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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-08-24
Okay
3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split
Tesla's stock split will take place after close of trading on Aug. 24. How will that impact your portfolio and taxes?
3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-08-18
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$
could it be the next buy? Hmm..
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-08-18
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
Seems like the trend is going down..hmm
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-08-11
$Medical Properties(MPW)$
Just abit more to lower down my average [Great]
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-08-10
$Alphabet(GOOG)$
since stock splits
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-08-10
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Just waiting for the split[Happy]
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-08-08
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
stonks
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-07-17
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Cathie Wood's Growth Stocks Are Primed to Go Parabolic
Cathie Wood's stocks are forming a rare technical pattern -- a bullish ascending triangle -- which t
Cathie Wood's Growth Stocks Are Primed to Go Parabolic
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-07-13
Okay
Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply
SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recen
Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply
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jkjk152
jkjk152
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2022-02-15
Shag
US Stocks-The S&P 500 Ends down as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Heat Up
The S&P 500 index closed modestly lower on Monday, largely recovering from a sharp sell-off, as U.S.
US Stocks-The S&P 500 Ends down as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Heat Up
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Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things You Should Know About the Tesla Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-23 22:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders' meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/22/3-things-you-should-know-about-the-tesla-stock-spl/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261819523","content_text":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split proposal won shareholder approval at the 2022 annual shareholders' meeting this month. Now, the electric vehicle maker is gearing up for its second stock split after close of trading on Aug. 24. Shareholders of record on Aug. 17 will receive a stock dividend of two extra shares for every one share they currently own.If you've been wondering how stock splits work and what will happen to your Tesla shares, here are three quick items to jot down.Image source: Getty Images.1. You'll have more Tesla shares after the stock splitA stock split increases the number of shares outstanding, giving investors more shares in their account for every one share they previously owned.After a stock split, the value of each share will be reduced to a lower price. This makes it easy for more retail investors to get their hands on a whole share of stock, because the stock price appears more affordable. If you're already an investor, your shares will be split into bite-sized pieces, but the total value of your shares will not increase.Let's say you have one share of Tesla's stock. On the day of the 3-for-1 stock split, the company will grant you two additional shares. Each share in your portfolio would be valued at one-third the price of the original share. If one Tesla share is trading at $900 before the stock split, you'll have three Tesla shares valued at $300 each after the stock split. As you can see, the total value of your shares is still $900.Here's how many shares you will have after the stock split based on the number of shares you have on record as of Aug. 17. All you have to do is look at the number of shares you have now, and multiply the total by three. That's how many shares you'll have after a stock split.1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares2 shares of Tesla stock = 6 shares3 shares of Tesla stock = 9 shares4 shares of Tesla stock = 12 shares5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares2. You won't have to report the stock split itself on your tax returnA stock split doesn't increase a company's market capitalization or increase the value of your shares. You may have more shares in your account, but the original value of your shares remains the same. Therefore, a stock split in itself is not considered a taxable event. There are no IRS reporting requirements you need to adhere to during tax time.3. You may have to pay taxes if you sell your extra Tesla sharesAlthough a stock split in itself is not taxable, selling stock for a profit after a stock split can lead to taxes. This is the case if you sell stock in a taxable brokerage account. Earning money in the stock market leads to capital gains taxes. You will be taxed at the short-term or long-term capital gains tax rate, depending on how long you had your Tesla stock before selling it. Your brokerage firm will send you the details of your transaction, so you can properly report the sale to the IRS during tax time.Stock splits can be exciting and pain-free in the eyes of the investor. You wake up to more shares in your account after a stock split, and you don't have to worry about any tax obligations. But as soon as you decide to sell, you'll need to report your moves to the IRS. Before you make a move after a stock split, pay attention to the impact it will have on your portfolio and taxes, so you won't be surprised later.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991323734,"gmtCreate":1660782706830,"gmtModify":1676536397987,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>could it be the next buy? Hmm..","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>could it be the next buy? Hmm..","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$could it be the next buy? Hmm..","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f69dbf4f353a5a11d811fef7afa694dd","width":"1440","height":"2854"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991323734","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991320406,"gmtCreate":1660782611509,"gmtModify":1676536397909,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>Seems like the trend is going down..hmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>Seems like the trend is going down..hmm","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$Seems like the trend is going down..hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991320406","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907816923,"gmtCreate":1660175591465,"gmtModify":1703478667614,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MPW\">$Medical Properties(MPW)$</a>Just abit more to lower down my average [Great] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MPW\">$Medical Properties(MPW)$</a>Just abit more to lower down my average [Great] ","text":"$Medical Properties(MPW)$Just abit more to lower down my average [Great]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9e801800f801c0cce5bb18903a04b5f8","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907816923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904400780,"gmtCreate":1660087424042,"gmtModify":1703477625007,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a>since stock splits","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a>since stock splits","text":"$Alphabet(GOOG)$since stock splits","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/210efcb34aaf57abd4c70dd0f8ae3b1f","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904400780","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904577298,"gmtCreate":1660087347117,"gmtModify":1703477622897,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Just waiting for the split[Happy] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Just waiting for the split[Happy] ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Just waiting for the split[Happy]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/809898a0c8f280f86973df24bc16036c","width":"1440","height":"2865"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904577298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904023014,"gmtCreate":1659962928640,"gmtModify":1703476408164,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>stonks","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>stonks","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$stonks","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bc5a0d3070e9d83c545bc64210b44b9c","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904023014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072539765,"gmtCreate":1658058307457,"gmtModify":1676536099487,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072539765","repostId":"2251346959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2251346959","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657933739,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2251346959?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-16 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood's Growth Stocks Are Primed to Go Parabolic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2251346959","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Cathie Wood's stocks are forming a rare technical pattern -- a bullish ascending triangle -- which t","content":"<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood's stocks are forming a rare technical pattern -- a bullish ascending triangle -- which typically precede massive breakouts.The number of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 200-day ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/07/growth-stocks-look-ready-to-go-parabolic/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood's Growth Stocks Are Primed to Go Parabolic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ 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padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood's Growth Stocks Are Primed to Go Parabolic\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-16 09:08 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/07/growth-stocks-look-ready-to-go-parabolic/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood's stocks are forming a rare technical pattern -- a bullish ascending triangle -- which typically precede massive breakouts.The number of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 200-day ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/07/growth-stocks-look-ready-to-go-parabolic/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internet ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","ARKX":"ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/07/growth-stocks-look-ready-to-go-parabolic/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2251346959","content_text":"Cathie Wood's stocks are forming a rare technical pattern -- a bullish ascending triangle -- which typically precede massive breakouts.The number of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average crossed from below to above 20% this week -- a bullish breadth crossover signal that always leads to big rallies.Millionaire-minting stocks from 2020 could see a repeat performance in the second half of 2022.Source: rhendrikdwenz via ShutterstockThose high-flying growth stocks popularized during the pandemic — like Shopify (SHOP), Roku (ROKU), Block (SQ), Zoom (ZM) — are crumbling under the 2022 selloff. Joke’s on me, huh? Well, technical indicators now suggest those same growth stocks will soar once again!Look no further than Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF (ARKK) — a collection of the market’s momentous growthy stocks. It’s surging of late. ARKK is up about 17% over the past month. Compare that to the S&P 500’s paltry 1.5%.But that’s first-level thinking. Digging deeper, our thinking concludes that Cathie Wood’s stocks are forming a rare technical pattern — a “bullish ascending triangle.” Here’s the kicker: Bullish ascending triangles typically precede massive breakouts.Cathie Wood stocks aside, we’re seeing breadth indicators flashing super bullish signals across the tech sector right now.Put it all together, and the picture comes into focus. High-flying growth stocks appear to be on the cusp of a massive breakout.The last time these stocks broke out in 2020, millionaires were minted as their stocks went parabolic. We’re looking at a potential repeat in 2022-2023.It’s time to back up the truck and load up on growth stocks.Bullish Ascending TriangleSpeaking of parabolic, let’s go back to 2020. (I know, it seems like decades ago because of “pandemic time.”) At that time, the growth of Cathie Wood’s stocks could only be properly described as nothing short of parabolic. Then, those same high-flying stocks came crashing down.Now, a rare technical pattern indicates that growth is about to go parabolic once more.Since early June, the ARK Innovation ETF has formed what’s known by traders as a bullish ascending triangle pattern.The ETF has formed a flat resistance line around $45. Its support line is rising — from $35 to $40 to, as of press time, $43. On the chart, this trading action forms an ascending triangle.When this ascending triangle converges — or when the flat resistance line converges on the rising support line — the underlying asset typically sees a massive breakout.Right now, the ARK Innovation ETF’s flat resistance line is at $45, and its rising support line is at $43. A convergence is basically here.What comes next? Technical analysis says a massive breakout in growth stocks.We agree — but for reasons beyond just this bullish technical pattern.Bullish Breadth IndicatorsPer our analysis, Cathie Wood stocks won’t be the only ones that partake in this coming surprise breakout rally.The whole tech sector should catch a ride, too. Like Cathie’s investments, tech stocks have recently outperformed the broader market. As a result of this rally, a historically foolproof bullish breadth indicator has been triggered for tech stocks.Indeed, this week, the number of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average crossed from below to above 20%. That’s a bullish breadth crossover signal that always leads to big rallies.When I say always, I mean always.Since 2008, this signal has led to positive tech stock returns over the following 60 days 100% of the time. The average return in that stretch? 15%.In other words, one of history’s most reliable bullish breadth indicators likely triggered tech stocks toward a massive short-term breakout.Couple that with the ascending bullish triangle forming in the ARK Innovation ETF. The data implies that you should buy growth stocks right now to score big gains over the next 3 months.The Final Word on a Breakout in Growth StocksI don’t like repeating myself, but some statements bear repeating. To that end, stocks have been crushed in 2022. You know it. I know it. Our portfolios definitely know it. Consequently, investors are running from the markets to hide from the collateral damage. But don’t despair! I’ve just laid out a mountain of (growing) evidence suggesting that, not only is the worst of the selloff over, but a massive market rebound is also on the horizon.Here’s the thing: That rebound will only be concentrated in high-growth stocks.Those millionaire-minting stocks from 2020 could see a repeat performance in the second half of 2022.One such stock is a tiny $3 technology stock. It may be the most compelling 12-month investment in the market today.See; the world’s largest company — Apple (AAPL) — will reportedly announce a brand-new product over the next 12 months.It’s not another iPhone, Apple Watch, or iPad. It’s an innovative new product that could be bigger than all those products combined.And per my analysis, the $3 stock I’m talking about is positioned to secure a partnership with Apple. If that happens, it will supply a critical piece of technology to make this new product hum.Quick market tip: Apple supplier stocks don’t trade for $3. Just look at Skyworks (SWKS) stock. That’s a major iPhone parts supplier. It’s trading for $100. Long ago, though, it also traded for $3.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKW":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKX":0.9,"ARKIU":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078256089,"gmtCreate":1657700804741,"gmtModify":1676536048316,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078256089","repostId":"1183317786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183317786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657725663,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183317786?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183317786","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple seems sensitive to money supply changes.</li><li>The money supply has moved lower recently.</li><li>Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.</li><li>Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.</li></ul><p><b>An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock Changes</b></p><p>Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple's business is close to a decline as well. It's hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but <i>investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares</i>.</p><p><b>Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money Supply</b></p><p>Below, in orange, is a line that charts Apple's net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528936fdee032a8df5df1f1d9346f525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Comparing Apple's total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn't a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2601df6c94bcf33cf9d8cb513831f02b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Below is a chart of Apple's revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d85bcf86056d9f31c4696dcff5cb61ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f11921668cd853bfe3dc9a034bd4f0a1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.</p><p>Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple's gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3e8ea9499f7bf942e815b8629bc4b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9de35bc7a244e8f28e9c7246ee334e17\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a0dcb7a36a761a9ae06fd52c7f67f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.</p><p>The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple's net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.</p><p><b>Apple's Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High Watermark</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72bedb4549bcfeabac38c78e2582fbe3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Discussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.</p><p>Apple's total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b79a57b9e23952ddfd1caa062c3d8fe\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>According tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.</p><p>Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It's intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple's business. It doesn't cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.</p><p>My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple's gross profit margins are likely to move lower.</p><p><b>Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started Dropping</b></p><p>An article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,<i>“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”</i>From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8bb00b5e7614aa6767abf974c06357\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>The Money Supply Is Contracting</b></p><p>Since January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple's ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple's books sometime soon.</p><p><b>Peer Stocks Aren't Waiting For Apple</b></p><p>Comparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/086832380f269b21a2fd83d8cc9d4139\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Charted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94585746919c5467bda08f0283ff58c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Macro Considerations</b></p><p>Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple's profitability.</p><p><b>Modeling Growth</b></p><p>Consider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually <i>contracted</i> 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple's revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c5fd4e8e04894d00c02d07c82a81d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>And if you look further back, at the <i>five</i> years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we're talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b118c3060735a60824a74f03f86a2568\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed's stated resolve to fight it, I just don't think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple's large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>If services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple's profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn't tax-advantaged, it's possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won't make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.</p><p>It's also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Companies can't grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 23:21 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183317786","content_text":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock ChangesApple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple's business is close to a decline as well. It's hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares.Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money SupplyBelow, in orange, is a line that charts Apple's net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.Comparing Apple's total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn't a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.Below is a chart of Apple's revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.Seeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple's gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.Seeking AlphaSeeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple's net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.Apple's Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High WatermarkSeeking AlphaDiscussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.Apple's total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.Seeking AlphaAccording tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It's intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple's business. It doesn't cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple's gross profit margins are likely to move lower.Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started DroppingAn article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.Seeking AlphaThe Money Supply Is ContractingSince January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple's ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple's books sometime soon.Peer Stocks Aren't Waiting For AppleComparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.Seeking AlphaCharted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?Seeking AlphaMacro ConsiderationsChairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple's profitability.Modeling GrowthConsider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually contracted 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple's revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.Seeking AlphaAnd if you look further back, at the five years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we're talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?Seeking AlphaI think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed's stated resolve to fight it, I just don't think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple's large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.RisksIf services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple's profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn't tax-advantaged, it's possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won't make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.It's also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.ConclusionCompanies can't grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9095858162,"gmtCreate":1644885000487,"gmtModify":1676533971518,"author":{"id":"3571802048735877","authorId":"3571802048735877","name":"jkjk152","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571802048735877","idStr":"3571802048735877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shag","listText":"Shag","text":"Shag","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9095858162","repostId":"2211507773","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2211507773","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1644879690,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2211507773?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-15 07:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Stocks-The S&P 500 Ends down as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Heat Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2211507773","media":"Reuters","summary":"The S&P 500 index closed modestly lower on Monday, largely recovering from a sharp sell-off, as U.S.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&P 500 index closed modestly lower on Monday, largely recovering from a sharp sell-off, as U.S. plans to close its Kyiv embassy in Ukraine sent simmering geopolitical tensions to a boil.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes dropped sharply after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced the relocation of U.S. diplomatic operations to western Ukraine, in a possible sign of an imminent Russian invasion.</p><p>Adding to uncertainty, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Wednesday would be the day of the attack. Ukrainian officials later said Zelenskiy was not predicting an attack on that day but responding with skepticism to foreign media reports.</p><p>By the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average joined the S&P 500 in negative territory, while the Nasdaq Composite Index ended essentially unchanged.</p><p>Ongoing concerns over aggressive policy from the Federal Reserve also have contributed to recent market volatility.</p><p>"There's a lot of cross currents, a lot of potential negatives in the markets," said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.</p><p>France's foreign minister said everything was in place for a Russian attack and that Europe was ready to impose massive sanctions if it happened.</p><p>Geopolitical anxieties have been simmering in recent weeks as negotiators scrambled to find a diplomatic path forward as Russia amassed troops along the Ukrainian border.</p><p>Still, market fallout due to geopolitical turmoil tends to be fleeting, according to historical data.</p><p>"History actually tells investors that military and terrorist strikes tend to have short-lived shocks because they do not result in global recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>Adding to the uncertainty were increasingly hawkish comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard. He reiterated his call for a faster rake hike timeline and said the central bank's "credibility is on the line" in its battle against rising prices.</p><p>Recent data showed U.S. inflation at its hottest level in decades, ratcheting up concerns that the Fed could begin hiking key interest rates more aggressively than many had anticipated.</p><p>"The market is being felled by a combination punch, with Bullard's comments as well as increased rhetoric about the imminent invasion by Russia," Stovall added.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 171.89 points, or 0.49%, to 34,566.17; the S&P 500 lost 16.97 points, or 0.38%, at 4,401.67; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.24 points, or 0%, to 13,790.92.</p><p>Ten of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 closed in negative territory, with energy stocks suffering the largest percentage drop. Consumer discretionary and communications services were the only gainers.</p><p>Fourth-quarter earnings season is approaching the home stretch, with 358 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 78% have beat consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Nvidia Corp and Walmart Inc are among the high profile companies posting results this week.</p><p>Tesla Inc advanced 1.8% after Chinese auto industry authorities announced the electric car maker sold nearly 60,000 China-made vehicles in January.</p><p>Drugmaker Biohaven shares rose 2.2% following positive topline trial results in the migraine treatment rimegepant. Pfizer Inc acquired the overseas marketing rights to the drug in November.</p><p>But Pfizer dropped 1.9%, joining other COVID vaccine makers in the red.</p><p>Moderna Inc tumbled 11.7% and Johnson & Johnson dipped 1.3%. Novavax Inc, which on Monday submitted an application to Switzerland's drugs regulator for approval of its COVID vaccine, dropped 11.4%.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.17-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 24 new highs and 246 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.32 billion shares, compared with the 12.67 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Stocks-The S&P 500 Ends down as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Heat Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Stocks-The S&P 500 Ends down as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Heat Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-15 07:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The S&P 500 index closed modestly lower on Monday, largely recovering from a sharp sell-off, as U.S. plans to close its Kyiv embassy in Ukraine sent simmering geopolitical tensions to a boil.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes dropped sharply after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced the relocation of U.S. diplomatic operations to western Ukraine, in a possible sign of an imminent Russian invasion.</p><p>Adding to uncertainty, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Wednesday would be the day of the attack. Ukrainian officials later said Zelenskiy was not predicting an attack on that day but responding with skepticism to foreign media reports.</p><p>By the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average joined the S&P 500 in negative territory, while the Nasdaq Composite Index ended essentially unchanged.</p><p>Ongoing concerns over aggressive policy from the Federal Reserve also have contributed to recent market volatility.</p><p>"There's a lot of cross currents, a lot of potential negatives in the markets," said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.</p><p>France's foreign minister said everything was in place for a Russian attack and that Europe was ready to impose massive sanctions if it happened.</p><p>Geopolitical anxieties have been simmering in recent weeks as negotiators scrambled to find a diplomatic path forward as Russia amassed troops along the Ukrainian border.</p><p>Still, market fallout due to geopolitical turmoil tends to be fleeting, according to historical data.</p><p>"History actually tells investors that military and terrorist strikes tend to have short-lived shocks because they do not result in global recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>Adding to the uncertainty were increasingly hawkish comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard. He reiterated his call for a faster rake hike timeline and said the central bank's "credibility is on the line" in its battle against rising prices.</p><p>Recent data showed U.S. inflation at its hottest level in decades, ratcheting up concerns that the Fed could begin hiking key interest rates more aggressively than many had anticipated.</p><p>"The market is being felled by a combination punch, with Bullard's comments as well as increased rhetoric about the imminent invasion by Russia," Stovall added.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 171.89 points, or 0.49%, to 34,566.17; the S&P 500 lost 16.97 points, or 0.38%, at 4,401.67; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.24 points, or 0%, to 13,790.92.</p><p>Ten of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 closed in negative territory, with energy stocks suffering the largest percentage drop. Consumer discretionary and communications services were the only gainers.</p><p>Fourth-quarter earnings season is approaching the home stretch, with 358 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 78% have beat consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Nvidia Corp and Walmart Inc are among the high profile companies posting results this week.</p><p>Tesla Inc advanced 1.8% after Chinese auto industry authorities announced the electric car maker sold nearly 60,000 China-made vehicles in January.</p><p>Drugmaker Biohaven shares rose 2.2% following positive topline trial results in the migraine treatment rimegepant. Pfizer Inc acquired the overseas marketing rights to the drug in November.</p><p>But Pfizer dropped 1.9%, joining other COVID vaccine makers in the red.</p><p>Moderna Inc tumbled 11.7% and Johnson & Johnson dipped 1.3%. Novavax Inc, which on Monday submitted an application to Switzerland's drugs regulator for approval of its COVID vaccine, dropped 11.4%.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.17-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 24 new highs and 246 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.32 billion shares, compared with the 12.67 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2211507773","content_text":"The S&P 500 index closed modestly lower on Monday, largely recovering from a sharp sell-off, as U.S. plans to close its Kyiv embassy in Ukraine sent simmering geopolitical tensions to a boil.All three major U.S. stock indexes dropped sharply after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced the relocation of U.S. diplomatic operations to western Ukraine, in a possible sign of an imminent Russian invasion.Adding to uncertainty, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Wednesday would be the day of the attack. Ukrainian officials later said Zelenskiy was not predicting an attack on that day but responding with skepticism to foreign media reports.By the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average joined the S&P 500 in negative territory, while the Nasdaq Composite Index ended essentially unchanged.Ongoing concerns over aggressive policy from the Federal Reserve also have contributed to recent market volatility.\"There's a lot of cross currents, a lot of potential negatives in the markets,\" said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.France's foreign minister said everything was in place for a Russian attack and that Europe was ready to impose massive sanctions if it happened.Geopolitical anxieties have been simmering in recent weeks as negotiators scrambled to find a diplomatic path forward as Russia amassed troops along the Ukrainian border.Still, market fallout due to geopolitical turmoil tends to be fleeting, according to historical data.\"History actually tells investors that military and terrorist strikes tend to have short-lived shocks because they do not result in global recession,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New York.Adding to the uncertainty were increasingly hawkish comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard. He reiterated his call for a faster rake hike timeline and said the central bank's \"credibility is on the line\" in its battle against rising prices.Recent data showed U.S. inflation at its hottest level in decades, ratcheting up concerns that the Fed could begin hiking key interest rates more aggressively than many had anticipated.\"The market is being felled by a combination punch, with Bullard's comments as well as increased rhetoric about the imminent invasion by Russia,\" Stovall added.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 171.89 points, or 0.49%, to 34,566.17; the S&P 500 lost 16.97 points, or 0.38%, at 4,401.67; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.24 points, or 0%, to 13,790.92.Ten of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 closed in negative territory, with energy stocks suffering the largest percentage drop. Consumer discretionary and communications services were the only gainers.Fourth-quarter earnings season is approaching the home stretch, with 358 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 78% have beat consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data.Nvidia Corp and Walmart Inc are among the high profile companies posting results this week.Tesla Inc advanced 1.8% after Chinese auto industry authorities announced the electric car maker sold nearly 60,000 China-made vehicles in January.Drugmaker Biohaven shares rose 2.2% following positive topline trial results in the migraine treatment rimegepant. Pfizer Inc acquired the overseas marketing rights to the drug in November.But Pfizer dropped 1.9%, joining other COVID vaccine makers in the red.Moderna Inc tumbled 11.7% and Johnson & Johnson dipped 1.3%. Novavax Inc, which on Monday submitted an application to Switzerland's drugs regulator for approval of its COVID vaccine, dropped 11.4%.Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.17-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 24 new highs and 246 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.32 billion shares, compared with the 12.67 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}