$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ $Lumentum(LITE)$ If the deal closes on typical terms, most of the damage already looks priced in, which would put MRVL around $205–230. A bad deal paired with weak AI sentiment could drag it down to roughly $190–200. The dilution math: • Before the news, MRVL was worth about $221B (~$252/share). LITE is worth about $83B. • A typical 30–40% takeover premium means paying roughly $108–116B in new MRVL shares, around 430–460M new shares on top of roughly 880M existing. • Combined value ($221B + $83B) divided by about 1.31–1.34B shares comes to about $227–233 per share. • If you treat LITE as overvalued (Morningstar thinks it's about 20% above fair value), that drops to abo
$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ This looks like a good buying opportunity. Management can't do an all-stock deal for $Lumentum(LITE)$ at the current share price. Management will announce no deal, and the stock should surge.
$Lumentum(LITE)$ Neither Lumentum nor Marvel has denied the news. What shorts think the price should be doesn't really matter here. The only thing that matters is how much of a premium Marvel is willing to pay. The price should be out soon, and it will likely be much higher than where it's trading right now.
$Lumentum(LITE)$ If anyone saw a Marvell–Lumentum headline somewhere specific, send me the link and I'll check it. It could be a rumor or a very new report that hasn't shown up in my searches yet.