個概念,就是DeFi DeFi全稱“Decentralized finance”,中文名“去中心化金融”,是一種基於區塊鏈的金融制度。 在傳統金融的模式下,我們需要找銀行借一筆錢,需要經過幾道門檻,首先要找個銀行的上班日,其次需要提供涉及個人隱私的資料審查,然後需要等待銀行審批,最後能不能成功借到錢還是另一回事。如果存錢,由於制度不透明,我們不知道自己的錢究竟被銀行用到了什麼地方,只能祈禱最後這筆錢不要變成銀行收不回來的不良資產。 這個時候就有了“去中心化”的概念,就是跳過銀行這個中介,直接用戶與用戶進行資產的轉移,省事省力還不用泄露隱私。區塊鏈的本質,就是一個共享數據庫,可以理解成爲公開賬本,上面記錄了每一筆交易,對所有人開放,不可篡改,全程留痕,集體維護。 所以DeFi制度相當於就是傳統金融+區塊鏈,DeFi平臺管理的也不是實打實的金錢,而是用戶的加密貨幣資產。 貨幣市場IRON Finance 在DeFi領域,有許多貨幣市場,比如比特幣、Uniswap、Compound、還有這次血崩的IRON Finance。 如果你在IRON Finance上出借了自己的加密貨幣資產,有借款就會有利息,你收到的利息,就是平臺的原生代幣TITAN。每個平臺的原生代幣都不一樣,比如Compound的原生代幣就是COMP代幣。 當平臺的用戶越多,代幣的價格就上漲的越多。 但是還有一個問題,加密貨幣有一個不容忽視的特點,就是愛好血崩,動不動就暴漲暴跌,這對借貸雙","listText":"事件 雖然幣圈動不動血崩/暴漲,大家多半也見怪不怪,但是大家見過幾小時內就從60美元暴跌清零的嘛?着實還是震驚了我一番。 美東時間6月16日週三晚,TITAN代幣的價格從最高點65美元迅速跌到0,這都不是跳水,是跳懸崖了,最後一筆交易的價格爲0.000000035美元。雖然0也很多,但是放在小數點後就不那麼美觀了。 首先我們要了解一個概念,就是DeFi DeFi全稱“Decentralized finance”,中文名“去中心化金融”,是一種基於區塊鏈的金融制度。 在傳統金融的模式下,我們需要找銀行借一筆錢,需要經過幾道門檻,首先要找個銀行的上班日,其次需要提供涉及個人隱私的資料審查,然後需要等待銀行審批,最後能不能成功借到錢還是另一回事。如果存錢,由於制度不透明,我們不知道自己的錢究竟被銀行用到了什麼地方,只能祈禱最後這筆錢不要變成銀行收不回來的不良資產。 這個時候就有了“去中心化”的概念,就是跳過銀行這個中介,直接用戶與用戶進行資產的轉移,省事省力還不用泄露隱私。區塊鏈的本質,就是一個共享數據庫,可以理解成爲公開賬本,上面記錄了每一筆交易,對所有人開放,不可篡改,全程留痕,集體維護。 所以DeFi制度相當於就是傳統金融+區塊鏈,DeFi平臺管理的也不是實打實的金錢,而是用戶的加密貨幣資產。 貨幣市場IRON Finance 在DeFi領域,有許多貨幣市場,比如比特幣、Uniswap、Compound、還有這次血崩的IRON Finance。 如果你在IRON Finance上出借了自己的加密貨幣資產,有借款就會有利息,你收到的利息,就是平臺的原生代幣TITAN。每個平臺的原生代幣都不一樣,比如Compound的原生代幣就是COMP代幣。 當平臺的用戶越多,代幣的價格就上漲的越多。 但是還有一個問題,加密貨幣有一個不容忽視的特點,就是愛好血崩,動不動就暴漲暴跌,這對借貸雙","text":"事件 雖然幣圈動不動血崩/暴漲,大家多半也見怪不怪,但是大家見過幾小時內就從60美元暴跌清零的嘛?着實還是震驚了我一番。 美東時間6月16日週三晚,TITAN代幣的價格從最高點65美元迅速跌到0,這都不是跳水,是跳懸崖了,最後一筆交易的價格爲0.000000035美元。雖然0也很多,但是放在小數點後就不那麼美觀了。 首先我們要了解一個概念,就是DeFi DeFi全稱“Decentralized finance”,中文名“去中心化金融”,是一種基於區塊鏈的金融制度。 在傳統金融的模式下,我們需要找銀行借一筆錢,需要經過幾道門檻,首先要找個銀行的上班日,其次需要提供涉及個人隱私的資料審查,然後需要等待銀行審批,最後能不能成功借到錢還是另一回事。如果存錢,由於制度不透明,我們不知道自己的錢究竟被銀行用到了什麼地方,只能祈禱最後這筆錢不要變成銀行收不回來的不良資產。 這個時候就有了“去中心化”的概念,就是跳過銀行這個中介,直接用戶與用戶進行資產的轉移,省事省力還不用泄露隱私。區塊鏈的本質,就是一個共享數據庫,可以理解成爲公開賬本,上面記錄了每一筆交易,對所有人開放,不可篡改,全程留痕,集體維護。 所以DeFi制度相當於就是傳統金融+區塊鏈,DeFi平臺管理的也不是實打實的金錢,而是用戶的加密貨幣資產。 貨幣市場IRON Finance 在DeFi領域,有許多貨幣市場,比如比特幣、Uniswap、Compound、還有這次血崩的IRON Finance。 如果你在IRON Finance上出借了自己的加密貨幣資產,有借款就會有利息,你收到的利息,就是平臺的原生代幣TITAN。每個平臺的原生代幣都不一樣,比如Compound的原生代幣就是COMP代幣。 當平臺的用戶越多,代幣的價格就上漲的越多。 但是還有一個問題,加密貨幣有一個不容忽視的特點,就是愛好血崩,動不動就暴漲暴跌,這對借貸雙","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb8429eedd000b87168acb260f2d7f2","width":"240","height":"159"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37515ff8aca46379b035ee5dfd148e9e","width":"550","height":"268"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d949c356dc8ddbd3d861ef8132360e2d","width":"300","height":"300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166207379","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325998229,"gmtCreate":1615855630161,"gmtModify":1704787473807,"author":{"id":"3532132223347993","authorId":"3532132223347993","name":"浴缸潜水员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d01d6abe944b89aee8c87b329e931f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532132223347993","authorIdStr":"3532132223347993"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325998229","repostId":"2119141992","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320296276,"gmtCreate":1615108172395,"gmtModify":1704778712701,"author":{"id":"3532132223347993","authorId":"3532132223347993","name":"浴缸潜水员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d01d6abe944b89aee8c87b329e931f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532132223347993","authorIdStr":"3532132223347993"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/320296276","repostId":"1150364023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150364023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615082582,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150364023?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-07 10:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Apocalypse of the Big Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150364023","media":" 阿基米德Biotech","summary":"传说鱼的记忆只有7秒。\n投资者的记忆能有几天?\n我们觉得今天很惨,却忘了去年春节后第一个交易日大盘几乎跌停,更忘了去年2月25日创业板见顶后,最大跌幅20%。\n过段时间又会忘了这几天的苦。\n过段时间世","content":"<p>Legend has it that a fish's memory is only 7 seconds.</p><p>How many days can investors remember?</p><p>We feel miserable today, but we forget that the market almost fell to the limit on the first trading day after the Spring Festival last year, and we even forget that after the GEM peaked on February 25th last year, the biggest drop was 20%.</p><p>After a while, I will forget the suffering of these days.</p><p>After a while, the world will remain the same, and the situation of embracing core assets and holding high-quality companies for a long time will not change.</p><p><b>About Cycle</b></p><p>It is not too much interpretation of the sharp drop after the Spring Festival. It is temporarily regarded as repeating the standard process after the end of the spring market, which happens every year.</p><p>The decline of core assets is even greater than in previous years, because it rose too much before the holiday. The so-called brutal joy is bound to have a brutal ending.</p><p>The spring market will definitely come. Even in the bleak and rainy 2018, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 has experienced 19 consecutive gains. The spring market will definitely go, and those who tell you that the bull market is coming are the worst.</p><p>In the past, the spring market lasted for about 2 months, and the highest point almost corresponded to the maximum trading volume. During the decline, the volume gradually shrank, and the decline was rapid, reaching a stage low within one month. In the past two years, after the end of the spring market, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by more than 10%, and the biggest drop of the GEM was 20%.</p><p>Now the decline of the market is not as good as in previous years.</p><p>History is a mirror that can't see the future, but it can clearly illuminate where we are.</p><p>Will it continue to fall after the standard process is completed? The U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield continues to rise, representing a rebound in real interest rates and rising inflation. The Chinese 10-year Treasury Bond yield is also rising simultaneously. There is no boundary possibility of monetary policy relaxation, and all that remains is the question of when to turn.</p><p>Therefore, a warning voice immediately appeared: many people have not experienced a complete cycle, and cannot see the cycle of commodity cycles and technology stocks.</p><p>I just want to say: Fuck your cycle!</p><p>Any idea why you only invest in biomedicine? Just don't want to care about macro and cycles.</p><p>Under the systemic crisis, no one is spared.</p><p>But as long as we survive the main decline and enter a period of shock, even if it is a negative decline, biomedicine is not afraid. The advantages of deterministic growth of leading companies will be reflected, and they will return to their own operating track, and a structural market will emerge.</p><p>Deleveraging in 2018, no matter how bad the memory is, you may still feel sad. The market began to decline for a year in February, but CSI Medical and CSI Pharmaceutical hit a new high on May 29. If it weren't for trade issues and The first centralized procurement could maintain positive returns throughout the year.</p><p>Nowadays, trade issues and centralized procurement are no longer problems.</p><p>Biomedicine can basically cross bulls and bears, and we need to strengthen our confidence in times of adversity.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f5b8f2da168fb1f06a5f0e28ae3b0b7\" tg-width=\"503\" tg-height=\"402\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>About timing</b></p><p>There is an important phenomenon in the adjustment after the end of this spring market, and the trading volume has remained stable.</p><p>Only volume doesn't lie.</p><p>What exactly does this mean?</p><p>The liquidity tightening may not have landed yet, or it is possible that residents' assets have been hedged through funds entering the market.</p><p>Previously, it was estimated that the newly issued fund still had 565.5 billion yuan of funds ready to build positions, and 72 equity funds will be raised soon, with an estimated scale of 327.1 billion yuan.</p><p>Lao Ba's words are full of wisdom and not outdated. Macro forecasts are meaningless for stock investment.</p><p>Things at the macro level are unclear. Whether the bulls and bears will switch later and how liquidity will be tightened, I won't predict it, and it's not too timing.</p><p>What needs to be stable is risk appetite. Are you afraid when it falls, and when it rises, you think why you were afraid in the first place?</p><p>Have you experienced many rounds of warm and cold alternation, or can't you overcome this humanity?</p><p>Long-term investors ignore any fluctuations and are too out of touch. The autumn and winter correction, the spring market, and the subsequent downward killing are very obvious and can be used. However, it is too timely to invest based on the forecast of bull-bear conversion and full-year decline.</p><p>Systemic risks will always pass. As long as there is no thunderstorm in the company itself and the growth logic is still there, it will eventually be repaired.</p><p>The entry of residents' assets into the market is irreversible. It is impossible for young Christians to concentrate their money in traditional industries such as steel, nonferrous metals, coal, and banking. The mainstream is to allocate growth stocks with acceptable fundamentals.</p><p>The problem now is that the valuation is indeed overdrawn too much, and it will be valuable when it falls to a certain level. The top high-quality assets are digesting the valuation and looking for a balanced center. We can observe two anchors, one is Hengrui Medicine. If the existing valuation system does not collapse, it will be the anchor of the entire biomedical sector. The other is when Tongce Medical will stop falling. During the entire pullback/retracement, the volume can be released Not big enough.</p><p>The Shanghai Stock Exchange is still far away from the target position, and the GEM is coming soon. Be cautious enough and don't be too pessimistic.</p><p>High-quality stocks are driven by endogenous growth in the long run. When systemic risks are released, investors' concerns should return to fundamentals and growth.</p><p>Liquidity tightening has no impact on biomedical performance. In the era of stock economy, sustainable high growth is scarce and can enjoy a premium.</p><p>Emotion and timing are not the most important things, but stock selection and allocation are.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806867c17de68529fb1bfcade404d610\" tg-width=\"508\" tg-height=\"505\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>About cognition</b></p><p>The most famous sentence in Sun Tzu's Art of War: Know yourself and the enemy, and you will win a hundred battles. I didn't understand why the bland expression was regarded as the standard before. Now I understand that the most important thing in everything is cognition, and it starts from cognizing yourself. After experiencing this wave of pullback/retracement, your heart should be touched, and you can consider reflecting from the following aspects.</p><p>1. Does the shareholding match your risk appetite? If the risk tolerance is poor, it is recommended not to or cautiously allocate high-valuation, unprofitable, and high-volatility stocks, and not to take heavy positions in vaccine stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and CXOs.</p><p>2. How to deal with short-term and long-term relationships? If you are very concerned about short-term gains, it is recommended not to or to be cautious in allocating stocks with large long-term space but short-term mess.</p><p>3. If you don't understand, don't do it. Sort out the stocks that are beyond the cognitive atmosphere. It is difficult to understand high valuations, large market capitalization, and unprofitable. You can choose the varieties that you can understand, so that your shareholding mentality is more stable.</p><p>4. Don't provoke your weaknesses, give yourself a chance to live, and give good stocks a chance to prove yourself. Tongce Medical, Aier Ophthalmology, Huahan Plastic Surgery, and Kangle Guard have experienced huge declines. How can they feel nothing? There is no need to have a strong heart, and the positions are indexed and decentralized, with ballast stones and a sense of hierarchy. Huahan Plastic Surgery and Recreation Guard have experienced many plunges, but they will rise even higher later, because the configuration is tolerant of short-term errors. Don't give yourself an opportunity for weaknesses to be exposed, and don't push good stocks to the wall.</p><p>The perceptual criterion to measure whether the portfolio position is reasonable is to make yourself feel comfortable and free of pressure.</p><p>Long-term investment will only mature after the change of warm and cold. Everything is not smooth sailing. Measuring investment in years will be much indifferent.</p><p><b>About Tongce</b></p><p>The logic of CXO's high growth is very hard, and the high valuation is not entirely caused by grouping. After the market stabilizes, it will be the sector with the fastest rebound.</p><p>The medical service sector is expected to continue to fluctuate, looking for a valuation center and waiting for the market to reach a consensus again.</p><p>The collapse of fundamentals is a bottomless abyss.</p><p>The fundamentals and growth of Tongce Medical have not changed. The only problem is the high valuation. Short-term fund grouping is controversial, and the bargaining chips are loose.</p><p>According to the Tongce Medical Exchange Meeting, the good business trend continued in the fourth quarter and January this year, and it opened on the fourth day of the new year. The year-on-year growth was good, and the basic market was stable.</p><p>The two growth curves ahead are normal. The dandelion plan is progressing smoothly, and some clinics have reached breakeven in half a year, showing the replicability of the business model. Cunji Hospital outside the province is not as unbearable as expected, and Wuhan has achieved good results. In October 2020, the monthly revenue was about 5.5 million, reaching the break-even line. Xi'an Cunji is the hope of expanding outside the province. It develops better than Wuhan, and its site selection and talents are very good. The trial operation started on October 9th, with an average monthly income of 3 million.</p><p>In the implant business, there are about 300,000 dental implants in Zhejiang Province, compared with 3 million implants a year in South Korea. There is a huge market space for dental implants in Zhejiang Province in the future.</p><p>Orthodontic business, young people have a strong demand for orthodontics. Tongce develops its own digital oral system, which is more conducive to the promotion of orthodontic business.</p><p>The estimated profit in 2020 is 550 million, and it will maintain a growth rate of 30% in the next two years. The profit in 2023 is 1.2 billion, PE70, which means that the performance will be overdrafted for two or three years.</p><p>The question now is whether the market can accept valuation overdraft and maintain a 30% growth rate.</p><p>As the only leader in a good track, it makes exclusive profits, other companies lose money, and has almost no sales expenses, so you can enjoy a high premium.</p><p>The market will find a suitable anchor in the shock, and carefully observe the results first.</p><p>Time will heal everything, this is not chicken soup.</p><p>Dentistry belongs to the national consumer market, and the leading market value is less than 100 billion. Will it be like this forever?</p><p>Volatility is the norm in the market, and sometimes there are extremes that are already doomed at the moment of entering the market., Even after many rounds of ups and downs, we will always be more optimistic when we are optimistic, and more pessimistic when we are pessimistic. Knowing right and wrong, but doing it is another matter.</p><p>Biomedicine is relatively stable most of the time, just like people who don't get sick, who get sick once by chance. One month after the end of the spring market and one month at the end of the year, the beating is relatively miserable.</p><p>When the spring market was at its peak, I expressed a very pessimistic view. Now, I will also say that it will pass.</p>","source":"lsy1611662960640","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apocalypse of the Big Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApocalypse of the Big Fall\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\"> 阿基米德Biotech</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-07 10:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Legend has it that a fish's memory is only 7 seconds.</p><p>How many days can investors remember?</p><p>We feel miserable today, but we forget that the market almost fell to the limit on the first trading day after the Spring Festival last year, and we even forget that after the GEM peaked on February 25th last year, the biggest drop was 20%.</p><p>After a while, I will forget the suffering of these days.</p><p>After a while, the world will remain the same, and the situation of embracing core assets and holding high-quality companies for a long time will not change.</p><p><b>About Cycle</b></p><p>It is not too much interpretation of the sharp drop after the Spring Festival. It is temporarily regarded as repeating the standard process after the end of the spring market, which happens every year.</p><p>The decline of core assets is even greater than in previous years, because it rose too much before the holiday. The so-called brutal joy is bound to have a brutal ending.</p><p>The spring market will definitely come. Even in the bleak and rainy 2018, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 has experienced 19 consecutive gains. The spring market will definitely go, and those who tell you that the bull market is coming are the worst.</p><p>In the past, the spring market lasted for about 2 months, and the highest point almost corresponded to the maximum trading volume. During the decline, the volume gradually shrank, and the decline was rapid, reaching a stage low within one month. In the past two years, after the end of the spring market, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by more than 10%, and the biggest drop of the GEM was 20%.</p><p>Now the decline of the market is not as good as in previous years.</p><p>History is a mirror that can't see the future, but it can clearly illuminate where we are.</p><p>Will it continue to fall after the standard process is completed? The U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield continues to rise, representing a rebound in real interest rates and rising inflation. The Chinese 10-year Treasury Bond yield is also rising simultaneously. There is no boundary possibility of monetary policy relaxation, and all that remains is the question of when to turn.</p><p>Therefore, a warning voice immediately appeared: many people have not experienced a complete cycle, and cannot see the cycle of commodity cycles and technology stocks.</p><p>I just want to say: Fuck your cycle!</p><p>Any idea why you only invest in biomedicine? Just don't want to care about macro and cycles.</p><p>Under the systemic crisis, no one is spared.</p><p>But as long as we survive the main decline and enter a period of shock, even if it is a negative decline, biomedicine is not afraid. The advantages of deterministic growth of leading companies will be reflected, and they will return to their own operating track, and a structural market will emerge.</p><p>Deleveraging in 2018, no matter how bad the memory is, you may still feel sad. The market began to decline for a year in February, but CSI Medical and CSI Pharmaceutical hit a new high on May 29. If it weren't for trade issues and The first centralized procurement could maintain positive returns throughout the year.</p><p>Nowadays, trade issues and centralized procurement are no longer problems.</p><p>Biomedicine can basically cross bulls and bears, and we need to strengthen our confidence in times of adversity.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f5b8f2da168fb1f06a5f0e28ae3b0b7\" tg-width=\"503\" tg-height=\"402\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>About timing</b></p><p>There is an important phenomenon in the adjustment after the end of this spring market, and the trading volume has remained stable.</p><p>Only volume doesn't lie.</p><p>What exactly does this mean?</p><p>The liquidity tightening may not have landed yet, or it is possible that residents' assets have been hedged through funds entering the market.</p><p>Previously, it was estimated that the newly issued fund still had 565.5 billion yuan of funds ready to build positions, and 72 equity funds will be raised soon, with an estimated scale of 327.1 billion yuan.</p><p>Lao Ba's words are full of wisdom and not outdated. Macro forecasts are meaningless for stock investment.</p><p>Things at the macro level are unclear. Whether the bulls and bears will switch later and how liquidity will be tightened, I won't predict it, and it's not too timing.</p><p>What needs to be stable is risk appetite. Are you afraid when it falls, and when it rises, you think why you were afraid in the first place?</p><p>Have you experienced many rounds of warm and cold alternation, or can't you overcome this humanity?</p><p>Long-term investors ignore any fluctuations and are too out of touch. The autumn and winter correction, the spring market, and the subsequent downward killing are very obvious and can be used. However, it is too timely to invest based on the forecast of bull-bear conversion and full-year decline.</p><p>Systemic risks will always pass. As long as there is no thunderstorm in the company itself and the growth logic is still there, it will eventually be repaired.</p><p>The entry of residents' assets into the market is irreversible. It is impossible for young Christians to concentrate their money in traditional industries such as steel, nonferrous metals, coal, and banking. The mainstream is to allocate growth stocks with acceptable fundamentals.</p><p>The problem now is that the valuation is indeed overdrawn too much, and it will be valuable when it falls to a certain level. The top high-quality assets are digesting the valuation and looking for a balanced center. We can observe two anchors, one is Hengrui Medicine. If the existing valuation system does not collapse, it will be the anchor of the entire biomedical sector. The other is when Tongce Medical will stop falling. During the entire pullback/retracement, the volume can be released Not big enough.</p><p>The Shanghai Stock Exchange is still far away from the target position, and the GEM is coming soon. Be cautious enough and don't be too pessimistic.</p><p>High-quality stocks are driven by endogenous growth in the long run. When systemic risks are released, investors' concerns should return to fundamentals and growth.</p><p>Liquidity tightening has no impact on biomedical performance. In the era of stock economy, sustainable high growth is scarce and can enjoy a premium.</p><p>Emotion and timing are not the most important things, but stock selection and allocation are.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806867c17de68529fb1bfcade404d610\" tg-width=\"508\" tg-height=\"505\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>About cognition</b></p><p>The most famous sentence in Sun Tzu's Art of War: Know yourself and the enemy, and you will win a hundred battles. I didn't understand why the bland expression was regarded as the standard before. Now I understand that the most important thing in everything is cognition, and it starts from cognizing yourself. After experiencing this wave of pullback/retracement, your heart should be touched, and you can consider reflecting from the following aspects.</p><p>1. Does the shareholding match your risk appetite? If the risk tolerance is poor, it is recommended not to or cautiously allocate high-valuation, unprofitable, and high-volatility stocks, and not to take heavy positions in vaccine stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and CXOs.</p><p>2. How to deal with short-term and long-term relationships? If you are very concerned about short-term gains, it is recommended not to or to be cautious in allocating stocks with large long-term space but short-term mess.</p><p>3. If you don't understand, don't do it. Sort out the stocks that are beyond the cognitive atmosphere. It is difficult to understand high valuations, large market capitalization, and unprofitable. You can choose the varieties that you can understand, so that your shareholding mentality is more stable.</p><p>4. Don't provoke your weaknesses, give yourself a chance to live, and give good stocks a chance to prove yourself. Tongce Medical, Aier Ophthalmology, Huahan Plastic Surgery, and Kangle Guard have experienced huge declines. How can they feel nothing? There is no need to have a strong heart, and the positions are indexed and decentralized, with ballast stones and a sense of hierarchy. Huahan Plastic Surgery and Recreation Guard have experienced many plunges, but they will rise even higher later, because the configuration is tolerant of short-term errors. Don't give yourself an opportunity for weaknesses to be exposed, and don't push good stocks to the wall.</p><p>The perceptual criterion to measure whether the portfolio position is reasonable is to make yourself feel comfortable and free of pressure.</p><p>Long-term investment will only mature after the change of warm and cold. Everything is not smooth sailing. Measuring investment in years will be much indifferent.</p><p><b>About Tongce</b></p><p>The logic of CXO's high growth is very hard, and the high valuation is not entirely caused by grouping. After the market stabilizes, it will be the sector with the fastest rebound.</p><p>The medical service sector is expected to continue to fluctuate, looking for a valuation center and waiting for the market to reach a consensus again.</p><p>The collapse of fundamentals is a bottomless abyss.</p><p>The fundamentals and growth of Tongce Medical have not changed. The only problem is the high valuation. Short-term fund grouping is controversial, and the bargaining chips are loose.</p><p>According to the Tongce Medical Exchange Meeting, the good business trend continued in the fourth quarter and January this year, and it opened on the fourth day of the new year. The year-on-year growth was good, and the basic market was stable.</p><p>The two growth curves ahead are normal. The dandelion plan is progressing smoothly, and some clinics have reached breakeven in half a year, showing the replicability of the business model. Cunji Hospital outside the province is not as unbearable as expected, and Wuhan has achieved good results. In October 2020, the monthly revenue was about 5.5 million, reaching the break-even line. Xi'an Cunji is the hope of expanding outside the province. It develops better than Wuhan, and its site selection and talents are very good. The trial operation started on October 9th, with an average monthly income of 3 million.</p><p>In the implant business, there are about 300,000 dental implants in Zhejiang Province, compared with 3 million implants a year in South Korea. There is a huge market space for dental implants in Zhejiang Province in the future.</p><p>Orthodontic business, young people have a strong demand for orthodontics. Tongce develops its own digital oral system, which is more conducive to the promotion of orthodontic business.</p><p>The estimated profit in 2020 is 550 million, and it will maintain a growth rate of 30% in the next two years. The profit in 2023 is 1.2 billion, PE70, which means that the performance will be overdrafted for two or three years.</p><p>The question now is whether the market can accept valuation overdraft and maintain a 30% growth rate.</p><p>As the only leader in a good track, it makes exclusive profits, other companies lose money, and has almost no sales expenses, so you can enjoy a high premium.</p><p>The market will find a suitable anchor in the shock, and carefully observe the results first.</p><p>Time will heal everything, this is not chicken soup.</p><p>Dentistry belongs to the national consumer market, and the leading market value is less than 100 billion. Will it be like this forever?</p><p>Volatility is the norm in the market, and sometimes there are extremes that are already doomed at the moment of entering the market., Even after many rounds of ups and downs, we will always be more optimistic when we are optimistic, and more pessimistic when we are pessimistic. Knowing right and wrong, but doing it is another matter.</p><p>Biomedicine is relatively stable most of the time, just like people who don't get sick, who get sick once by chance. One month after the end of the spring market and one month at the end of the year, the beating is relatively miserable.</p><p>When the spring market was at its peak, I expressed a very pessimistic view. Now, I will also say that it will pass.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/I_MyCbUt7XWZgFcEhv2coQ\"> 阿基米德Biotech</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00dac9da971ee0e08b72a17d0d0b507","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/I_MyCbUt7XWZgFcEhv2coQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150364023","content_text":"传说鱼的记忆只有7秒。\n投资者的记忆能有几天?\n我们觉得今天很惨,却忘了去年春节后第一个交易日大盘几乎跌停,更忘了去年2月25日创业板见顶后,最大跌幅20%。\n过段时间又会忘了这几天的苦。\n过段时间世界还是老样子,拥抱核心资产、长持优质公司的局面不会改变的。\n关于周期\n对春节后大跌不过分演绎,暂时看作重复春季行情结束后的标准流程,每年都会发生的事情。\n核心资产跌幅比往年更大,是因为节前上涨过多,所谓残暴的欢愉,必将有残暴的结局。\n春季行情一定会来,即使凄风冷雨的2018年,上证50也出现了19连涨。春季行情也一定会走,告诉你牛市来了的人是最坏的。\n以往春季行情持续2个月左右,最高点几乎与最大成交量对应,在下跌过程中逐步缩量,而且下跌快速,在一个月内见到阶段低点。过去两年,春季行情结束后,上证指数跌幅超过10%,创业板最大跌幅为20%。\n现在大盘跌幅还不及往年。\n历史是一面镜子,不能看见未来,但可以照清我们所在的位置。\n在标准流程走完之后,是否会持续下跌?美国10年期国债收益率持续走高,代表实际利率回升,通胀升温,中国10年期国债收益率,也在同步走高。货币政策已无边际放松的可能,剩下的只是何时转向的问题。\n所以,立即有警告的声音出现:很多人没有经历过完整的周期轮回,看不见商品周期与科技股周期轮回。\n我只想说:去你的周期!\n知道为什么只投资生物医药吗?就是不想关心宏观和周期。\n系统性危机之下,无一幸免。\n但只要渡过主跌浪,进入震荡期,哪怕是阴跌,生物医药都不怕,头部公司确定性增长的优势将体现,回到自己的运行轨道上来,出现结构性行情。\n2018年去杠杆,记忆再不好可能依旧心有戚戚焉,大盘从2月开始为期一年的阴跌,但中证医疗、中证医药却在5月29日创出新高,如果不是贸易问题和第一次集采,全年可维持正收益。\n如今,贸易问题和集采不再是问题。\n生物医药基本上可以穿越牛熊,我们在逆境时需要坚定信心。\n\n关于择时\n这波春季行情结束之后的调整,有一个重要现象,成交量一直保持平稳。\n只有成交量不会撒谎。\n这到底意味着什么呢?\n流动性收紧可能还没落地,也有可能居民资产通过基金入市有所对冲。\n此前新发基金预估仍有5655亿元资金准备建仓,接下来还有72只权益类基金即将募集,规模预估为3271亿元。\n老巴的话充满了智慧,没有过时,宏观预测对股票投资无意义。\n宏观层面的东西扯不清楚,后面牛熊是否转换、流动性如何收紧,就不预测,不过分择时了。\n需要保持平稳的还有风险偏好,是不是跌的时候怕,涨的时候又觉得当初为什么要怕?\n是不是经历过多轮冷暖交替,还是无法克服这种人性?\n长线投资者无视任何波动,太不食人间烟火,秋冬回调、春季行情、随后的下杀,规律非常明显,是可以利用的。但基于牛熊转换、全年下跌的预测来投资,又过于择时了。\n系统性风险始终会过去的,只要公司本身没有暴雷,成长逻辑还在,最后都会修复的。\n居民资产入市是不可逆的,年轻基民的钱不可能集中于钢铁、有色、煤炭、银行这些传统行业,主流还是配置基本面尚可的成长股。\n现在的问题是估值确实透支得太厉害,跌到一定程度就有价值了,头部优质资产正在消化估值,寻找一个平衡的中枢。我们可以观察两个锚,一个是恒瑞医药,如果现有估值体系不崩溃,就是整个生物医药板块的定海神针,另一个是通策医疗什么时候止跌,整个回撤过程中,量能放得不够大。\n上证离目标位还有较大距离,创业板快到了,保持足够谨慎,也不用过于悲观。\n优质股票长期而言是由内生增长驱动,当系统性风险释放后,投资者的关切应回到基本面和成长性上。\n流动性收紧对生物医药业绩无影响,在存量经济时代,可持续的高增长有稀缺性,可享受溢价。\n情绪、择时不是最重要的事情,选股、配置才是。\n\n关于认知\n《孙子兵法》中最出名的一句话:知己知彼,百战不殆。以前不明白为什么很平淡的表述,被奉为圭臬。现在懂了,凡事最重要的是认知,而且是从认知自己开始,经历这波回撤,各位内心应有触动,可考虑从以下方面进行反思。\n1、持股是否与自己的风险偏好匹配?如果风险承受能力差,建议不要或谨慎配置高估值、未盈利、高波动股票,不要重仓疫苗股、港股、CXO。\n2、怎么处理短期和长期的关系?如果非常在意短期收益,建议不要或谨慎配置长期空间大但短期一塌糊涂的股票。\n3、不懂不做,对超出认知氛围的股票进行整理,高估值、大市值、未盈利都难以理解,可以选择能理解的品种,这样持股心态更平稳。\n4、不要去挑衅自己的弱点,给自己活下去的机会,给好股票证明自己的机会。通策医疗、爱尔眼科、华韩整形、康乐卫士跌幅巨大,怎样做到毫无感觉?无需内心强大,对持仓进行指数化分散配置,有压舱石有层次感。华韩整形、康乐卫士经历过多次暴跌,但过后又会涨得更高,因为配置对短期错误有包容性。不要给自己弱点暴露的机会,也不要把好股票逼上绝境。\n衡量组合仓位是否合理的感性标准,就是让自己感到舒服,没有压力。\n长线投资经过冷暖更迭才会成熟,凡事没有一帆风顺的,以年为单位来度量投资会淡然许多。\n关于通策\nCXO高增长逻辑很硬,高估值不完全是抱团所致,市场企稳之后又将是反弹最快的板块。\n病去如抽丝,医疗服务板块估计会持续震荡,寻找估值中枢,等待市场重新达成共识。\n基本面的崩溃是无底深渊。\n通策医疗的基本面和成长性没变,唯一问题是高估值,短期基金抱团受到争议,筹码松动。\n据通策医疗交流会透露,四季度和今年1月份延续良好的经营趋势,年初四就开业,同比增长良好,基本盘是稳定的。\n未来两条增长曲线是正常的。蒲公英计划推进顺利,部分诊所半年达到盈亏平衡,显示商业模式的可复制性。省外存济医院没有预期那么不堪,武汉取得很好效果。2020年10月单月550万左右收入,达到盈亏平衡线。西安存济是省外拓展的希望,比武汉发展更好,选址体量和人才都很好。10月9号开始试营业,平均月收入300万。\n种植业务,浙江全省大约30万颗,对标韩国一年300万颗,浙江省未来种植牙市场空间很大。\n正畸业务,年轻人正畸需求很旺盛,通策开发自己的数字化口腔系统,更有利于推广正畸业务。\n2020年估计利润5.5亿,未来两年维持30%增速,2023年利润12亿,PE70,也就是说业绩透支两三年。\n现在的问题是市场能不能接受估值透支,能不能维持30%增速。\n作为好赛道唯一龙头,独家盈利,别家亏损,销售费用几乎没有,是可以享受高溢价的。\n市场会在震荡中寻找到一个合适的锚,先谨慎观察结果。\n时间会治愈一切,这不是鸡汤。\n牙科属于全民级消费市场,龙头市值不到1000亿,会永远这样吗?\n波动是市场的常态,有时会遇到极端情况,这是进入市场的那一刻已经注定的。,即使经历过多轮涨跌,我们也总是会在乐观时更加乐观,悲观时更加悲观,明知对错,但做起来是另外一回事。\n生物医药大部时间比较平稳,就像不生病的人,偶然生一次病就病来如山倒。春季行情结束后一个月,年末一个月,挨打都比较惨。\n在春季行情最亢奋的时候,表达了非常悲观的看法。现在,我也要说,一切都会过去的。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320296135,"gmtCreate":1615108128227,"gmtModify":1704778713992,"author":{"id":"3532132223347993","authorId":"3532132223347993","name":"浴缸潜水员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d01d6abe944b89aee8c87b329e931f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532132223347993","authorIdStr":"3532132223347993"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"o(∩_∩)o","listText":"o(∩_∩)o","text":"o(∩_∩)o","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/320296135","repostId":"367210472","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":367210472,"gmtCreate":1614953502796,"gmtModify":1704777393275,"author":{"id":"39105730803552","authorId":"39105730803552","name":"格隆汇","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8774dfe20eceb38c9645128bb6e60684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"39105730803552","authorIdStr":"39105730803552"},"themes":[],"title":"SPAC?不就是穿上馬甲的次貸麼","htmlText":"“如果狗屎能賣出去,投行就會去賣狗屎。” —— 查理·芒格 在剛剛過去的1月份,賈躍亭與他的法拉第未來,憑藉準備通過與特殊目的收購公司(SPAC)合併而在美國上市的消息,在幾乎已經不關心他到底回不回國了的各大新聞、自媒體的素材庫中死灰復燃。 如果合併成功,FF可以獲得10億美元左右的資金,以及34億美元左右的估值。 (圖源:網絡) 就在上週,有知情人士稱,由李嘉誠家族支持的一家公司,正在就潛在的SPAC上市與顧問合作中,如果該SPAC成功上市,預計可融資4億美元。 除了李嘉誠本人,李嘉誠之子李澤楷也被傳出在已經擁有兩家SPAC的情況下,正在考慮成立第三家。 無獨有偶,賭王何鴻燊之子、新濠國際董事長兼行政總裁何猷龍的私人家族辦公室黑桃資本,也在着力籌備第二筆SPAC投資。 (圖源:網絡) 去年年底,軟銀也遞交了首份SPAC上市申請,並表示還有兩份申請正在籌劃中。 SPAC,無疑已是近年來投資圈的“必入單品”。 01 私募“盲盒”與IPO“黃牛” SPAC—Special Purpose Acquisition Company,可以直譯爲特殊目的收購公司。沒有業務,只有現金,上市唯一的目的就是在合適的時間收購一家合適的未上市公司,助其曲線上市。 說白了,SPAC的全部業務就是“當好一個殼”,上市的使命就是在兩年時間內把自己“借”出去。 由於沒有實業,在這種模式誕生的初期,也被稱爲“空白支票公司”。而“空白”,就是它能在3-6個月內就走完IPO流程的祕訣 —— 路演的時候不需要解釋業務,只需要提供願景,然後重點“吹”一下管理團隊。 SPAC的管理團隊,是SPAC區別於“皮包公司”、“空殼公司”的主要原因。根據美國證券交易委員會的要求,SPAC的發起人需要在5人及以上,其中至少3人須是某一領域的專家或者資深高管。 發起人團隊主攻哪個領域,基本就算指明瞭這個SPAC日後收購的大方向。","listText":"“如果狗屎能賣出去,投行就會去賣狗屎。” —— 查理·芒格 在剛剛過去的1月份,賈躍亭與他的法拉第未來,憑藉準備通過與特殊目的收購公司(SPAC)合併而在美國上市的消息,在幾乎已經不關心他到底回不回國了的各大新聞、自媒體的素材庫中死灰復燃。 如果合併成功,FF可以獲得10億美元左右的資金,以及34億美元左右的估值。 (圖源:網絡) 就在上週,有知情人士稱,由李嘉誠家族支持的一家公司,正在就潛在的SPAC上市與顧問合作中,如果該SPAC成功上市,預計可融資4億美元。 除了李嘉誠本人,李嘉誠之子李澤楷也被傳出在已經擁有兩家SPAC的情況下,正在考慮成立第三家。 無獨有偶,賭王何鴻燊之子、新濠國際董事長兼行政總裁何猷龍的私人家族辦公室黑桃資本,也在着力籌備第二筆SPAC投資。 (圖源:網絡) 去年年底,軟銀也遞交了首份SPAC上市申請,並表示還有兩份申請正在籌劃中。 SPAC,無疑已是近年來投資圈的“必入單品”。 01 私募“盲盒”與IPO“黃牛” SPAC—Special Purpose Acquisition Company,可以直譯爲特殊目的收購公司。沒有業務,只有現金,上市唯一的目的就是在合適的時間收購一家合適的未上市公司,助其曲線上市。 說白了,SPAC的全部業務就是“當好一個殼”,上市的使命就是在兩年時間內把自己“借”出去。 由於沒有實業,在這種模式誕生的初期,也被稱爲“空白支票公司”。而“空白”,就是它能在3-6個月內就走完IPO流程的祕訣 —— 路演的時候不需要解釋業務,只需要提供願景,然後重點“吹”一下管理團隊。 SPAC的管理團隊,是SPAC區別於“皮包公司”、“空殼公司”的主要原因。根據美國證券交易委員會的要求,SPAC的發起人需要在5人及以上,其中至少3人須是某一領域的專家或者資深高管。 發起人團隊主攻哪個領域,基本就算指明瞭這個SPAC日後收購的大方向。","text":"“如果狗屎能賣出去,投行就會去賣狗屎。” —— 查理·芒格 在剛剛過去的1月份,賈躍亭與他的法拉第未來,憑藉準備通過與特殊目的收購公司(SPAC)合併而在美國上市的消息,在幾乎已經不關心他到底回不回國了的各大新聞、自媒體的素材庫中死灰復燃。 如果合併成功,FF可以獲得10億美元左右的資金,以及34億美元左右的估值。 (圖源:網絡) 就在上週,有知情人士稱,由李嘉誠家族支持的一家公司,正在就潛在的SPAC上市與顧問合作中,如果該SPAC成功上市,預計可融資4億美元。 除了李嘉誠本人,李嘉誠之子李澤楷也被傳出在已經擁有兩家SPAC的情況下,正在考慮成立第三家。 無獨有偶,賭王何鴻燊之子、新濠國際董事長兼行政總裁何猷龍的私人家族辦公室黑桃資本,也在着力籌備第二筆SPAC投資。 (圖源:網絡) 去年年底,軟銀也遞交了首份SPAC上市申請,並表示還有兩份申請正在籌劃中。 SPAC,無疑已是近年來投資圈的“必入單品”。 01 私募“盲盒”與IPO“黃牛” SPAC—Special Purpose Acquisition Company,可以直譯爲特殊目的收購公司。沒有業務,只有現金,上市唯一的目的就是在合適的時間收購一家合適的未上市公司,助其曲線上市。 說白了,SPAC的全部業務就是“當好一個殼”,上市的使命就是在兩年時間內把自己“借”出去。 由於沒有實業,在這種模式誕生的初期,也被稱爲“空白支票公司”。而“空白”,就是它能在3-6個月內就走完IPO流程的祕訣 —— 路演的時候不需要解釋業務,只需要提供願景,然後重點“吹”一下管理團隊。 SPAC的管理團隊,是SPAC區別於“皮包公司”、“空殼公司”的主要原因。根據美國證券交易委員會的要求,SPAC的發起人需要在5人及以上,其中至少3人須是某一領域的專家或者資深高管。 發起人團隊主攻哪個領域,基本就算指明瞭這個SPAC日後收購的大方向。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defba801566b7ef284c60411abf03e21","width":"1150","height":"832"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a2ea2dd4ddc860b76248eabaa836713","width":"576","height":"425"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d04912baf968ccaf9e0cf0433f58dcd7","width":"622","height":"350"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367210472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320296918,"gmtCreate":1615108094634,"gmtModify":1704778712379,"author":{"id":"3532132223347993","authorId":"3532132223347993","name":"浴缸潜水员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d01d6abe944b89aee8c87b329e931f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532132223347993","authorIdStr":"3532132223347993"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/320296918","repostId":"362539769","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":362539769,"gmtCreate":1614647792251,"gmtModify":1704773471458,"author":{"id":"3473897258980608","authorId":"3473897258980608","name":"生财小王子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3dda8b36c8158f92ecbc8381b5c65c3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473897258980608","authorIdStr":"3473897258980608"},"themes":[],"title":"搞投資,聽說你還不懂PE、ROE及ROA的意義?一文講明白","htmlText":"股市就像美女,只有多花心思才能獲得芳心 股票基本分析之PE、ROE、ROA 基本分析是長期投資者最重要的分析方法。 基本分析包含了許多種不同的比率。這次介紹其中三個很基本,也很重要的比率:本益比、ROE 及 ROA,還有三者之間的關係。 PE的概念及意義 介紹:本益比 (P/E Ratio) PE用來衡量股價便宜不便宜,是否被低估 本益比的意義是現在的股價是公司一年獲利的幾倍。 本益比算是基本分析中最基本也是最常用的比率。對投資人來說,本益比也可以理解爲「現在的股價買進的話,公司要幾年才能讓我回本」。本益比越低越好,因爲低本益比代表可以更快回本。 大家應該知道,要讓一個數字變小有兩個方法,讓分子變小或分母變大。所以本益比要低,就要股價低或者 EPS 高(EPS,每股收益即每股盈利,是每股稅後淨利潤)。 簡單地說,本益比是用來衡量公司便不便宜的工具。順便一提,本益比的倒數,稱爲收益率 (收益率= EPS ÷股價) 。我認爲收益率纔是股東的報酬率。比如PE=50,說明股東每年能夠獲得2%的回報,比銀行存款略低。 補充:股東賺到的錢是 EPS,不是股利。所以股東的報酬率是收益率,而不是股利殖利率。 股東權益報酬率 (ROE) ROE的概念與定義 ROE 代表的是公司用自有資本賺錢的能力。這裏解釋一下什麼是股東權益。 首先大家要知道,公司實際持有的資產,其資金來源有兩個:股東出的錢 (股東權益) 及借來的錢 (負債) 。這就是會計恆等式:「資產=負債+股東權益」。 一家公司如果用資產來還清負債,剩下的部分就是屬於股東的錢,叫做股東權益 (股東權益=資產-負債) 。 ROE 想要表達的意義是「公司用股東出的錢來賺取獲利的能力」。 ROE 越高越好,因爲越高 ROE 代表公司可以用同樣的股東權益賺到更多的錢。 要讓一個數字變大有兩個方法,讓分子變大和讓分母變小。 所以 ROE 要高,就","listText":"股市就像美女,只有多花心思才能獲得芳心 股票基本分析之PE、ROE、ROA 基本分析是長期投資者最重要的分析方法。 基本分析包含了許多種不同的比率。這次介紹其中三個很基本,也很重要的比率:本益比、ROE 及 ROA,還有三者之間的關係。 PE的概念及意義 介紹:本益比 (P/E Ratio) PE用來衡量股價便宜不便宜,是否被低估 本益比的意義是現在的股價是公司一年獲利的幾倍。 本益比算是基本分析中最基本也是最常用的比率。對投資人來說,本益比也可以理解爲「現在的股價買進的話,公司要幾年才能讓我回本」。本益比越低越好,因爲低本益比代表可以更快回本。 大家應該知道,要讓一個數字變小有兩個方法,讓分子變小或分母變大。所以本益比要低,就要股價低或者 EPS 高(EPS,每股收益即每股盈利,是每股稅後淨利潤)。 簡單地說,本益比是用來衡量公司便不便宜的工具。順便一提,本益比的倒數,稱爲收益率 (收益率= EPS ÷股價) 。我認爲收益率纔是股東的報酬率。比如PE=50,說明股東每年能夠獲得2%的回報,比銀行存款略低。 補充:股東賺到的錢是 EPS,不是股利。所以股東的報酬率是收益率,而不是股利殖利率。 股東權益報酬率 (ROE) ROE的概念與定義 ROE 代表的是公司用自有資本賺錢的能力。這裏解釋一下什麼是股東權益。 首先大家要知道,公司實際持有的資產,其資金來源有兩個:股東出的錢 (股東權益) 及借來的錢 (負債) 。這就是會計恆等式:「資產=負債+股東權益」。 一家公司如果用資產來還清負債,剩下的部分就是屬於股東的錢,叫做股東權益 (股東權益=資產-負債) 。 ROE 想要表達的意義是「公司用股東出的錢來賺取獲利的能力」。 ROE 越高越好,因爲越高 ROE 代表公司可以用同樣的股東權益賺到更多的錢。 要讓一個數字變大有兩個方法,讓分子變大和讓分母變小。 所以 ROE 要高,就","text":"股市就像美女,只有多花心思才能獲得芳心 股票基本分析之PE、ROE、ROA 基本分析是長期投資者最重要的分析方法。 基本分析包含了許多種不同的比率。這次介紹其中三個很基本,也很重要的比率:本益比、ROE 及 ROA,還有三者之間的關係。 PE的概念及意義 介紹:本益比 (P/E Ratio) PE用來衡量股價便宜不便宜,是否被低估 本益比的意義是現在的股價是公司一年獲利的幾倍。 本益比算是基本分析中最基本也是最常用的比率。對投資人來說,本益比也可以理解爲「現在的股價買進的話,公司要幾年才能讓我回本」。本益比越低越好,因爲低本益比代表可以更快回本。 大家應該知道,要讓一個數字變小有兩個方法,讓分子變小或分母變大。所以本益比要低,就要股價低或者 EPS 高(EPS,每股收益即每股盈利,是每股稅後淨利潤)。 簡單地說,本益比是用來衡量公司便不便宜的工具。順便一提,本益比的倒數,稱爲收益率 (收益率= EPS ÷股價) 。我認爲收益率纔是股東的報酬率。比如PE=50,說明股東每年能夠獲得2%的回報,比銀行存款略低。 補充:股東賺到的錢是 EPS,不是股利。所以股東的報酬率是收益率,而不是股利殖利率。 股東權益報酬率 (ROE) ROE的概念與定義 ROE 代表的是公司用自有資本賺錢的能力。這裏解釋一下什麼是股東權益。 首先大家要知道,公司實際持有的資產,其資金來源有兩個:股東出的錢 (股東權益) 及借來的錢 (負債) 。這就是會計恆等式:「資產=負債+股東權益」。 一家公司如果用資產來還清負債,剩下的部分就是屬於股東的錢,叫做股東權益 (股東權益=資產-負債) 。 ROE 想要表達的意義是「公司用股東出的錢來賺取獲利的能力」。 ROE 越高越好,因爲越高 ROE 代表公司可以用同樣的股東權益賺到更多的錢。 要讓一個數字變大有兩個方法,讓分子變大和讓分母變小。 所以 ROE 要高,就","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17d8a4fd09f0b66373422754edf89a2b","width":"640","height":"234"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a69b5659348a6e6abd7d72a1b92655e7","width":"640","height":"1137"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a683acaf97eb94dcc597f38ecb17f6","width":"640","height":"342"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362539769","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360505812,"gmtCreate":1613952505136,"gmtModify":1704886046375,"author":{"id":"3532132223347993","authorId":"3532132223347993","name":"浴缸潜水员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d01d6abe944b89aee8c87b329e931f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532132223347993","authorIdStr":"3532132223347993"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/360505812","repostId":"1129445314","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360662299,"gmtCreate":1613907867911,"gmtModify":1704885842202,"author":{"id":"3532132223347993","authorId":"3532132223347993","name":"浴缸潜水员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d01d6abe944b89aee8c87b329e931f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532132223347993","authorIdStr":"3532132223347993"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/360662299","repostId":"1129445314","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}