Obigoot

Disciplined options trader: Daily cash-secured put selling for consistent premiums

    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-27 21:14
      Today’s market is giving main-character energy… and also a little chaos. First, the numbers: Durable goods orders jumped 1.8% in September — stronger than expected. Transportation led the charge (+4.6%), while core capital goods orders rose a cooler 0.5%. Shipments of those core goods, though? Up 1.2%. Translation: companies are still ordering and actually receiving the expensive stuff, a lot of it tied to the AI build-out. Second, the plot twist: Anthropic filed its IPO paperwork and suddenly the AI trade woke up from its recent sulk. Chip stocks threw a mini party. Nvidia and friends said “we’re back… for now.” Third, the cliffhanger: The Fed starts its two-day meeting today. Rate decision drops tomorrow. Markets are basically yelling “please just hold,” but with firm data and sky-high A
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-27 06:19
      Rollercoaster mode: ACTIVATE! If you’ve been looking at your tech portfolio recently, you might be wondering if the AI hype train just derailed. Micron, Nvidia, Broadcom, and friends took a bit of a tumble! Before anyone panics and sells their GPU collection, let’s unpack what’s actually happening: 1. First time? (Spoiler: It’s not!) If you think this is the first time AI and memory stocks have tanked, welcome to tech investing! Even during mega bull runs, these stocks regularly pull back 20% to 30%. It’s not a bug; it’s a standard feature. AI giants like Nvidia have survived dozens of these "shake-outs" on their way up, and memory chipmakers take investors on this exact wild ride all the time. 2. The Memory Market is the ultimate Drama Queen Memory stocks (DRAM, NAND, HBM) are historicall
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-26 17:31
      CoreWeave ($CRWV) Breakdown: Tech Rocket vs. Debt Machine  Thinking of buying the drop on CoreWeave? Here is what the numbers actually show: The Numbers (Fact Sheet) Current Stock Price: ~$52 – $53 per share (down 60%+ from peak) Market Cap: ~$29.9 Billion Q2 2026 Revenue: $2.58 Billion (+112% YoY)   Full-Year 2026 Revenue Guidance: $12.4B – $13.2B Contracted Backlog: $104 Billion+ Total Debt Load: ~$72 Billion (vs. ~$77B total assets) Quarterly Net Loss: -$626 Million (driven by ~$640M in interest expenses alone)   Is it Oversold Right Now? Yes, on pure revenue growth: Trades at ~2.3x 2026 revenue despite 100%+ YoY growth and a massive $104B backlog. No, on financial balance sheet risk: The market is discounting the stock due to a $2.5B+ annual debt servicing load
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-24

      Bull or Bear Market now?

      Your portfolio thinks it’s diversified. Your risk budget knows better.  Semiconductors are only ~13% of the global stock market by weight… …but they’re eating ~20% of the entire risk capital. Tech overall? 28% of the index, 40% of the risk. That’s not diversification. That’s a high-beta AI casino wearing a passive-index costume. Low vol made everyone lever up. VaR models said “more size, king.” Now any shock → first thing sold = the chips. Vol rises → more selling → more vol. Snowball goes brrr. Fundamentals can be fine. Positioning doesn’t care. When 1/5 of global risk lives in semis, every wiggle becomes a forced-liquidation party. Welcome to 2026: the market is a semiconductor ETF with extra steps. Manage the risk, or the risk manages you. Do not over leverage.
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      Bull or Bear Market now?
    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-24
      $CRWV 20261023 60.0 PUT$   Will be "forced" to exercise$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ at $60 Will start selling Calls on Monday at above $60 weekly expiry. This whole AI and silicon debt and earnings have gone out of proportion. The Market is selling the fear now. This is the wheel strategy. 
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-23
      What a Bloodbath this week! And what exactly happened? Not even a dead cat bounce off the lowest and it keeps getting lower and lower. My personal opinion - institutions are hedging to safer place like bonds - that why you can see the bonds yields are down. Also, likely those who leverage are liquidated as well  Stay safe everyone, think logically and do not buy on impulse and please trade within your limits. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$  
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-22
      CRWV UPDATE: Bargain Buy or Falling Knife? After climbing mountains to $140+, CoreWeave (CRWV) has pulled back into a massive support zone around $61.82! Here is what the technical chart is telling us: MACD: Bearish momentum is flattening after a steep drop, setting up a potential bullish crossover near oversold levels. RSI: Near 30-35—classic oversold territory. Key Support: $57.20 - $60.00 Upside Target: $75.00 - $80.00 relief bounce target. What's driving it? Heavy AI infrastructure CapEx digestion across tech, but cloud GPU demand remains massive long-term. Are you buying this dip or waiting for confirmation? $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$  $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$  
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-22
      Traders had plenty to digest over the last 48 hours as heavy corporate earnings, fluctuating crude oil prices, and major tech moves kept the order books buzzing.   The Scorecard (Oct 21–22 Action) Dow Jones: Up +0.7% to ~52,856   S&P 500: Up +0.6% to ~7,757 Nasdaq Composite: Up +1.1% to ~26,702 as tech buyers stepped back in. Top Headlines and Market Movers AI Demand Hits the Throttle Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) surged over +9.5% after raising revenue expectations due to relentless demand for AI infrastructure platforms.   Defense and Industrial Beats Earnings beats from 3M (+5.8%) and Northrop Grumman (+4.6%) provided strong support for blue-chip indices, reassuring investors on industrial cash flows.   Oil Prices Drift Amid Geopolitical Watchi
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-21
      Great article, would you like to share it?
      @Obigoot:
      To Win, You Must First Learn How to Lose. Ah Bao(阿寶), under the mentorship of Ye-shu (爺叔) in the drama "Blossoms Shanghai" (繁花), drops some of the most brutal, realistic wisdom I’ve heard on wealth creation. Pointing at the Empire State Building, he said: "Running from the ground to the top takes an hour. Jumping from the roof takes only 8.8 seconds." Ye-shu followed it up with the ultimate truth of the market: To make money from stocks, you first have to learn to lose. In our current world of volatile crypto and high-stakes trading, too many people are obsessed with the hour-long ascent—the gains, the clout, the luxury lobsters. They completely ignore how quickly gravity works on the way down. The drama teaches that survival isn’t about being the richest; it’s about having the stoma
      To Win, You Must First Learn How to Lose. Ah Bao(阿寶), under the mentorship of Ye-shu (爺叔) in the drama "Blossoms Shanghai" (繁花), drops some of the most brutal, realistic wisdom I’ve heard on wealth creation. Pointing at the Empire State Building, he said: "Running from the ground to the top takes an hour. Jumping from the roof takes only 8.8 seconds." Ye-shu followed it up with the ultimate truth of the market: To make money from stocks, you first have to learn to lose. In our current world of volatile crypto and high-stakes trading, too many people are obsessed with the hour-long ascent—the gains, the clout, the luxury lobsters. They completely ignore how quickly gravity works on the way down. The drama teaches that survival isn’t about being the richest; it’s about having the stoma
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    • ObigootObigoot
      ·10-21
      [Miser]  ALERT: THE SPACE COMPANY IS NO LONGER A SPACE COMPANY  SpaceX just dropped their Q3 earnings and basically yelled, "Rockets? Oh yeah, those things we use to carry our REAL moneymaker—AI SERVER RACKS!"  Here is the quick breakdown of how SPCX just saved the entire AI bull market from an existential crisis: 1. "Forget Satellites, We're a Data Center Now"  SpaceX's AI compute unit just pulled in $7.56 BILLION this quarter.   That is an 830% jump year-over-year.   It officially flipped Starlink to become their largest revenue driver.   Elon looked at beaming internet to rural cabins and said, "Cool hobby, but have you tried renting GPUs to big tech?" 😂 2. Capex goes BRRRRR  While Wall Street was biting its nails worrying that
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