Some High Risk Thematic Bets
1
Some high risk thematic bets.
You don't need all of these to win to do very well:
Optics:$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ now trades below the forecasted transceiver revenue run rate in 2027.
Neoclouds:
$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ now trades ~0.4x my base case FY30 ARR figure.
Copper:
$Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ is now down 32% in the last month and back to the same level as when it was announced the US Gov owned 10%.
Robotics:
$Ouster Inc.(OUST)$ set to grow at ~40% CAGR whilst trading sub 8x sales.
$Aeva Technologies Inc.(AEVA)$ is a 2028 onwards story but potentially a key player in both LiDAR and photonics. Very high risk.
Speciality Pharma:
$Harrow Health Inc(HROW)$ trading ~1x 2028 guided revenue.
2
The copper $Global X Copper Miners ETF(COPX)$ market is getting extremely tight.
On the supply side:
-> Chile cut their 2026 production forecast by another 330,000 tonnes.
-> They also cut their 2027 forecast by 470,000 tonnes.
On the demand side:
-> China is paying record prices to import copper (that doesn't happen if demand outlook is low).
-> Spot copper trades above futures price which is another sign supply is tight right now.
$Global X Copper Miners ETF(COPX)$: The safe way to play it.
$Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$: The higher risk way to play it.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
- Optionspuppy·11-03 09:49Oh 9.49LikeReport