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Hai777

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- Hai777Hai777
  ·2023-02-04
  G
  Premarket | U.S. non-farm farms far exceeded expectations in January, and unemployment rate hit nearly 53-year low
  美股三大指数期货跌幅扩大，纳指期货跌幅居前。
  Premarket | U.S. non-farm farms far exceeded expectations in January, and unemployment rate hit nearly 53-year low
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- Hai777Hai777
  ·2022-06-16
  good
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Hai777Hai777
  ·2022-04-07
  good
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- Hai777Hai777
  ·2022-03-21
  Look
  50bp to 25bp, what are the risks of the Fed's rate hike?
  3月美联储加息50bp风险解除，或将于5月开始缩表。未来的风险点主要在于美联储加息的节奏与幅度。本次议息会议有以下4点内容值得关注：首先，加息25bp落地，QT将在5月的议息会议上公布。声明显示受供需
  50bp to 25bp, what are the risks of the Fed's rate hike?
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- Hai777Hai777
  ·2022-03-08
  👍👍👍
  Last Night and This Morning | The Nasdaq fell into a bear market! European Stocks Into Bear as Energy Prices Surge
  摘要：①美股周一大幅收跌，标普跌近3%，纳指跌超3%跌入熊市；②商品期货再度大涨，伦镍一度暴涨近80%；③第三轮俄乌谈判无实质结果，停火磋商将继续进行；④、欧盟计划今年将对俄罗斯天然气的依赖程度降低近
  Last Night and This Morning | The Nasdaq fell into a bear market! European Stocks Into Bear as Energy Prices Surge
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- Hai777Hai777
  ·2022-02-18
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20:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Premarket | U.S. non-farm farms far exceeded expectations in January, and unemployment rate hit nearly 53-year low","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118840171","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美股三大指数期货跌幅扩大，纳指期货跌幅居前。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Blockbuster Data</b></p><p><b>U.S. seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls data for January: 517,000, the largest increase since July 2022. Expected: 185,000, previous value: 223,000.</b></p><p><b>The U.S. unemployment rate hit a nearly 53-year low of 3.4% in January. Expected 3.60%, previous value 3.50%.</b></p><p>U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Job growth in January was general, with the leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and healthcare sectors mainly recording gains. Employment in government sectors also increased in part, reflecting the return of striking workers.</p><p>U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: In January, the unemployment rate fell to 3.4%, and the number of unemployed people stood at 5.7 million, both little changed. From the beginning of 2022, the unemployment rate has barely moved much.</p><p>Agencies comment on non-farm in the United States in January: With such strong employment growth, it is difficult to see how wage pressure can be fully alleviated,<b>With such explosive economic news, it's harder to see the idea of the Fed stopping its rate hike and considering cutting interest rates.</b></p><p>Institutional comments on non-agricultural products in the United States in January: The labor market data greatly exceeded expectations, resulting in the decline of financial assets, which is understandable. Overall employment increased by 517,000, despite a 0.3% increase in income. The unemployment rate is at a cyclical low of 3.4%, but as stated, this could be affected by an adjustment to population estimates. Overall employment figures are much higher than economists estimate. Needless to say, this will be a firm test of the market's optimistic view of just about everything so far in 2023.</p><p><b>Futures Index Trend</b></p><p>After the data was released, the decline of the three major index futures of U.S. stocks expanded, with the Nasdaq futures among the top losers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8e64cebe736b8c46aa8c44d96727172\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-market trend of Chinese concept stocks</b></p><p>Popular Chinese stocks fell before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>It fell by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>down 1.87%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>down 1.47%,</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It dropped 1.55%, and released a limited-time preferential car purchase plan in February: within the month, the order was locked to cover the bottom of the state, and some long-warehouse exhibition cars were reduced by up to 24,000.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>down 1.54%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>It is reported that the expected internal sales of Ideal's first pure electric model have halved, resulting in the halving of the year-end bonus, which has become the direct reason for some Li Auto employees to change jobs after the year. Employees in many departments such as autonomous driving, intelligent cockpit, chassis and procurement have left their jobs, and some positions such as chip engineers and algorithm engineers have been caught in \"recruitment difficulties\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f83501d02e6eb5f6295696ea1b57d304\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Important U.S. Stock Premarket Moves</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>The stock price turned from up to down before the market. Preliminary data from the Passenger Car Association showed that Tesla's wholesale sales of Chinese-made cars in January were 66,051 units, up about 18% month-on-month and about 10% year-on-year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f89b880e0dc7369f341b09f4309c9c0\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Down 1.8%, Q1 revenue in fiscal 2023 fell 5% year-on-year to $117.15 billion, the first year-on-year decline since 2019 and the largest quarterly decline since 2016; Net income fell 13% year over year to $30 billion. iPhone revenue fell 8% year-over-year to $65.77 billion, and Mac revenue fell about 29% year-over-year to $7.74 billion due to supply chain issues.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>The revenue in Q4 2022 increased slightly by 1% year-on-year to US$76.05 billion, which was worse than expected, and the net profit decreased by 34% year-on-year to US$13.624 billion, which was the third consecutive quarter of profit decline and accelerated decline; Google's advertising business fell 3.6% year-on-year to $59.042 billion, which was worse than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>decreased by 6.12%. In Q4 2022, revenue increased by 9% year-on-year to $149.2 billion, and net profit dropped sharply by 98% year-on-year to $278 million; Cloud computing (AWS) revenue increased 20% year over year to $21.4 billion, a sharp slowdown from the 27.5% growth in the previous quarter.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>down 2.59%, Q1 fiscal 2023 revenue fell 12% year-on-year to $9.5 billion, and net profit fell 34% year-on-year to $2.235 billion; The company expects Q2 revenue and profit to be lower than market expectations due to concerns about weak demand and oversupply of smartphones.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">Starbucks</a>fell more than 2%, Q1 FY2023 revenue increased by 8.2% year-on-year to a record high of US$8.714 billion, net profit increased by 5% year-on-year to US$855 million, and same-store sales in China fell by 29%, marking the sixth consecutive fiscal quarter of decline. The company maintained its FY2023 guidance unchanged.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>fell by more than 7%, Q4 2022 revenue increased by 16.7% year-on-year to $44 billion, and net profit fell by nearly 90% year-on-year to $1.3 billion; In 2022, the full-year loss was US$2 billion, and the net profit in the same period last year was US$17.9 billion, turning from profit to loss significantly year-on-year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNY\">Sanofi-Aventis</a>fell nearly 4%, Q4 2022 revenue rose 7% year-over-year to 10.725 billion euros, and net income increased 29% year-over-year to 1.46 billion euros. The company expects EPS to grow in low single digits in 2023.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a>up 3.8%, Q4 2022 revenue increased 2% year-on-year to $7.4 billion, net profit increased three times year-on-year to $1.64 billion, and the company's 2023 revenue guidance was $26 billion to $26.5 billion, both better than market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Premarket | U.S. non-farm farms far exceeded expectations in January, and unemployment rate hit nearly 53-year low</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPremarket | U.S. non-farm farms far exceeded expectations in January, and unemployment rate hit nearly 53-year low\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-02-03 20:57</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Blockbuster Data</b></p><p><b>U.S. seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls data for January: 517,000, the largest increase since July 2022. Expected: 185,000, previous value: 223,000.</b></p><p><b>The U.S. unemployment rate hit a nearly 53-year low of 3.4% in January. Expected 3.60%, previous value 3.50%.</b></p><p>U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Job growth in January was general, with the leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and healthcare sectors mainly recording gains. Employment in government sectors also increased in part, reflecting the return of striking workers.</p><p>U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: In January, the unemployment rate fell to 3.4%, and the number of unemployed people stood at 5.7 million, both little changed. From the beginning of 2022, the unemployment rate has barely moved much.</p><p>Agencies comment on non-farm in the United States in January: With such strong employment growth, it is difficult to see how wage pressure can be fully alleviated,<b>With such explosive economic news, it's harder to see the idea of the Fed stopping its rate hike and considering cutting interest rates.</b></p><p>Institutional comments on non-agricultural products in the United States in January: The labor market data greatly exceeded expectations, resulting in the decline of financial assets, which is understandable. Overall employment increased by 517,000, despite a 0.3% increase in income. The unemployment rate is at a cyclical low of 3.4%, but as stated, this could be affected by an adjustment to population estimates. Overall employment figures are much higher than economists estimate. Needless to say, this will be a firm test of the market's optimistic view of just about everything so far in 2023.</p><p><b>Futures Index Trend</b></p><p>After the data was released, the decline of the three major index futures of U.S. stocks expanded, with the Nasdaq futures among the top losers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8e64cebe736b8c46aa8c44d96727172\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-market trend of Chinese concept stocks</b></p><p>Popular Chinese stocks fell before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>It fell by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>down 1.87%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>down 1.47%,</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It dropped 1.55%, and released a limited-time preferential car purchase plan in February: within the month, the order was locked to cover the bottom of the state, and some long-warehouse exhibition cars were reduced by up to 24,000.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>down 1.54%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>It is reported that the expected internal sales of Ideal's first pure electric model have halved, resulting in the halving of the year-end bonus, which has become the direct reason for some Li Auto employees to change jobs after the year. Employees in many departments such as autonomous driving, intelligent cockpit, chassis and procurement have left their jobs, and some positions such as chip engineers and algorithm engineers have been caught in \"recruitment difficulties\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f83501d02e6eb5f6295696ea1b57d304\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Important U.S. Stock Premarket Moves</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>The stock price turned from up to down before the market. Preliminary data from the Passenger Car Association showed that Tesla's wholesale sales of Chinese-made cars in January were 66,051 units, up about 18% month-on-month and about 10% year-on-year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f89b880e0dc7369f341b09f4309c9c0\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Down 1.8%, Q1 revenue in fiscal 2023 fell 5% year-on-year to $117.15 billion, the first year-on-year decline since 2019 and the largest quarterly decline since 2016; Net income fell 13% year over year to $30 billion. iPhone revenue fell 8% year-over-year to $65.77 billion, and Mac revenue fell about 29% year-over-year to $7.74 billion due to supply chain issues.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>The revenue in Q4 2022 increased slightly by 1% year-on-year to US$76.05 billion, which was worse than expected, and the net profit decreased by 34% year-on-year to US$13.624 billion, which was the third consecutive quarter of profit decline and accelerated decline; Google's advertising business fell 3.6% year-on-year to $59.042 billion, which was worse than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>decreased by 6.12%. In Q4 2022, revenue increased by 9% year-on-year to $149.2 billion, and net profit dropped sharply by 98% year-on-year to $278 million; Cloud computing (AWS) revenue increased 20% year over year to $21.4 billion, a sharp slowdown from the 27.5% growth in the previous quarter.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>down 2.59%, Q1 fiscal 2023 revenue fell 12% year-on-year to $9.5 billion, and net profit fell 34% year-on-year to $2.235 billion; The company expects Q2 revenue and profit to be lower than market expectations due to concerns about weak demand and oversupply of smartphones.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">Starbucks</a>fell more than 2%, Q1 FY2023 revenue increased by 8.2% year-on-year to a record high of US$8.714 billion, net profit increased by 5% year-on-year to US$855 million, and same-store sales in China fell by 29%, marking the sixth consecutive fiscal quarter of decline. The company maintained its FY2023 guidance unchanged.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>fell by more than 7%, Q4 2022 revenue increased by 16.7% year-on-year to $44 billion, and net profit fell by nearly 90% year-on-year to $1.3 billion; In 2022, the full-year loss was US$2 billion, and the net profit in the same period last year was US$17.9 billion, turning from profit to loss significantly year-on-year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNY\">Sanofi-Aventis</a>fell nearly 4%, Q4 2022 revenue rose 7% year-over-year to 10.725 billion euros, and net income increased 29% year-over-year to 1.46 billion euros. The company expects EPS to grow in low single digits in 2023.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a>up 3.8%, Q4 2022 revenue increased 2% year-on-year to $7.4 billion, net profit increased three times year-on-year to $1.64 billion, and the company's 2023 revenue guidance was $26 billion to $26.5 billion, both better than market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118840171","content_text":"重磅数据美国1月季调后非农就业数据：51.7万人，为2022年7月以来最大增幅。预期：18.5万人，前值：22.3万人。美国1月失业率 3.4%，触及近53年来低点。预期3.60%，前值3.50%。美国劳工统计局：1月的就业岗位增长是普遍的，主要是休闲和酒店、专业和商业服务和医疗保健行业录得增长。政府部门的就业也部分增加，反映了罢工工人的回归。美国劳工统计局：1月份，失业率降至3.4%，失业人数为570万，均变动不大。从2022年初开始，失业率几乎没有很大的变动。机构评美国1月非农：在就业增长如此强劲的情况下，很难看到工资压力如何能够充分缓解，在出现如此爆炸性的经济消息时，更难看到美联储停止加息并考虑降息的想法。机构评美国1月非农：劳动力市场数据大大超出预期，导致金融资产下跌，这是可以理解的。整体就业人数增加了51.7万人，尽管收入增长0.3%。失业率处于3.4%的周期性低点，但如所述，这可能会受到人口估计调整的影响。整体就业数据远高于经济学家估计。不用说，这将是对2023年迄今为止市场对几乎所有事情的乐观观点的坚定考验。期指走势数据公布后，美股三大指数期货跌幅扩大，纳指期货跌幅居前。中概股盘前走势热门中概股盘前走低。阿里巴巴、百度跌超2%，哔哩哔哩跌1.87%，京东跌1.47%，蔚来跌1.55%，发布2月限时优惠购车方案：月内锁单兜底国补，部分长库龄展车最高降2.4万。小鹏汽车跌1.54%。理想汽车跌2.66%，有消息称理想首款纯电车型内部预期销量减半，导致年终奖减半，成为部分理想汽车员工年后跳槽的直接原因。自动驾驶、智能座舱、底盘、采购等多个部门均有员工离职，且芯片工程师、算法工程师等部分岗位陷入“招工难”。重要美股盘前走势特斯拉盘前股价由涨转跌。乘联会初步数据显示，特斯拉1月份中国产汽车批发销量为66051辆，环比增长约18%，同比增长约10%。苹果跌1.8%，2023财年Q1营收同比下滑5%至1171.5亿美元，为2019年以来首次同比下滑并创2016年以来最大季度跌幅；净利润同比下降13%至300亿美元。由于供应链问题，iPhone营收同比降8%至657.7亿美元，Mac营收同比跌约29%至77.4亿美元。谷歌跌4.54%，2022年Q4营收同比微增1%至760.5亿美元逊于预期，净利润同比减少34%至136.24亿美元，为连续第三个季度盈利下滑且加速下滑；谷歌广告业务同比跌3.6%至590.42亿美元且差于市场预期。亚马逊跌6.12%，2022年Q4营收同比增长9%至1492亿美元，净利润同比大幅下滑98%至2.78亿美元；云计算(AWS)营收同比增加20%至214亿美元，较上季27.5%的增速大幅放缓。高通跌2.59%，2023财年Q1营收同比下降12%至95亿美元，净利润同比下降34%至22.35亿美元；因担忧智能手机需求疲弱和供应过剩，公司预计Q2营收和利润将低于市场预期。星巴克跌超2%，2023财年Q1营收同比增8.2%至87.14亿美元创历史新高，净利润同比增5%至8.55亿美元，中国同店销售额下降29%，为连续六个财季下滑，公司维持2023财年指引保持不变。福特汽车跌超7%，2022年Q4营收同比增长16.7%至440亿美元，净利润同比下滑近90%至13亿美元；2022年全年亏损20亿美元，上年同期净利润179亿美元，同比大幅由盈转亏。赛诺菲安万特跌近4%，2022年Q4营收同比增长7%至107.25亿欧元，净利润同比增加29%至14.6亿欧元，公司预计2023年每股盈利将以低个位数增长。吉利德科学涨3.8%，2022年Q4营收同比增长2%至74亿美元，净利润同比上涨3倍至16.4亿美元，公司2023年营收指引260亿至265亿美元，均好于市场预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054345844,"gmtCreate":1655346984888,"gmtModify":1676535619652,"author":{"id":"4093132166786330","authorId":"4093132166786330","name":"Hai777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/856f4093fe09d1b96c7446813840bed1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093132166786330","authorIdStr":"4093132166786330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054345844","repostId":"2243940692","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9012699100,"gmtCreate":1649317837511,"gmtModify":1676534490784,"author":{"id":"4093132166786330","authorId":"4093132166786330","name":"Hai777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/856f4093fe09d1b96c7446813840bed1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093132166786330","authorIdStr":"4093132166786330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9012699100","repostId":"2225656421","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2921,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034377020,"gmtCreate":1647820954244,"gmtModify":1676534267939,"author":{"id":"4093132166786330","authorId":"4093132166786330","name":"Hai777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/856f4093fe09d1b96c7446813840bed1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093132166786330","authorIdStr":"4093132166786330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Look&nbsp;","listText":"Look&nbsp;","text":"Look","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034377020","repostId":"2220791418","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220791418","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647601105,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220791418?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-18 18:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"50bp to 25bp, what are the risks of the Fed's rate hike?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220791418","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"3月美联储加息50bp风险解除，或将于5月开始缩表。未来的风险点主要在于美联储加息的节奏与幅度。本次议息会议有以下4点内容值得关注：首先，加息25bp落地，QT将在5月的议息会议上公布。声明显示受供需","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>In March, the risk of 50bp of the Federal Reserve's rate hike was lifted, or the shrinking balance sheet will begin in May. The future risk point mainly lies in the rhythm and magnitude of the Fed's rate hike. The following four points of this interest rate meeting deserve attention:</b></p><p><b>First of all, rate hike 25bp landed, and QT will be announced at the interest rate meeting in May.</b>The statement shows that due to the imbalance between supply and demand and energy prices, the inflationary pressure in the United States has increased, and the recent employment growth has been strong. However, the impact of the situation between Russia and Ukraine on the US economy is highly uncertain, so the Fed's current rate hike step is still 25bp. Meanwhile, Powell said he would unveil the shrinking balance sheet plan in May, overall faster than the previous time.</p><p><b>Second, Powell said that a sustained rate hike is appropriate, and the future recession may be low.</b>In March, the probability of inflation will exceed 8%, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the U.S. job market is still prominent. Powell believes that the economy is performing strongly, wages will continue to rise, the possibility of a recession next year is low, and the U.S. economy is capable of welcoming tighter monetary policy. We believe that if inflationary pressure continues to accumulate, we do not rule out the possibility of a one-time rate hike of 50bp in May.</p><p><b>Third, the Federal Reserve raised its core CPI forecast for 2022 by 1.4 percentage points to 4.1%, while lowering its economic growth forecast to 2.8%.</b>This Russia-Ukraine conflict has a global impact on energy, metals and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000061\">Agricultural Products</a>Supply has caused a greater impact, which has further pushed up already high inflation expectations. The inflation risk in the United States is already greater than in the late 1960s and early 1970s. We expect U.S. core inflation to remain above 4% during the year.</p><p><b>Fourth, the dot plot shows that the median rate hike reached 7 times, exceeding market expectations.</b>Inflation is the top issue that the Fed needs to solve urgently, and its importance even outweighs the downward pressure on economic growth and the lack of labor participation rate. The dot plot of this meeting shows a more aggressive rate hike expectation than before, with 75% of officials expecting seven rate hike this year, after the consensus estimate of a median of five. At the same time, nearly 70% of the voting committees support rate hike three times or more next year. After the meeting, the market expectation of 7-8 implied rate hike during the year rose by 10 percentage points to 66%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/474795d65e5a344d78b6f6af5d987497\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"634\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>March 2022 market interest rates suggest that the probability of a U.S. recession will increase significantly in 2023, but it is still difficult to hamper the pace of rate hike.</b>10Y-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a>The spread of U.S. bond yield has a certain leading position, and the inversion of the curve indicates that the possibility of the economy falling into recession is increasing. This spread is currently around 170bp, suggesting that the risk of a US recession will rise significantly after six rate hike. However, combined with Powell's speech and the Fed's inflation forecast, to prevent inflation from rising too fast and affecting consumer confidence, the Fed will continue its rate hike until inflation returns to its target range.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c27ddbd717df35a0ba5c3fb36889ff4\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>If the subsequent inflation continues to be high, the market's expectation of the Fed's one-time rate hike of 50bp will rise sharply. However, considering many uncertainties, the Fed may still end at 25bp per rate hike.</b>Since the interest rate meeting in January, the statements of the voting committees of the Federal Reserve first strengthened the expectation of a one-time rate hike of 50bp, and then finally landed with rate hike 25bp. We expect that the Fed will also guide market expectations through this model in the future to reduce the impact on financial markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23033237ad1a05ae7a09629b4ea24d6f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194ae3881c5deaa63eb0b529f6e6fb11\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>We expect the Fed's faster pace of rate hike to pull U.S. 10-year TIPS yields to maturity higher.</b>Since March, the voting committees of the Federal Reserve have expressed more views on the magnitude of this rate hike, and more of them have expressed their support for rate hike 25bp. After the 50bp expectation in rate hike failed, the real yield of U.S. bonds declined, and the yield to maturity of TIPS began to decline since early March. In the past week, the average value has dropped by nearly 25bp compared with the end of February, and the actual effect is similar to that of interest rate cuts. However, in anticipation of an accelerated pace of rate hike during the year, we expect the 10-year TIPS yield to maturity to resume its upward trend.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29e59a4f90d77636ccb7499f0b28d16e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>How will the March interest rate meeting affect asset prices?</b>The Federal Reserve is more hawkish. After the three major stock indexes once fell back, they expanded their gains again, and the yield of U.S. bonds rose sharply, reflecting investors' belief that the situation between Russia and Ukraine will not slow down the momentum of rate hike. Combined with the performance of commodities in previous rate hike cycles and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, we are still optimistic about commodities, and the US Dollar Index will remain strong.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a118c37caf1b450840e26ebfd52f12c0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>The spread of the pandemic exceeded expectations, the geopolitical crisis exceeded expectations, and the domestic and foreign policies exceeded expectations</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>50bp to 25bp, what are the risks of the Fed's rate hike?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n50bp to 25bp, what are the risks of the Fed's rate hike?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">川阅全球宏观</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-03-18 18:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>In March, the risk of 50bp of the Federal Reserve's rate hike was lifted, or the shrinking balance sheet will begin in May. The future risk point mainly lies in the rhythm and magnitude of the Fed's rate hike. The following four points of this interest rate meeting deserve attention:</b></p><p><b>First of all, rate hike 25bp landed, and QT will be announced at the interest rate meeting in May.</b>The statement shows that due to the imbalance between supply and demand and energy prices, the inflationary pressure in the United States has increased, and the recent employment growth has been strong. However, the impact of the situation between Russia and Ukraine on the US economy is highly uncertain, so the Fed's current rate hike step is still 25bp. Meanwhile, Powell said he would unveil the shrinking balance sheet plan in May, overall faster than the previous time.</p><p><b>Second, Powell said that a sustained rate hike is appropriate, and the future recession may be low.</b>In March, the probability of inflation will exceed 8%, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the U.S. job market is still prominent. Powell believes that the economy is performing strongly, wages will continue to rise, the possibility of a recession next year is low, and the U.S. economy is capable of welcoming tighter monetary policy. We believe that if inflationary pressure continues to accumulate, we do not rule out the possibility of a one-time rate hike of 50bp in May.</p><p><b>Third, the Federal Reserve raised its core CPI forecast for 2022 by 1.4 percentage points to 4.1%, while lowering its economic growth forecast to 2.8%.</b>This Russia-Ukraine conflict has a global impact on energy, metals and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000061\">Agricultural Products</a>Supply has caused a greater impact, which has further pushed up already high inflation expectations. The inflation risk in the United States is already greater than in the late 1960s and early 1970s. We expect U.S. core inflation to remain above 4% during the year.</p><p><b>Fourth, the dot plot shows that the median rate hike reached 7 times, exceeding market expectations.</b>Inflation is the top issue that the Fed needs to solve urgently, and its importance even outweighs the downward pressure on economic growth and the lack of labor participation rate. The dot plot of this meeting shows a more aggressive rate hike expectation than before, with 75% of officials expecting seven rate hike this year, after the consensus estimate of a median of five. At the same time, nearly 70% of the voting committees support rate hike three times or more next year. After the meeting, the market expectation of 7-8 implied rate hike during the year rose by 10 percentage points to 66%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/474795d65e5a344d78b6f6af5d987497\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"634\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>March 2022 market interest rates suggest that the probability of a U.S. recession will increase significantly in 2023, but it is still difficult to hamper the pace of rate hike.</b>10Y-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a>The spread of U.S. bond yield has a certain leading position, and the inversion of the curve indicates that the possibility of the economy falling into recession is increasing. This spread is currently around 170bp, suggesting that the risk of a US recession will rise significantly after six rate hike. However, combined with Powell's speech and the Fed's inflation forecast, to prevent inflation from rising too fast and affecting consumer confidence, the Fed will continue its rate hike until inflation returns to its target range.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c27ddbd717df35a0ba5c3fb36889ff4\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>If the subsequent inflation continues to be high, the market's expectation of the Fed's one-time rate hike of 50bp will rise sharply. However, considering many uncertainties, the Fed may still end at 25bp per rate hike.</b>Since the interest rate meeting in January, the statements of the voting committees of the Federal Reserve first strengthened the expectation of a one-time rate hike of 50bp, and then finally landed with rate hike 25bp. We expect that the Fed will also guide market expectations through this model in the future to reduce the impact on financial markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23033237ad1a05ae7a09629b4ea24d6f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194ae3881c5deaa63eb0b529f6e6fb11\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>We expect the Fed's faster pace of rate hike to pull U.S. 10-year TIPS yields to maturity higher.</b>Since March, the voting committees of the Federal Reserve have expressed more views on the magnitude of this rate hike, and more of them have expressed their support for rate hike 25bp. After the 50bp expectation in rate hike failed, the real yield of U.S. bonds declined, and the yield to maturity of TIPS began to decline since early March. In the past week, the average value has dropped by nearly 25bp compared with the end of February, and the actual effect is similar to that of interest rate cuts. However, in anticipation of an accelerated pace of rate hike during the year, we expect the 10-year TIPS yield to maturity to resume its upward trend.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29e59a4f90d77636ccb7499f0b28d16e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>How will the March interest rate meeting affect asset prices?</b>The Federal Reserve is more hawkish. After the three major stock indexes once fell back, they expanded their gains again, and the yield of U.S. bonds rose sharply, reflecting investors' belief that the situation between Russia and Ukraine will not slow down the momentum of rate hike. Combined with the performance of commodities in previous rate hike cycles and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, we are still optimistic about commodities, and the US Dollar Index will remain strong.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a118c37caf1b450840e26ebfd52f12c0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Risk warning:</b>The spread of the pandemic exceeded expectations, the geopolitical crisis exceeded expectations, and the domestic and foreign policies exceeded expectations</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/forexfxyc/2022-03-17/doc-imcwiwss6502882.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">川阅全球宏观</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c7221d934f1008e531bdf79c8cfe0ee","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/forexfxyc/2022-03-17/doc-imcwiwss6502882.shtml?finpagefr=p_115","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2220791418","content_text":"3月美联储加息50bp风险解除，或将于5月开始缩表。未来的风险点主要在于美联储加息的节奏与幅度。本次议息会议有以下4点内容值得关注：首先，加息25bp落地，QT将在5月的议息会议上公布。声明显示受供需失衡、能源价格影响，美国通胀压力增强，近期就业增长强劲，但俄乌局势对美国经济的影响有很高不确定性，因此美联储本次加息步长仍为25bp。同时，鲍威尔表示将于5月公布缩表计划，总体速度快于上一次。第二，鲍威尔表示持续加息是适宜的，未来经济衰退可能较低。3月通胀大概率将突破8%，且目前美国就业市场供需矛盾依然突出。鲍威尔认为经济表现强劲，薪资将持续上升，明年经济衰退的可能性很低，美国经济有能力迎接更加紧俏的货币政策。我们认为若通胀压力继续累积，不排除5月一次性加息50bp的可能。第三，美联储上调2022年核心CPI预期1.4个百分点至4.1%，同时下调经济增长预期至2.8%。本次俄乌冲突对全球范围内的能源、金属和农产品供给造成了较大影响，使得已经处在高位的通胀预期被进一步推升，美国通胀风险已经大于20世纪60年代末和70年代初。我们预计年内美国核心通胀将保持在4%以上。第四，点阵图显示加息中位值达7次，超出市场预期。通胀问题是美联储亟待解决的首要问题，其重要程度甚至超过了经济增长下行压力和劳动参与率的不足。本次会议的点阵图所显示的加息预期较此前更为激进，75%的官员预计今年将加息7次，此前市场普遍预计中位数为5次。同时，近7成票委支持明年加息3次或以上。会议结束后，年内市场隐含加息7-8次的预期上升10个百分点至66%。2022年3月市场利率表明美国经济衰退概率将在2023年明显上升，但仍难以阻碍加息步伐。10Y-3M 美债收益率利差具有一定领先性，曲线倒挂则预示着经济陷入 衰退的可能性升高。目前该利差约为170bp，暗示美国经济衰退风险将在加息6次后明显上升。然而，结合鲍威尔讲话和美联储对通胀的预测，为防止通胀上涨过快而影响消费者信心，美联储将持续加息直至通胀回到目标区间。若后续通胀持续高企，市场对美联储一次性加息50bp的预期将大幅上升，但考虑到诸多不确定性，美联储或仍将以每次加息25bp收场。1月议息会议以来，美联储各票委的表态先是强化一次性加息50bp的预期，再最终以加息25bp落地。我们预计美联储后续还将通过这种模式引导市场预期，以降低对金融市场的冲击。我们预计美联储更快的加息步伐将拉动美国10年期TIPS到期收益率走高。3月以来，美联储各票委对本次加息幅度发表了较多观点，更多表达的是对加息25bp的支持。加息50bp预期落空后美债实际收益率出现下滑，TIPS到期收益率自3月初开始下行。近一周平均值较2月末下行近25bp，实际效果近似于降息。但在年内加息节奏加快的预期下，我们预计10年期TIPS到期收益率将重拾上行趋势。3 月议息会议将如何影响资产价格？美联储更偏鹰派，三大股指一度回落后再度扩大涨幅，美债收益率大幅攀升，反映出投资者相信俄乌局势并不会减缓加息的势头。结合历次加息周期中大宗商品的表现以及俄乌冲突的影响，我们依然看好大宗商品，美元指数将保持强势。风险提示：疫情扩散超预期，地缘政治危机超预期，国内外政策超预期","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SPY":1,"UDOW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,".DJI":1,"PSQ":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,".IXIC":1,"DXD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038051935,"gmtCreate":1646701161611,"gmtModify":1676534152220,"author":{"id":"4093132166786330","authorId":"4093132166786330","name":"Hai777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/856f4093fe09d1b96c7446813840bed1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093132166786330","authorIdStr":"4093132166786330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038051935","repostId":"1198510306","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198510306","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1646696733,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198510306?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-08 07:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Last Night and This Morning | The Nasdaq fell into a bear market! European Stocks Into Bear as Energy Prices Surge","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198510306","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①美股周一大幅收跌，标普跌近3%，纳指跌超3%跌入熊市；②商品期货再度大涨，伦镍一度暴涨近80%；③第三轮俄乌谈判无实质结果，停火磋商将继续进行；④、欧盟计划今年将对俄罗斯天然气的依赖程度降低近","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① U.S. stocks closed sharply on Monday, with S&P falling nearly 3%, and Nasdaq falling more than 3% into a bear market; ② Commodity futures rose again, and Lun Nickel once soared by nearly 80%; ③ There is no substantive result in the third round of Russia-Ukraine negotiations, and the ceasefire consultations will continue; ④ The EU plans to reduce its dependence on Russian natural gas by nearly 80% this year. Overseas markets</p><p>1. Closing: Conflict situation and inflation worries pressured U.S. stocks to close down the Dow dropped 800 points</p><p>U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Monday, with the S&P falling nearly 3%, the biggest decline in more than a year, the Dow falling nearly 800 points, and the Nasdaq falling more than 3%, falling into a bear market, all hitting a one-year low. The Dow fell 2.37%, the Nasdaq fell 3.62% and the S&P 500 fell 2.95%.</p><p>2. Most popular Chinese stocks closed lower on Monday<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Mavericks Electric</a>Down nearly 17%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Dropped more than 8%</p><p>Most popular Chinese stocks closed lower on Monday, with Mavericks Electric falling nearly 17%, and the financial report showed that Q4 net profit fell 18% year-on-year;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAIX\">Fluency theory</a>It fell by over 17%, and Bilibili fell by over 8%; New energy vehicle stocks are lower,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>It fell nearly 8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>fell by more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars fell more than 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPI\">Solar Impulse</a>It rose by more than 28%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">Happy car</a>It rose by more than 21%, and education together rose by more than 10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>Youdao rose by more than 8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">Micro-holography</a>rose by more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL</a>rose by more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>It rose by more than 3%.</p><p>3. U.S. or boycott Russian crude oil U.S. WTI crude oil closed 3.2% higher</p><p>Crude oil futures prices have been supported as countries such as the United States and Britain consider banning the import of Russian oil. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil for April delivery rose $3.72, or 3.2%, to close at $119.40 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. On a near-month contract basis, it was the highest closing price since September 2008, according to FactSet data. Last week, WTI crude oil rose 26.30% cumulatively.</p><p>4. Brent was once close to $140 The possibility of a Russian oil embargo raises crisis fears</p><p>Oil prices posted their biggest daily swing ever, surging to nearly $140 earlier before falling back as the United States said it was considering a ban on Russian crude imports, exacerbating the possibility of tight supplies.</p><p>Brent oil retreated to around $121. Such oil price levels are heightening fears of a major inflationary shock to the global economy. The Biden administration is considering whether to ban Russian oil imports, at least initially, without European allies participating, people familiar with the matter said. Germany said it had no plans to suspend imports of Russian energy, adding to the volatility in the market.</p><p>5. Gold futures closed 1.5% higher on Monday and once broke through the $2,000 mark in intraday session</p><p>Gold futures closed higher on Monday and hit their highest close since August 2020. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again, causing risk aversion to rise, pushing the price of gold futures to break through the $2,000 per ounce mark on Monday.</p><p>Gold futures for April delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $29.30, or 1.5%, to close at $1995.90 an ounce, after rising to $2007.50 an ounce during the session.</p><p>6. European stocks fall into bear market amid surging energy prices</p><p>European stocks fell to their lowest level in a year, with the DAX and the euro zone's Stoxx 50 index closing bear markets as soaring oil prices raised fears that high inflation would hurt economic growth.</p><p>The DAX closed down 2% to its lowest level since November 2020, cumulatively down 21% from a record high in January. The euro zone's Stoxx 50 index closed down 1.2%, also closing in a bear market.</p><p>7. European natural gas prices soared 79%. Market chaos pushed prices to new records</p><p>Europe's benchmark natural gas futures surged 79% to the equivalent of more than $600 a barrel of crude oil, amid the most chaotic trading conditions on record. A surge could trigger massive margin calls, prompting businesses to buy exchange contracts to avoid paying cash, which in turn causes futures prices to soar further.</p><p>Related to the Russia-Ukraine situation</p><p>1. The ceasefire negotiations in the third round of Russia-Ukraine negotiations will continue without substantive results</p><p>After the third round of Russian-Ukrainian negotiations, a member of the Ukrainian delegation said that consultations with Russia on a ceasefire and cessation of hostilities would continue, and that there is still no substantive result on related issues so far. Podolyak, an adviser to the Ukrainian presidential office, also said that the third round of Russia-Ukraine talks failed to achieve results that could substantially improve the situation.</p><p>Mezinsky, head of the Russian delegation, said that Russia hopes that the humanitarian corridor will start operating from tomorrow, and Ukraine has given guarantees to this. Russia's desired goal for talks with Ukraine in Brest Oblast fell short.</p><p>2. The impact of the Russia-Ukraine war has been shown on food shelves in many countries. Worries about the global food crisis are heating up</p><p>The impact of Russia's military campaign in Ukraine on global crop markets has been seen on store shelves.</p><p>A video of people scrambling for lower-priced sunflower seed oil in a store caused buzz amid a rush to buy over the weekend in Turkey amid fears of soaring sunflower oil prices; Some supermarket chain websites are out of stock</p><p>In Egypt, the world's largest importer of wheat, the price of some unsubsidized bread has risen sharply over the past week due to higher costs; In the Greater Cairo area, a pack of five slices of noodles costs about 7.50 Egyptian pounds ($0.48), compared to 5 Egyptian pounds a week ago.</p><p>3. The conflict between Ukraine and Russia subverts the global shipping industry, and shipping rates may rise by two to three times</p><p>The Ukraine-Russia war threatens to upend the global shipping industry, which is recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. Maersk (AMKBY.US), the largest marine container group, and Mediterranean Shipping have suspended business bookings to and from Russia as sanctions begin to have an impact on trade.</p><p>Glenn Koepke of FourKites, a supply chain consultancy, said shipping rates could even rise two to three times from the current price of $10,000 per 40-foot container.</p><p>International macro</p><p>1. The EU plans to reduce its dependence on Russian gas by nearly 80% this year</p><p>The European Commission is plotting a path to ending its reliance on Russian gas, which could lead to a nearly 80% reduction in import demand this year, according to two officials familiar with the matter. To weaken the Kremlin's leverage, the European Commission revised its energy strategy after Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a military campaign against Ukraine. The plan, which will be submitted Tuesday, includes finding new sources of natural gas and improving energy efficiency, with the goal of weaning itself from Russia well before 2030, an official said.</p><p>2. Members of the U.S. House and Senate reach agreement on the outline of a bill to sanction Russia</p><p>Four top leaders of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives issued a statement that they have reached an agreement on the outline of the bill sanctioning Russia, saying they will work together to draft bills suspending normal trade relations with Russia and Belarus and authorizing the Biden administration to raise tariffs for both countries.</p><p>3. Russian gold was shut out of the London market. The certification qualifications of all gold smelters were suspended</p><p>The London Gold and Silver Market Association on Monday said it suspended all six Russian gold and silver smelters as merit deliverers following sanctions imposed on Russia by the United States, the European Union and the United Kingdom. Products manufactured by these businesses prior to the eligibility suspension will still be accepted.</p><p>Britain will \"gradually\" wean itself from Russian oil and gas, Prime Minister says</p><p>British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said Britain will \"gradually\" wean itself from Russian oil and gas in the face of tensions between Russia and Ukraine. He also called on Western countries to work together to secure energy alternatives.</p><p>After meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau and Dutch Prime Minister Rutte on the same day, Johnson said that Britain will formulate a new energy supply strategy in the coming days, noting that Britain is considering using more of its own fossil fuels. But he also stressed that Britain has not abandoned its commitment to reduce carbon emissions.</p><p>5. The problem of eating is imminent. The EU may consider relaxing the import ban of genetically modified grains and herbicide-related crops</p><p>As the world's major crude oil and grain producers are in turmoil, the European Union, which insists on high standards on rations imports, is also starting to worry about eating.</p><p>The European Union may consider temporarily lifting its ban on imports of genetically modified grains from the United States and South America to help farmers navigate the chaotic times ahead, Spanish Agriculture Minister Luis Planas was quoted as saying by media on Monday. Spain and France have also proposed exemptions for those who have used herbicides<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000061\">Agricultural Products</a>Imports, mainly to increase stocks and to find alternative supply channels for important grains, mainly corn, which are also a major source of animal feed.</p><p>Company News</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1133636608\" target=\"_blank\">Uber Raises Q1 Outlook: Consumers Eager to Get Back Around</a></p><p>Uber reportedly raised its first-quarter 2022 results forecast as pandemic-impacted travel demand rebounded faster than expected. At one point, Uber shares were up about 2% in premarket trading on March 7. Meanwhile, shares of rival Lyft are up more than 2%.</p><p>Uber said in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that it now expects its adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) to be between $130 million and $150 million in the first quarter of this year, higher than the previous estimate of between $100 million and $130 million.</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1185303476\" target=\"_blank\">Intel's self-driving business unit Mobileye secretly submits IPO application</a></p><p>According to reports, Intel Corporation announced on March 7 that Mobileye, its autonomous vehicle business unit, has secretly submitted a draft Form S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an initial public offering (IPO) of new Mobileye shares. At present, the number and price of new shares to be offered have not been determined. The IPO date will take place after the SEC completes its evaluation process, and the exact timing will also depend on the market and other conditions.</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217544945\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Most Bulls: Berlin 'Gigafactory' Approved The Stock's Biggest Suspense Clear</a></p><p>Dan Ives, a well-known Tesla bull and analyst at investment bank Wedbush, said in a note to investors on March 6th that it is crucial for Tesla to get the Berlin \"Gigafactory\" approved for production.</p><p>\"The Tesla stock 'biggest suspense' has been removed after German authorities said Tesla could start production at its new factory in Berlin,\" Ives wrote.</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217448301\" target=\"_blank\">Wedbush: Spring conference coming soon gives Apple an \"outperform\" rating</a></p><p>Apple will hold its 2022 Spring Conference at 10 a.m. local time on March 8 (2 a.m. Beijing time on March 9). It is widely expected to launch a new iPhone SE with 5G capabilities, as well as a new iPad Air and Mac using its M-series chips. Wedbush Securities believes that all of the above products will become \"popular products\" for Apple. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives has an \"outperform\" rating on Apple with a $200 price target.</p><p>5、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217415574\" target=\"_blank\">Coal giant Peabody plunged more than 24% at one point and was forced to add a large margin call as coal prices soared</a></p><p>On Monday, March 7th, Peabody Energy, the world's largest private coal company, once plunged by more than 24% in the US stock market, falling sharply from the nearly three-year high since mid-May 2019 set last Friday, nearly erasing all the gains in the month.</p><p>That's largely due to the company's announcement that, with<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>A financing arrangement was entered into, with the latter providing a $150 million unsecured multi-drawable credit facility to support \"potential liquidity needs in the near term\" for Peabody, whose coal mines are mainly located in the United States and Australia.</p><p>6、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217541424\" target=\"_blank\">Refuse to follow the trend! Uniqlo's founder says it will continue to operate in Russia</a></p><p>After the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while Western countries imposed sanctions on Russia, large European and American enterprises also withdrew from the country. While waves of companies have opted out of the Russian market, others have refused to follow suit and insisted on continuing to operate their operations in Russia.</p><p>7、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217344063\" target=\"_blank\">Buffett talks about increasing holdings of Occidental Petroleum: $4.5 billion invested in five days, buy as much as you can</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire</a>Warren Buffett, chairman of Hathaway, disclosed in an interview Monday that he recently made a big increase in his holdings<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental Petroleum</a>The story of the company's shares said that he spent $4.5 billion in five trading days last week to buy 91.2 million shares, worth more than $5 billion at the current share price.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last Night and This Morning | The Nasdaq fell into a bear market! European Stocks Into Bear as Energy Prices Surge</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast Night and This Morning | The Nasdaq fell into a bear market! European Stocks Into Bear as Energy Prices Surge\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-03-08 07:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① U.S. stocks closed sharply on Monday, with S&P falling nearly 3%, and Nasdaq falling more than 3% into a bear market; ② Commodity futures rose again, and Lun Nickel once soared by nearly 80%; ③ There is no substantive result in the third round of Russia-Ukraine negotiations, and the ceasefire consultations will continue; ④ The EU plans to reduce its dependence on Russian natural gas by nearly 80% this year. Overseas markets</p><p>1. Closing: Conflict situation and inflation worries pressured U.S. stocks to close down the Dow dropped 800 points</p><p>U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Monday, with the S&P falling nearly 3%, the biggest decline in more than a year, the Dow falling nearly 800 points, and the Nasdaq falling more than 3%, falling into a bear market, all hitting a one-year low. The Dow fell 2.37%, the Nasdaq fell 3.62% and the S&P 500 fell 2.95%.</p><p>2. Most popular Chinese stocks closed lower on Monday<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Mavericks Electric</a>Down nearly 17%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Dropped more than 8%</p><p>Most popular Chinese stocks closed lower on Monday, with Mavericks Electric falling nearly 17%, and the financial report showed that Q4 net profit fell 18% year-on-year;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAIX\">Fluency theory</a>It fell by over 17%, and Bilibili fell by over 8%; New energy vehicle stocks are lower,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>It fell nearly 8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>fell by more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars fell more than 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPI\">Solar Impulse</a>It rose by more than 28%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">Happy car</a>It rose by more than 21%, and education together rose by more than 10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>Youdao rose by more than 8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">Micro-holography</a>rose by more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL</a>rose by more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>It rose by more than 3%.</p><p>3. U.S. or boycott Russian crude oil U.S. WTI crude oil closed 3.2% higher</p><p>Crude oil futures prices have been supported as countries such as the United States and Britain consider banning the import of Russian oil. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil for April delivery rose $3.72, or 3.2%, to close at $119.40 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. On a near-month contract basis, it was the highest closing price since September 2008, according to FactSet data. Last week, WTI crude oil rose 26.30% cumulatively.</p><p>4. Brent was once close to $140 The possibility of a Russian oil embargo raises crisis fears</p><p>Oil prices posted their biggest daily swing ever, surging to nearly $140 earlier before falling back as the United States said it was considering a ban on Russian crude imports, exacerbating the possibility of tight supplies.</p><p>Brent oil retreated to around $121. Such oil price levels are heightening fears of a major inflationary shock to the global economy. The Biden administration is considering whether to ban Russian oil imports, at least initially, without European allies participating, people familiar with the matter said. Germany said it had no plans to suspend imports of Russian energy, adding to the volatility in the market.</p><p>5. Gold futures closed 1.5% higher on Monday and once broke through the $2,000 mark in intraday session</p><p>Gold futures closed higher on Monday and hit their highest close since August 2020. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again, causing risk aversion to rise, pushing the price of gold futures to break through the $2,000 per ounce mark on Monday.</p><p>Gold futures for April delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $29.30, or 1.5%, to close at $1995.90 an ounce, after rising to $2007.50 an ounce during the session.</p><p>6. European stocks fall into bear market amid surging energy prices</p><p>European stocks fell to their lowest level in a year, with the DAX and the euro zone's Stoxx 50 index closing bear markets as soaring oil prices raised fears that high inflation would hurt economic growth.</p><p>The DAX closed down 2% to its lowest level since November 2020, cumulatively down 21% from a record high in January. The euro zone's Stoxx 50 index closed down 1.2%, also closing in a bear market.</p><p>7. European natural gas prices soared 79%. Market chaos pushed prices to new records</p><p>Europe's benchmark natural gas futures surged 79% to the equivalent of more than $600 a barrel of crude oil, amid the most chaotic trading conditions on record. A surge could trigger massive margin calls, prompting businesses to buy exchange contracts to avoid paying cash, which in turn causes futures prices to soar further.</p><p>Related to the Russia-Ukraine situation</p><p>1. The ceasefire negotiations in the third round of Russia-Ukraine negotiations will continue without substantive results</p><p>After the third round of Russian-Ukrainian negotiations, a member of the Ukrainian delegation said that consultations with Russia on a ceasefire and cessation of hostilities would continue, and that there is still no substantive result on related issues so far. Podolyak, an adviser to the Ukrainian presidential office, also said that the third round of Russia-Ukraine talks failed to achieve results that could substantially improve the situation.</p><p>Mezinsky, head of the Russian delegation, said that Russia hopes that the humanitarian corridor will start operating from tomorrow, and Ukraine has given guarantees to this. Russia's desired goal for talks with Ukraine in Brest Oblast fell short.</p><p>2. The impact of the Russia-Ukraine war has been shown on food shelves in many countries. Worries about the global food crisis are heating up</p><p>The impact of Russia's military campaign in Ukraine on global crop markets has been seen on store shelves.</p><p>A video of people scrambling for lower-priced sunflower seed oil in a store caused buzz amid a rush to buy over the weekend in Turkey amid fears of soaring sunflower oil prices; Some supermarket chain websites are out of stock</p><p>In Egypt, the world's largest importer of wheat, the price of some unsubsidized bread has risen sharply over the past week due to higher costs; In the Greater Cairo area, a pack of five slices of noodles costs about 7.50 Egyptian pounds ($0.48), compared to 5 Egyptian pounds a week ago.</p><p>3. The conflict between Ukraine and Russia subverts the global shipping industry, and shipping rates may rise by two to three times</p><p>The Ukraine-Russia war threatens to upend the global shipping industry, which is recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. Maersk (AMKBY.US), the largest marine container group, and Mediterranean Shipping have suspended business bookings to and from Russia as sanctions begin to have an impact on trade.</p><p>Glenn Koepke of FourKites, a supply chain consultancy, said shipping rates could even rise two to three times from the current price of $10,000 per 40-foot container.</p><p>International macro</p><p>1. The EU plans to reduce its dependence on Russian gas by nearly 80% this year</p><p>The European Commission is plotting a path to ending its reliance on Russian gas, which could lead to a nearly 80% reduction in import demand this year, according to two officials familiar with the matter. To weaken the Kremlin's leverage, the European Commission revised its energy strategy after Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a military campaign against Ukraine. The plan, which will be submitted Tuesday, includes finding new sources of natural gas and improving energy efficiency, with the goal of weaning itself from Russia well before 2030, an official said.</p><p>2. Members of the U.S. House and Senate reach agreement on the outline of a bill to sanction Russia</p><p>Four top leaders of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives issued a statement that they have reached an agreement on the outline of the bill sanctioning Russia, saying they will work together to draft bills suspending normal trade relations with Russia and Belarus and authorizing the Biden administration to raise tariffs for both countries.</p><p>3. Russian gold was shut out of the London market. The certification qualifications of all gold smelters were suspended</p><p>The London Gold and Silver Market Association on Monday said it suspended all six Russian gold and silver smelters as merit deliverers following sanctions imposed on Russia by the United States, the European Union and the United Kingdom. Products manufactured by these businesses prior to the eligibility suspension will still be accepted.</p><p>Britain will \"gradually\" wean itself from Russian oil and gas, Prime Minister says</p><p>British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said Britain will \"gradually\" wean itself from Russian oil and gas in the face of tensions between Russia and Ukraine. He also called on Western countries to work together to secure energy alternatives.</p><p>After meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau and Dutch Prime Minister Rutte on the same day, Johnson said that Britain will formulate a new energy supply strategy in the coming days, noting that Britain is considering using more of its own fossil fuels. But he also stressed that Britain has not abandoned its commitment to reduce carbon emissions.</p><p>5. The problem of eating is imminent. The EU may consider relaxing the import ban of genetically modified grains and herbicide-related crops</p><p>As the world's major crude oil and grain producers are in turmoil, the European Union, which insists on high standards on rations imports, is also starting to worry about eating.</p><p>The European Union may consider temporarily lifting its ban on imports of genetically modified grains from the United States and South America to help farmers navigate the chaotic times ahead, Spanish Agriculture Minister Luis Planas was quoted as saying by media on Monday. Spain and France have also proposed exemptions for those who have used herbicides<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000061\">Agricultural Products</a>Imports, mainly to increase stocks and to find alternative supply channels for important grains, mainly corn, which are also a major source of animal feed.</p><p>Company News</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1133636608\" target=\"_blank\">Uber Raises Q1 Outlook: Consumers Eager to Get Back Around</a></p><p>Uber reportedly raised its first-quarter 2022 results forecast as pandemic-impacted travel demand rebounded faster than expected. At one point, Uber shares were up about 2% in premarket trading on March 7. Meanwhile, shares of rival Lyft are up more than 2%.</p><p>Uber said in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that it now expects its adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) to be between $130 million and $150 million in the first quarter of this year, higher than the previous estimate of between $100 million and $130 million.</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1185303476\" target=\"_blank\">Intel's self-driving business unit Mobileye secretly submits IPO application</a></p><p>According to reports, Intel Corporation announced on March 7 that Mobileye, its autonomous vehicle business unit, has secretly submitted a draft Form S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an initial public offering (IPO) of new Mobileye shares. At present, the number and price of new shares to be offered have not been determined. The IPO date will take place after the SEC completes its evaluation process, and the exact timing will also depend on the market and other conditions.</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217544945\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Most Bulls: Berlin 'Gigafactory' Approved The Stock's Biggest Suspense Clear</a></p><p>Dan Ives, a well-known Tesla bull and analyst at investment bank Wedbush, said in a note to investors on March 6th that it is crucial for Tesla to get the Berlin \"Gigafactory\" approved for production.</p><p>\"The Tesla stock 'biggest suspense' has been removed after German authorities said Tesla could start production at its new factory in Berlin,\" Ives wrote.</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217448301\" target=\"_blank\">Wedbush: Spring conference coming soon gives Apple an \"outperform\" rating</a></p><p>Apple will hold its 2022 Spring Conference at 10 a.m. local time on March 8 (2 a.m. Beijing time on March 9). It is widely expected to launch a new iPhone SE with 5G capabilities, as well as a new iPad Air and Mac using its M-series chips. Wedbush Securities believes that all of the above products will become \"popular products\" for Apple. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives has an \"outperform\" rating on Apple with a $200 price target.</p><p>5、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217415574\" target=\"_blank\">Coal giant Peabody plunged more than 24% at one point and was forced to add a large margin call as coal prices soared</a></p><p>On Monday, March 7th, Peabody Energy, the world's largest private coal company, once plunged by more than 24% in the US stock market, falling sharply from the nearly three-year high since mid-May 2019 set last Friday, nearly erasing all the gains in the month.</p><p>That's largely due to the company's announcement that, with<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>A financing arrangement was entered into, with the latter providing a $150 million unsecured multi-drawable credit facility to support \"potential liquidity needs in the near term\" for Peabody, whose coal mines are mainly located in the United States and Australia.</p><p>6、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217541424\" target=\"_blank\">Refuse to follow the trend! Uniqlo's founder says it will continue to operate in Russia</a></p><p>After the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while Western countries imposed sanctions on Russia, large European and American enterprises also withdrew from the country. While waves of companies have opted out of the Russian market, others have refused to follow suit and insisted on continuing to operate their operations in Russia.</p><p>7、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2217344063\" target=\"_blank\">Buffett talks about increasing holdings of Occidental Petroleum: $4.5 billion invested in five days, buy as much as you can</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire</a>Warren Buffett, chairman of Hathaway, disclosed in an interview Monday that he recently made a big increase in his holdings<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental Petroleum</a>The story of the company's shares said that he spent $4.5 billion in five trading days last week to buy 91.2 million shares, worth more than $5 billion at the current share price.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","03086":"华夏纳指","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198510306","content_text":"摘要：①美股周一大幅收跌，标普跌近3%，纳指跌超3%跌入熊市；②商品期货再度大涨，伦镍一度暴涨近80%；③第三轮俄乌谈判无实质结果，停火磋商将继续进行；④、欧盟计划今年将对俄罗斯天然气的依赖程度降低近80%。海外市场1、收盘：冲突局势与通胀忧虑施压 美股收跌道指下挫800点美股周一大幅收跌，标普跌近3%创逾一年最大跌幅，道指跌近800点，纳指跌超3%、跌入熊市，均创一年新低。道指跌2.37%，纳指跌3.62%，标普500指数跌2.95%。2、热门中概股周一收盘大多走低 小牛电动跌近17% 哔哩哔哩跌超8%热门中概股周一收盘大多走低，小牛电动跌近17%，财报显示Q4净利润同比下降18%；流利说跌超17%，哔哩哔哩跌超8%；新能源汽车股走低，小鹏汽车跌近8%，理想汽车跌超5%，蔚来汽车跌超2%。阳光动力涨超28%，开心汽车涨超21%，一起教育涨超10%，网易有道涨超8%，微美全息涨超6%，好未来涨超4%，高途涨超3%。3、美或抵制俄国原油 美国WTI原油收高3.2%由于美英等国考虑禁止进口俄罗斯石油，原油期货价格得到支撑。纽约商品交易所4月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）上涨3.72美元，涨幅为3.2%，收于每桶119.40美元。FactSet数据显示，按照近月合约计算，这是自2008年9月以来的最高收盘价。上周WTI原油累计上涨26.30%。4、布伦特一度接近140美元 俄罗斯石油禁运的可能性引发危机担忧石油价格创有史以来最大单日波幅，早前一度飙升至近140美元的水平，之后回落，因美国表示正在考虑禁止进口俄罗斯原油，加剧了供应紧张的可能性。布伦特油价回落至121美元左右。这样的油价水平正在加剧全球经济遭遇重大通胀冲击的担忧。知情人士称，拜登政府正在考虑至少在初期是否在欧洲盟友不参与的情况下禁止进口俄罗斯石油。德国表示，没有暂停进口俄罗斯能源的计划，加剧了市场的波动。5、黄金期货周一收高1.5% 盘中一度突破2000美元关口黄金期货周一收高并创2020年8月以来的最高收盘价。俄乌冲突再度升级，令避险情绪高涨，推动周一黄金期货价格一度突破每盎司2000美元关口。纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期货价格上涨29.30美元，涨幅1.5%，收于每盎司1995.90美元，盘中一度上涨至每盎司2007.50美元。6、欧洲股市在能源价格飙升之际跌入熊市欧洲股市跌至一年来的最低水平，DAX指数和欧元区斯托克50指数收盘进入熊市，因为油价飙升引发了高通胀将损伤经济增长的担忧。DAX指数收盘下跌2％，至2020年11月以来的最低水平，从1月份的创纪录高位累计下跌21％。欧元区斯托克50指数收盘下跌1.2％，也收于熊市。7、欧洲天然气价格飙升79% 市场一片混乱推动价格刷新纪录欧洲基准天然气期货飙升79%，达到相当于每桶原油超过600美元，市场出现了有史以来最为混乱的交易状况。飙升可能引发大规模的追加保证金，促使企业购买交易所合约以避免支付现金，进而导致期货价格进一步飙升。俄乌局势相关1、第三轮俄乌谈判无实质结果 停火磋商将继续进行第三轮俄乌谈判结束后，乌克兰代表团的一名成员表示，与俄罗斯关于停火和停止敌对行动的磋商将继续进行，相关问题到目前仍没有实质性结果。乌克兰总统办公室顾问波多利亚克也表示，俄乌第三轮会谈没取得能实质改善局势的结果。俄罗斯代表团团长梅津斯基则表示，俄方希望人道主义走廊从明天开始运行，乌克兰方面对此给予了保证。俄罗斯对与乌克兰在布列斯特州会谈的预期目标未能实现。2、俄乌战争的影响已在多国食品货架上显现 全球粮食危机忧虑升温俄罗斯在乌克兰开展军事行动给全球农作物市场带来的冲击已在商店货架上显现。由于担心葵花籽油价格飙升，土耳其周末期间出现抢购，民众在一家商店争抢较低价葵花籽油的视频引起热议；部分连锁超市网站缺货在全球最大的小麦进口国埃及，由于成本走高，过去一周部分未受补贴的面包价格大幅上涨；在大开罗地区，一包五片面饼的售价约为7.5埃及镑（0.48美元），而一周前为5埃及镑。3、乌俄冲突颠覆全球航运业 海运费率或将上涨两至三倍乌俄战争有可能颠覆正从新冠肺炎疫情中复苏的全球航运业。随着制裁开始对贸易产生影响，最大的海运集装箱集团马士基（AMKBY.US）和Mediterranean Shipping已经暂停了往返俄罗斯的业务预订。供应链咨询公司FourKites的格伦•克普克表示，海运费率甚至可能从目前每40英尺集装箱1万美元的价格上涨两到三倍。国际宏观1、欧盟计划今年将对俄罗斯天然气的依赖程度降低近80%据两位知情官员透露，欧盟委员会正在规划结束对俄罗斯天然气依赖的路径，这可能导致今年进口需求减少近80%。为削弱克里姆林宫方面的筹码，欧盟委员会在俄罗斯总统普京发动对乌克兰的军事行动后修改能源战略。一位官员表示，这份计划将于周二提交，内容包括寻找新的天然气来源和提高能源效率，目标是远早于2030年摆脱对俄罗斯的依赖。2、美国参众两院议员就制裁俄罗斯的法案大纲达成协议美国参议院和众议院四位高层领导人发表声明，已就制裁俄罗斯的法案大纲达成协议，表示将共同起草法案，暂停与俄罗斯和白俄罗斯的正常贸易关系，并授权拜登政府提高面向两国的关税。3、俄罗斯黄金被伦敦市场拒之门外 所有黄金冶炼商的认证资格均被暂停伦敦金银市场协会周一表示，在美国、欧盟和英国对俄罗斯实施制裁后，该协会暂停了所有六家俄罗斯金银冶炼企业的优良交货商资格。这些企业在资格暂停之前生产的产品仍将被接受。4、英首相表示英国将“逐步”摆脱对俄罗斯石油和天然气的依赖英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊表示，面对俄乌两国之间的紧张局势，英国将要“逐步”摆脱对俄罗斯石油和天然气的依赖。他同时呼吁西方各国要共同努力确保能源替代方案。约翰逊当天在与加拿大总理特鲁多和荷兰首相吕特会晤之后表示，英国将在未来几天制定新的能源供应战略，并指出英国正在考虑使用更多自己的化石燃料。但他同时强调，英国并没有放弃减少碳排放的承诺。5、吃饭问题迫在眉睫 欧盟或考虑放宽转基因谷物和涉除草剂作物进口禁令随着全球主要原油和粮食产地卷入动荡，在口粮进口问题上坚持高标准的欧盟也开始担忧起吃饭问题。据媒体周一援引西班牙农业大臣路易斯·普拉纳斯(Luis Planas)称，欧盟可能会考虑临时取消从美国和南美进口转基因谷物的禁令，帮助农民度过眼下这段混乱的时光。西班牙和法国也已经提议豁免使用过除草剂的农产品进口，主要是为了增加库存以及寻找以玉米为主的重要谷物替代供应渠道，这些产品也是动物饲料的主要来源。公司新闻1、Uber调高第一季度业绩预期：消费者渴望重新出行据报道，Uber上调了2022年第一季度业绩预期，原因是疫情影响的出行需求的反弹速度快于预期。3月7日盘前交易中，Uber股价一度上涨约 2%。与此同时，竞争对手Lyft的股价也上涨了2%以上。Uber在提交给美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的文件中称，现预计，今年第一季度调整后的EBITDA（息税折旧及摊销前利润） 将在1.3亿美元至1.5亿美元之间，高于之前预期的1亿美元至1.3亿美元之间。2、英特尔自动驾驶业务部门Mobileye秘密提交IPO申请据报道，英特尔公司3月7日宣布，旗下自动驾驶汽车业务部门Mobileye已向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）秘密提交Form S-1注册声明草案，拟首次公开发行（IPO）Mobileye新股。目前，新股发售数量和价格尚未确定。IPO日期将在SEC完成评估程序后进行，具体时间还要取决于市场和其他条件。3、特斯拉大多头：柏林“超级工厂”获批 该股最大悬念被清除特斯拉知名大多头、投行Wedbush分析师Dan Ives于3月6日在给投资者的一份报告中表示，柏林“超级工厂”获批生产对特斯拉来说至关重要。Ives写道，“在德国当局表示特斯拉可以在柏林的新工厂开始生产后，特斯拉股票‘最大悬念’已经被消除。”4、Wedbush：春季发布会即将召开 予苹果“跑赢大盘”评级苹果将于当地时间3月8日上午10点（北京时间3月9日凌晨2点）举办2022年春季发布会。市场普遍预计它将推出具有5G功能的新款iPhone SE，以及使用其M系列芯片的新iPad Air和Mac。Wedbush Securities认为，以上所有产品将成为苹果的“受欢迎产品”。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives予苹果“跑赢大盘”评级，目标价为200美元。5、煤炭巨头皮博迪一度暴跌超24%，被迫在煤价飙升时追加大额保证金3月7日周一，全球最大的私营煤炭公司皮博迪能源在美股市场一度暴跌超24%，从上周五所创的2019年5月中旬以来近三年高位大幅回落，接近抹去月内全部涨幅。这主要是由于公司发布公告称，与高盛达成一项融资安排，后者提供1.5亿美元的无担保可多次提取信贷额度，以支持煤矿主要位于美国和澳大利亚的皮博迪公司“近期内潜在的流动性需求”。6、拒绝跟风！优衣库创始人称将继续在俄经营业务俄乌冲突升级以后，西方国家对俄罗斯采取制裁措施的同时，欧美大型企业也纷纷从该国撤离。尽管一波又一波的公司选择退出俄罗斯市场，但也有公司拒绝跟风，坚持继续运营在俄罗斯的业务。7、巴菲特谈增持西方石油：五天投了45亿美元，能买多少买多少伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长沃伦-巴菲特在周一的一次采访中披露了他最近大手笔增持西方石油公司股份的经过，称他在上周五个交易日内豪掷45亿美元，买入了9120万股，按当前股价计算价值超过了50亿美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QID":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"03086":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9094613309,"gmtCreate":1645139159040,"gmtModify":1676534000736,"author":{"id":"4093132166786330","authorId":"4093132166786330","name":"Hai777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/856f4093fe09d1b96c7446813840bed1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093132166786330","authorIdStr":"4093132166786330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9094613309","repostId":"2212790643","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}