To The Moon

$Valero(VLO)$

Valero Energy (VLO) Soars +6.46%: Refiner Blasts Past Resistance, Testing 52-Week High at $231.05

Latest Close Data

Closed at $231.05 (Mar 11, 2026), up +6.46% (+$14.03). The stock is now just $1.94 away from its 52-week high of $232.99.

Core Market Drivers

1. Strong momentum is driven by robust refining margins and solid quarterly earnings (EPS TTM: $7.57).

2. The stock broke through a key resistance level, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend.

3. A significant net inflow of capital on the day (+$10M net inflow) underscores buying pressure.

Technical Analysis

• Volume was moderate at 3.767M shares (Volume Ratio 0.75).

• The MACD (DIF: 9.06, DEA: 7.78, MACD: 2.56) shows a bullish crossover and histogram expansion.

• The 6-day RSI at 73.8 indicates strong momentum but is approaching overbought territory, suggesting a potential for near-term consolidation.

Key Price Levels

• Primary Support: $217.10 (previous resistance, now flipped support).

• Strong Resistance/Immediate Pivot: $232.99 (52-week high). A decisive break above this level could open the path to new highs.

• Secondary Support: $162.70 (a major swing low, providing a longer-term floor).

Valuation Perspective

Forward P/E of 16.50 is slightly above its historical average of 15.56 but remains within one standard deviation (12.35 - 18.76). The P/S ratio of 0.60 suggests the stock may be reasonably valued relative to sales.

Analyst Targets

17 analysts have an average price target of $202.85, with a high of $236.00. Sentiment is positive with 3 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, and 9 Hold ratings.

Weekly Outlook

Expect consolidation near the 52-week high. A sustained break above $233 could target the $236 analyst high. Failure to hold $217 may signal a pullback towards the $210-$215 range. Monitor the RSI for overbought signals.

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