$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ The recent semi boost was largely driven by memory makers, not by chip makers. Memory makers (DRAM, HBM) and NAND makers are all showing impressive order books, strong profits, and forecasts. Apple raising prices is undoubtedly bad for consumers. But for the underlying memory chip stocks, it's a significant boost. This suggests memory makers have leverage, while Apple doesn't. The issue for SOXX or SOXL is that Micron is the largest memory holding at only about 7-8%, so while it's significant, it's pretty much the only major memory name in there. So even though we get a boost from memory, Marvell, and AMD, we have a laggard in Broadcom. NVIDIA also hasn't bee
Quick updates before I head out: The FOMC used 2-to-3-month-old data from before the oil crash to vote on a hawkish dot plot, pushing the probability of a September rate hike near 50%. There's a view that future decisions should use real-time data and eliminate these stale dot plots. Unfortunately, the market is currently structured around this outdated dot plot, driving up 2-year yields and the USD, which is triggering a negative chain reaction for metals and rate-sensitive stocks. On the flip side, 10Y and 30Y yields are reacting to falling oil prices and are dropping. Lower oil prices take 1 to 3 months to impact CPI and 2 to 3 months to hit PCE, and that's when a USD correction is expected. While current market pressure stems from rising short-term yields and a stronger dollar, the AI
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ 277.78Pre-market down 1.50 (-0.5%), had a bigger dip below VWAP, then a sharp bounce to reclaim VWAP yet again. Now pushing off VWAP, it's still toying with the idea of going green. Chips have all the momentum, buy the dip, sell the rips. This overnight trading has been very nice; nice technical setups and follow-throughs. Just don't use too much leverage as volume is thin, and you don't want to be caught if there is some breaking news.