A Simple Guide to Profiting from AMD’s Q2 Earnings

2025 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Q2 Earnings Expectations

  1. Key Growth Driver: Data center GPU business.

  2. Microsoft’s Contribution: Microsoft has significantly increased capital expenditures, with its purchases accounting for approximately 8% of AMD’s total sales.

  3. PC Market: Performing better than expected, alongside continued growth in AMD’s server CPU market share.

  4. China Market: The MI308X GPU has been approved for re-export to China, expected to contribute approximately $300 million in Q3 and $500 million in Q4 to net profit.

How to Evaluate the Earnings Outlook

  • Positive Report: Strong growth drivers but no major surprises.

  • No Significant Bearish Risks: Bullish factors are likely already priced into the stock.

  • High Valuation: Current valuation remains elevated.

  • Expected Earnings Volatility: ±9%, with a trading range of $155–$187.

Trading Strategy

  • No Major Downside Risk: The stock is unlikely to break below the expected range, making sell put strategies attractive.

  • Pre-Earnings Play: Sell put options before the earnings announcement and close the position at the market open on the release day.

  • Covered Call Strategy: For those holding AMD shares, sell out-of-the-money calls to generate additional income.

Strike Price and Expiration Suggestions

  1. Covered Call Writing Strategy:

    • $AMD 20250808 192.5 CALL (85% win rate).

  2. Put Selling Strategy:

    • $AMD 20250808 155.0 PUT (81% win rate).

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  • final thought of the day. AMD already dethroned Intel-and now it’s sharpening its blades for Nvidia’s crown.

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  • b.pipuur
    ·08-05

    F.3NN0。?花少4于是0d

    2

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  • Will AMD have its Broadcom moment, i.e. 30-40% gain after earnings, next week?

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  • chikki
    ·08-02
    Great insights
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  • Smart strategy
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  • Great article, would you like to share it?
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  • Great article, would you like to share it?
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