🚨 Inflation Data Could Move Everything – What’s Your Game Plan for the Week?
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🌍 Monday — Macro Economy
U.S. stocks fell sharply amid escalating Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. The S&P MidCap 400 dropped 4.61%, while the Nasdaq held up best, declining 1.24%. Treasury yields rose as investors reassessed inflation risks and Fed policy.
Economic data showed mixed signals: February ISM manufacturing (52.4) and services (56.1) PMIs both indicated expansion, with services hitting the highest level since July 2022. Prices paid components remained elevated.
The labor market presented conflicting pictures. Private ADP payrolls showed improvement (63,000 jobs added), but the government's February nonfarm payrolls surprisingly declined by 92,000, with unemployment rising to 4.4%. This complicates Fed decision-making amid rising geopolitical tensions and energy-driven inflation risks.
The week ahead: March 9-13
📌【Today’s Question】
The global situation and capital markets have been quite volatile recently. What are your thoughts on this week's trading? Share your opinions in the comments!
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至於股價下跌，這簡直可笑至極。
等它單日暴跌22%以上再叫醒我。
哈哈哈哈哈哈! [Chuckle]
During U.S. President Donald Trump's first term, Lighthizer played a crucial role as trade chief in the imposition of hefty tariffs on Chinese imports and the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA, with Mexico and Canada.
His departure from the board and its committees was not due to any disagreements with the company's management or the board, the filing said.
Founded by Trump and known for its Truth Social platform aimed at conservative audiences, TMTG had a strategic pivot in December, the company agreed to merge with California-based TAE Technologies in an all-stock deal valued at over $6 billion, shifting its focus to fusion energy and forming a publicly traded company developing utility-scale power plants to meet rising electricity demand, including from AI data centers.
Bond markets remain under pressure, with yields fluctuating as expectations around interest rate paths adjust. Currency markets, particularly the USD, have seen strength due to relative economic stability and hawkish Fed rhetoric, impacting emerging markets.
Key drivers include ongoing conflicts, which disrupt supply chains and fuel commodity price volatility, and mixed economic indicators suggesting a fragile balance between slowing growth and persistent inflation. Market sentiment appears cautious, with a tilt toward defensive assets in some regions, while speculative positions in AI and crypto-related assets see renewed interest.
I'll be watching these releases to gauge the next moves for central banks:
Wednesday, 11 March: US Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Friday, 13 March: US Core PCE Price Index (the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge).
Regional Data: China's CPI and PPI (released Monday) and Japan's final Q4 GDP growth (Tuesday).
整体来看，本周更像是一个“观察周”。宏观数据、通胀指标和财报同时出现，市场情绪很容易被放大。与其急着重仓，不如先控制仓位，等待更清晰的趋势。