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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-09-05
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Palantir: 50 Hated Pandemic Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering
SummaryWe share data on 50 high-growth "pandemic darlings" that have sold off extremely hard, and wi
Palantir: 50 Hated Pandemic Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering
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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-09-05
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SPY: Making Money In A Bear Market (Technical Analysis)
SummaryThis is a technical analysis article on the SPY ETF. Professional traders hate risk and love
SPY: Making Money In A Bear Market (Technical Analysis)
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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-09-01
ahahah gg
Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%
Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%.Block, Canaan, The9, Riot Blo
Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%
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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-08-30
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Why Nvidia Didn't Really Have a Bad Quarter
Investors should account for industry cyclicality when considering Nvidia stock.
Why Nvidia Didn't Really Have a Bad Quarter
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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-08-24
okay
Pre-Bell|U.S. Futures Edge up; Bed Bath & Beyond Soars 31%
U.S. stock index futures edge up on Wednesday although recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdo
Pre-Bell|U.S. Futures Edge up; Bed Bath & Beyond Soars 31%
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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-08-15
$Happiness Development Group Limited(HAPP)$
hah
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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-08-11
$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
haiya
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YoNgJuN
YoNgJuN
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2022-07-09
hahaha
ASX200, CBA, Iron Ore, BHP, FMG, RIO, GOLD, NCM, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, WDS, STO, AUDUSD Elliott Wave
@TradingLounge:
Australian Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Levels ASX 200 Index (XJO), Forex AUDUSD, Commonwealth Bank CBA, BHP Group (BHP) $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$ , Rio Tinto (RIO), Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) $FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD(FMG.AU)$ , Woodside (WDS) Santos (STO), Newcrest Mining NCM, VanEck Gold Miners ETF GDX $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ , Technical Analysis Trading StrategiesASX200 Market Summary Elliott Wave ASX200: Wave (4) is not completed ASX200 Trading Strategy: Long trades for the ASX200 as Wave C of (4)Video Chapters 00:00 ASX200 (XJO) 13:30 Commonwealth Bank CBA 13:4
ASX200, CBA, Iron Ore, BHP, FMG, RIO, GOLD, NCM, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, WDS, STO, AUDUSD Elliott Wave
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YoNgJuN
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2022-07-09
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Bitcoin Is on Course for Its Biggest Weekly Gain Since March
Coin drops below $22,000 in step with slump US equitiesCrypto market cap retakes $1 trillion amid re
Bitcoin Is on Course for Its Biggest Weekly Gain Since March
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YoNgJuN
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2022-07-04
@good
sjjs
5 U.S. Upstream Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2022
A major tailwind in the form of high oil and natural gas prices is likely to position the Zacks Oil
5 U.S. Upstream Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2022
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Extremely well. Bolstered by extraordinarily low interest rates and a new crowd of "work-from-homers" (with newfound time to "invest") it seemed the sky was the limit. Until it wasn't. Flash forward to now, the markethas fallen sharply this year (especially high-growth stocks), and there is no short supply of reasons to stay bearish. Very bearish. In this report, we share data on 50 high-growth stocks that have crashed, run through a list of compelling reasons (data points) to stay bearish, and then discuss the merits of three interesting high-growth stocks from the list that have crashed particularly hard, with a special focus on pandemic darling, Palantir (NYSE:PLTR), including its positive and negatives (such as total addressable market, growth, leadership, products, margins, profits, valuation, government versus commercial, share based compensation, dilution and industrywide challenges). We conclude with some important takeaways and our very strong opinion about investing in Palantir and investing in this market in general.</p><p><b>50 High-Growth Pandemic Darlings That Crashed</b></p><p>For starters, here is a look at 50 high-growth "pandemic darling" stocks (concentrated in software industries) that have crashed hard this year. The table is sorted by market cap, and you likely see at least a few that you are very familiar with.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66a68a501ea4023d237754fb86cded1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stock Rover</p><p>A lot of conservative value-oriented investors take a lot of satisfaction seeing the sharp declines this year. They warned (often loudly) that valuations were absurdly high considering many of these pandemic darlings have never even generated a profit. What's more, there are a lot of very compelling reasons to stay bearish on these stocks (such as high inflation, rising interest rates, lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a war in Europe and indications that corporate profit estimates are still too high based on the federal budget deficit) as we will cover in more detail in a later section of this report. But first, let's take a look at one of the most hyped stocks in recent history, that rose dramatically during the pandemic, and has now fallen very hard, Palantir.</p><p><b>Palantir: Pandemic Stock Poster Child</b></p><p>Palantir is basically a data-mining software company that has strangely generated a cult-like internet following since its September 2020 IPO (despite the fact that it has existed since 2003). Perhaps it's the company's secret government contracts that had so many investors mystified, or its expansion into the non-government Software-as-Service business at exactly the time when those stocks were being most hyped (because artificially low interest rates by the Fed dramatically magnified the present value of "possible" future earnings for those types of stocks) or maybe even its unusual name (it's named after a mystical, all-powerful seeing stone in "Lord of the Rings"). Whatever the case may be, Palantir shares soared to very high valuations (for example, see how its current price-to-sales multiple compares to its 5-year (technically 2-year) range in our earlier table above).</p><p><b>Palantir Positives:</b></p><p>Before getting into the very negative things working against Palantir in the next sections of this report (both company-specific and macroeconomic) let's first consider a few of the good things the company has going for it.</p><p><b>Three things to look for in a growth stock</b>: For starters, three big things many long-term growth investors look for in a stock are a founder CEO (check: CEO Alex Karp cofounded Palantir), a very high revenue growth rate (check: the 3-year revenue CAGR is 41%, and it is expected to keep growing rapidly, per our earlier table) and a very large Total Addressable Market (check: see the "TAM" graphic below from Palantir's latest investorpresentation).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb72b760e9432fd752a4ea9aa354c7f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Palantir Investor Presentation</p><p><b>Large TAM</b>: Specifically, as you can see in the chart above, each of Palantir's major businesses have continued to grow rapidly over time and continue to have large growth potential (dotted line). For reference:</p><ul><li><p><b>Palantir Gotham</b> is a software platform that enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the handoff between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform.</p></li><li><p><b>Palantir Foundry</b> is a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.</p></li><li><p><b>Apollo</b> is a software that enables customers to deploy their own software virtually in any environment.</p></li></ul><p>And according to CEO Alex Karp during the latest earnings call:</p><blockquote><i>"We have 5 of the most interesting, important and crazy baller, impactful products in the world: PG, Foundry, Nexus Peering, MetaConstellation and Apollo, all of which were built before their time, all of which have made a 41% CAGR possible."</i></blockquote><p>More specifically, in his latest letter to shareholders, Karp explained:</p><blockquote><i>"Our platforms consist of more than 700 component parts and 65 separate applications...Each one of those component parts has the potential to become a dominant and standalone software product in its own right."</i></blockquote><p>Further, Karp had this to say about TAM:</p><blockquote><i>"We are working towards a future where all large institutions in the United States and its allies abroad are running significant segments of their operations, if not their operations as a whole, on Palantir.</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>Most other companies are targeting small segments of the market."</i></blockquote><p><b>Founder CEO</b>: Further, Karp is a strong leader constantly building the brand by highlighting the strengths of the products (for example, on the call he explained "their quintessential attribute that large companies, which essentially control distribution, cannot easily copy them or if at all"), and the long-term anti Wall Street approach to the business (for example, Karp says "we run this company as owners, and we do not run it purely to actually make people happy quarter-to-quarter.").</p><p><b>Client Growth</b>: In addition to high revenue growth, Palantir continues to grow its clients (which have a very high retention rate - Palantir ended Q2 2022 with net dollar retention rate of 119% - high retention is often typical for the very attractive SaaS business model)</p><p><b>High Margins and Strong Innovation</b>: Palantir has very high gross margins (see our earlier table), and strong innovation (as per its high research margin and strong expansion into non-government clients).</p><p><b>Improving Bottom Line</b>: Like a lot of high-growth business, Palantir is not yet profitable. And while this may sound like a big negative (especially considering the company has been around for almost 20 years) it is actually by design. Specifically, Palantir continues to spend heavily to capture attractive revenue growth opportunities (the types of revenue growth opportunities other companies wish they had). Moreover, Palantir's losses are shrinking (it's moving towards profitability). Per the shareholder letter, Palantir is now strongly free cash flow positive, and per the quarterly call, Karp expects to be "a profitable company in 2025."</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7b9c1704c07ba21290335407af5a237\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Palantir Shareholder Letter</p><p>As unattractive as it is to some, Palantir's decision to focus on revenue growth over bottom line income (for now) is the right decision in terms of maximizing long-term shareholder value (whether or not you are the right type of shareholder - you probably already know - but we will address this topic in the conclusion of this report).</p><p><b>Increasingly Reasonable Valuation</b>: And of course, Palantir's valuation multiples are dramatically lower than they were (price-to-sales is now only 12.8% of what it was, per our earlier table) and relatively attractive as compared to peers and as compared to its high revenue growth and large TAM.</p><p>Despite the dramatic share price sell off (shares currently sit at only 4.9% of their 52-week price range), Palantir continues to have a lot of long-term attractive qualities.</p><p><b>Palantir Negatives:</b></p><p>Of course there are a lot of negative things (challenges) Palantir currently faces, including the negative company-specific things we will cover in this section, plus the massively daunting macroeconomic challenges we will cover in the next section.</p><p><b>Slowing Government Revenue Growth</b>: For example, Palantir'sgovernment revenue(supposedly its "bread and butter") is slowing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5632018f8ec8c51db94235eadcddb9d2\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"693\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Palantir Investor Presentation</p><p>According to a research note from Brad Zelnick at Deutsche Bank (Zelnick rates Palantir a "sell"):</p><blockquote><i>"While we've always been more skeptical of Palantir's commercial opportunity, our thesis was rooted in what we saw as a uniquely strong position in Public Sector… Now with the Gov't business further decelerating off of easier compares and with diminished confidence/visibility ahead, we are left with very little to support our thesis."</i></blockquote><p>Palantir lowered its forward guidance this quarter based on uncertainty around government contracts. This issue was addressed repeatedly during the call by explaining revenues are lumpy (there have actually been "a number of years where [revenue] was flat or even negative"), but worth it considering government contracts "are so big and meaty that you got to kind of wait," according to Karp.</p><p><b>Stock-Based Compensation and Shareholder Dilution</b>: Another chronic qualm with Palantir has been its heavy stock based compensation and shareholder dilution, as you can see in the chart below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e50a807f1f0923e919368c125782c78\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>However, in retrospect Palantir's actions appear prudent considering, as Karp puts it in the shareholder letter:</p><blockquote><i>"We repeatedly decided to raise and preserve capital when others were spending.Our strategy in this regard has secured our ability to continue refining and developing our software platforms in order to maximize their value to our customers over the long term."</i></blockquote><p>Specifically, Palantir was raising capital when its market value was higher (smart), has now eliminated all debt now that interest rates are higher (also smart) and now generates massive amounts of free cash flow and has ample cash on its balance sheet to support its business (at a time when raising external capital is now more expensive).</p><p><b>Negative Net Income</b>: We mentioned "improving bottom line" as a positive, net income is still negative (and expected to stay that way until 2025) and that is a big negative to a lot of investors, especially in the current market environment where interest rates are rising and investors put increasingly more value on current earnings and less value on future earnings. Even though profitability is trending in the right direction, Palantir still generates no net income.</p><p><b>Industrywide Challenges</b>: And another huge negative for Palantir is the current extreme challenges the overall industry (and economy) is facing (as we will cover in detail in the next section of this report). However, Palantir's Chief Business Affairs and Legal Officer explained it like this during the quarterly call:</p><blockquote><i>As organizations around the world face more pressure and experience more pain, there will be a slowdown in the rate of spending and lengthening of sales cycles, but it will also reveal gaps in enterprises operations. Gaps our software can solve.In the short term, this means less revenue now. But on longer time horizons, it accelerates our business."</i></blockquote><p>We'll share our strong opinion about investing in Palantir (in the current market environment) in the conclusion of this report, but first it is worthwhile to consider more of the macroeconomic environment which helps underpin our views.</p><p>Macroeconomic Reasons to Stay Bearish on Palantir (and the Market in General):</p><p>Like other companies, Palantir currently faces a variety of massive macroeconomic challenges that give a lot of investors reason to stay extremely bearish. For example, inflation is sky high (very bad for the economy), the Fed keeps raising rates to fight inflation (but this has the side effect of slowing the economy), there are lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a terrible war in Europe and economists remain very pessimistic (as you can see in the following chart).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c38c5b70e1a16947ad27cd31e466a1f\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"705\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Wall Street Journal</p><p>Further the federal budget deficit is about to create another big drag on the economy. If you don't know, the federal budget deficit is the difference between government revenues (i.e. taxes) and government spending. And while years of government deficit spending can create enormous long-term economic problems, the short-term deficit fluctuations can exacerbate near-term challenges.</p><p>Counterintuitive to some, when the economy is strong, the government should reduce spending (build a rainy-day fund), and when the economy is struggling, extra government spending can actually help end the funk. Unfortunately, the economy is struggling big time this year, yet the government has dramatically reduced deficit spending, as you can see in the following chart.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac674eb8a63a4c87f03f8285114e8e66\" tg-width=\"1162\" tg-height=\"747\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bipartisan Policy Center</p><p>And according to GMO Capital'sJeremy Grantham, this reduced government deficit may be about to cause corporate profit margins and earnings to take a hit, due to the Kalecki equation(basically, reduced government deficit spending will be a hit to corporate earnings, and this is not yet reflected in stock prices).</p><p>And of course we can make a strong case that growth stocks in particular (such as Palantir and the other names in our earlier table) are still greatly overvalued (versus value stocks) based on historical levels, such as this chart(below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a845355734238edf4d60511f6a135796\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Charles Schwab</p><p>Notice the divergence (in the chart above) becomes most pronounced around the time the US implemented and accelerated quantitative easing following the Great Financial Crisis (2008-2009) and the pandemic bubble (2020-2021), and right before the tech bubble bust (2000). Importantly, the Fed is now starting to unwind quantitative easing (increasing rates and reducing its balance sheet) which could have the opposite affect (i.e. growth could start to underperform value dramatically). And here is another chart on growth versus value, for your consideration.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97350b28cfa6f02b7ed3cbb8da022107\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"871\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>JP Morgan</p><p>Further, a slew of recent layoff announcements by technology companies (see table below) suggest growth stocks in particular are just now finally bracing for the challenging markets ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe29d0f62d8b6a744287ace5791248a\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"1029\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Crunchbase</p><p><b>More Pandemic Darlings Worth Considering</b></p><p>With all of the negative things going on in the market, the thought of investing in growth stocks right now makes a lot of people want to puke. Even though Jeremy Grantham's latest report (linked earlier) suggests we are just now entering the final stage of the market's latest "super bubble," the market has already been puking (particularly growth stocks) this year, and from a contrarian long-term investment standpoint - some investors believe that's the best time to be buying stocks in buckets. Let's take a closer look at a few high growth stocks in particular, before finally concluding this report with a few important takeaways and our strong opinion on investing in this market.</p><p><b>Datadog</b>(DDOG)</p><p>Datadog is a performance monitoring and cloud security platform, and the shares are more than 50% below their 52-week high as the valuation has taken an extreme hit as the pandemic bubble bursts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31fdd261203344e781999772d71eece7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>However, Datadog continues to benefit from the three important growth stock characteristics we described earlier, including very high revenue growth (see chart above), a large TAM (so it can keep growing, see below) and the company is led by its founder (CEO Olivier Pomel cofounded the company along with CTO Alexis Lê-Quôc, in 2010).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e606abe56c40452a715c442428bf21c8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>Also Datadog was named a leader in the 2022 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Application Performance Monitoring and Observability (see below). This is a very good thing for its continuing industry leadership.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c5f0f318e5e7fcf1c2c7a1d0f4d6a1a\" tg-width=\"730\" tg-height=\"787\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>Also, Datadog has high customer retention rates (also very good for continuing growth, see below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b79e91c50944b985847e9c5ce7a95f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>And again, its valuation has come way down over the last year (for example, both its price and price-to-sales ratios are significantly below their 52-week highs, as you can see in our earlier table), but its high revenue growth remains intact as it moves closer to GAAP profitability (all good things). We'll have more to say about Datadog in the conclusion of this report.</p><p><b>The Trade Desk</b>(TTD)</p><p>The Trade Desk is another high-growth stock that has recently sold off very hard (it's down more than 30% this year).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c8205e9996a50cd1b3614c8745ca8f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"975\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The Trade Desk Investor Presentation</p><p>And like the other growth stocks we have highlighted in this report, it is an attractive founder-led business (Jeff Green is co-founder and current CEO), with very high revenue growth (see graphic above), and a very large TAM (see the graphic below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5835d0d241411e28f035d95c99c49e7d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"759\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The Trade Desk Investor Presentation</p><p>If you don't know, The Trade Desk is basically a self-service omni-channel advertising platform that allows ad buyers to pick from over 500 billion digital ad opportunities a day (including targeted ads across connected TV, mobile, video, audio, display, social, and native). We recently wrote about The Trade Desk in detail last month (where we correctly predicted that it would resume its steep share price declines in the short term), and we'll have more to say about The Trade Desk in the conclusion of this report.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>The market is ugly. Very ugly. Aside from the sky-high valuation levels many top growth stocks achieved last year (a bubble that continues to burst), macroeconomic conditions are bad (as described in this report). And unless you are in a position to buy-and-hold for the next decade, it would probably be a terrible idea to dump 100% of your nest egg into high growth stocks as described in this report (you might instead want to consider our recent report: Top 10 Big-Dividend Preferred Stocks).</p><p>On the other hand, if you are a long-term investor, you have a distinct advantage. That is to say, long-term compound growth is one of the most powerful wealth-creating machines in the history of the world, but only if you have the ability to hang on (to high-growth secular leaders like Palantir, The Trade Desk and Datadog) through years of very high volatility (like we are experiencing now). In fact, this year's steep price declines may get even worse (for reasons described in this report), but if you truly are a long-term investor you might also want to consider our expanded list of 150 top growth stocks down big (which also includes a few more top growth stock ideas in particular) especially because we strongly believe the market will eventually get better.</p><p>No one knows where the market will be next week, next month or even next year. But over the long-term, it's likely eventually going much higher (especially top growth stocks, like Palantir). And over the long-term, top-quality dividends stocks are also likely to keep paying big, steady, growing dividends. Choose an investment strategy that is right for you, based on your unique situation and goals. We believe disciplined, long-term, goal-focused investing will continue to be a winner.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: 50 Hated Pandemic Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: 50 Hated Pandemic Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538851-palantir-50-hated-pandemic-stocks-3-worth-considering><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe share data on 50 high-growth \"pandemic darlings\" that have sold off extremely hard, and with a special focus on Palantir.We go into the details on Palantir positives and negatives (including...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538851-palantir-50-hated-pandemic-stocks-3-worth-considering\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538851-palantir-50-hated-pandemic-stocks-3-worth-considering","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198620014","content_text":"SummaryWe share data on 50 high-growth \"pandemic darlings\" that have sold off extremely hard, and with a special focus on Palantir.We go into the details on Palantir positives and negatives (including TAM, growth, leadership, products, margins, profits, valuation, government versus commercial, share-based compensation, dilution, and industrywide challenges).We also dive deep into the very ugly macroeconomic reasons to stay bearish on the market (things can still get much worse) and on Palantir, especially in the near term.After reviewing three high-growth stocks in total from the list, we conclude with some important takeaways and our strong opinion about investing in Palantir and in the current market environment.After the initial pandemic shock in 2020, certain high-growth stocks performed well. Extremely well. Bolstered by extraordinarily low interest rates and a new crowd of \"work-from-homers\" (with newfound time to \"invest\") it seemed the sky was the limit. Until it wasn't. Flash forward to now, the markethas fallen sharply this year (especially high-growth stocks), and there is no short supply of reasons to stay bearish. Very bearish. In this report, we share data on 50 high-growth stocks that have crashed, run through a list of compelling reasons (data points) to stay bearish, and then discuss the merits of three interesting high-growth stocks from the list that have crashed particularly hard, with a special focus on pandemic darling, Palantir (NYSE:PLTR), including its positive and negatives (such as total addressable market, growth, leadership, products, margins, profits, valuation, government versus commercial, share based compensation, dilution and industrywide challenges). We conclude with some important takeaways and our very strong opinion about investing in Palantir and investing in this market in general.50 High-Growth Pandemic Darlings That CrashedFor starters, here is a look at 50 high-growth \"pandemic darling\" stocks (concentrated in software industries) that have crashed hard this year. The table is sorted by market cap, and you likely see at least a few that you are very familiar with.Stock RoverA lot of conservative value-oriented investors take a lot of satisfaction seeing the sharp declines this year. They warned (often loudly) that valuations were absurdly high considering many of these pandemic darlings have never even generated a profit. What's more, there are a lot of very compelling reasons to stay bearish on these stocks (such as high inflation, rising interest rates, lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a war in Europe and indications that corporate profit estimates are still too high based on the federal budget deficit) as we will cover in more detail in a later section of this report. But first, let's take a look at one of the most hyped stocks in recent history, that rose dramatically during the pandemic, and has now fallen very hard, Palantir.Palantir: Pandemic Stock Poster ChildPalantir is basically a data-mining software company that has strangely generated a cult-like internet following since its September 2020 IPO (despite the fact that it has existed since 2003). Perhaps it's the company's secret government contracts that had so many investors mystified, or its expansion into the non-government Software-as-Service business at exactly the time when those stocks were being most hyped (because artificially low interest rates by the Fed dramatically magnified the present value of \"possible\" future earnings for those types of stocks) or maybe even its unusual name (it's named after a mystical, all-powerful seeing stone in \"Lord of the Rings\"). Whatever the case may be, Palantir shares soared to very high valuations (for example, see how its current price-to-sales multiple compares to its 5-year (technically 2-year) range in our earlier table above).Palantir Positives:Before getting into the very negative things working against Palantir in the next sections of this report (both company-specific and macroeconomic) let's first consider a few of the good things the company has going for it.Three things to look for in a growth stock: For starters, three big things many long-term growth investors look for in a stock are a founder CEO (check: CEO Alex Karp cofounded Palantir), a very high revenue growth rate (check: the 3-year revenue CAGR is 41%, and it is expected to keep growing rapidly, per our earlier table) and a very large Total Addressable Market (check: see the \"TAM\" graphic below from Palantir's latest investorpresentation).Palantir Investor PresentationLarge TAM: Specifically, as you can see in the chart above, each of Palantir's major businesses have continued to grow rapidly over time and continue to have large growth potential (dotted line). For reference:Palantir Gotham is a software platform that enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the handoff between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform.Palantir Foundry is a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.Apollo is a software that enables customers to deploy their own software virtually in any environment.And according to CEO Alex Karp during the latest earnings call:\"We have 5 of the most interesting, important and crazy baller, impactful products in the world: PG, Foundry, Nexus Peering, MetaConstellation and Apollo, all of which were built before their time, all of which have made a 41% CAGR possible.\"More specifically, in his latest letter to shareholders, Karp explained:\"Our platforms consist of more than 700 component parts and 65 separate applications...Each one of those component parts has the potential to become a dominant and standalone software product in its own right.\"Further, Karp had this to say about TAM:\"We are working towards a future where all large institutions in the United States and its allies abroad are running significant segments of their operations, if not their operations as a whole, on Palantir.Most other companies are targeting small segments of the market.\"Founder CEO: Further, Karp is a strong leader constantly building the brand by highlighting the strengths of the products (for example, on the call he explained \"their quintessential attribute that large companies, which essentially control distribution, cannot easily copy them or if at all\"), and the long-term anti Wall Street approach to the business (for example, Karp says \"we run this company as owners, and we do not run it purely to actually make people happy quarter-to-quarter.\").Client Growth: In addition to high revenue growth, Palantir continues to grow its clients (which have a very high retention rate - Palantir ended Q2 2022 with net dollar retention rate of 119% - high retention is often typical for the very attractive SaaS business model)High Margins and Strong Innovation: Palantir has very high gross margins (see our earlier table), and strong innovation (as per its high research margin and strong expansion into non-government clients).Improving Bottom Line: Like a lot of high-growth business, Palantir is not yet profitable. And while this may sound like a big negative (especially considering the company has been around for almost 20 years) it is actually by design. Specifically, Palantir continues to spend heavily to capture attractive revenue growth opportunities (the types of revenue growth opportunities other companies wish they had). Moreover, Palantir's losses are shrinking (it's moving towards profitability). Per the shareholder letter, Palantir is now strongly free cash flow positive, and per the quarterly call, Karp expects to be \"a profitable company in 2025.\"Palantir Shareholder LetterAs unattractive as it is to some, Palantir's decision to focus on revenue growth over bottom line income (for now) is the right decision in terms of maximizing long-term shareholder value (whether or not you are the right type of shareholder - you probably already know - but we will address this topic in the conclusion of this report).Increasingly Reasonable Valuation: And of course, Palantir's valuation multiples are dramatically lower than they were (price-to-sales is now only 12.8% of what it was, per our earlier table) and relatively attractive as compared to peers and as compared to its high revenue growth and large TAM.Despite the dramatic share price sell off (shares currently sit at only 4.9% of their 52-week price range), Palantir continues to have a lot of long-term attractive qualities.Palantir Negatives:Of course there are a lot of negative things (challenges) Palantir currently faces, including the negative company-specific things we will cover in this section, plus the massively daunting macroeconomic challenges we will cover in the next section.Slowing Government Revenue Growth: For example, Palantir'sgovernment revenue(supposedly its \"bread and butter\") is slowing.Palantir Investor PresentationAccording to a research note from Brad Zelnick at Deutsche Bank (Zelnick rates Palantir a \"sell\"):\"While we've always been more skeptical of Palantir's commercial opportunity, our thesis was rooted in what we saw as a uniquely strong position in Public Sector… Now with the Gov't business further decelerating off of easier compares and with diminished confidence/visibility ahead, we are left with very little to support our thesis.\"Palantir lowered its forward guidance this quarter based on uncertainty around government contracts. This issue was addressed repeatedly during the call by explaining revenues are lumpy (there have actually been \"a number of years where [revenue] was flat or even negative\"), but worth it considering government contracts \"are so big and meaty that you got to kind of wait,\" according to Karp.Stock-Based Compensation and Shareholder Dilution: Another chronic qualm with Palantir has been its heavy stock based compensation and shareholder dilution, as you can see in the chart below.YChartsHowever, in retrospect Palantir's actions appear prudent considering, as Karp puts it in the shareholder letter:\"We repeatedly decided to raise and preserve capital when others were spending.Our strategy in this regard has secured our ability to continue refining and developing our software platforms in order to maximize their value to our customers over the long term.\"Specifically, Palantir was raising capital when its market value was higher (smart), has now eliminated all debt now that interest rates are higher (also smart) and now generates massive amounts of free cash flow and has ample cash on its balance sheet to support its business (at a time when raising external capital is now more expensive).Negative Net Income: We mentioned \"improving bottom line\" as a positive, net income is still negative (and expected to stay that way until 2025) and that is a big negative to a lot of investors, especially in the current market environment where interest rates are rising and investors put increasingly more value on current earnings and less value on future earnings. Even though profitability is trending in the right direction, Palantir still generates no net income.Industrywide Challenges: And another huge negative for Palantir is the current extreme challenges the overall industry (and economy) is facing (as we will cover in detail in the next section of this report). However, Palantir's Chief Business Affairs and Legal Officer explained it like this during the quarterly call:As organizations around the world face more pressure and experience more pain, there will be a slowdown in the rate of spending and lengthening of sales cycles, but it will also reveal gaps in enterprises operations. Gaps our software can solve.In the short term, this means less revenue now. But on longer time horizons, it accelerates our business.\"We'll share our strong opinion about investing in Palantir (in the current market environment) in the conclusion of this report, but first it is worthwhile to consider more of the macroeconomic environment which helps underpin our views.Macroeconomic Reasons to Stay Bearish on Palantir (and the Market in General):Like other companies, Palantir currently faces a variety of massive macroeconomic challenges that give a lot of investors reason to stay extremely bearish. For example, inflation is sky high (very bad for the economy), the Fed keeps raising rates to fight inflation (but this has the side effect of slowing the economy), there are lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a terrible war in Europe and economists remain very pessimistic (as you can see in the following chart).Wall Street JournalFurther the federal budget deficit is about to create another big drag on the economy. If you don't know, the federal budget deficit is the difference between government revenues (i.e. taxes) and government spending. And while years of government deficit spending can create enormous long-term economic problems, the short-term deficit fluctuations can exacerbate near-term challenges.Counterintuitive to some, when the economy is strong, the government should reduce spending (build a rainy-day fund), and when the economy is struggling, extra government spending can actually help end the funk. Unfortunately, the economy is struggling big time this year, yet the government has dramatically reduced deficit spending, as you can see in the following chart.Bipartisan Policy CenterAnd according to GMO Capital'sJeremy Grantham, this reduced government deficit may be about to cause corporate profit margins and earnings to take a hit, due to the Kalecki equation(basically, reduced government deficit spending will be a hit to corporate earnings, and this is not yet reflected in stock prices).And of course we can make a strong case that growth stocks in particular (such as Palantir and the other names in our earlier table) are still greatly overvalued (versus value stocks) based on historical levels, such as this chart(below).Charles SchwabNotice the divergence (in the chart above) becomes most pronounced around the time the US implemented and accelerated quantitative easing following the Great Financial Crisis (2008-2009) and the pandemic bubble (2020-2021), and right before the tech bubble bust (2000). Importantly, the Fed is now starting to unwind quantitative easing (increasing rates and reducing its balance sheet) which could have the opposite affect (i.e. growth could start to underperform value dramatically). And here is another chart on growth versus value, for your consideration.JP MorganFurther, a slew of recent layoff announcements by technology companies (see table below) suggest growth stocks in particular are just now finally bracing for the challenging markets ahead.CrunchbaseMore Pandemic Darlings Worth ConsideringWith all of the negative things going on in the market, the thought of investing in growth stocks right now makes a lot of people want to puke. Even though Jeremy Grantham's latest report (linked earlier) suggests we are just now entering the final stage of the market's latest \"super bubble,\" the market has already been puking (particularly growth stocks) this year, and from a contrarian long-term investment standpoint - some investors believe that's the best time to be buying stocks in buckets. Let's take a closer look at a few high growth stocks in particular, before finally concluding this report with a few important takeaways and our strong opinion on investing in this market.Datadog(DDOG)Datadog is a performance monitoring and cloud security platform, and the shares are more than 50% below their 52-week high as the valuation has taken an extreme hit as the pandemic bubble bursts.Datadog Investor PresentationHowever, Datadog continues to benefit from the three important growth stock characteristics we described earlier, including very high revenue growth (see chart above), a large TAM (so it can keep growing, see below) and the company is led by its founder (CEO Olivier Pomel cofounded the company along with CTO Alexis Lê-Quôc, in 2010).Datadog Investor PresentationAlso Datadog was named a leader in the 2022 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Application Performance Monitoring and Observability (see below). This is a very good thing for its continuing industry leadership.Datadog Investor PresentationAlso, Datadog has high customer retention rates (also very good for continuing growth, see below).Datadog Investor PresentationAnd again, its valuation has come way down over the last year (for example, both its price and price-to-sales ratios are significantly below their 52-week highs, as you can see in our earlier table), but its high revenue growth remains intact as it moves closer to GAAP profitability (all good things). We'll have more to say about Datadog in the conclusion of this report.The Trade Desk(TTD)The Trade Desk is another high-growth stock that has recently sold off very hard (it's down more than 30% this year).The Trade Desk Investor PresentationAnd like the other growth stocks we have highlighted in this report, it is an attractive founder-led business (Jeff Green is co-founder and current CEO), with very high revenue growth (see graphic above), and a very large TAM (see the graphic below).The Trade Desk Investor PresentationIf you don't know, The Trade Desk is basically a self-service omni-channel advertising platform that allows ad buyers to pick from over 500 billion digital ad opportunities a day (including targeted ads across connected TV, mobile, video, audio, display, social, and native). We recently wrote about The Trade Desk in detail last month (where we correctly predicted that it would resume its steep share price declines in the short term), and we'll have more to say about The Trade Desk in the conclusion of this report.ConclusionThe market is ugly. Very ugly. Aside from the sky-high valuation levels many top growth stocks achieved last year (a bubble that continues to burst), macroeconomic conditions are bad (as described in this report). And unless you are in a position to buy-and-hold for the next decade, it would probably be a terrible idea to dump 100% of your nest egg into high growth stocks as described in this report (you might instead want to consider our recent report: Top 10 Big-Dividend Preferred Stocks).On the other hand, if you are a long-term investor, you have a distinct advantage. That is to say, long-term compound growth is one of the most powerful wealth-creating machines in the history of the world, but only if you have the ability to hang on (to high-growth secular leaders like Palantir, The Trade Desk and Datadog) through years of very high volatility (like we are experiencing now). In fact, this year's steep price declines may get even worse (for reasons described in this report), but if you truly are a long-term investor you might also want to consider our expanded list of 150 top growth stocks down big (which also includes a few more top growth stock ideas in particular) especially because we strongly believe the market will eventually get better.No one knows where the market will be next week, next month or even next year. But over the long-term, it's likely eventually going much higher (especially top growth stocks, like Palantir). And over the long-term, top-quality dividends stocks are also likely to keep paying big, steady, growing dividends. Choose an investment strategy that is right for you, based on your unique situation and goals. We believe disciplined, long-term, goal-focused investing will continue to be a winner.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931970382,"gmtCreate":1662390379747,"gmtModify":1676537050700,"author":{"id":"3585835739413744","authorId":"3585835739413744","name":"YoNgJuN","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585835739413744","authorIdStr":"3585835739413744"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ho","listText":"ho","text":"ho","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931970382","repostId":"1140356635","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140356635","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662364813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140356635?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Making Money In A Bear Market (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140356635","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThis is a technical analysis article on the SPY ETF. Professional traders hate risk and love ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>This is a technical analysis article on the SPY ETF. Professional traders hate risk and love "sure things." Why? Because trading is risky enough. They prefer to make money the easy way.</li><li>They are always on the search for contrarian trades that are a "slam dunk." Why? Because they don't want to be fired for being wrong.</li><li>They love being right all the time and getting big, fat bonuses at year end.</li><li>So what is a slam dunk in this bear market? Knowing that the Fed is in a bind and has to take the economy down which creates the bear market we trade.</li><li>What is the slam dunk rule? Buy puts or some other short strategy after every bounce, until the bottom bounce, which is still a very long way off.</li></ul><p>The easiest way to make money in a bear market (NYSEARCA:SPY) is to short every bounce as long as there is no bottom in place. There is no bottom in place yet for this market. TheSPY is targeting a retest of $364 and there is no indication that $364 is the bottom. The SPY could still go lower, based on the bind the Fed is in, because the Fed is targeting a 2.2% inflation rate. That is a long way off, and so is the bottoming process in the SPY determined by that Fed target.</p><p><b>Isn't Trading Very Risky?</b></p><p>Trading is risky enough, so the only way to reduce risk is to find slam dunk trades. To do that with any stock or the market, traders look for "research" that gives them the lowest risk, successful trade. That "insightful information" is hard to come by usually. However, in the case of this bear market, everyone has that insight, because the Fed is giving it free to everyone. Fed Chairman Powell just warned of the "pain" that is coming to bring inflation down.</p><p>Because the economy was running hot, with very high employment and very high inflation, the Fed has told us what they are going to do. Even if the Fed did not tell us, it was easy to see what they would have to do. With that knowledge we know this bear market will continue until it bottoms. With that obvious conclusion, we can find a way to make money in this bear market.</p><p>What's An Example Of A Successful Trade?</p><p>Friday was a good example of a bear market bounce where you could make money shorting. We actually provided a minute by minute description of the bounce on Friday morning, using our live charting system with comments. We watched the day traders short it on the opening gap. Then we watched it going up to be stopped by resistance.</p><p>For those subscribers that missed the live comments, we published an article as the bounce reached its top. We bought puts and we are still holding them. We are sitting on a nice profit because the bounce failed and then dropped back to the $392 support level. We have discussed this level frequently.</p><p><b>Where Is The Bottom Of This Bear Market?</b></p><p>We don't expect the support at $392 to hold and we don't expect another bounce from this level. Our short term target for the SPY is $388. As discussed here in previous articles, our longer term target is a retest of $364 and it could go lower to find a new bottom. Thus you can see why we are buying November, out of the money, puts to make easy money, as this bear market continues for the foreseeable future. The end of the recent big bounce up failed at $428 resistance, and we don't expect another big bounce until we retest $364 or from a lower bottom.</p><p><b>How Do The Pros Make Money In A Bear Market?</b></p><p>The professionals know all of this and are coining money on these slam dunk bounces. They are buying the S&P VIX Index (VIX) or the ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (SDS) which go up when the market goes down. They are selling calls on their stock portfolios or buying puts like us. (Our Model Portfolio is in cash so we cannot sell calls) The professionals know how to make money in a bear market and so do we.</p><p>Everyone knows the rule: buy the dips and sell the tops. It works both in a bull market and in a bear market, as happened on Friday. Only the day-traders caught a little bit of the bounce, because they don't last long in a bear market. However, the dives, from the top of the bounce last much longer in a bear market and this is where the easy money is made by shorting or buying puts or buying the SDS.</p><p><b>When Was The Sell Signal On Friday's Bounce?</b></p><p>Here is the 5-minute chart showing the rise and fall of this bounce on Friday and how we called it minute by minute on our live charts for our subscribers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15c79d5b3e782f9684a0f803719b0f4b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Buying Puts At The Top Of The Bounce (StockCharts.com)</p><p>Here are the minute by minute comments we gave our subscribers as we commented on the live charts. We signed off to publish the sell signal in an article to our subscribers and then to buy our puts.</p><p><i>9:55 am the day traders shorted the top but failed to fill the gap by covering early. I am still looking before the gap to be filled</i></p><p><i>10:27 surprising retest of 400 and I think another chance to short at 400 -401 price resistance especially on Friday in a bear market and holiday weekend when everyone goes home early especially daytraders</i></p><p><i>10:34 at 400.72 looking for sell signal, overbought, At price resistance, daytraders usually short</i></p><p><i>10:41 at 401.12 RSI overbought waiting for the breakdown sell signal by day traders.</i></p><p><i>10:46 at 401 toppy candlesticks inviting daytraders to short but they are waiting for RSI to turn down.</i></p><p><i>10:50 red candlestick, waiting for RSI breakdown for red vertical line</i></p><p><i>10:53 here come the sellers at 400, red vertical line now.</i></p><p><i>11:08 signing off, bye bye with this red vertical sell signal in place</i></p><p>As you can see on the above chart, the first RSI sell signal, at the top of the chart where we put the vertical red line, was a head fake. After filling the gap by taking price down, the day-traders then took it back up to the final wall of resistance at $401. The second vertical, red line, sell signal proved to be correct. That is where we ended our comments and wrote an article to our subscribers. Then we bought our puts as the RSI continued down, unlike the head fake, first red, vertical line. Our put position has a nice gain and is still open.</p><p><b>What's Ahead In The Coming Weeks?</b></p><p>So much for day-trading. Most of us are interested in what the weekly chart is telling us longer term about this market. It is not a pretty picture. As you can see, all the signals have turned down on the chart. This indicates to us, weeks of selling ahead that will take the SPY down to retest $364.</p><p>September is usually a terrible month according to the<i>Stock Traders Almanac</i>, which provides all the historical data on the market. To help things along, we have the Fed "pain" announcement coming on September 18th. We think the market bottoms in October and then we start the best six months for the stock market. In May we may finally see the bottom of this bear market.</p><p>Here is the weekly chart:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8c6b84f3e7b149c95d54de0b1f6f8d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Targeting $364 (StockCharts.com)</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>The weekly chart has lagging, but more reliable signals than the daily chart. In other words, these signals do not reverse as quickly as the daily chart. We expect the negative trend of all these sell signals to continue for the coming weeks, still targeting $364. We will be shorting any bounce such as happened on Friday and you can tune in with our free trial.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Making Money In A Bear Market (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Making Money In A Bear Market (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538914-spy-making-money-bear-market-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThis is a technical analysis article on the SPY ETF. Professional traders hate risk and love \"sure things.\" Why? Because trading is risky enough. They prefer to make money the easy way.They are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538914-spy-making-money-bear-market-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538914-spy-making-money-bear-market-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140356635","content_text":"SummaryThis is a technical analysis article on the SPY ETF. Professional traders hate risk and love \"sure things.\" Why? Because trading is risky enough. They prefer to make money the easy way.They are always on the search for contrarian trades that are a \"slam dunk.\" Why? Because they don't want to be fired for being wrong.They love being right all the time and getting big, fat bonuses at year end.So what is a slam dunk in this bear market? Knowing that the Fed is in a bind and has to take the economy down which creates the bear market we trade.What is the slam dunk rule? Buy puts or some other short strategy after every bounce, until the bottom bounce, which is still a very long way off.The easiest way to make money in a bear market (NYSEARCA:SPY) is to short every bounce as long as there is no bottom in place. There is no bottom in place yet for this market. TheSPY is targeting a retest of $364 and there is no indication that $364 is the bottom. The SPY could still go lower, based on the bind the Fed is in, because the Fed is targeting a 2.2% inflation rate. That is a long way off, and so is the bottoming process in the SPY determined by that Fed target.Isn't Trading Very Risky?Trading is risky enough, so the only way to reduce risk is to find slam dunk trades. To do that with any stock or the market, traders look for \"research\" that gives them the lowest risk, successful trade. That \"insightful information\" is hard to come by usually. However, in the case of this bear market, everyone has that insight, because the Fed is giving it free to everyone. Fed Chairman Powell just warned of the \"pain\" that is coming to bring inflation down.Because the economy was running hot, with very high employment and very high inflation, the Fed has told us what they are going to do. Even if the Fed did not tell us, it was easy to see what they would have to do. With that knowledge we know this bear market will continue until it bottoms. With that obvious conclusion, we can find a way to make money in this bear market.What's An Example Of A Successful Trade?Friday was a good example of a bear market bounce where you could make money shorting. We actually provided a minute by minute description of the bounce on Friday morning, using our live charting system with comments. We watched the day traders short it on the opening gap. Then we watched it going up to be stopped by resistance.For those subscribers that missed the live comments, we published an article as the bounce reached its top. We bought puts and we are still holding them. We are sitting on a nice profit because the bounce failed and then dropped back to the $392 support level. We have discussed this level frequently.Where Is The Bottom Of This Bear Market?We don't expect the support at $392 to hold and we don't expect another bounce from this level. Our short term target for the SPY is $388. As discussed here in previous articles, our longer term target is a retest of $364 and it could go lower to find a new bottom. Thus you can see why we are buying November, out of the money, puts to make easy money, as this bear market continues for the foreseeable future. The end of the recent big bounce up failed at $428 resistance, and we don't expect another big bounce until we retest $364 or from a lower bottom.How Do The Pros Make Money In A Bear Market?The professionals know all of this and are coining money on these slam dunk bounces. They are buying the S&P VIX Index (VIX) or the ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (SDS) which go up when the market goes down. They are selling calls on their stock portfolios or buying puts like us. (Our Model Portfolio is in cash so we cannot sell calls) The professionals know how to make money in a bear market and so do we.Everyone knows the rule: buy the dips and sell the tops. It works both in a bull market and in a bear market, as happened on Friday. Only the day-traders caught a little bit of the bounce, because they don't last long in a bear market. However, the dives, from the top of the bounce last much longer in a bear market and this is where the easy money is made by shorting or buying puts or buying the SDS.When Was The Sell Signal On Friday's Bounce?Here is the 5-minute chart showing the rise and fall of this bounce on Friday and how we called it minute by minute on our live charts for our subscribers.Buying Puts At The Top Of The Bounce (StockCharts.com)Here are the minute by minute comments we gave our subscribers as we commented on the live charts. We signed off to publish the sell signal in an article to our subscribers and then to buy our puts.9:55 am the day traders shorted the top but failed to fill the gap by covering early. I am still looking before the gap to be filled10:27 surprising retest of 400 and I think another chance to short at 400 -401 price resistance especially on Friday in a bear market and holiday weekend when everyone goes home early especially daytraders10:34 at 400.72 looking for sell signal, overbought, At price resistance, daytraders usually short10:41 at 401.12 RSI overbought waiting for the breakdown sell signal by day traders.10:46 at 401 toppy candlesticks inviting daytraders to short but they are waiting for RSI to turn down.10:50 red candlestick, waiting for RSI breakdown for red vertical line10:53 here come the sellers at 400, red vertical line now.11:08 signing off, bye bye with this red vertical sell signal in placeAs you can see on the above chart, the first RSI sell signal, at the top of the chart where we put the vertical red line, was a head fake. After filling the gap by taking price down, the day-traders then took it back up to the final wall of resistance at $401. The second vertical, red line, sell signal proved to be correct. That is where we ended our comments and wrote an article to our subscribers. Then we bought our puts as the RSI continued down, unlike the head fake, first red, vertical line. Our put position has a nice gain and is still open.What's Ahead In The Coming Weeks?So much for day-trading. Most of us are interested in what the weekly chart is telling us longer term about this market. It is not a pretty picture. As you can see, all the signals have turned down on the chart. This indicates to us, weeks of selling ahead that will take the SPY down to retest $364.September is usually a terrible month according to theStock Traders Almanac, which provides all the historical data on the market. To help things along, we have the Fed \"pain\" announcement coming on September 18th. We think the market bottoms in October and then we start the best six months for the stock market. In May we may finally see the bottom of this bear market.Here is the weekly chart:SPY Targeting $364 (StockCharts.com)ConclusionThe weekly chart has lagging, but more reliable signals than the daily chart. In other words, these signals do not reverse as quickly as the daily chart. We expect the negative trend of all these sell signals to continue for the coming weeks, still targeting $364. We will be shorting any bounce such as happened on Friday and you can tune in with our free trial.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939984974,"gmtCreate":1662042269101,"gmtModify":1676536716947,"author":{"id":"3585835739413744","authorId":"3585835739413744","name":"YoNgJuN","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585835739413744","authorIdStr":"3585835739413744"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ahahah gg","listText":"ahahah gg","text":"ahahah gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939984974","repostId":"1163352550","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163352550","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662041859,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163352550?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 22:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163352550","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%.Block, Canaan, The9, Riot Blo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a>, Canaan, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">The9</a>, Riot Blockchain, Bit Digital and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a> fell between 1% and 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7deb9c73609c474e7660ae64ae8190b9\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"587\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-01 22:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a>, Canaan, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">The9</a>, Riot Blockchain, Bit Digital and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a> fell between 1% and 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7deb9c73609c474e7660ae64ae8190b9\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"587\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","BK4539":"次新股","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163352550","content_text":"Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Coinbase Stock Dropping 6%.Block, Canaan, The9, Riot Blockchain, Bit Digital and Marathon Digital fell between 1% and 5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQ":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930066241,"gmtCreate":1661873728685,"gmtModify":1676536594589,"author":{"id":"3585835739413744","authorId":"3585835739413744","name":"YoNgJuN","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585835739413744","authorIdStr":"3585835739413744"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930066241","repostId":"2263103698","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263103698","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661872784,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263103698?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-30 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Didn't Really Have a Bad Quarter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263103698","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors should account for industry cyclicality when considering Nvidia stock.","content":"<div>\n<p>For the second quarter of its 2023 fiscal year, Nvidia released a report that appears lackluster on the surface. The company reported revenue growth in the low single digits year over year and showed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/29/why-nvidia-didnt-really-have-a-bad-quarter/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Didn't Really Have a Bad Quarter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Didn't Really Have a Bad Quarter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-30 23:19 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/29/why-nvidia-didnt-really-have-a-bad-quarter/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the second quarter of its 2023 fiscal year, Nvidia released a report that appears lackluster on the surface. The company reported revenue growth in the low single digits year over year and showed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/29/why-nvidia-didnt-really-have-a-bad-quarter/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/29/why-nvidia-didnt-really-have-a-bad-quarter/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263103698","content_text":"For the second quarter of its 2023 fiscal year, Nvidia released a report that appears lackluster on the surface. The company reported revenue growth in the low single digits year over year and showed a dramatic sequential revenue decline.However, from a more macro point of view, the results may appear different. Given the behavior of the overall industry, Nvidia may have had a good quarter, and investors should consider a more positive perspective.The nature of the semiconductor marketSemiconductor stocks have one key commonality with the economy -- both operate in cycles. In the case of the chip industry, it bounces between times of surplus and times of shortage.Rising chip prices lead to foundries investing more heavily in capacity. As supplies rise, prices come down. If producers make too many chips (which usually happens), prices fall, and production slows. This leads to a surplus until demand rises and the cycle begins again.The pandemic did not make these cycles disappear. Nonetheless, it changed them. For a time, the pandemic led to rising demand as production fell, leading to a severe shortage in some industry sectors.Sector cycles and NvidiaConsequently, some sectors have escaped the down effects, and Nvidia's results seem to show this bifurcating chip market. Overall, fiscal second-quarter revenue came in at $6.7 billion. That increased by 3% year over year but fell 19% versus the prior quarter.Gaming took the most brutal hit on the revenue front amid a return to more offline activities. It brought in $2 billion, dropping 33% versus one year ago and 44% from the first quarter. Likewise, the $496 million in revenue reported in the professional visualization segment fell by 4% from 12 months before and 20% compared with the first quarter.Nonetheless, the news was very positive in Nvidia's other two segments. Data center, its largest segment with $3.8 billion in revenue, surged 61% quarter over quarter and managed a 1% gain compared with the prior quarter. And despite automotive's modest $220 million in revenue, its registered 45% growth year over year and 59% versus Q1.Still, the net income picture was bleaker. In Q2 2023, Nvidia earned $656 million, down 51% versus 12 months ago and off 62% from the prior quarter. This occurred as the cost of revenue surged 65%, and operating expenses rose by 36%. So high were the increases that the $181 million tax benefit failed to offset rising costs and expenses.Also, the third-quarter outlook turned more negative as the company forecast approximately $5.9 billion in revenue. This is 12% less than the previous quarter and would be a 9% yearly decline. Also, as in the current quarter, Nvidia expects the automotive and data center to escape the effects of the down cycle.Investor reactionsStill, the negative results give some latitude for investors to consider this a good quarter. The market has probably experienced a natural downward movement in the chip cycle, and smart investors seemed to have graded Nvidia's report on a curve. Despite lackluster short-term numbers, the stock rose 4% in Wednesday trading following the report.Moreover, Nvidia's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 48 is well above AMD's multiple of 41 and its primary fab, Taiwan Semiconductor, at 17 times earnings. Yet investors may not perceive the stock as expensive since lower profits placed upward pressure on the P/E ratio. Finally, considering that Nvidia stock sells for about half its peak price in late 2021, it may look like a bargain at current levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992540387,"gmtCreate":1661346539452,"gmtModify":1676536500449,"author":{"id":"3585835739413744","authorId":"3585835739413744","name":"YoNgJuN","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585835739413744","authorIdStr":"3585835739413744"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992540387","repostId":"1123698778","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123698778","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661343132,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123698778?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-24 20:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell|U.S. Futures Edge up; Bed Bath & Beyond Soars 31%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123698778","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edge up on Wednesday although recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edge up on Wednesday although recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdown ahead of the Federal Reserve's annual conference this week where the central bank is expected to reinforce its commitment to getting inflation under control.</p><p>Investor focus will be on the Jackson Hole symposium which begins on Thursday and remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell the day after for clues on whether the central bank can achieve a "soft landing".</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 30 points, or 0.09%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.75 points, or 0.21%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 30.75 points, or 0.24%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/074fd51ad167c5245bb4ebd33932ede9\" tg-width=\"420\" tg-height=\"183\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b>Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) </b>– Bed Bath & Beyond surged 31.8% in premarket action after the Wall Street Journal reported that the housewares retailer had lined up financing to shore up its liquidity.</p><p><b>Nordstrom (JWN)</b> – Nordstrom shares tumbled 13% in the premarket after the retailer cut its full year outlook, saying foot traffic had diminished at the end of its most recent quarter and that it was aggressively working to cut inventory levels. Nordstrom reported better than expected profit and revenue for its second quarter.</p><p><b>Intuit (INTU) </b>– Intuit jumped 5.9% in premarket trading after beating Street forecasts for quarterly profit and revenue and issuing an upbeat forecast. The provider of financial software also raised its quarterly dividend by 15% and increased its share buyback authorization.</p><p><b>Farfetch (FTCH)</b> – The luxury e-commerce specialist's stock soared 18.4% in premarket action, following its deal to buy 47.5% of online fashion retailer YNAP from Switzerland's Richemont for more than 50 million Farfetch shares.</p><p><b>Petco (</b><b>WOOF</b><b>)</b> – The pet products retailer fell short of Street forecasts on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, and cut its full year outlook as it faced higher costs. Petco shares fell 5.7% in the premarket.</p><p><b>Brinker International (EAT)</b> –The parent of the Chili’s and Maggiano’s restaurant chains saw its stock slide 7.3% in premarket trading after it missed estimates with its quarterly earnings, impacted by higher costs. It also issued a lower than expected full-year outlook.</p><p><b>Toll Brothers (TOL) </b>– Toll Brothers slid 2.6% in premarket trading after the luxury home builder cut its deliveries guidance for the year amid supply chain issues and labor shortages. For its most recent quarter, Toll Brothers reported better than expected earnings but saw revenue fall short of Street forecasts.</p><p><b>Urban Outfitters (URBN)</b> – Urban Outfitters fell 1.5% in the premarket after the apparel retailer reported lower than expected quarterly profit. Urban Outfitters saw improved sales in its stores as customer traffic increased, but also reported a decline in digital sales.</p><p><b>La-Z-Boy (LZB)</b> – La-Z-Boy shares staged a 6.6% premarket rally after the furniture retailer reported a better than expected quarter and issued an upbeat outlook. It issued cautious comments regarding the possible impact of macroeconomic uncertainty.</p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP)</b> – Advance Auto Parts stumbled 5.9% in the premarket after missing analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, as well as lowering its outlook. The auto parts retailer said inflation and higher fuel costs had a negative effect on its do-it-yourself business during the quarter.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Goldman Says Hedge Funds Back Betting Big on Megacap Tech Stocks</b></p><p>Hedge funds ramped up bets on megacap US tech stocks and whittled down overall holdings to focus on favored names last quarter, with conviction climbing back to levels seen at the start of the pandemic, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc. supplanted Microsoft Corp. as the most popular long position, a timely call given that the former has rallied 26% this quarter versus an 8% climb in the latter. The funds also boosted bets on Nvidia Corp., Apple Inc., Atlassian Corp. and Tesla Inc., according to the report.</p><p><b>Julian Robertson, Hedge-Fund Guru to "Tiger Cubs," Dies</b></p><p>Julian Robertson, the billionaire Tiger Management founder who became one of his generation’s most successful hedge-fund managers and a mentor to a wave of investors known as Tiger Cubs, has died. He was 90.</p><p>He died Tuesday morning at his home in Manhattan from cardiac complications, according to Fraser Seitel, a longtime spokesman for Robertson.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell|U.S. Futures Edge up; Bed Bath & Beyond Soars 31%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell|U.S. Futures Edge up; Bed Bath & Beyond Soars 31%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-24 20:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures edge up on Wednesday although recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdown ahead of the Federal Reserve's annual conference this week where the central bank is expected to reinforce its commitment to getting inflation under control.</p><p>Investor focus will be on the Jackson Hole symposium which begins on Thursday and remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell the day after for clues on whether the central bank can achieve a "soft landing".</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 30 points, or 0.09%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.75 points, or 0.21%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 30.75 points, or 0.24%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/074fd51ad167c5245bb4ebd33932ede9\" tg-width=\"420\" tg-height=\"183\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b>Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) </b>– Bed Bath & Beyond surged 31.8% in premarket action after the Wall Street Journal reported that the housewares retailer had lined up financing to shore up its liquidity.</p><p><b>Nordstrom (JWN)</b> – Nordstrom shares tumbled 13% in the premarket after the retailer cut its full year outlook, saying foot traffic had diminished at the end of its most recent quarter and that it was aggressively working to cut inventory levels. Nordstrom reported better than expected profit and revenue for its second quarter.</p><p><b>Intuit (INTU) </b>– Intuit jumped 5.9% in premarket trading after beating Street forecasts for quarterly profit and revenue and issuing an upbeat forecast. The provider of financial software also raised its quarterly dividend by 15% and increased its share buyback authorization.</p><p><b>Farfetch (FTCH)</b> – The luxury e-commerce specialist's stock soared 18.4% in premarket action, following its deal to buy 47.5% of online fashion retailer YNAP from Switzerland's Richemont for more than 50 million Farfetch shares.</p><p><b>Petco (</b><b>WOOF</b><b>)</b> – The pet products retailer fell short of Street forecasts on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, and cut its full year outlook as it faced higher costs. Petco shares fell 5.7% in the premarket.</p><p><b>Brinker International (EAT)</b> –The parent of the Chili’s and Maggiano’s restaurant chains saw its stock slide 7.3% in premarket trading after it missed estimates with its quarterly earnings, impacted by higher costs. It also issued a lower than expected full-year outlook.</p><p><b>Toll Brothers (TOL) </b>– Toll Brothers slid 2.6% in premarket trading after the luxury home builder cut its deliveries guidance for the year amid supply chain issues and labor shortages. For its most recent quarter, Toll Brothers reported better than expected earnings but saw revenue fall short of Street forecasts.</p><p><b>Urban Outfitters (URBN)</b> – Urban Outfitters fell 1.5% in the premarket after the apparel retailer reported lower than expected quarterly profit. Urban Outfitters saw improved sales in its stores as customer traffic increased, but also reported a decline in digital sales.</p><p><b>La-Z-Boy (LZB)</b> – La-Z-Boy shares staged a 6.6% premarket rally after the furniture retailer reported a better than expected quarter and issued an upbeat outlook. It issued cautious comments regarding the possible impact of macroeconomic uncertainty.</p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP)</b> – Advance Auto Parts stumbled 5.9% in the premarket after missing analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, as well as lowering its outlook. The auto parts retailer said inflation and higher fuel costs had a negative effect on its do-it-yourself business during the quarter.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Goldman Says Hedge Funds Back Betting Big on Megacap Tech Stocks</b></p><p>Hedge funds ramped up bets on megacap US tech stocks and whittled down overall holdings to focus on favored names last quarter, with conviction climbing back to levels seen at the start of the pandemic, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc. supplanted Microsoft Corp. as the most popular long position, a timely call given that the former has rallied 26% this quarter versus an 8% climb in the latter. The funds also boosted bets on Nvidia Corp., Apple Inc., Atlassian Corp. and Tesla Inc., according to the report.</p><p><b>Julian Robertson, Hedge-Fund Guru to "Tiger Cubs," Dies</b></p><p>Julian Robertson, the billionaire Tiger Management founder who became one of his generation’s most successful hedge-fund managers and a mentor to a wave of investors known as Tiger Cubs, has died. He was 90.</p><p>He died Tuesday morning at his home in Manhattan from cardiac complications, according to Fraser Seitel, a longtime spokesman for Robertson.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAP":"Advance Auto Parts Inc","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","WOOF":"Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.","LZB":"La-Z-Boy家具","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","INTU":"财捷","TOL":"托尔兄弟",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","URBN":"都市服饰","EAT":"布林克国际",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123698778","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edge up on Wednesday although recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdown ahead of the Federal Reserve's annual conference this week where the central bank is expected to reinforce its commitment to getting inflation under control.Investor focus will be on the Jackson Hole symposium which begins on Thursday and remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell the day after for clues on whether the central bank can achieve a \"soft landing\".Market SnapshotAt 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 30 points, or 0.09%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.75 points, or 0.21%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 30.75 points, or 0.24%.Pre-Market MoversBed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – Bed Bath & Beyond surged 31.8% in premarket action after the Wall Street Journal reported that the housewares retailer had lined up financing to shore up its liquidity.Nordstrom (JWN) – Nordstrom shares tumbled 13% in the premarket after the retailer cut its full year outlook, saying foot traffic had diminished at the end of its most recent quarter and that it was aggressively working to cut inventory levels. Nordstrom reported better than expected profit and revenue for its second quarter.Intuit (INTU) – Intuit jumped 5.9% in premarket trading after beating Street forecasts for quarterly profit and revenue and issuing an upbeat forecast. The provider of financial software also raised its quarterly dividend by 15% and increased its share buyback authorization.Farfetch (FTCH) – The luxury e-commerce specialist's stock soared 18.4% in premarket action, following its deal to buy 47.5% of online fashion retailer YNAP from Switzerland's Richemont for more than 50 million Farfetch shares.Petco (WOOF) – The pet products retailer fell short of Street forecasts on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, and cut its full year outlook as it faced higher costs. Petco shares fell 5.7% in the premarket.Brinker International (EAT) –The parent of the Chili’s and Maggiano’s restaurant chains saw its stock slide 7.3% in premarket trading after it missed estimates with its quarterly earnings, impacted by higher costs. It also issued a lower than expected full-year outlook.Toll Brothers (TOL) – Toll Brothers slid 2.6% in premarket trading after the luxury home builder cut its deliveries guidance for the year amid supply chain issues and labor shortages. For its most recent quarter, Toll Brothers reported better than expected earnings but saw revenue fall short of Street forecasts.Urban Outfitters (URBN) – Urban Outfitters fell 1.5% in the premarket after the apparel retailer reported lower than expected quarterly profit. Urban Outfitters saw improved sales in its stores as customer traffic increased, but also reported a decline in digital sales.La-Z-Boy (LZB) – La-Z-Boy shares staged a 6.6% premarket rally after the furniture retailer reported a better than expected quarter and issued an upbeat outlook. It issued cautious comments regarding the possible impact of macroeconomic uncertainty.Advance Auto Parts (AAP) – Advance Auto Parts stumbled 5.9% in the premarket after missing analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, as well as lowering its outlook. The auto parts retailer said inflation and higher fuel costs had a negative effect on its do-it-yourself business during the quarter.Market NewsGoldman Says Hedge Funds Back Betting Big on Megacap Tech StocksHedge funds ramped up bets on megacap US tech stocks and whittled down overall holdings to focus on favored names last quarter, with conviction climbing back to levels seen at the start of the pandemic, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.Amazon.com Inc. supplanted Microsoft Corp. as the most popular long position, a timely call given that the former has rallied 26% this quarter versus an 8% climb in the latter. The funds also boosted bets on Nvidia Corp., Apple Inc., Atlassian Corp. and Tesla Inc., according to the report.Julian Robertson, Hedge-Fund Guru to \"Tiger Cubs,\" DiesJulian Robertson, the billionaire Tiger Management founder who became one of his generation’s most successful hedge-fund managers and a mentor to a wave of investors known as Tiger Cubs, has died. He was 90.He died Tuesday morning at his home in Manhattan from cardiac complications, according to Fraser Seitel, a longtime spokesman for Robertson.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"AAP":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"FTCH":0.9,"WOOF":0.9,"URBN":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TOL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"LZB":0.9,"EAT":0.9,"JWN":0.9,"INTU":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999456399,"gmtCreate":1660574879413,"gmtModify":1676535563279,"author":{"id":"3585835739413744","authorId":"3585835739413744","name":"YoNgJuN","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585835739413744","authorIdStr":"3585835739413744"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HAPP\">$Happiness Development Group Limited(HAPP)$</a>hah","listText":"<a 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CBA, Iron Ore, BHP, FMG, RIO, GOLD, NCM, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, WDS, STO, AUDUSD Elliott Wave","htmlText":"\n \n \n Australian Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Levels ASX 200 Index (XJO), Forex AUDUSD, Commonwealth Bank CBA, BHP Group (BHP) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BHP.AU\">$BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$</a> , Rio Tinto (RIO), Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FMG.AU\">$FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD(FMG.AU)$</a> , Woodside (WDS) Santos (STO), Newcrest Mining NCM, VanEck Gold Miners ETF GDX <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GDX\">$VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$</a> , Technical Analysis Trading StrategiesASX200 Market Summary Elliott Wave ASX200: Wave (4) is not completed ASX200 Trading Strategy: Long trades for the ASX200 as Wave C of (4)Video Chapters 00:00 ASX200 (XJO) 13:30 Commonwealth Bank CBA 13:4\n \n","listText":"Australian Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Levels ASX 200 Index (XJO), Forex AUDUSD, Commonwealth Bank CBA, BHP Group (BHP) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BHP.AU\">$BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$</a> , Rio Tinto (RIO), Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FMG.AU\">$FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD(FMG.AU)$</a> , Woodside (WDS) Santos (STO), Newcrest Mining NCM, VanEck Gold Miners ETF GDX <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GDX\">$VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$</a> , Technical Analysis Trading StrategiesASX200 Market Summary Elliott Wave ASX200: Wave (4) is not completed ASX200 Trading Strategy: Long trades for the ASX200 as Wave C of (4)Video Chapters 00:00 ASX200 (XJO) 13:30 Commonwealth Bank CBA 13:4","text":"Australian Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Levels ASX 200 Index (XJO), Forex AUDUSD, Commonwealth Bank CBA, BHP Group (BHP) $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$ , Rio Tinto (RIO), Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) $FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD(FMG.AU)$ , Woodside (WDS) Santos (STO), Newcrest Mining NCM, VanEck Gold Miners ETF GDX $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ , Technical Analysis Trading StrategiesASX200 Market Summary Elliott Wave ASX200: Wave (4) is not completed ASX200 Trading Strategy: Long trades for the ASX200 as Wave C of (4)Video Chapters 00:00 ASX200 (XJO) 13:30 Commonwealth Bank CBA 13:4","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073023803","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"2dd4eedeef3e4feca749b9ab63fd6924","tweetId":"9073023803","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/3e467bc5vodtranssgp1254107296/d6f87671387702303027728953/v.f30.mp4","poster":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/909ff97cf48baa14fa28202c7ee401b2"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073135583,"gmtCreate":1657299926542,"gmtModify":1676535987126,"author":{"id":"3585835739413744","authorId":"3585835739413744","name":"YoNgJuN","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585835739413744","authorIdStr":"3585835739413744"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073135583","repostId":"1107073399","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107073399","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657294484,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107073399?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-08 23:34","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Is on Course for Its Biggest Weekly Gain Since March","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107073399","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Coin drops below $22,000 in step with slump US equitiesCrypto market cap retakes $1 trillion amid re","content":"<div>\n<p>Coin drops below $22,000 in step with slump US equitiesCrypto market cap retakes $1 trillion amid rebound from slumpBitcoin is on course for its best weekly gain since March, helped by a return of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/bitcoin-rides-stock-rally-to-hit-highest-level-in-over-a-week?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Is on Course for Its Biggest Weekly Gain Since March</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ 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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Is on Course for Its Biggest Weekly Gain Since March\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-08 23:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/bitcoin-rides-stock-rally-to-hit-highest-level-in-over-a-week?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Coin drops below $22,000 in step with slump US equitiesCrypto market cap retakes $1 trillion amid rebound from slumpBitcoin is on course for its best weekly gain since March, helped by a return of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/bitcoin-rides-stock-rally-to-hit-highest-level-in-over-a-week?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/bitcoin-rides-stock-rally-to-hit-highest-level-in-over-a-week?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107073399","content_text":"Coin drops below $22,000 in step with slump US equitiesCrypto market cap retakes $1 trillion amid rebound from slumpBitcoin is on course for its best weekly gain since March, helped by a return of risk appetite in global markets more broadly.The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization was up more than 10% for the week so far. New York time on Friday. It gave up some gains after briefly trading above $22,000, in step with the slump in US equities. The coin is now trading flat at about $21,700.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 fell for the first time in five days after the US jobs report showed that employment growth cooled slightly but remained strong, clearing the path for the Federal Reserve to remain aggressive in its fight against inflation. Treasury yields spiked and the two- and 10-year yield curve remained inverted for the fourth day.“Right now, Bitcoin and most other assets are very much beholden to broader forces imposed on us all by a tough macro environment and a hawkish Federal Reserve,” said Garry Krugljakow, founder of GOGO Protocol, an open-source DeFi protocol for asset management and savings. “There’s too much uncertainty. I will say, however, that Bitcoin has held up rather well in comparison to a lot of other assets. And looking back on this bear market, people will likely remember it as Bitcoin showing its true strength to the world.”Fed officials have pivoted policy aggressively to confront the hottest inflation in 40 years by raising interest rates by 75 basis points last month, the biggest such move since 1994. And based on the jobs data Friday, some, including Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, believe the committee can move 75 basis points in the next meeting without damaging the economy.“The only Bitcoin bottom signal for me is persistent data showing us that inflation is convincingly inflecting down,” Marcus Sotiriou, analyst at GlobalBlock, said. “This should result in the Federal Reserve becoming less aggressive with their monetary policy, and therefore provide confidence that the liquidity crisis in the crypto market is over.”Bitcoin has tumbled 60% year-to-date as hawkish central banks and a string of high-profile crypto blowups hammered sentiment. Companies whose performance are closely linked to the coin have also taken a beating, prompting a growing list of crypto firms, lenders and hedge funds maimed by the downturn to execute massive layoffs, freeze withdrawals or suspend trading.“Risk markets are up across the board” and thus “it’s not surprising that crypto is trading higher,” said Ben McMillan, chief investment officer at IDX Digital Assets. “After a cascade of bad news and large liquidations, many crypto investors are still sitting on the sidelines waiting for the next shoe to drop.”Other tokens like Ether, Avalanche and Solana have also had a strong run in recent days, helping to take the overall market value of cryptocurrencies back close to $1 trillion, a 1.4% rise in the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data.Still, regulators seem to be concerned of contagion risks brought about by digital assets. Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard on Friday said even if the recent turmoil in the crypto market does not yet pose a “systemic risk” to the broader financial system, authorities need to close regulatory gaps to protect consumers and ensure stability.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTCmain":0.9,"MBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047515457,"gmtCreate":1656942194479,"gmtModify":1676535919265,"author":{"id":"3585835739413744","authorId":"3585835739413744","name":"YoNgJuN","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585835739413744","authorIdStr":"3585835739413744"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3449586738547778\">@good</a>sjjs","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3449586738547778\">@good</a>sjjs","text":"@goodsjjs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047515457","repostId":"2248810991","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248810991","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656933317,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248810991?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-04 19:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 U.S. Upstream Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248810991","media":"Zacks","summary":"A major tailwind in the form of high oil and natural gas prices is likely to position the Zacks Oil ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A major tailwind in the form of high oil and natural gas prices is likely to position the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry for substantial gains in the second half of this year. Building on this bullish narrative, there is significant upside in upstream firms like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DVN\">Devon Energy</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AR\">Antero Resources</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRC\">Range Resources</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MTDR\">Matador Resources</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESTE\">Earthstone Energy</a>. With an all-round improvement in efficiency and cost structure, these companies should experience impressive revenue and cash flow growth.</p><p><b>About the Industry</b></p><p>The Zacks Oil and Gas - US E&P industry consists of companies primarily based in the domestic market, focused on the exploration and production (E&P) of oil and natural gas. These firms find hydrocarbon reservoirs, drill oil and gas wells, and produce and sell these materials to be refined later into products such as gasoline, fuel oil, distillate, etc. The economics of oil and gas supply and demand is the fundamental driver of this industry. In particular, a producer’s cash flow is primarily determined by the realized commodity prices. In fact, all E&P companies' results are vulnerable to historically volatile prices in the energy markets. A change in realizations affects their returns and causes them to alter their production growth rates. The E&P operators are also exposed to exploration risks where drilling results are comparatively uncertain.</p><p><b>4 Key Investing Trends to Watch in the Oil and Gas - US E&P Industry</b></p><p><i><b>Elevated Commodity Prices:</b></i> Over the past few months, the price of oil has generally traded above $100 a barrel amid Russia’s launch of military operations in Ukraine. The spike reflected concerns about oil supplies from Russia, which is one of the world's largest producers of the commodity. As it is, crude prices were already gaining strength prior to the attack because of a demand uptick owing to the reopening of economies and a rebound in activity. The situation is particularly complex on the natural gas front, with Russia being the world's largest producer of the fuel. Significantly, some 70% of Russian natural gas supplies are purchased by European countries that have no option to substitute a major part of it. The worldwide uncertainty imposed by Kremlin’s aggression briefly pushed U.S. natural gas prices past the $9 mark to its highest levels in nearly 14 years. In other words, macro as well as geopolitical tailwinds have driven most of the bullish sentiments in the energy market in years and the E&P companies should greatly benefit for obvious reasons.</p><p><i><b>Shale Production Restraint:</b></i> Unlike previous occasions, this time, the U.S. shale operators have been reluctant to turn the tap on production despite the rise in oil realizations. Most of them were forced to dial back output in response to the COVID-induced decimation in demand and prices. Generally, the shale patch constituents are quick to pick up drilling activities on any steep rise in the price, which may thwart the fuel’s bull run. Yet, this time, the companies seem to be in no hurry to boost output. Finally, learning their lesson, shale operators are focusing primarily on improving cost and increasing free cash flow rather than looking at boosting production. While oil at $90 is profitable for almost all shale entities, the industry, for its part, is sticking to the mantra of capital discipline and sustainable production. According to the weekly data provided by Houston-based Baker Hughes, the last time that WTI crude traded at these levels, some 1,600 oil rigs were operational. Now, it’s just around 600, which is proof of the wariness on the part of the producers to raise output too quickly.</p><p><i><b>Lower Cost Structure:</b></i> The energy companies have changed their approach to spending capital. Over the past few years, producers have worked tirelessly to cut costs to a bare minimum and look for innovative ways to churn out more oil and gas. And they managed to do just that by improving drilling techniques and extracting favorable terms from the beleaguered service providers. Moreover, driven by operational efficiencies, most E&P operators have been able to reduce unit costs, while the coronavirus-induced collapse in crude forced them to adopt a more disciplined approach to spending capital. These actions might restrict short-term production but are expected to preserve cash flow, support balance sheet strength, and help the companies to eventually emerge stronger. In particular, despite continued inflation and supply chain challenges, cash from operations is on a sustainable path as revenues improve and companies slash capital expenditures from the pre-pandemic levels amid sharply higher commodity prices.</p><p><i><b>Commitment to Shareholder Return Framework:</b></i> The sharp increase in crude prices has allowed the upstream operators to deliver a solid financial performance. Cash from operations looks sustainable as revenues improve and companies cut capital expenditures from the pre-pandemic levels amid sharply higher commodity realizations. To put it simply, the environment of strong prices has helped the E&P firms to generate significant “excess cash,” which they intend to use to boost investor returns. In fact, energy companies are increasingly allocating their rising cash pile by way of dividends and buybacks to pacify the long-suffering shareholders.</p><p><b>Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Positive Outlook</b></p><p>The Zacks Oil and Gas - US E&P industry is a 41-stock group within the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #27, which places it in the top 11% of more than 250 Zacks industries.</p><p>The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is basically the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates fairly strong near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperforms the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.</p><p>The industry’s position in the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries is a result of a positive earnings outlook for the constituent companies in aggregate. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are highly optimistic about this group’s earnings growth potential. While the industry’s earnings estimates for 2022 have surged 167.5% in the past year, the same for 2023 have risen 162.8% over the same timeframe.</p><p>Considering the encouraging dynamics of the industry, we will present a few stocks that you may want to consider for your portfolio. But it’s worth taking a look at the industry’s shareholder returns and the current valuation first.</p><p><b>Industry Outperforms Sector & S&P 500</b></p><p>The Zacks Oil and Gas - US E&P industry has fared better than the broader Zacks Oil - Energy Sector as well as the Zacks S&P 500 composite over the past year.</p><p>The industry has gone up 31% over this period compared with the broader sector’s increase of 16.2%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has lost 12.1%.</p><h3>One-Year Price Performance</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Industry's Current Valuation</b></p><p>Since oil and gas companies are debt-laden, it makes sense to value them based on the EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value/ Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation and Amortization) ratio. This is because the valuation metric takes into account not just equity but also the level of debt. For capital-intensive companies, EV/EBITDA is a better valuation metric because it is not influenced by changing capital structures and ignores the effect of noncash expenses.</p><p>On the basis of the trailing 12-month enterprise value-to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), the industry is currently trading at 5.56X, significantly lower than the S&P 500’s 12.19X. It is, however, well above the sector’s trailing-12-month EV/EBITDA of 3.80X.</p><p>Over the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 16.47X, as low as 2.90X, with a median of 7.08X.</p><h3>Trailing 12-Month Enterprise Value-to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio (Past Five Years)</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"194\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>5 Top Stocks to Buy Now</b></p><p><b>Earthstone Energy:</b> An oil producer targeting Midland Basin of west Texas and the Eagle Ford trend of south Texas., ESTE focuses on growth through a combination of acquisitions and active drilling. The company’s impressive acreage position in the top basins provides it with some 13 years of high-quality inventory life. With a reinvestment rate of just 50%, Earthstone is able to create robust free cash generation.</p><p>Over 60 days, ESTE has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2022 increase 13%. The Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) ESTE’s shares have gained some 6.7% in a year. You can see <b>the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here</b>.</p><h3>Price and Consensus: ESTE</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Range Resources:</b> Range Resources has extensive oil and gas resources in key regions like Marcellus Shale & North Louisiana. The company is ideally positioned to reap benefits in the long term from its projects in the Appalachian Basin. As most of its production comprises natural gas, RRC is well-positioned to capitalize on the mounting clean energy demand.</p><p>Sporting a Zacks Rank of 1, the 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for RRC indicates 130.2% earnings per share growth over 2021. Range Resources’ shares have gained approximately 51.8% in a year.</p><h3>Price and Consensus: RRC</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Matador Resources:</b> Matador Resources’ operations are mainly concentrated in the Delaware Basin, which is among the country’s most prolific oil and gas plays. Since 2011, the company significantly boosted its Delaware acreage, which now covers 124,800 net acres. Moreover, it identified up to 4,381 gross potential drilling locations on its Delaware Basin acreage, making its production outlook bright. Based on MTDR’s strong dividend growth story, it makes for an attractive offering.</p><p>The 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for MTDR indicates 158.1% earnings per share growth over 2021. The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #1. Meanwhile, Matador Resources has seen its shares gain 26.9% in a year.</p><h3>Price and Consensus: MTDR</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Antero Resources:</b> Antero Resources has positioned itself among the fast-growing natural gas producers in the United States. The company's strategic acreage position in the low-risk and long reserve-life properties of the Appalachian Basin is a major positive. Cashing in on high commodity prices, AR expects to generate more than $2.5 billion of free cash flow in 2022.</p><p>The 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for Antero Resources indicates 413.9% earnings per share growth over 2021. Antero Resources currently carries a Zacks Rank #1. Meanwhile, the hydrocarbon producer has seen its shares increase around 103.6% in a year.</p><h3>Price and Consensus: AR</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Devon Energy:</b> Devon is an independent energy company whose oil and gas operations are mainly concentrated in the onshore areas of North America, primarily in the United States. The upstream operator’s cost management, divestiture of Canadian assets, and completion of the Barnett Shale gas assets sale will allow it to focus on its holdings in four high-quality, oil-rich U.S. basins. DVN’s innovative dividend policy should also attract investors and position it for more upside in the near-to-medium term.</p><p>The 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) DVN indicates 157.8% earnings per share growth over 2021. Devon Energy’s shares have gained some 83.9% in a year.</p><h3>Price and Consensus: DVN</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 U.S. Upstream Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 U.S. Upstream Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-04 19:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zacks.com/commentary/1946645/5-us-upstream-stocks-to-buy-for-the-second-half-of-2022><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A major tailwind in the form of high oil and natural gas prices is likely to position the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry for substantial gains in the second ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/commentary/1946645/5-us-upstream-stocks-to-buy-for-the-second-half-of-2022\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DVN":"德文能源","RRC":"山脉资源","ESTE":"Earthstone Energy","AR":"Antero Resources Corp","MTDR":"Matador Resources"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/commentary/1946645/5-us-upstream-stocks-to-buy-for-the-second-half-of-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248810991","content_text":"A major tailwind in the form of high oil and natural gas prices is likely to position the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry for substantial gains in the second half of this year. Building on this bullish narrative, there is significant upside in upstream firms like Devon Energy, Antero Resources, Range Resources, Matador Resources and Earthstone Energy. With an all-round improvement in efficiency and cost structure, these companies should experience impressive revenue and cash flow growth.About the IndustryThe Zacks Oil and Gas - US E&P industry consists of companies primarily based in the domestic market, focused on the exploration and production (E&P) of oil and natural gas. These firms find hydrocarbon reservoirs, drill oil and gas wells, and produce and sell these materials to be refined later into products such as gasoline, fuel oil, distillate, etc. The economics of oil and gas supply and demand is the fundamental driver of this industry. In particular, a producer’s cash flow is primarily determined by the realized commodity prices. In fact, all E&P companies' results are vulnerable to historically volatile prices in the energy markets. A change in realizations affects their returns and causes them to alter their production growth rates. The E&P operators are also exposed to exploration risks where drilling results are comparatively uncertain.4 Key Investing Trends to Watch in the Oil and Gas - US E&P IndustryElevated Commodity Prices: Over the past few months, the price of oil has generally traded above $100 a barrel amid Russia’s launch of military operations in Ukraine. The spike reflected concerns about oil supplies from Russia, which is one of the world's largest producers of the commodity. As it is, crude prices were already gaining strength prior to the attack because of a demand uptick owing to the reopening of economies and a rebound in activity. The situation is particularly complex on the natural gas front, with Russia being the world's largest producer of the fuel. Significantly, some 70% of Russian natural gas supplies are purchased by European countries that have no option to substitute a major part of it. The worldwide uncertainty imposed by Kremlin’s aggression briefly pushed U.S. natural gas prices past the $9 mark to its highest levels in nearly 14 years. In other words, macro as well as geopolitical tailwinds have driven most of the bullish sentiments in the energy market in years and the E&P companies should greatly benefit for obvious reasons.Shale Production Restraint: Unlike previous occasions, this time, the U.S. shale operators have been reluctant to turn the tap on production despite the rise in oil realizations. Most of them were forced to dial back output in response to the COVID-induced decimation in demand and prices. Generally, the shale patch constituents are quick to pick up drilling activities on any steep rise in the price, which may thwart the fuel’s bull run. Yet, this time, the companies seem to be in no hurry to boost output. Finally, learning their lesson, shale operators are focusing primarily on improving cost and increasing free cash flow rather than looking at boosting production. While oil at $90 is profitable for almost all shale entities, the industry, for its part, is sticking to the mantra of capital discipline and sustainable production. According to the weekly data provided by Houston-based Baker Hughes, the last time that WTI crude traded at these levels, some 1,600 oil rigs were operational. Now, it’s just around 600, which is proof of the wariness on the part of the producers to raise output too quickly.Lower Cost Structure: The energy companies have changed their approach to spending capital. Over the past few years, producers have worked tirelessly to cut costs to a bare minimum and look for innovative ways to churn out more oil and gas. And they managed to do just that by improving drilling techniques and extracting favorable terms from the beleaguered service providers. Moreover, driven by operational efficiencies, most E&P operators have been able to reduce unit costs, while the coronavirus-induced collapse in crude forced them to adopt a more disciplined approach to spending capital. These actions might restrict short-term production but are expected to preserve cash flow, support balance sheet strength, and help the companies to eventually emerge stronger. In particular, despite continued inflation and supply chain challenges, cash from operations is on a sustainable path as revenues improve and companies slash capital expenditures from the pre-pandemic levels amid sharply higher commodity prices.Commitment to Shareholder Return Framework: The sharp increase in crude prices has allowed the upstream operators to deliver a solid financial performance. Cash from operations looks sustainable as revenues improve and companies cut capital expenditures from the pre-pandemic levels amid sharply higher commodity realizations. To put it simply, the environment of strong prices has helped the E&P firms to generate significant “excess cash,” which they intend to use to boost investor returns. In fact, energy companies are increasingly allocating their rising cash pile by way of dividends and buybacks to pacify the long-suffering shareholders.Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Positive OutlookThe Zacks Oil and Gas - US E&P industry is a 41-stock group within the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #27, which places it in the top 11% of more than 250 Zacks industries.The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is basically the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates fairly strong near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperforms the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.The industry’s position in the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries is a result of a positive earnings outlook for the constituent companies in aggregate. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are highly optimistic about this group’s earnings growth potential. While the industry’s earnings estimates for 2022 have surged 167.5% in the past year, the same for 2023 have risen 162.8% over the same timeframe.Considering the encouraging dynamics of the industry, we will present a few stocks that you may want to consider for your portfolio. But it’s worth taking a look at the industry’s shareholder returns and the current valuation first.Industry Outperforms Sector & S&P 500The Zacks Oil and Gas - US E&P industry has fared better than the broader Zacks Oil - Energy Sector as well as the Zacks S&P 500 composite over the past year.The industry has gone up 31% over this period compared with the broader sector’s increase of 16.2%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has lost 12.1%.One-Year Price PerformanceIndustry's Current ValuationSince oil and gas companies are debt-laden, it makes sense to value them based on the EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value/ Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation and Amortization) ratio. This is because the valuation metric takes into account not just equity but also the level of debt. For capital-intensive companies, EV/EBITDA is a better valuation metric because it is not influenced by changing capital structures and ignores the effect of noncash expenses.On the basis of the trailing 12-month enterprise value-to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), the industry is currently trading at 5.56X, significantly lower than the S&P 500’s 12.19X. It is, however, well above the sector’s trailing-12-month EV/EBITDA of 3.80X.Over the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 16.47X, as low as 2.90X, with a median of 7.08X.Trailing 12-Month Enterprise Value-to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio (Past Five Years)5 Top Stocks to Buy NowEarthstone Energy: An oil producer targeting Midland Basin of west Texas and the Eagle Ford trend of south Texas., ESTE focuses on growth through a combination of acquisitions and active drilling. The company’s impressive acreage position in the top basins provides it with some 13 years of high-quality inventory life. With a reinvestment rate of just 50%, Earthstone is able to create robust free cash generation.Over 60 days, ESTE has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2022 increase 13%. The Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) ESTE’s shares have gained some 6.7% in a year. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.Price and Consensus: ESTERange Resources: Range Resources has extensive oil and gas resources in key regions like Marcellus Shale & North Louisiana. The company is ideally positioned to reap benefits in the long term from its projects in the Appalachian Basin. As most of its production comprises natural gas, RRC is well-positioned to capitalize on the mounting clean energy demand.Sporting a Zacks Rank of 1, the 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for RRC indicates 130.2% earnings per share growth over 2021. Range Resources’ shares have gained approximately 51.8% in a year.Price and Consensus: RRCMatador Resources: Matador Resources’ operations are mainly concentrated in the Delaware Basin, which is among the country’s most prolific oil and gas plays. Since 2011, the company significantly boosted its Delaware acreage, which now covers 124,800 net acres. Moreover, it identified up to 4,381 gross potential drilling locations on its Delaware Basin acreage, making its production outlook bright. Based on MTDR’s strong dividend growth story, it makes for an attractive offering.The 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for MTDR indicates 158.1% earnings per share growth over 2021. The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #1. Meanwhile, Matador Resources has seen its shares gain 26.9% in a year.Price and Consensus: MTDRAntero Resources: Antero Resources has positioned itself among the fast-growing natural gas producers in the United States. The company's strategic acreage position in the low-risk and long reserve-life properties of the Appalachian Basin is a major positive. Cashing in on high commodity prices, AR expects to generate more than $2.5 billion of free cash flow in 2022.The 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for Antero Resources indicates 413.9% earnings per share growth over 2021. Antero Resources currently carries a Zacks Rank #1. Meanwhile, the hydrocarbon producer has seen its shares increase around 103.6% in a year.Price and Consensus: ARDevon Energy: Devon is an independent energy company whose oil and gas operations are mainly concentrated in the onshore areas of North America, primarily in the United States. The upstream operator’s cost management, divestiture of Canadian assets, and completion of the Barnett Shale gas assets sale will allow it to focus on its holdings in four high-quality, oil-rich U.S. basins. DVN’s innovative dividend policy should also attract investors and position it for more upside in the near-to-medium term.The 2022 Zacks Consensus Estimate for Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) DVN indicates 157.8% earnings per share growth over 2021. Devon Energy’s shares have gained some 83.9% in a year.Price and Consensus: DVN","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DVN":0.9,"AR":1,"RRC":1,"ESTE":1,"MTDR":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}