To The Moon

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ 🧠📊🚀 8 Straight EPS Beats: Will Apple & Amazon’s Streak Ignite a Market Surge? 🚀📊🧠

🎯 Executive Summary:

I’m extremely confident that the latest earnings from $AMZN and $AAPL, driven by their 8th consecutive EPS beats, signal a robust continuation of their growth trajectories amid a tech sector resurgence. Apple’s stock has surged 5% post-earnings, while Amazon’s shares climbed 7% on a 12% volume spike, reflecting strong market validation. This quarter’s performance aligns with a broader structural trend of tech giants outpacing macro headwinds, bolstered by insider buying from Apple’s CEO Tim Cook and institutional inflows into $SMH and $ARKF ETFs. The catalyst? Earnings releases on July 30, 2025, showcasing resilience against softening consumer demand.

💰 Financial Performance Breakdown: 

Apple reported an EPS of $1.47, beating consensus estimates of $1.43 by 2.8%, with revenue at $89.96B, exceeding the $88.96B forecast by 1.1%. Year-over-year, EPS grew 8% and revenue 5%, with iPhone segment growth at 6% and Services up 12%. Margins hit 29.8% EBITDA, up from 28.5% QoQ. Net income was $24.3B, a 7% YoY increase, and FCF reached $28B. Amazon posted an EPS of $1.35, surpassing the $1.31 consensus by 3.1%, with revenue at $162.12B, topping the $162.02B estimate by 0.06%. YoY, EPS rose 12%, revenue 9%, with AWS up 17%, North America retail 8%, and FCF at $11.8B. Margins improved to 13.4% from 12.9% QoQ, with net income at $9.9B, up 15%.

🛠️ Strategic Headwinds & Execution Risk:

Apple faces execution risks from supply chain delays in Asia, potentially impacting Q4 iPhone shipments, and a 3% FX headwind from a stronger dollar. Regulatory pressure looms with the EU’s Digital Markets Act enforcement, effective September 2025, targeting app store policies. Amazon contends with capex spikes for AWS expansion ($15B in Q2) and labor unrest, with a potential strike at U.S. warehouses by September 15, 2025. Both reaffirmed guidance, with Apple projecting $90–92B in revenue and Amazon $165–170B, signaling confidence despite these challenges.

🧠 Analyst & Institutional Sentiment: 

Analysts are warming to both stocks. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty raised $AAPL’s price target to $275 (from $260), implying 10% upside, with a Buy rating. Bank of America’s Justin Post lifted $AMZN to $210 (from $200), a 12% upside, also Buy. Average PT for Apple is $265 (high $285, low $240), for Amazon $205 (high $225, low $185). ETF inclusion in $SMH (tech) and $ARKF (innovation) reflects bullish flows. Call/put data shows a 2:1 call premium, and insider buying by Cook ($10M) and Amazon’s Jeff Bezos ($15M) underscores confidence.

📉📈 Technical Setup: 

The chart for $AAPL shows a bull flag breakout above $225 resistance, with support at $210 (50DMA) and next targets at $240 (base) and $260 (stretch). RSI at 68 indicates momentum building, MACD trending upward with a bullish crossover, and 21EMA sloping positively. $AMZN exhibits a cup-and-handle pattern, breaking $190 resistance, with support at $175 (21EMA) and targets at $205 (base) and $220 (stretch). RSI at 72 suggests overbought conditions, but MACD confirms uptrend, with Keltner bands widening, signaling volatility.

🌍 Macro & Peer Context: 

Amid 4.5% Fed rate hikes by August 2025, tech earnings are holding up SPX growth at 3.2% YoY. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S.–China trade tariffs effective October 1, 2025, pose risks, but both companies outpace $MSFT (5% revenue growth) and $GOOGL (4%) on CAGR and margins. ETF rotations favor $SMH, with $5B inflows, reflecting global tech strength.

📊 Valuation & Capital Health: 

Apple’s forward P/E is 28.5 (sector 25), EV/EBITDA 19.5, and FCF yield 3.2%, with $162B cash and $120B debt. Amazon’s forward P/E is 32 (sector 28), EV/EBITDA 22, FCF yield 2.8%, with $58B cash and $90B debt. Both appear fairly valued, with Apple’s cash hoard and Amazon’s AWS growth justifying premiums.

⚖️ Verdict & Trade Plan: 

Buy $AAPL at $225–230, stop-loss at $210, targets $240 and $260, confirmed by volume retest. Buy $AMZN at $190–195, stop-loss at $175, targets $205 and $220, confirmed by options flow. Upcoming catalysts include Apple’s iPhone 17 launch (September 2025) and Amazon’s Prime Day (October 2025).

🏁 Conclusion:

This isn’t just a setup. It’s a structural rerating in motion, and I’m positioned to capitalize on the tech giants’ relentless ascent.

📌 Key Takeaways:

• EPS: $1.47 ($AAPL), beat by $0.04; EPS: $1.35 ($AMZN), beat by $0.04

• RSI: 68 ($AAPL), 72 ($AMZN), confirmed MACD uptrends

• Morgan Stanley PT: $275 ($AAPL), Buy; Bank of America PT: $210 ($AMZN), Buy

• Revenue: $89.96B ($AAPL), $162.12B ($AMZN), both exceeding estimates

• Breakout confirmed above $225 ($AAPL), $190 ($AMZN)

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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