To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ IV has dropped to its 52-week low—what does that mean? Has the market’s former focal point started to fade? Not really. More likely, everyone is fixated on the April Robotaxi milestone. What we’re seeing now is just a temporary IV dip. We should probably start getting some updates on Robotaxi soon. The flywheel here isn’t actually that complicated: every mile of unsupervised driving data strengthens the FSD model; a stronger model increases FSD adoption among individual users; higher adoption then feeds back into vehicle sales and cash flow. It’s a closed loop. Self-reinforcing. Everything evolves, and eventually returns to its origin. The issue has never been the logic—it’s execution. Austin is now the real unsupervised testi

Wondering how the dip came from? Just press "buy" when you meant to "sell"[Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  

2:29 a.m. Goldman Sachs released a research note. To be honest, I forwarded it after reading just the first paragraph. Personally, I don’t trade the energy sector very often. It requires a deep understanding of industry cycles and long-term sector observation. Roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz every day. Right now, that artery is blocked. How large is the disruption? Goldman gives a number: 17 mb/d (million barrels per day). For context: when the Russia–Ukraine War broke out in 2022, the global market was already rattled by Russian production cuts. At the peak, the supply shock was roughly 1 mb/d. What we’re looking at now is 17 times that. What about rerouting? Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have two pipelines that could theoretically dive

Recently, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ s stock price has been somewhat "underappreciated." While the company itself remains strong, its performance has lagged noticeably behind its AI peers in terms of market sentiment. Why? To some extent, the market's imagination has been sidetracked by ASIC custom chips and the growth potential of its longtime rival AMD. In my view, secondary narratives driving up valuations are merely symptoms of overheated sentiment. The true "AI chip king" remains the fundamental driver of valuation. With the Blackwell "game-changer" ramping up production at full speed, could NVDA deliver a "breakout" quarterly performance in Q3 as the king returns?The key focus is: Blackwell's demand acceleration exploding at full throttle.First, two key

Up until yesterday, $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ was the awkward outsider at the AI party: everyone from NVIDIA to AMD was getting cozy with the big dogs, but Qualcomm? Crickets. Then BAM – they drop AI 200 and AI 250, two data-center beasts aimed straight at the AI accelerator arena. Stock rockets 21%+, slapping on $20 billion in market cap like it's no big deal. But here's the kicker: this wasn't your typical "news dump and dump" frenzy.Trading-wise, the surge didn't spike in the first frantic minutes like some algo-fueled sugar rush. Nah, it simmered for a solid 20+ minutes, building that sweet, torturous upside before the inevitable cooldown. Contrast that with $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ 's October 6th OpenAI o

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ s proposed $9 billion acquisition of $Core Scientific, Inc.(CORZ)$ represents the most significant source of valuation divergence currently impacting CRWV's near-term valuation. The core rationale for this acquisition lies in CRWV gaining access to valuable power resources and infrastructure footprint through the acquisition of CORZ to support its rapid expansion in the AI data center sector. Simultaneously, as the target company, the gap between CORZ's current stock price and the implied valuation from the merger presents an arbitrage opportunity for the market, indirectly supporting CRWV's stock performance.As of October 27, 2025, the transaction remains in the shareholder voting

$Papa John's(PZZA)$ The recent resurgence of acquisition offers has caught my attention. $Apollo Global Management Inc(APOS)$ has proposed a $64 per share offer (still about half the historical peak of $130), which holds significant return potential if the deal closes successfully. The stock currently trades at $45.62 as of October 13, 2025. With such a wide spread, it's practically a paradise for arbitrageurs—though the risks are considerable.For investors with a certain risk appetite, this should be a case worth betting on with a high position.Causes: Domestic pressures facing the franchise giantPapa John's currently operates 6,019 stores across 50 countries and regions worldwide. Data as of March 30, 2

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ While it hasn't surged in this wave of semiconductor FOMO, it perfectly embodies the old adage: "A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step." Recent Microsoft research offers eye-opening insights from direct feedback of 300 CIOs. The standout data lies in software spending: 2025 IT budgets remain steady at +3.6%, with software leading the charge at +3.8%; the 2026 outlook shows overall budgets accelerating slightly to +3.8%, and software to +3.9%. Microsoft's steady, "slow-burner" growth—averaging +4.1% over the past decade—hits the sweet spot.For MSFT, the biggest prize is GenAI.AI/ML remains firmly atop CIOs' priority list, with hyperscalers emerging as preferred partners and Microsoft leading the pack. Research in

Investors Are Paying a Premium for $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Oracle(ORCL)$ Not Because They're Making Money, But Because They're Spending ItListen up, folks—when investors shell out extra for Nvidia and Oracle, it's not about the profits rolling in today. It's about the cash they're burning through like there's no tomorrow. That's the hallmark of a classic cycle: when an industry hits that "strategically irreplaceable" sweet spot, capital rewards the spenders first, not the earners. The AI investment loop is so damn resilient because this "spending makes sense" vibe is holding strong—for now.Over the past year, the flow of AI capital has flipped on its head, hard.Phase one? Software frenzy—big models, agents, C

Summary $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ announced a multi-year partnership with OpenAI worth more than $100 billion in aggregate, involving the phased deployment of up to 6GW of compute capacity powered by AMD Instinct GPUs. In exchange, OpenAI will receive up to 160 million AMD warrants, roughly equivalent to 10% equity, tied to deployment and performance milestones.The deal has sparked euphoria on Wall Street, driving AMD to near-term highs — before the stock retraced roughly 10%. The key question: Is this truly transformational for AMD’s fundamentals, or just another hype-driven re-rating?The Facts: What’s in the DealThe structure is straightforward but nuanced. AMD will supply OpenAI with up to 6GW of GPU compute capacity across several product g