To The Moon

🌟🌟🌟This week has been a roller coaster for investors with US indexes experiencing a sharp rebound after an intense sell off.  However the big question is : Was this a genuine rebound or simply a dead cat bounce before selling?  While short term predictions are notoriously unreliable, it is a valuable moment to reflect on the broader context of market cycles and the undeniable long term trend of growth.

The Short Term Forecast : Unpredictable and Emotional

After a volatile week, it is hard to know which direction the market is heading next week.  Some see the Friday rebound as an encouraging sign with factors like potential interest rate cuts and improved economic data boosting sentiment. 

However others remain cautious, concerned that the underlying issues causing the sell off, have not disappeared.  There are still inflation worries, AI related valuation concerns and trade policy shifts. 

Ultimately trying to predict the exact path of the market on a weekly basis is a fool's errand, driven more by emotion than data.

Notable Stocks : A Tale of Divergence

Google's New High : Amidst broader market turmoil, Google $Alphabet(GOOGL)$   rose to a new high due to the release of Gemini 3.  I am really happy with Google's performance since I am long term investor.  This demonstrates that even in a volatile environment, fundamentally sound companies like Google can thrive.

Eli Lilly's Historic Milestone :  $Eli Lilly(LLY)$  became the first pharmaceutical company to surpass  a USD 1 Trillion market capitalisation.  Eli Lilly's recent stock surge can be attributed to the phenomenal success of its weight loss and diabetes drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound.

Oracle's Decline : $Oracle(ORCL)$  experienced its sixth consecutive weekly decline.  This was driven by a combination of concerns over its AI strategy's profitability, heavy capital expenditure, increasing debt and general market skepticism about its elevated stock valuation.  This shows that not all technology stocks move in the same direction and that individual company performance and news matter.

Short Term Noise, Long Term Gains : Navigating Market Volatility

As an investor, the recent market bounce is less of a signal of what is to come next week.  It is more of a reminder of 2 enduring truths : Market fluctuations are inevitable and that the market has historically rewarded long term patience.

I would focus on my long term goal of FIRE - Financial Independence Retire Early instead of getting caught up in the emotional swings of a single week. 

This week's rebound is just another blip on a chart.  While short term predictions will always be a gamble, historical data overwhelmingly rewards those who commit to the journey.  I would tune out the fear, trust in the enduring power of the market and stay the course.  My future self will thank me.

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