To The Moon

Last Week's Recap 1. Market Digest: Stocks Consolidate, Earnings Strong, PPI Cools, Oil Surges Stocks consolidate — S&P 500 fell 1.55% for the week; tech lost momentum late as TSM's capex hike and Alphabet's AI delay sparked valuation concerns. Health care, consumer staples, and real estate stayed strong. Energy minerals, commercial services, and consumer non-durables led; communications, electronic tech, and consumer durables lagged. Earnings strong — Major banks beat expectations to kick off Q2 season; more than 87% of S&P 500 companies reporting through Thursday exceeded estimates. Bonds volatile — 10-year Treasury traded near 4.6% midweek on resilient labor data and Middle East uncertainty, then eased into the weekend on softer PPI and new economic data. PPI cools — June produc

Last Week's Recap 1. Market Digest: Moderate Gains, Earnings Build-Up, Yields Spike, Oil Reverses Moderate gains — S&P 500 +1%+, NASDAQ +2%, second straight positive week; stocks alternating gains/losses since early June on AI spending, Middle East, oil. Earnings build-up — Q2 S&P 500 earnings growth forecast 23.6% (up from 23.3%), second straight quarter of 20%+ growth as banks kick off season. Elevated yields — 10-year Treasury at 4.56% (from 4.37%), 30-year at 5.06% (from 4.87%), highest since mid-May. Dow record — Dow hit 53,055.9 Mon (record), but finished -0.5% for week. S&P 500 -0.5% below June 2 record; NASDAQ -3% below June 2 peak. Oil reverses — Crude jumped to ~$76 Wed on Middle East escalation, pulled back to ~$71 Fri. Volatility eases — VIX fell to 15.0 (lowest in

Last Week's Recap 1.Market Digest: Stocks Rally, Q2 Crushes, Jobs Miss, Oil Tumbles (Week Ended July 3, 2026) Regaining momentum — Major U.S. indexes rose ~2%; $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ hit a record high, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ below June 2 peaks. Q2's rally — NASDAQ +21%+, S&P 500 +15% (best since 2020); Dow +13% (best since 2022), reversing Q1's steep declines. Jobs setback — June added just 57,000 jobs (half expected); April/May revised down by 74,000 combined. Oil stabilizes — Crude $WTI Crude Oil - main 2608(CLmain)$ at ~$68, extending

The bull isn't dead, but "AI must pay." In the tug-of-war between soft landing and bubble peak, cash flow quality > growth story, and defensive rotation > single-track conviction. As of June 30, 2026 | Data sourced from aggregated market data H1 in One Thread: A Seller's Market for AI Infrastructure Summing up the first half 2026, the rally can be traced along one clear thread: AI compute demand → Semiconductor/storage/equipment orders surge → Earnings beats → Valuation re-rating → Leveraged capital floods in → Positive feedback loop Semiconductors, storage, and the AI supply chain were the absolute core of H1, full stop; Concept themes (lidar, hydrogen, OLED) going parabolic shows market capital hunting for "the next AI" narrative beyond the main thread; High-beta growth style compr

Last Week's Recap 1. Weekly Market Digest: Defensive Rotation, Value Crushes Growth, PCE Hot, Oil Slides Defensive market — Semis sold off as defensives outperformed; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunged 4.6%, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 500 -2.0%, while $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ eked out +0.6%. Value tops growth — Growth index fell 3.2% while value rose 0.2%, widening YTD outperformance to 14.4% vs. growth's 0.1%. Price pressures — May PCE inflation at 4.1% annual rate (highest in 3+ years), in line with expectations; core PCE 3.4%. GDP upgrade — Q1 GDP revised up to 2.1% (from 1.6%), as lower imports offset weaker consumer spending. Bitcoin

Last Week's Recap 1. Weekly Market Digest: Peace Deal Rally, Warsh's Hawkish Hold, PPI Shocks, Oil Crashes Peace deal — U.S.-Iran peace agreement reopened the Strait of Hormuz; NASDAQ +2.43%, S&P 500 +0.93%. Tech/semis surged double-digits; SpaceX ($SPCX) jumped ~20% in its second trading day. Fed debut — Warsh's first FOMC held rates steady but left the door open for late-2026 hikes; press conference spooked markets Wednesday (S&P -1.4%, NASDAQ -1.5%), with a partial Thursday rebound ahead of the holiday weekend. PPI shock — Wholesale prices rose 1.1% MoM, crushing the 0.7% consensus and reigniting inflation fears. Bond swings — 10-year Treasury yield traded around 4.48% early week before settling near 4.46%; the 2-year climbed 15bp as markets repriced Fed expectations post-meetin

Last Week's Recap 1. CPI at 3-Year High, Small-Cap Records, AI Hardware Boom, and the 'New Fed' Debut Jagged path — S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow each +0.7% after a Wed sell-off and Thu-Fri rebound; still below early June records. Elevated inflation — May CPI at 4.2% (highest in 3+ years); May PPI surged to 6.5%, highest since November 2022. Small-cap record — Russell 2000 hit a record high, up ~4% for the week and 19% YTD. European rate hike — ECB hiked 25bp for the first time since 2023, lifted inflation forecast, downgraded growth outlook. Oil's bumpy ride — Crude jumped above $93 Wed then fell to ~$84 Fri (lowest since mid-April), down ~6% for the week. Volatility push-pull — VIX spiked to highest since April 7 on Wed, but closed Fri nearly 18% below prior week. Sentiment uptick — Michi

Last Week's Recap 1. Weekly Market Digest:S&P 500 Streak Snapped, Jobs Hot, Yields Spike, Bitcoin Crashes Streak snapped — S&P 500 broke its 9-week win streak, down ~2.5%; NASDAQ plunged 4.7%, Dow slipped 0.2% on a Friday semi sell-off. Jobs momentum — May added 172,000 jobs, beating consensus for a third straight month; 3-month average hit 188,000, strongest since March 2024. Yields rise — 2-year Treasury spiked to 4.16% (from 4.00%), leading a bond sell-off on the hot jobs data. Rate hike outlook — CME FedWatch: ~72% odds of Fed hikes by year-end (25bp–75bp), 27% no change, <1% chance of a cut. Bitcoin decline — Crashed ~18% to ~$60,000, lowest since September 2024; well below the $82,000 May peak and $126,000 record. Inside Q1 earnings — S&P 500 Q1 earnings up 28.6% YoY,

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ plunged 2.59% and closed at 7,383.74, as a brutal selloff across the semiconductor complex erased the prior week's AI-driven gains. The index broke below the 7,400 level as investors rotated out of high-beta tech and into defensive healthcare. Industry leaders: Housewares & Specialties (+9.05%), Agricultural & Farm Machinery (+6.68%), Hotel & Resort REITs (+6.24%), Managed Health Care (+5.77%), and Security & Alarm Services (+4.51%). 10 Popular Stocks: $Micron Technology(MU)$ -13.25% — The memory-chip leader collapsed on valuation concerns and supply-demand fears. Yahoo Finance data shows the stock closed at $864.01 on 5 June, with analysts' average 12-month target a

Last Week's Recap 1. Weekly Market Digest: S&P 500's 9-Week Run, PCE Inflation Hot, Oil Crashes Pushing higher — S&P 500 ninth straight weekly gain; NASDAQ +2.4%, S&P +1.4%, Dow +0.9%. Price pressures — April PCE inflation at 3.8% annual rate (highest since May 2023); core PCE 3.3%. Oil pullback — Crude fell for a second straight week on U.S.-Iran talks, down nearly 10% for the week to ~$88; roughly 16% lower for May. May's momentum — NASDAQ +8.4%, S&P 500 +5.1%, Dow +2.8% in May, though short of April's double-digit gains. GDP downgrade — Q1 GDP revised down to 1.6% (from 2.0%) on weaker consumer spending and investment. Rising expectations — Analysts raised Q2 S&P 500 earnings estimates by 2.5% in April/May, per FactSet; results begin mid-July. East Asian rally — Sout