To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 

📊 My Daily Structure And Technical Read

When the US government signals it is going all in on robotics, there is only one US company positioned to scale humanoids inside factories at national level. That is $TSLA. The response today showed that shift with price printing a new high of the day and week, even while pre market sentiment was bearish. Levels over noise.

Buyers defended the $405 to $410 zone twice and converted the failed breakdown into a rising right side of structure. Today’s move into the upper Keltner and Bollinger rails on the 4H and 30m charts confirms expansion. EMA 13 and EMA 21 rising through a flattening EMA 55 shows trend alignment returning. Liquidity pockets are open above $437.86. The next key reclaim is $447.60, then $452.94. If anchored, the Fibonacci 0.618 cluster at $458 to $465 becomes the next discovery region.

RSI on the 15m surged above 70 confirming buy side aggression rather than exhaustion. MACD has curled upward across timeframes from reset conditions, indicating internal momentum rebuild. Volatility curve flattening near term with IV closing toward about 45 percent confirms calmer tape now with uncertainty pushed into the future. Calm now, potential fire later. Diamond Momentum widening supports continuation.

🔍 My View On Autonomy And Strategic Advantage

The policy backdrop is the catalyst. Politico reported that Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is meeting robotics CEOs to accelerate a federal robotics strategy in 2026 with advanced manufacturing reshoring at its core. The Commerce Department emphasised robotics as central to restoring US production. Serve Robotics jumped about 8 percent, Richtech Robotics up about 11 percent and Teradyne up about 1 percent on the news.

These names were flagged as primary beneficiaries:

$TSLA Tesla humanoid scale and automation leadership

$IRBT consumer response robotics

$TER industrial automation robotics

$ROK factory automation infrastructure

$AVAV defence and unmanned systems

$KTOS defence robotics

$NVDA AI training and inference for robot intelligence

$AMD adaptive compute for automation

$TXN industrial controls and sensing

$QCOM edge processing and connectivity

Tesla is the only one with humanoids ready to be deployed in its own factories. Optimus running demos show human like gait two and a half years after inception which points to factory pilots in 2026 at cost levels below human labour for repetitive tasks.

Autonomy steps continue. FSD v14.2.1 is rolling out with smoother speed control and safer merges. Elon has reiterated unsupervised FSD targets for late 2025 supported by billions of fleet miles. Tests in Rome with local officials show regulators engaged even as EU approvals look like 2026 at best. NHTSA continues safety scrutiny including traffic signal detection improvements required. The market is willing to price autonomy optionality now. Robo taxi safety models show multiple fold collision risk reductions and Street targets like TD Cowen’s $509 build that into outlook.

There are risks. Regulatory credit revenue may fall about 40 percent to roughly $1.5B in 2025 and global deliveries for 2025 are tracking around 1.66M with Q3 revenue up near 12 percent year on year but margins compressed by price cuts. Competitive autonomy field is active. Waymo is expanding into more US cities. Rimac revealed a Level 4 robotaxi prototype for 2026 deployment across Europe and the Middle East using LiDAR. Tesla’s vision only approach is a scale bet and the market sees the data flywheel advantage.

🌏 Global Sales And Competitiveness View

🇨🇳 🐉 China demand matters. November wholesale shipments from Shanghai reached about 86,700 units which is +9.9 percent year on year with a 41 percent shipment spike in October. Through November Tesla has shipped about 755,000 units from Shanghai down roughly 8 percent year on year. Domestic retail sales through October around 464,000 units down about 7 percent. Tesla might reclaim China if this turn sustains. Model Y delivery timelines have stretched into early 2026 indicating demand pull.

Europe is the drag. Germany November 1,763 units down about 20 percent year on year and about 17,358 year to date down around 48 percent from 2024. Broader EU about 117,000 units year to date through October down about 39 percent. Despite that, most new energy names fell today with $XPEV and $LI down more than 3 percent and $NIO down more than 4 percent while $TSLA was green.

Investors are shifting away from auto volumes and toward automation and autonomy margin profiles that do not resemble EV cycles. Lower car sales have not troubled investors too much. Coming into today trading, stock is up year to date and around +22 percent over the past 12 months.

🇨🇳 Tesla's sales in China show a remarkable trajectory 🤯

🗓️ In 2019, Tesla sold 47,800 vehicles in China

🗓️ In 2020, Tesla sold 147,900 vehicles in China

🗓️ In 2021, Tesla sold 320,700 vehicles in China

🗓️ In 2022, Tesla sold 710,800 vehicles in China

🗓️ In 2023, Tesla sold 603,000 vehicles in China

🗓️ In 2024, Tesla sold 657,000 vehicles in China

🗓️ January to September 2025, Tesla sold 433,000 vehicles in China

📰 My Read On Dark Pool Positioning And Institutional Flow

Aggressive call order flow continues with net buying around $38.5M in short dated single leg calls. That is conviction. Puts were sold down indicating a reduction in downside protection demand. Off exchange participation shows accumulation rather than distribution which signals institutions absorbing supply into strength, not offloading into it.

Regional headlines are no longer driving flows. Robotics is. That flips the dynamic against short sellers. Burry cover yet. He recently claimed $TSLA is overvalued due to dilution around 3.6 percent per year. His thesis required a breakdown below $420. It did not sustain and shorts now face timing and structure risk.

🎯 My Trend Map And What I Am Watching Next

I am focused on:

$447.60 the ignition level for momentum chasers

$452.94 confirming the breakout structure

$458 to $465 the first expansion zone

$433.62 holding as bull control

$429.24 the resilience line for continuation bias

The structure remains bullish unless $429.24 is lost. A sustained hold above $447.60 then $452.94 forces forced buy flows from shorts and systematic strategies. The robots and autonomy rerating is more durable than typical EV rallies.

📘 Barcodes Ultimate Guide to TSLL (2× Tesla Leveraged ETF)

NFA. Education and structure only. Not buy or sell advice.

TSLL leverages Tesla’s daily return at approximately 2×. If $TSLA moves ±1 percent in a session TSLL aims for ±2 percent.

Why TSLL can be useful

🔁 Amplifies Tesla structure moves

🕖 Pre and post market access around catalysts

💼 No margin requirements

🕓 No expiry pressure as in options

💸 Modest quarterly dividend

⚙️ Designed for day trades and short swings

Risks to respect

⚠️ Volatility drag can reduce value in sideways or choppy tape

📉 Daily reset means compounding does not favour long holds

🎯 Leverage only when the setup is earned by structure

I use leverage only after conviction from the chart not before.

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Trade like a boss. Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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