[Events] CPI & PPI This Week: Nasdaq Rally or Selloff?
Wall Street is coming off a turbulent week, and another major test lies ahead.
Last week, investors digested two significant developments: the U.S. midterm elections and a stronger-than-expected jobs report. Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress, while the U.S. economy added 165,000 jobs in October, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1%.
The stronger jobs data highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, but it also raised questions about the Federal Reserve's next move. If the labor market remains strong, will the Fed have less reason to cut interest rates?
Meanwhile, tech stocks remained under pressure. Nvidia, AMD and Meta were caught in the selloff as investors grew increasingly concerned about stretched valuations, rising AI spending and whether those investments would deliver sufficient returns.
Now, all eyes are on inflation.
Two Key Reports to Watch
Tuesday, November 10 — October CPI A cooler-than-expected reading could ease pressure on Treasury yields and help tech stocks recover. However, hotter inflation could reinforce expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for longer.
Friday, November 13 — October PPI Producer prices will provide another indication of underlying inflation pressures. Softer readings could support a rebound in risk assets, while stronger-than-expected figures could weigh on market sentiment.
After last week's selloff, could cooling inflation be the catalyst the Nasdaq needs to rebound?
🎯 Weekly Nasdaq Prediction
How much will the Nasdaq Composite rise or fall during the week of November 9–13? $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
-
A. 🚀 Surge more than 3%
-
B. 📈 Gain 1%–3%
-
C. ↔️ Trade sideways (-1% to +1%)
-
D. 📉 Fall 1%–3%
-
E. 💥 Drop more than 3%
Bonus Challenge: Predict Friday's Closing price!
What will the Nasdaq Composite close at on November 13? Share your exact prediction in the comments and see how close you get!
💬 What's Your Trading Strategy?
Are you buying the dip in Nvidia, AMD or Tesla, or staying on the sidelines until the inflation data is released?
If CPI comes in below expectations, would you start buying tech stocks again or wait for stronger signs of a sustained recovery?
Vote and share your market outlook and trading strategy in the comments!
🎁 Rewards
Vote and share your thoughts in the comments for a chance to win Tiger Coins. Rewards are limited and available on a first-come, first-served basis.
⏰ Event Details
Prediction deadline: November 13, 2026, at 9:30 AM ET (10:30 PM Singapore/Hong Kong time).
How results are calculated: The Nasdaq Composite's weekly percentage change will be measured from its closing level on November 6 to its closing level on November 13. The bonus challenge will be judged against the official November 13 closing level.. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ $Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
我对11月9日至13日这一周的判断偏谨慎。不是说科技股长期没有机会，而是短期市场同时面对通胀、利率和AI投资回报三重压力。
1. 为什么我选D？
1） 强劲就业数据，不一定利好科技股
10月新增就业16.5万个，失业率4.1%。经济有韧性，但也可能令通胀更难降温。
如果美联储因此维持高利率，甚至考虑进一步加息，科技成长股的估值就会承受压力。路透社报道，市场已经开始关注12月加息的可能性。
2） CPI是本周最大考验
市场预期：
CPI月增0.3%。
核心CPI月增0.2%。
如果低于预期，可能带动科技股反弹；如果高于预期，市场可能继续下跌。
3） AI股票还面对资金压力
投资者现在不只看AI需求，还会问：
巨额资本开支什么时候产生回报？
企业自由现金流是否健康？
AI收入增长能否持续？
这也是为什么即使公司业绩不错，股价仍可能下跌。
2. 我的纳斯达克预测
上周纳斯达克综合指数下跌约3.37%，收于24,579.42点。
我的情境预测：
项目 我的预测
投票 D：下跌1%–3%
周五预测收盘 24,150点
判断 短期偏弱，波动加大
24,150点只是我的情境估计，不是技术支撑位，也不是保证会达到的价格。
3. 如果是我，会怎样操作？
股票 我的策略
NVDA英伟达 不追高，等待企稳
AMD 长期看好AI需求，分批观察
TSLA特斯拉 控制仓位，避免追涨
MU美光 关注HBM需求和利润率
我的原则：CPI公布前不急着抄底，公布后也不因为一天反弹就认定市场反转。
4. 最重要的一句话
这次我选D，但如果CPI明显低于预期，我会考虑市场转向C甚至B。
记住：好公司不代表任何价格都值得买。新手投资者最重要的不是买在最低点，而是避免在市场不稳定时一次投入太多资金。
🎯 **我的具体预测：**
- **11月9日—13日全周涨幅：+1.50%**
- **11月13日收盘点位：24,948点**
- **判断：超跌反弹，但尚未确认趋势反转。**
经历上周科技股大幅调整后，市场已经释放部分估值压力。如果本周CPI、PPI低于预期，美债收益率回落，NVDA、AMD等科技龙头有望迎来修复行情。
但我认为，**通胀数据只能决定短期反弹力度，AI投资回报率才是决定科技股中长期走势的关键。**
即使CPI利好，如果云厂商资本开支放缓、AI盈利兑现不及预期，纳指仍可能再次承压。
**我的交易策略：保留现金，等待数据确认后分批布局。**
如果CPI温和降温，我会优先关注NVDA和AMD，但不会在数据公布后立即追高；如果CPI超预期，则继续控制仓位，避免使用TQQQ等杠杆ETF盲目抄底。
我最关注三个信号：**10年期美债收益率是否回落、科技龙头能否持续放量反弹、AI企业盈利预期是否稳定。**
🐯 **本周我押24,948点！看好技术性反弹，但不把一次反弹当作牛市重新启动。**
I expect the Nasdaq to trade sideways this week, with volatility remaining elevated.
The market faces a tug-of-war between economic resilience and inflation risks. Stronger employment suggests the US economy remains healthy, but it could also give the Fed less reason to cut rates, keeping pressure on growth stocks.
Tuesday's CPI report will be the biggest catalyst. Cooling inflation could push Treasury yields lower and support tech stocks. However, hotter inflation could further pressure elevated AI valuations.
More importantly, investors need evidence that massive AI capital expenditure can translate into sustainable earnings and free cash flow.
My strategy is to avoid chasing a relief rally and watch Treasury yields and semiconductor performance.
Prediction: C — Sideways (-1% to +1%). Caution will likely dominate until inflation provides a clearer signal.
@TigerEvents [正经]