🚨 Inflation Data Could Move Everything – What’s Your Game Plan for the Week?
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Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!
🌍 Monday — Macro Economy
U.S. stocks fell sharply amid escalating Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. The S&P MidCap 400 dropped 4.61%, while the Nasdaq held up best, declining 1.24%. Treasury yields rose as investors reassessed inflation risks and Fed policy.
Economic data showed mixed signals: February ISM manufacturing (52.4) and services (56.1) PMIs both indicated expansion, with services hitting the highest level since July 2022. Prices paid components remained elevated.
The labor market presented conflicting pictures. Private ADP payrolls showed improvement (63,000 jobs added), but the government's February nonfarm payrolls surprisingly declined by 92,000, with unemployment rising to 4.4%. This complicates Fed decision-making amid rising geopolitical tensions and energy-driven inflation risks.
The week ahead: March 9-13
📌【Today’s Question】
The global situation and capital markets have been quite volatile recently. What are your thoughts on this week's trading? Share your opinions in the comments!
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至于股价下跌，这简直可笑至极。
等它单日暴跌22%以上再叫醒我。
哈哈哈哈哈哈! [Chuckle]
During U.S. President Donald Trump's first term, Lighthizer played a crucial role as trade chief in the imposition of hefty tariffs on Chinese imports and the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA, with Mexico and Canada.
His departure from the board and its committees was not due to any disagreements with the company's management or the board, the filing said.
Founded by Trump and known for its Truth Social platform aimed at conservative audiences, TMTG had a strategic pivot in December, the company agreed to merge with California-based TAE Technologies in an all-stock deal valued at over $6 billion, shifting its focus to fusion energy and forming a publicly traded company developing utility-scale power plants to meet rising electricity demand, including from AI data centers.
债券市场仍面临压力，随着围绕利率路径的预期调整，收益率波动。由于经济相对稳定和美联储鹰派言论，货币市场，尤其是美元走强，影响了新兴市场。
关键驱动因素包括持续的冲突，这些冲突扰乱了供应链并加剧了大宗商品价格波动，以及好坏参半的经济指标表明增长放缓和持续通胀之间存在脆弱的平衡。市场情绪似乎很谨慎，一些地区倾向于防御性资产，而人工智能和加密相关资产的投机性头寸重新引起了人们的兴趣。
I'll be watching these releases to gauge the next moves for central banks:
Wednesday, 11 March: US Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Friday, 13 March: US Core PCE Price Index (the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge).
Regional Data: China's CPI and PPI (released Monday) and Japan's final Q4 GDP growth (Tuesday).
整体来看，本周更像是一个“观察周”。宏观数据、通胀指标和财报同时出现，市场情绪很容易被放大。与其急着重仓，不如先控制仓位，等待更清晰的趋势。