To The Moon

$iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🚨💥 Global Markets Just Got a Shockwave: I’m Positioning for Asymmetric Alpha 💥🚨

I’m convinced we’ve just entered one of the most pivotal weeks of the quarter, possibly the year, and I’m not sitting on the sidelines. This isn’t just about earnings. It’s about the convergence of economic inflection points, global trade pivots, and escalating capital flow rotations into semis, AI, and China-exposed equities. The setup across $SPY, $FXI, and the major mega caps reporting this week is unprecedented.

📊 This week’s catalyst overload is no coincidence; it’s by design.

Between now and Friday, we’ll see:

• Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Qualcomm, Lam Research, ARM, and COIN all report

• The Fed’s rate decision and Powell’s presser on Wednesday

• ADP payrolls, core PCE, ISM manufacturing, GDP, and consumer sentiment back-to-back

• A geopolitical curveball from Trump: a $750B EU energy deal, 0% tariffs, and $600B more in EU investment

These aren’t just isolated events; they’re forcing capital to reposition, fast.

🇨🇳 China Is Quietly Back in Play

Options flow in $FXI exploded last week with $63.89M in bullish positioning versus just $4.2M in puts. That’s a staggering 0.2 put-to-call ratio. The trades were not retail noise either; these were deep institutional sweeps, mostly on the $40–$42 strikes for Sep and Oct expirations, with 318%+ peak return setups already showing. Something is brewing beneath the surface.

Were they front-running the Trump tariff détente? Possibly. Trump’s latest comment about reaching “the biggest deal ever” with the EU, after Japan last week, signals a shift from isolationism to transactional globalism. If he’s aligning trade with strategic allies to box out China, then Chinese equities may experience a reflex rally as fears ease before elections ignite them again. That’s the window I’m watching.

📈 SPY’s Swing Model Just Flashed Green

The 5D swing model has a success rate above 82.5%. With $SPY grinding higher toward the 648.59 risk trigger and support holding at 625.61, I’m favouring bullish continuation unless Powell triggers a macro shock midweek. The structure looks resilient, backed by tech earnings strength.

🏗️ Where Others See Overcrowding, I See Layered Opportunity

Retail is crowded into $AAPL and $META, but I’m probing edge elsewhere:

• $HOOD is a dark horse this week with options-implied volatility and retail rebound tailwinds

• $MSTR has Bitcoin exposure just as $BTC reclaims $123,278; the chart is setting up for a squeeze

• $FXI and $KWEB are contrarian plays with high upside asymmetry if macro sentiment keeps easing

📉 Risks and Invalidation

• If Powell signals hawkishness or revises dot plot unexpectedly, expect volatility to spike

• China risk remains binary; a single geopolitical flare could kill the rebound

• My invalidation on $FXI is a close below $37.20 on volume, where multiple block trades were stacked last week

💼 Trade Structuring

For $FXI, I’m favouring equity for stability, but also selectively targeting Sep $40 and $41 calls if IV remains favourable. I’ll scale in tranches: one leg before Powell, one post-Fed, and one Friday if China media confirms stimulus or partnership follow-ups. Trim if RSI breaks above 70 or if option flow flips bearish.

🌍 This Isn’t Just Earnings Season; It’s a Strategic Repricing of Global Control

The tug-of-war between superpowers is manifesting in supply chains, data flows, and energy corridors. This week’s EU–US deal isn’t just a trade headline. It’s a sign that global capital isn’t retreating; it’s repositioning. I believe the real edge is spotting where narrative shifts precede asset repricing. Right now, that means:

• China-exposed ETFs ($FXI, $KWEB)

• Macro-sensitive stocks like $HOOD and $MSTR

• Fed-response trades in $QQQ, $SPY, and commodities if Powell shocks

🧭 Watchlist

$FXI, $HOOD, $MSTR, $SPY, $QQQ, $KWEB, $AAPL, $META, $AMZN, $COIN, $LRCX

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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