To The Moon

(XAUUSD) The 1-hour chart currently shows a clear bearish trend and a consolidation phase at low levels. After a series of consecutive declines, the gold price has stabilized near $4,288.54 and is attempting to form a short-term support shelf; however, the overall rebound momentum is facing strong resistance from multiple moving averages above and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. As this week coincides with the highly anticipated September Federal Reserve interest rate decision (FOMC), market expectations for a Fed rate hike have surged significantly to over 85%. The macroeconomic environment poses a bearish risk to gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, in the medium term. Therefore, the trading strategy must follow the trend, focusing primarily on selling on rallies, while supplement

Futures are pricing an 85% chance of a hike Wednesday, and decades of data says the rate decision still won't move this market $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has done this 44 times since 1997, and the vote itself barely registers The decision day averages a 0.94% move with a 1.23% intraday range. A normal session is 1.06%. That's 1.16x. 86% of hike days moved LESS than 2%. The median is flat because the market moves hard in BOTH directions and they cancel out They don't cancel evenly, though: Up weeks average +1.10% Down weeks average -2.02% Red price action runs roughly 2x the greens through the first week Here's the tradeable part: It isn't Wednesday that sets the week. It's THURSDAY When the session after the decision closes green, the wee

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Filling up the GAP ZONE--see the black hand on chart--for the last week and today, waiting for FOMC and Warsh's gesture. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Expect a hike, and minor plunge to the Red Spot, and spike higher to ruin both Bulls and Bears' plan. Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The current gold price is consolidating within a narrow range near the bottom of a key downtrend channel and the 4,330 level! In terms of technical structure, the downtrend channel continues, with lows gradually rising (potential double bottom?). After facing resistance above 4,450 earlier, gold has been trading within an overall downward-sloping channel. Current key price defense zone: strong resistance at 4,350–4,355; strong support at 4,309–4,322. In the short term (over the next few hours), it is highly likely that gold wi

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The current gold price is in a technical pattern characterized by a rebound from a bottom and wide-range volatility. On the H4 chart, the moving averages have formed a very standard and perfect bearish alignment. Even if gold prices rebound, the upside will be extremely limited, as the resistance zone at $4,345–$4,350 will act as an insurmountable barrier. A break below yesterday’s low of $4,311 will trigger a technical sell-off, with downside potential extending directly to $4,250 or even near $4,200. For today, firmly exe

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the U.S. military strike on Iranian oil tankers, Brent crude briefly approached the $100 mark. In the past, an escalation of war has often been a direct positive for gold; however, against the current backdrop of monetary tightening, the surge in oil prices has intensified market fears of a global “reflation.” Investors have realized that high oil prices will force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive interest rate policy. This has caused the U.S. dollar to rise and gold to continue falling. The key support level is currently at 4,375; if this level cannot be held, gold will continue to seek support at 4,350! Short-term sell positions continue to generate profits!

Technical Analysis: After dipping to $4,341.35 and hitting a short-term support level, gold staged a rebound amid volatility. It subsequently formed a bullish swing high above the 4,450–4,460 range but has recently shifted to a downward correction from these highs. The price action shows signs of a slowing downtrend and stabilization through sideways consolidation at lower levels. If the short-term rebound consistently fails to break through and close above $4,425 on the 1-hour chart, the bears will maintain control. The market is highly likely to break below the local support at 4,360 and initiate a second retest of the extremely dense support zone at 4,310–4,305 below. If bulls force a rally driven by news events (such as a sudden escalation of geopolitical tensions or an unexpectedly we

Technical Analysis: The current gold price (4,434.60) is attempting to consolidate above the moving average band on the hourly chart. It faces significant resistance at the 4,440–4,450 level (near the previous high and the upper Bollinger Band). Currently, bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce tug-of-war around the 4,410–4,435 range. As the market awaits the upcoming release of key U.S. inflation data (CPI, PPI) this week to calibrate the interest rate hike path, gold is highly likely to continue trading in a wide range before these major data releases and the interest rate decision are finalized! When the gold price rebounds to the key resistance zone of $4,440–$4,450 and fails to break through with significant volume, traders may consider entering short positions for a short-term trade

Last Friday (September 4), the release of major U.S. employment data completely disrupted the relatively calm rhythm of the gold market. Spot gold plummeted by more than 2% at one point, hitting a low of $4,364.99 per ounce, before closing at $4,430.15—a daily decline of 1% and a weekly drop of 0.58%. Meanwhile, the settlement price for December gold futures stood at $4,476.60, marking a decline of 1.4%. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ This nonfarm payrolls report, which far exceeded market expectations, not only reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates this month but also instantly diminished the appeal of go

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the release of the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, which was clearly another broad-based positive for gold, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted 0.57% to 98.991. The overall market sentiment has now undergone a dramatic reversal. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ H1 Chart: The candlestick chart shows a pattern of several consecutive large bullish candles shooting up like bamboo shoots, with virtually no significant pullback. The price has now reached a high of $4,510.79. Breaking through the 4,500 level signifies that the medium-term bullish trend in the market has bee

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The current price is trading around 4,370. Although it is at a relative high for the day (up +0.95%), it encountered significant resistance after surging to around 4,397.65, leaving an upper shadow on the chart, which indicates some selling pressure above. If the price pulls back to test the support level below and stabilizes there, accompanied by another surge in trading volume, gold is likely to test today’s high of 4,397 again. Once the price effectively breaks through the 4,400 psychological level, upside potential will open up. Here is the strategy for the upcoming New York session: (If the price stabilizes near 4,350) Buy: 4,345–4,350 TP: 4,380–4,385 SL: 4,330

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 7611 was the reactive low -- after the dam's fake break [not exactly yet]. Now, testing from below the purple line--see the RED HAND. So far--the decline from Warsh speech is NOT as impulsive as expected--which gives rise the potential of a complex corrective wave down. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2 Pretty much nothing happened since my last post. Better do something else, I suppose. 3 MPW Mid-week Update Posted: (1) well, after hitting two small targets, the market took a break and sat there for a day. (2) in a mid-term bearish [weeks], long-term bullish setup [months], this one looks bullish short-term [days].

Seems like a big battle now between macro (10Y, Oil, PCE etc) and the AI narrative which is only trending in one direction: 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Forecasted 2028 revenue growth at +70% vs Street estimates of 44%. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ forecasts $1.3T in hyperscaler CapEx spend for 2027. 3. $SHKY CEO: "We expect the shortage (on storage) to persist until the end of 2030." 4. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$: "We see structurally massive demand for NAND until 2030." 5. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ giving $Alphabet(GOOGL)$

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Inverse head and shoulders still set up here, for now. 2 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Well, they went with the "massive breakout" option for #Oil. 3 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ vs. $TNX since 2023. With rates back above 4.75%. Which number (1-3) will we look most like? Note: Initially, the market moved higher for at least 6 weeks after this 4.75% threshold was hit. Follow me to learn more about analysis !!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 The opening low is 7627, lower than the previous lows near 7640. The second part of my prediction is right [break the previous lows within two trading days]. Now, the next step is to fill the GAP at 7600. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 THE DAM WILL BE BROKEN--SOON.

Boomers are rich because they’ve collected a free 2,000% return over 76 years. Here’s how you can grow your portfolio just like them 👇 Every midterm since 1950 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has never once failed to rally the following year. But first, the market makes you bleed for it SEPTEMBER: THE FLUSH Worst month on the calendar. −0.76% average since 1960, and midterm years hit harder. Every red headline between now and November 3 is designed to make you sell the bottom SEPT-OCT: THE TRAP DOOR Midterm lows hit here, before the vote, not after. 2022 bottomed October 12, then ran 14% in twelve months to new highs. 2018 stretched the pain to December 24. Scale in. Don’t lump in POST-ELECTION: THE PAYOFF 19 for 19. Average returns between 12

The commodities / durable plays for the next decade: Silver | $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$, $Contango Ore, Inc.(CTGO)$, $Hecla Mining(HL)$ -> $DXY is down 2.4% this month. -> M2 money supply is up ~5% in the last 3 months. -> AI buildout relies on silver as it's got the highest electrical conductivity of any metal. -> ~80% of silver is mined as a by-product. Copper | $Global X Copper Miners ETF(COPX)$, $Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ -> Already incredibly scarce and getting scarcer. -> Forecasted

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Gold prices are currently in a clear short-term downtrend and are testing the key support at the lower Bollinger Band around 4,413! After a previous rally (peaking at 4,696.59), gold prices experienced a sharp pullback, exhibiting a clear pattern of lower highs. Currently, the one-hour chart shows a cluster of bearish candles, with bearish momentum dominating. Intraday price action may see either an oversold rebound or consolidation at lower levels. Following a sharp short-term plunge, the deviation between the candlesticks an

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ moving in the right direction, as expected in the pattern. 2 SPX is still playing with SMA[20], now sitting at 7668. No decisive move yet--and I have a feeling that the first 1% move will be a trap, either up or down. From $NVIDIA(NVDA)$'s pre-earning reaction so far, the script for SPX looks like, 7620, then 7720, then THE BIG BANG.

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Amid a confluence of factors including a ballooning fiscal deficit, frequent interventions in the bond market, and shifting interest rate expectations, gold is once again on its way to the $5,000 mark. From holding above the key $4,000 support level to the potential for its best monthly performance in 25 years, and with institutions raising their year-end targets, bullish sentiment towards gold is significantly intensifying. However, inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's policy direction remain crucial variables influencing gold prices, and whether gold can truly break through the $5,000 barrier before the end of the year remains to be seen. $Gold - ma

(XAUUSD) The 1-hour chart currently shows a clear bearish trend and a consolidation phase at low levels. After a series of consecutive declines, the gold price has stabilized near $4,288.54 and is attempting to form a short-term support shelf; however, the overall rebound momentum is facing strong resistance from multiple moving averages above and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. As this week coincides with the highly anticipated September Federal Reserve interest rate decision (FOMC), market expectations for a Fed rate hike have surged significantly to over 85%. The macroeconomic environment poses a bearish risk to gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, in the medium term. Therefore, the trading strategy must follow the trend, focusing primarily on selling on rallies, while supplement

Futures are pricing an 85% chance of a hike Wednesday, and decades of data says the rate decision still won't move this market $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has done this 44 times since 1997, and the vote itself barely registers The decision day averages a 0.94% move with a 1.23% intraday range. A normal session is 1.06%. That's 1.16x. 86% of hike days moved LESS than 2%. The median is flat because the market moves hard in BOTH directions and they cancel out They don't cancel evenly, though: Up weeks average +1.10% Down weeks average -2.02% Red price action runs roughly 2x the greens through the first week Here's the tradeable part: It isn't Wednesday that sets the week. It's THURSDAY When the session after the decision closes green, the wee

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Filling up the GAP ZONE--see the black hand on chart--for the last week and today, waiting for FOMC and Warsh's gesture. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Expect a hike, and minor plunge to the Red Spot, and spike higher to ruin both Bulls and Bears' plan. Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The current gold price is consolidating within a narrow range near the bottom of a key downtrend channel and the 4,330 level! In terms of technical structure, the downtrend channel continues, with lows gradually rising (potential double bottom?). After facing resistance above 4,450 earlier, gold has been trading within an overall downward-sloping channel. Current key price defense zone: strong resistance at 4,350–4,355; strong support at 4,309–4,322. In the short term (over the next few hours), it is highly likely that gold wi

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The current gold price is in a technical pattern characterized by a rebound from a bottom and wide-range volatility. On the H4 chart, the moving averages have formed a very standard and perfect bearish alignment. Even if gold prices rebound, the upside will be extremely limited, as the resistance zone at $4,345–$4,350 will act as an insurmountable barrier. A break below yesterday’s low of $4,311 will trigger a technical sell-off, with downside potential extending directly to $4,250 or even near $4,200. For today, firmly exe

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the U.S. military strike on Iranian oil tankers, Brent crude briefly approached the $100 mark. In the past, an escalation of war has often been a direct positive for gold; however, against the current backdrop of monetary tightening, the surge in oil prices has intensified market fears of a global “reflation.” Investors have realized that high oil prices will force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive interest rate policy. This has caused the U.S. dollar to rise and gold to continue falling. The key support level is currently at 4,375; if this level cannot be held, gold will continue to seek support at 4,350! Short-term sell positions continue to generate profits!

Technical Analysis: After dipping to $4,341.35 and hitting a short-term support level, gold staged a rebound amid volatility. It subsequently formed a bullish swing high above the 4,450–4,460 range but has recently shifted to a downward correction from these highs. The price action shows signs of a slowing downtrend and stabilization through sideways consolidation at lower levels. If the short-term rebound consistently fails to break through and close above $4,425 on the 1-hour chart, the bears will maintain control. The market is highly likely to break below the local support at 4,360 and initiate a second retest of the extremely dense support zone at 4,310–4,305 below. If bulls force a rally driven by news events (such as a sudden escalation of geopolitical tensions or an unexpectedly we

Technical Analysis: The current gold price (4,434.60) is attempting to consolidate above the moving average band on the hourly chart. It faces significant resistance at the 4,440–4,450 level (near the previous high and the upper Bollinger Band). Currently, bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce tug-of-war around the 4,410–4,435 range. As the market awaits the upcoming release of key U.S. inflation data (CPI, PPI) this week to calibrate the interest rate hike path, gold is highly likely to continue trading in a wide range before these major data releases and the interest rate decision are finalized! When the gold price rebounds to the key resistance zone of $4,440–$4,450 and fails to break through with significant volume, traders may consider entering short positions for a short-term trade

Last Friday (September 4), the release of major U.S. employment data completely disrupted the relatively calm rhythm of the gold market. Spot gold plummeted by more than 2% at one point, hitting a low of $4,364.99 per ounce, before closing at $4,430.15—a daily decline of 1% and a weekly drop of 0.58%. Meanwhile, the settlement price for December gold futures stood at $4,476.60, marking a decline of 1.4%. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ This nonfarm payrolls report, which far exceeded market expectations, not only reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates this month but also instantly diminished the appeal of go

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the release of the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, which was clearly another broad-based positive for gold, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted 0.57% to 98.991. The overall market sentiment has now undergone a dramatic reversal. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ H1 Chart: The candlestick chart shows a pattern of several consecutive large bullish candles shooting up like bamboo shoots, with virtually no significant pullback. The price has now reached a high of $4,510.79. Breaking through the 4,500 level signifies that the medium-term bullish trend in the market has bee

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Gold prices are currently in a clear short-term downtrend and are testing the key support at the lower Bollinger Band around 4,413! After a previous rally (peaking at 4,696.59), gold prices experienced a sharp pullback, exhibiting a clear pattern of lower highs. Currently, the one-hour chart shows a cluster of bearish candles, with bearish momentum dominating. Intraday price action may see either an oversold rebound or consolidation at lower levels. Following a sharp short-term plunge, the deviation between the candlesticks an

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The current price is trading around 4,370. Although it is at a relative high for the day (up +0.95%), it encountered significant resistance after surging to around 4,397.65, leaving an upper shadow on the chart, which indicates some selling pressure above. If the price pulls back to test the support level below and stabilizes there, accompanied by another surge in trading volume, gold is likely to test today’s high of 4,397 again. Once the price effectively breaks through the 4,400 psychological level, upside potential will open up. Here is the strategy for the upcoming New York session: (If the price stabilizes near 4,350) Buy: 4,345–4,350 TP: 4,380–4,385 SL: 4,330

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 7611 was the reactive low -- after the dam's fake break [not exactly yet]. Now, testing from below the purple line--see the RED HAND. So far--the decline from Warsh speech is NOT as impulsive as expected--which gives rise the potential of a complex corrective wave down. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2 Pretty much nothing happened since my last post. Better do something else, I suppose. 3 MPW Mid-week Update Posted: (1) well, after hitting two small targets, the market took a break and sat there for a day. (2) in a mid-term bearish [weeks], long-term bullish setup [months], this one looks bullish short-term [days].

Seems like a big battle now between macro (10Y, Oil, PCE etc) and the AI narrative which is only trending in one direction: 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Forecasted 2028 revenue growth at +70% vs Street estimates of 44%. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ forecasts $1.3T in hyperscaler CapEx spend for 2027. 3. $SHKY CEO: "We expect the shortage (on storage) to persist until the end of 2030." 4. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$: "We see structurally massive demand for NAND until 2030." 5. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ giving $Alphabet(GOOGL)$

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 Everyone Wants to Build the Best AI Model. Amazon Wants Something More Valuable. When investors talk about the artificial intelligence race, the conversation usually revolves around one question: Who will build the best AI model? That's certainly an important question. But it may not be the most profitable one for investors. A better question is this: Who stands to make the most money as AI becomes ubiquitous, regardless of which model ultimately wins? To answer the question, here's one company that deserves our attention: $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ A person's face filled with information on the right side. Amazon is selling the picks and shovels History offers useful

Boomers are rich because they’ve collected a free 2,000% return over 76 years. Here’s how you can grow your portfolio just like them 👇 Every midterm since 1950 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has never once failed to rally the following year. But first, the market makes you bleed for it SEPTEMBER: THE FLUSH Worst month on the calendar. −0.76% average since 1960, and midterm years hit harder. Every red headline between now and November 3 is designed to make you sell the bottom SEPT-OCT: THE TRAP DOOR Midterm lows hit here, before the vote, not after. 2022 bottomed October 12, then ran 14% in twelve months to new highs. 2018 stretched the pain to December 24. Scale in. Don’t lump in POST-ELECTION: THE PAYOFF 19 for 19. Average returns between 12

The commodities / durable plays for the next decade: Silver | $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$, $Contango Ore, Inc.(CTGO)$, $Hecla Mining(HL)$ -> $DXY is down 2.4% this month. -> M2 money supply is up ~5% in the last 3 months. -> AI buildout relies on silver as it's got the highest electrical conductivity of any metal. -> ~80% of silver is mined as a by-product. Copper | $Global X Copper Miners ETF(COPX)$, $Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ -> Already incredibly scarce and getting scarcer. -> Forecasted

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Inverse head and shoulders still set up here, for now. 2 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Well, they went with the "massive breakout" option for #Oil. 3 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ vs. $TNX since 2023. With rates back above 4.75%. Which number (1-3) will we look most like? Note: Initially, the market moved higher for at least 6 weeks after this 4.75% threshold was hit. Follow me to learn more about analysis !!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 The opening low is 7627, lower than the previous lows near 7640. The second part of my prediction is right [break the previous lows within two trading days]. Now, the next step is to fill the GAP at 7600. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 THE DAM WILL BE BROKEN--SOON.

1 The past week saw a dramatic tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the global gold market. Gold opened at $4346 on Monday (August 11th), surging to a two-month high near $4450 mid-week. However, profit-taking led to a sharp 1.3% drop on Thursday, and further declines to a weekly low near $4310 on Friday. Just when bears thought they had the upper hand, unexpectedly weak US retail sales data reversed the tide, resulting in a textbook V-shaped reversal for gold prices, ultimately closing at $4375.80, a weekly gain of approximately 0.8%. The weekly swing of approximately 140 points resulted in a bullish weekly candlestick with a long lower shadow, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. This was a result of cooling US economic data, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and escalating geopolit