ETF is the safe and brainless way to invest. Safest ETF are the ones that track SPX index and Nasdaq. For e.g. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
The index always goes up long run. Underperforming stocks get replaced by new growth stocks. 100% win over 5 years.
If you go for fanciful ETF, then no guarantee win.
If you go for triple leveraged ETF, then can win big but must enter right time and sell right time. If not, lose bigger than normal ETF.
If you want to beat the index, then buy strong growth stocks when they are depressed for no reason. That's where some homework is required on trading analysis and fundamental study.
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Be wary that “ETF” does not equal index/passive investment and many ETFs are active funds.
100% win for the index over 5 years is not true but in the long term the index should outperform actively managed funds within the same market.