To The Moon

After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi

Gold gold power ranger 

 Do you still believe stock picks from Wall Street big banks? $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$   Last Friday (1/30), after Trump announced the appointment of hawkish figure Kevin Warsh, JPMorgan deployed massive capital to smash the market, taking advantage of higher margin requirements at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. They aggressively shorted silver, and when prices crashed to a low of $78.29, they closed 633 short contracts, flipping huge losses into a staggering USD 50 billion profit. Yet just 24 hours before launching this brutal short attack on gold and silver, JPMorgan had released a research report claiming gold would surge to USD 8,000 per ounce. A textbook Wall Street trap. @Tiger_c

The slide of silver may look huge (biggest wipeout of market value in human history!), but it mostly just took away the gains from the month of January. It might have been worrying if it took us back to the value of say... June 2025, that would have everyone questioning why and re-evaluating what we truly knew. However wiping a month of gains is small matter, and easily explained by the market's overreaction to the new fed pick, Warsh. I still cannot come to terms with this hilarious situation. Everyone was worried that the us president would pick someone who is like putty, easily pressed into doing his bidding. Now an inflation hawk is picked, and he is someone who supposedly would not allow infringement of the fed's independence, then everyone decides that safe haven assets is no lo

will end soon [得意]  

[微笑]  [开心]  [财迷]  

After the correction triggered by anxious investors, silver assessed to have stable and will rise again...  Jokes are on those who time the market, who want to buy / ride the hype but skeptical of doing so. Often those are the ones who hurt themselves in the lprocess.  Buy in and go for a uphill ride. Resistance at 172, Expect to hit 200 should it pushes through.  Thank me later. 

Ok let's cut to the chase. Gold and silver are still at record highs. FACT! The cat isn't dead so there is no bouncy pussy cat. Holding actually gold or silver in you sock draw is fine. Holding stocks in mining companies, is a better strategy for me though. Because I get dividend income. Or I bank resources in the ground still. It's better than a bank vault.  It's so obvious what is happening, why doesn't Everyone understand? The drop in silver And gold is very simple. Its actually not a drop at all. It's a manipulation of a bit of meaningless paper. WAKE UP. If you buy a futures contract for silver for example, you need to sell it before it expires, because if you excise the paper, you are not getting silver. It's a bit of meaningless paper.  The banks know it. And they just rip

Firstly, silver is not gold. They should be considered separately. For gold, I believe the up trend will resume. 2 Key reasons why gold could rebound Geopolitical landscape is more fractured than pre‑Ukraine war.  • US uses SWIFT against Russia. Countries de-risk by seeking alternatives rather than all-in USD as safe haven. For fiat money, there's really no comparable. Therefore Central‑banks and official‑sector keep buying physical gold. Global economy remains volatile as Trump's policies changes so fast. Inflation, stagflation risks favourable for gold. Silver is not really be seen as store of value. The above does not apply to silver. So I doubt it can re-test the high for a good while.

Relative to prices as of on the 28th of January 2026, gold ($SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$) fell 10% and silver ($iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$) fell 29% on the 30th. The 28th of January was the day when both Microsoft ( $Microsoft(MSFT)$) and Meta Platforms ( $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ) reported the Q2 earnings for their Fiscal Year 2026 and Full Year 2025 results respectively. The very next day was one of the worst for Microsoft’s stock history and went on to lose approximately $357 billion in market value by dropping 10%. Only three other events were as bad or worse for the stock since its IPO in 1986: Black Monday in 1987, the d

The recent rebound in gold and silver is a fascinating development, especially given the extreme volatility across risk assets. Let's break down the potential implications of this move. 1. Dead-Cat Bounce or Trend Reset? A dead-cat bounce refers to a brief, shallow recovery in a declining market, often followed by a continuation of the downtrend. On the other hand, a trend reset implies a more significant reversal, potentially marking the beginning of a new uptrend. Technical Analysis: The sharp rebound in gold and silver has pushed prices back above key technical levels, such as the 50-day moving average. This could be seen as a positive sign, as it suggests that the bulls are still in control. Fundamental Analysis: The recent volatility in risk assets has led to increased demand for safe

Market Context and Recent Price Action Recent sharp sell-offs in gold and silver were among the most extreme in decades, reflecting forced liquidations, extreme leverage unwinding, and technical stresses rather than outright changes in fundamentals. Silver, in particular, saw outsized moves driven by speculative positioning in China and subsequent margin calls. Both metals then staged a strong intraday rebound, with spot gold back above $4 800 and silver reclaiming around the $83 mark.  Short-term price spikes and reversals of this magnitude often occur when markets have been stretched beyond typical trading ranges. These reversals can be driven as much by trading dynamics (positions getting flushed) as by investor sentiment.  --- Is This a Renewed Rally? Arguments in favour of a

Yes may be as the global sentiments going on it may again come back Bullish.

After a near-vertical rally, gold and silver were finally “punished” last Friday, with both plunging sharply in a single day. Silver, measured from its peak, even suffered a drawdown close to being cut in half. After such a violent round-trip, do ordinary investors still have a viable trading opportunity?​ From a volatility standpoint, the current environment is no longer suitable for the vast majority of retail and traditional precious-metals traders. Moves that used to take a full year can now happen in a single day or within a week. This kind of irrational volatility also means the old stop-loss logic and methods stop working. Whether you try to buy the dip or fade a rebound, there’s a high probability you’ll get stopped out. And if someone dares to skip a stop-loss to avoid getting wic

Would I sell or add at $4,600? I would add selectively, not sell, assuming this is not a forced-liquidity event. A dip of this magnitude after a parabolic move is consistent with position cleansing, not trend failure. The key is position sizing, not conviction. Is the bull market still intact? Yes, structurally. The correction looks like a volatility reset rather than a regime change. Why the bull case still holds Macro floor remains firm: real yields are capped, fiscal deficits persist, and central-bank gold accumulation remains strong. Geopolitical and policy risk premiums have not unwound meaningfully. Demand is diversifying: central banks, long-term allocators, and retail hedgers are all present, not just fast money. What this move likely was A crowded positioning shake-out after extre

$Proshares Ultrashort Silver(ZSL)$   Reasons for the silver crash 1) Triple RSI destruction 2) Mean reversion 3) Kevin Warsh 4) Smart Money Divergence 5) A casino (CME) that changes the rules Understand more on YouTube at AnniewherewithChin :)

$GLD SG$(GSD.SI)$ any professional can advise if GSD will go back up? [Cry]  

The recent breakdown in gold prices has sparked a heated debate among investors: should you cut losses or add to your position around $4,500? To answer this, let's examine the current market dynamics and the bull case for gold. Technical Analysis: The sharp decline in gold prices has pushed the metal below key support levels, which could lead to further selling pressure. However, the $4,500 level has historically been a significant support zone, and a bounce from this area could be a buying opportunity. Fundamental Analysis: The bull case for gold remains intact, driven by: Inflation concerns: The ongoing inflationary pressures, particularly in the US, could lead to a decline in the purchasing power of fiat currencies, making gold an attractive hedge. Central bank buying: Central banks con

$UOB(U11.SI)$  would be interesting in the next quarter results (Not q4 2025 that is coming) as the increased interest in gold and silver.  Out of the 3 local banks, UOB seem most well known for their physical gold and silver to retail clients. 

There is absolutely no reason (in my mind) to not buy this dip. People who made money selling could pat themselves on the back, but honestly the market is overreacting. Firstly, gold, silver and other precious metals shot up simply because of the volatility that the usa president brought to the rest of the world. Any perceived slight and he threatens tariffs, be it on friends or foes. His new tactic is to threaten invasion, even more reason for safe haven assets to shine. Secondly, this is an obvious baseless meltdown because of the new fed pick, Warsh. Why is everyone so certain that he is indeed an inflation hawk (for perspective of people who don't keep up much, there is either someone who favours jobs growth or favours tackling inflation, which then affects whether the prefer to mainta

[Miser]  [Miser]  [Miser]  

After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi

Relative to prices as of on the 28th of January 2026, gold ($SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$) fell 10% and silver ($iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$) fell 29% on the 30th. The 28th of January was the day when both Microsoft ( $Microsoft(MSFT)$) and Meta Platforms ( $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ) reported the Q2 earnings for their Fiscal Year 2026 and Full Year 2025 results respectively. The very next day was one of the worst for Microsoft’s stock history and went on to lose approximately $357 billion in market value by dropping 10%. Only three other events were as bad or worse for the stock since its IPO in 1986: Black Monday in 1987, the d

Market Context and Recent Price Action Recent sharp sell-offs in gold and silver were among the most extreme in decades, reflecting forced liquidations, extreme leverage unwinding, and technical stresses rather than outright changes in fundamentals. Silver, in particular, saw outsized moves driven by speculative positioning in China and subsequent margin calls. Both metals then staged a strong intraday rebound, with spot gold back above $4 800 and silver reclaiming around the $83 mark.  Short-term price spikes and reversals of this magnitude often occur when markets have been stretched beyond typical trading ranges. These reversals can be driven as much by trading dynamics (positions getting flushed) as by investor sentiment.  --- Is This a Renewed Rally? Arguments in favour of a

The recent rebound in gold and silver is a fascinating development, especially given the extreme volatility across risk assets. Let's break down the potential implications of this move. 1. Dead-Cat Bounce or Trend Reset? A dead-cat bounce refers to a brief, shallow recovery in a declining market, often followed by a continuation of the downtrend. On the other hand, a trend reset implies a more significant reversal, potentially marking the beginning of a new uptrend. Technical Analysis: The sharp rebound in gold and silver has pushed prices back above key technical levels, such as the 50-day moving average. This could be seen as a positive sign, as it suggests that the bulls are still in control. Fundamental Analysis: The recent volatility in risk assets has led to increased demand for safe

The slide of silver may look huge (biggest wipeout of market value in human history!), but it mostly just took away the gains from the month of January. It might have been worrying if it took us back to the value of say... June 2025, that would have everyone questioning why and re-evaluating what we truly knew. However wiping a month of gains is small matter, and easily explained by the market's overreaction to the new fed pick, Warsh. I still cannot come to terms with this hilarious situation. Everyone was worried that the us president would pick someone who is like putty, easily pressed into doing his bidding. Now an inflation hawk is picked, and he is someone who supposedly would not allow infringement of the fed's independence, then everyone decides that safe haven assets is no lo

 Do you still believe stock picks from Wall Street big banks? $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$   Last Friday (1/30), after Trump announced the appointment of hawkish figure Kevin Warsh, JPMorgan deployed massive capital to smash the market, taking advantage of higher margin requirements at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. They aggressively shorted silver, and when prices crashed to a low of $78.29, they closed 633 short contracts, flipping huge losses into a staggering USD 50 billion profit. Yet just 24 hours before launching this brutal short attack on gold and silver, JPMorgan had released a research report claiming gold would surge to USD 8,000 per ounce. A textbook Wall Street trap. @Tiger_c

Gold gold power ranger 

Ok let's cut to the chase. Gold and silver are still at record highs. FACT! The cat isn't dead so there is no bouncy pussy cat. Holding actually gold or silver in you sock draw is fine. Holding stocks in mining companies, is a better strategy for me though. Because I get dividend income. Or I bank resources in the ground still. It's better than a bank vault.  It's so obvious what is happening, why doesn't Everyone understand? The drop in silver And gold is very simple. Its actually not a drop at all. It's a manipulation of a bit of meaningless paper. WAKE UP. If you buy a futures contract for silver for example, you need to sell it before it expires, because if you excise the paper, you are not getting silver. It's a bit of meaningless paper.  The banks know it. And they just rip

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 02Feb2026) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Update The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled for release in the coming week. Previously, the year-on-year CPI was reported at 2.7%. This data is significant as it provides insight into the current inflation rate, a critical economic indicator. Market volatility is expected around the release, given CPI’s role in reflecting inflation trends. Controlling inflation remains a central focus for the Federal Government, which has set a target rate of 2%. Existing Home Sales for January Another important economic indicator to be released is the existing home sales data for January. The previous report showed a figure of 4.35 million. The upcoming data will offer valuable insight into the

After a near-vertical rally, gold and silver were finally “punished” last Friday, with both plunging sharply in a single day. Silver, measured from its peak, even suffered a drawdown close to being cut in half. After such a violent round-trip, do ordinary investors still have a viable trading opportunity?​ From a volatility standpoint, the current environment is no longer suitable for the vast majority of retail and traditional precious-metals traders. Moves that used to take a full year can now happen in a single day or within a week. This kind of irrational volatility also means the old stop-loss logic and methods stop working. Whether you try to buy the dip or fade a rebound, there’s a high probability you’ll get stopped out. And if someone dares to skip a stop-loss to avoid getting wic

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 02Feb2026) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Update The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled for release in the coming week. Previously, the year-on-year CPI was reported at 2.7%. This data is significant as it provides insight into the current inflation rate, a critical economic indicator. Market volatility is expected around the release, given CPI’s role in reflecting inflation trends. Controlling inflation remains a central focus for the Federal Government, which has set a target rate of 2%. Existing Home Sales for January Another important economic indicator to be released is the existing home sales data for January. The previous report showed a figure of 4.35 million. The upcoming data will offer valuable insight into the

will end soon [得意]  

[微笑]  [开心]  [财迷]  

Firstly, silver is not gold. They should be considered separately. For gold, I believe the up trend will resume. 2 Key reasons why gold could rebound Geopolitical landscape is more fractured than pre‑Ukraine war.  • US uses SWIFT against Russia. Countries de-risk by seeking alternatives rather than all-in USD as safe haven. For fiat money, there's really no comparable. Therefore Central‑banks and official‑sector keep buying physical gold. Global economy remains volatile as Trump's policies changes so fast. Inflation, stagflation risks favourable for gold. Silver is not really be seen as store of value. The above does not apply to silver. So I doubt it can re-test the high for a good while.

After the correction triggered by anxious investors, silver assessed to have stable and will rise again...  Jokes are on those who time the market, who want to buy / ride the hype but skeptical of doing so. Often those are the ones who hurt themselves in the lprocess.  Buy in and go for a uphill ride. Resistance at 172, Expect to hit 200 should it pushes through.  Thank me later. 

The recent breakdown in gold prices has sparked a heated debate among investors: should you cut losses or add to your position around $4,500? To answer this, let's examine the current market dynamics and the bull case for gold. Technical Analysis: The sharp decline in gold prices has pushed the metal below key support levels, which could lead to further selling pressure. However, the $4,500 level has historically been a significant support zone, and a bounce from this area could be a buying opportunity. Fundamental Analysis: The bull case for gold remains intact, driven by: Inflation concerns: The ongoing inflationary pressures, particularly in the US, could lead to a decline in the purchasing power of fiat currencies, making gold an attractive hedge. Central bank buying: Central banks con

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Oracle is considering slashing up to 30,000 jobs as the company struggles with the cost of its AI build-out. - X user Markets & Mayhem Peloton looks to cut about 11% of its workforce. - Bloomberg US layoffs have surged to recessionary levels: US employers announced 1,206,374 job cuts in 2025, up +58% YoY, the highest since the 2020 Crisis. Excluding 2020, this was the worst year since the 2008 Financial Crisis. - X user Global Markets Investor Chemical maker Dow is cutting 4,500 jobs and will rely on AI. - X user MacroEdge My Final Thoughts Here is the S&P 500 denominated in gold (i.e., the S&P 500 to Gold Ratio), which shows how many ounces of gold are equivalent to the S&P 500 index level at month-end closes (or closes

Market Outlook of S&P500 (02Feb2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has completed a top crossover, which implies a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have yet to converge. We can expect a change from the current bullish trend after the 3 lines have completed their overlap. Currently, EMA is suggesting a more bullish outl

Would I sell or add at $4,600? I would add selectively, not sell, assuming this is not a forced-liquidity event. A dip of this magnitude after a parabolic move is consistent with position cleansing, not trend failure. The key is position sizing, not conviction. Is the bull market still intact? Yes, structurally. The correction looks like a volatility reset rather than a regime change. Why the bull case still holds Macro floor remains firm: real yields are capped, fiscal deficits persist, and central-bank gold accumulation remains strong. Geopolitical and policy risk premiums have not unwound meaningfully. Demand is diversifying: central banks, long-term allocators, and retail hedgers are all present, not just fast money. What this move likely was A crowded positioning shake-out after extre

News and my thoughts from the past week (02Feb2026) Several explosions were reported just now in Tehran and other cities in Iran. - X user Jesse Cohen The U.S. Senate passes a bill to fund the government, averting an imminent shutdown. The legislation now moves to the House. Seems like the Government shutdown is over (for now). - X user Conflict Alarm Ray Dalio just said the quiet part out loud. "If you depreciate the money, it makes everything look like it's going up." The Stock Market boom is a lie. We are witnessing the death of the Dollar, not the growth of the economy. 99% of people have no idea. - X user Bark 26.4% of US federal debt is maturing within 12 months, near the highest % in 26 years, according to Tavi Costa's analysis. This is about $10 TRILLION of debt. - X user Global Ma