JacksNiffler

8 years Analyst of high-quality U.S. &HKEX stocks.

    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-21 11:50

      Pelosi: How to Sell Deep ITM Calls like a Pro? (With new position)

      Old Demoness Pelosi announced new positions the day before Trump's inauguration (probably coincidentally), most of which are similar in style to the previous ones, with the main layout still in AI, but with some stylistic changes:Added AI application layer positions:Added $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ Opened a small position in Medical AI company $Tempus AI(TEM)$ Lowered hardware position by a small amount:Lowered position in $Apple(AAPL)$ (sold 31,600 shares)Maintained position in $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (s
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      Pelosi: How to Sell Deep ITM Calls like a Pro? (With new position)
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-20 14:25

      Why Tik Tok needs to link Trump THAT MUCH?

      Tik Tok US went offline on the 19th, then was available again on the 20th.It also has a very artfully written pop-up window description:At the top of the pop-up is TikTok's colorful logo, and underneath it says "Welcome back!"andFollowed by a text, "Thanks for your patience and support. As a result of President Trump's efforts, TikTok is back in the U.S.!"(Thanks for your patience and support.Thanks to President Trump, TikTok is back in the U.S.!).And then below that, "You can continue to create, share, and discover all the things you love on TikTok."It's also telling that Trump is mentioned so strongly and so many times:Sort of a thank you to Trump for his pivotal role in the turnaround of TikTok's fortunes; after all, by granting a 90-day grace period, TikTok could have had time to negot
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      Why Tik Tok needs to link Trump THAT MUCH?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-16

      Highlights on TSMC Q4 Earnings

      $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ 4Q2024 Earnings Highlight:1. CoWoS demand growth, denial of order cutsStrong demand driver: Demand for CoWoS technology is growing significantly, with a surge in orders from customers such as NVIDIA, and CoWoS-L demand is expected to grow 1018% year-on-year in 2025.Capacity expansion plan: TSMC expects to increase its monthly capacity to 75,000 wafers by the end of 2025 to cope with the continuously growing market demand.2. Strong performance in packaging and memory markets, strong demand in FY25Packaging business expansion: strong demand for HPC and AI chips, advanced packaging business revenue share increased from 8% to over 10%. over 10% revenue share by 2024, demand expected to grow 113% by 2025.Memory
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      Highlights on TSMC Q4 Earnings
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-15

      Is Meta to cut 5% low-performers a good move?

      $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ recently announced in an internal memo that it plans to lay off approximately 5% of its workforce in 2025, primarily targeting underperforming employees.The implementation is expected to begin on Feb. 10, and about 3,600 employees could be affected.According to Zuckerberg, this is an effort to raise the company's overall performance management standards in anticipation of an "intense year".Typically, underperforming employees are gradually managed out of the company over the course of a year, and the process will be accelerated this time around.At the same time, Meta has also said that it will offer generous severance packages to laid-off employees.This is Meta's move to further optimize its operations after massive la
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      Is Meta to cut 5% low-performers a good move?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-14

      Venture Global IPO: Biggest Energy IPO On Trump Era??

      Venture Global, a prominent U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporter, is preparing for a significant initial public offering (IPO) aimed at achieving a valuation of up to $110 billionSome Key DetailsIPO Size and Pricing: The company plans to offer 50 million shares priced between $40 and $46 each, potentially raising up to $2.3 billion if the shares sell at the upper end of this range.Market Context: This IPO is expected to be the largest by an energy company in the U.S. since 2013, surpassing previous records in the sector. The timing aligns with a growing global demand for LNG amid a transition towards cleaner energy sources.Company Background: Founded in 2013, Venture Global has quickly established itself as a major player in the LNG market, operating facilitie
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      Venture Global IPO: Biggest Energy IPO On Trump Era??
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-14

      Tik Tok made Tesla another buy?

      Cause: The U.S. Supreme Court recently ruled to uphold the ban on TikTok - the U.S. will force a shutdown of TikTok on Jan. 19 (the day before Trump's inauguration) if TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, doesn't sell the app.However, ByteDance has explicitly refused to sell. starting January 13, some US users moved to the new social platform, and Xiaohongshu (RedNotes) topped the App Store's free charts.There are rumors of Tik Tok sale to Elon Musk:The sale of Tik Tok to Musk seems to be an emotionally acceptable outcome for China, the U.S. government (both the Biden and Trump administrations), business partners, and Tik Tok itself;If Elon buys Tik Tok, it's also likely that it will be merged into the existing X platform (but operated independently under a separate brand), and then raise m
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      Tik Tok made Tesla another buy?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-09

      How To Arbitrage From the "Jan.9" Closed Day?

      Since January 9 is a special "closed day" this year, there are some arbitrage opportunities.On January 8, there were some arbitrage opportunities in the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ expiration dates of January 8 and January 9 for two at-the-money (ATM) options (mainly focused on the 515 strike).Because of the January 9 vacation, the options expiring on January 9 will settle at the January 8 closing price, and the theoretical value of the two options as calculated by the BSM model should be the same.However, a spread occurs.Therefore, if one buys 1.8 of the 515's PUT and sells 1.9 of the 515's PUT at the same time, one can easily eat the Premium.As an analogy, at the close of trading on January 6, QQQ's 515's PUT for January 8 expiration averaged $0.61, while
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      How To Arbitrage From the "Jan.9" Closed Day?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-08

      Estimates on Palantir in 2025

      $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ell nearly 8% on Tuesday after Cathie Wood's Ark Investments ETF "liquidated" $15 million worth of shares.The $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ now has almost no position in PLTR, which at its peak made up more than 5% of ARK's portfolio.The position was liquidated late last year and continued to sell off continuously through January.Separately, $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ also initiated coverage on the stock on Monday with a "hold" rating and a $60 price target.Currently, the market is not expecting much from PLTR through 2025, and believes thatPalantir's valuation is unsustainable, trading at extremely high multiples, with a price-to-sales ra
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      Estimates on Palantir in 2025
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-07

      How much is the new Fubo worth?

      Prior to this case, $fuboTV Inc.(FUBO)$ had been fighting an "antitrust lawsuit" from Venu Sports.Venu Sports is a sports streaming service launched by $Walt Disney(DIS)$ $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ and $Fox Corporation Class B(FOX)$ a joint sports streaming service.Fubo believes that Venu is deliberately motivated to prevent distributors like Fubo from accessing unbundled sports content, and therefore can would likely substantially lessen competition in the marketplace, and therefore progress through the end of 2024 has been made to gain the support of the DOJ, and also the support of a number of states, including NY, CA
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      How much is the new Fubo worth?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·01-03

      Why Apple And Tesla the first to diverge?

      On the first trading day of 2025, U.S. stocks opened lower and higher, with $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ reversing several times, and $.DJI(.DJI)$ rising 360 points before turning down nearly 370 points.The plate is seriously polarized, $Apple(AAPL)$ fell nearly 3%, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ eep down 7.6%, but the chip index $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ energy $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ and photovoltaics are higher.Apple's pullback was relatively unexpected.There is no big news
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      Why Apple And Tesla the first to diverge?
       
       
       
       

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