SpaceX, Broadcom, and Oracle are issuing massive amounts of bonds! The US bond market is "overcrowded," with "increasing concentration, ultimately influenced by the AI cycle."
AI融资浪潮一周内催生逾1500亿美元债务需求，公开债市趋于饱和，被迫大量转向私募信贷和SPV。债市“挤出效应”已令10年期美债收益率重回5.31%、垃圾债CCC利差逼近1000基点历史关口。甲骨文五年期违约概率被市场定价超20%，SpaceX CDS四个月内近乎翻倍。高盛警告：AI借款方“愿意付任何代价”，最终买单的将是消费者、小企业乃至各国政府。
