Tariff War Helps Raise Defense Stocks Over The Market
As President Donald J. Trump emerged victorious in the 2024 election and prepared to begin his second term, his team informed European officials that he expects their respective countries to spend at least 5% of their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on building military capabilities. As of 2024, it was estimated that virtually every country – even the U.S. – fell short of this target. However, it bears noting that the U.S.' spending is significantly higher than that of almost every one of its European allies combined. Additionally, given the significant deployment of U.S. military assets over in Europe to buttress its defense from threats, it is intuitively logical that Europe could ideally stand to be more invested in its own defense (and an idea supported by many a U.S. think ta
Trump’s “Liberation Day” Tariffs Might Last Several Years. Here’s Why.
The 2nd of April 2025 was proclaimed by President Trump as “Liberation Day” wherein the U.S. government announced a host of sweeping tariff hikes across the board with all of America's trading partners. These tariffs announced were by far the most sweeping set of hikes announced since the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act. Perhaps, that which boggled the minds of most economists were the claims made about the "casus belli": tariffs being levied by other countries on U.S. goods, examples of which were shown to the media on a board wherein the first column were the names of select countries, the second column was titled "Tariffs Charged to the U.S.A. Including Currency Manipulation and Trade Barriers" and the third column was titled "U.S.A. Discounted Reciprocal Tariffs".Source: White H
Why the Market isn’t Raising the Roof on Nvidia’s Strong FY25 Earnings
While American chipmaker Nvidia's ($NVIDIA(NVDA)$) earnings release for Fiscal Year 2025 (FY 2025), that ended on the last day of January 2025, was positive as expected, the market's reaction was rather cool. On the day of the earnings release – the 25th of February – the stock had dipped 2.8% from the previous day's close. On the 26th, however, it rose 3.7% - essentially marking a mere 1% premium. On the 27th, it fell a staggering 8.5%. Line item trends, while extremely encouraging at first blush, are heavy with nuance that seemingly explains why the majority of major market participants are "politely positive" as opposed to "uproariously bullish" on the stock's forward outlook. Trend Drilldown In overall terms, revenue trends are positive
Why Alibaba Was Shaky Despite Strong Top Segment Earnings Performance
China's Amazon equivalent (and a lot more), Alibaba Group Holding Limited ($Alibaba(BABA)$) is dual listed as an "American Depositary Share" in U.S. bourses and as a stock ($BABA-W(09988)$) in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX). The company's earnings release on the 20th of February marked the first three quarters ("9M") for its Fiscal Year 2025 (FY 2025). The resulting effect on the two tickers is fascinating: on the 20th, the U.S. ticker rose by 8% while the HKEX ticker fell by 3% over the previous day's close. On the 21st, both tickers rose by 6% and 15% respectively. On the 22nd, they fell by 10% and 2% respectively. This form of performance imputed on a high-conviction mega-stock clearly
Why Coinbase Is Flatlining After Posting Massive Earnings Gains
Since the release of its earnings for Fiscal Year (FY) 2024 on the 13th of February through the 20th, the stock price of global cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Inc ($Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$) has dropped by almost 14%. Going by line item trends, this flies in the face of overall trends. Trend Drilldown Net revenues in FY 2024 saw a solid 115% increase in year-on-year (YoY) terms, along with some interesting line item trends being confirmed. Stablecoins see a retreat in revenue contributions, leading to a 11% reduction in the contribution of "Subscription and Services" to net revenue. "Transactions", meanwhile, saw a staggering 162% increase in revenues being contributed in early signs of 2022's highs hovering into sight for this segment
Are Some Investors Bullish on Supermicro Possibly Delisting?
Server and storage solution manufacturer Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$) – better known as "Supermicro" – has been having a rough time of late. In October last year, their long-time auditor Ernst & Young ended their association, stating that it no longer had confidence in management’s statements and no longer wanted to be associated with the financial reports prepared. The company reported a month later that it has now retained BDO USA as its auditor to stay compliant with listing requirements at Nasdaq. Ernst & Young's decision was preceded by the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) opening an investigation into the company following an exposé alleging "accounting manipulation" by now-defunct s
U.S. Dollar Worries Boost Bitcoin and Coinbase Valuations
Over the past one year till date, the price performance of Bitcoin ($Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$) has been staggering, with a nearly 127% increase since the 14th of December last year till early trends on the 16th of December. This increase in interest (and valuation) is reflected in the rise of Coinbase Inc ( $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$) - the premier exchange of choice for a rising number of large institutional investors for all products crypto-related - wherein its stock has risen 109% in the same period. Bitcoin vis-à-vis Fiat Currencies (Mostly the Dollar) Bitcoin has long been touted as a viable alternative - mostly the U.S. dollar in the face of U.S. government debt continuing to pile
American chipmaker Nvidia Inc's ($NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$) earnings release for Q3 2024 (or "FY 2025" in their reporting convention) wasn't expected to be a disappointment and it certainly wasn't: adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.81 cents against an expectation of $0.75 while revenue ran at $35.08 billion versus an expectation of $33.16 billion. However, the share price instantly plunged 2% in after-hours trading and an overall "deceleration" in share price growth is being implied. The reasons for this are somewhat complex. Trend Drilldown In terms of revenue, the company's line item trends have plenty to cheer. As one drills down through different layers, however, there is some signs of dampening. Note: The a
NIO Stock: Despite Mixed H1 Results, Deliveries Stay Strong and Company Broadens Its Market
Chinese “pure play” electric vehicle carmaker NIO Inc. ($NIO Inc.(NIO)$ or $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ ) — a long-touted “Tesla Killer” — announced its second quarter (Q2) earnings for its Fiscal Year (FY) 2024 on the 5th of September. By no means was the stock a massive earner in the Year Till Date (YTD) until then. However, the stock had risen by a massive 47.35% from a month before the earnings release. Since the release and as of the 11th, the stock has held steady. Early trends for the 12th indicate a significant downturn in the single-digit percentage range. Interestingly, the bulk of the price accrual seen in the American Depositary Share (ADS) noticeably occurred during the first week of Se
Why Nvidia is a "Disaster" *Despite* Beating Expectations
Leading AI-relevant chipmaker Nvidia Inc's (ticker: $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$) earnings for its second quarter (Q2) beat analysts' consensus estimates by delivering $30.04 billion versus an expectation of $28.7 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.68 versus an expectation of $0.64. Despite projecting $32.5 billion in revenue over the current quarter versus expectations of $31.7 billion and Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress expressing confidence in the company being able to several billion dollars in value of its next-generation Blackwell products (currently being tested as samples) in its fourth quarter, the company's stock dropped by 8% in extended trading. When markets opened, the stock fell another 6.38%.