Will Nvidia Save the Market This Time? Yes or No?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has been heavily sold off ahead of its earnings report.
In the latest 13F filings, both Bridgewater and Citi significantly reduced their Nvidia holdings in Q3.
SoftBank has also completely exited its Nvidia position.
Peter Thiel has now sold his entire stake in Nvidia and 76% of his Tesla shares.
Michael Burry’s entire portfolio is now short positions in Nvidia and Palantir.
And right before earnings, Nvidia has fallen back to around the US$180 level—the same range where it consolidated in Q3.
Because of Nvidia’s sell-off and broader concerns about an AI bubble, the market and other stocks have been hit even harder. Everyone is waiting for Nvidia to “save the market.”
But it won’t be easy. As shown in the chart, here are Nvidia’s past earnings beats vs. its price reaction on the day:
Even when it beats by 20%, the stock still sells off after hours.
However, this time might be different. With such a deep drop before earnings, could the probability of a post-earnings rebound be slightly higher?
Feel free to comment below—do you think Nvidia will rise after earnings or not?
Comment “yes” or “no”, or join the vote to win tiger coins!
Each comment can win 5 tiger coins~~
Can nvidia rise after this earnings report?(Single choice)Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
在最新的13F文件中，桥水和花旗都在第三季度大幅减持了英伟达的持股。
软银也完全退出了英伟达的位置。
彼得·泰尔现在已经出售了他在英伟达的全部股份和76%的特斯拉股份。
Michael Burry的整个投资组合现在都是Nvidia和Palantir的空头头寸。
由於英偉達的拋售以及對人工智能泡沫的更廣泛擔憂，市場和其他股票受到的打擊更大。大家都在等英偉達“救市”。
I’m not expecting a huge rally, but the setup is cleaner than in past quarters. Even solid results were sold off previously, but this time the stock has already absorbed a lot of negativity, and valuation pressure is less extreme at current levels.
So my vote is yes — not because Nvidia will blow expectations away, but because the market is finally positioned so defensively that even a decent report could spark a rebound.
@TigerStars @Tiger_comments
@Zarkness
do you think Nvidia will rise after earnings or not?
Comment “yes” or “no”, or join the vote to win tiger coins!
Each comment can win 5 tiger coins~~
It is a "Pop the Champagne" Moment directly crediting Jensen Huang with demonstrating that fears of an AI bubble were overblown.
Jensen Huang said that "Blackwell sales are off the charts and cloud GPUs are sold out." This has effectively silenced naysayers and underscores the insatiable real world demand for Nvidia's AI infrastructure.
I am so happy and relieved that Nvidia has saved the market and my new hero is Jensen Huang.
F
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
Check them in the history - “community distribution“
However, the stock is already priced for perfection. High valuation, profit-taking behaviour, and recent institutional trimming mean any hint of slowing momentum could trigger a pullback. Market sentiment has also turned cautious, so even good results may not guarantee a sustained rally.
In short: Rise – moderately likely, Fall – possible if sentiment stays weak, No major move – also plausible due to already high expectations.
I am of the position that there will be some upward climb, but saving the market, that's a little too hard to do.
Done voting, coins please! 😂