This is how my portfolio is positioned shopped heavily in last 2 months, I would not say that we are rebounding from here For a long term I would see if this portfolio getting doubled like end of 2026 I would be happy
Recently, U.S. stocks have experienced a sharp correction, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index falling more than 10% from its peak, officially entering a technical correction phase. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ has declined even further, dropping over 14%. Does this rapid adjustment indicate a shift in market sentiment towards a bear market, or does it present a valuable buying opportunity? For investors, the current market environment allows for effective participation in index rebounds through options strategies while maintaining risk control. This article will explore several options strategies suitable for going long on indices in today’s market.Market Analysis: Is the Correction a Buying Opportunity?Historica
US Stocks: Short-Term Buying Opportunity, but Medium-Term Outlook Remains Concerning
By Bo Pei,US Tiger ResearchI didn’t write my Market Commentary for the first three days of this week—partly because I felt the timing wasn’t right yet (the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hadn’t dropped 10%) and partly because I was taking time to think and analyze how this market downturn might play out.To get straight to the point: in the short term, I believe this could be a good opportunity to buy the dip in U.S. equities, as the market is likely to see a rebound. However, the medium-term outlook (over the next few months) remains concerning.Short-Term OutlookHere’s why I think a short-term rebound is likely. First, let’s look at historical probabilities.The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has now declined 10% from its recen
S&P 500 Enters CORRECTION. Do You Buy Now Or Wait?
S&P 500 has officially entered correction territory coming down 10% off its recent highs. We also saw the QQQ are now down about 14% from their recent highs, this is despite we have a very decent piece of data, we have more than favorable producer numbers here in terms of inflation month over month came in at zero compared to 0.3%. This was a lot better than expected, on the year-over-year, PPI came in at 3.2 compared to 3.3 (estimate). In terms of core, we are actually deflationary month over month which is 0.1% to the downside, instead of the 3% expected and 3.4 on the core on year-over-year. The initial jobless claims were less than the anticipated amount, this prove to be not enough, yesterday’s CPI was also not enough to bring up the markets. The market went down after tariff news
With volatility expected to persist, inverse ETFs offer a more cost-effective hedge than buying puts. Puts suffer from time decay, making them expensive in choppy markets. Inverse ETFs, like SH or PSQ, provide direct downside exposure without the premium loss. They’re also easier to scale and manage in volatile conditions. For short-term hedging, inverse ETFs offer better flexibility and value.
When it comes to trading, I prefer tailwind as the stock price can continue to go higher up especially with the greater market sentiment. However, for investment, if the headwind is a temporary one, I would prefer to pick up good stocks at a discount. For both strategies, I prefer not to leverage as the risk is too much for my appetite. So, my preference depends on whether I am trading or intend to hold the stock for the longer term ie the horizon. While I like ETFs, I prefer the usual ones which are more intuitive than inverse ETFs.
Ya Should consider hedging too, Instead of Buying the Dip . Brain 🧠 cells 📱📲 not thinking .... Good luck to those who take actions on the inverse products. Huat ah 💰 @Jes86188 @Gis @新美股神 @Aqa
🎁What the Tigers Say | Volatility Ahead: Hedge or Buy the Dip?
On Monday, multiple stocks broke key support levels, and the Nasdaq dropped 4%. The VIX spiked 20% but remains below 30—a level historically linked to heightened market panic and potential bottom-fishing opportunities. Will you hedge with inverse ETFs for more downside, or start buying in anticipation of a rebound?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @KingDw: Strategic Breakdown: Inverse ETFs vs. Bottom-FishingKey Points:How I would Hedge and PrepareShort-Term (Next 1–3 Days):Hedge with inverse ETFs
Weak growth, low confidence, KSS still plunged on beat earnings,
Kohl's (KSS) Q4 2024 (ending February 1, 2025) earnings report presents a two-sided picture of earnings beat but weak growth momentum and dampened market confidence. $Kohl's(KSS)$ Performance and market feedbackCore Financial PerformanceRevenue: Q4 net sales of $5.2B (-9.4% YoY), comparable sales of -6.7%, slightly ahead of market expectations of $5.19B but down significantly YoYMargin: Gross margin 32.9% (+49bps YoY) thanks to promotion optimization and lower digital penetration; however, SG&A expense ratio rose to 28.5% (+148bps YoY), reflecting faster revenue declines than cost controlsEarnings: Adjusted EPS of $0.95 (-43% YoY) beat estimate of $0.72; however, GAAP net profit of $48M (-74% YoY) showed drag from one-off expenses.Market reacti
What if the market crashes? These options strategies can help you
Recently, the Big Seven of Technology has been sold off due to poor performance.Despite the recent sell-off in U.S. technology stocks, Wedbush believes this is only a short-term phenomenon, saying that the stock prices of leading companies in the field of artificial intelligence are still expected to hit record highs in the second half of 2025. The bank's top stock picks include$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$、$苹果 (AAPL.US)$、$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$、$微软 (MSFT.US)$And$Palantir (PLTR.US)$。Data show that the Nasdaq index, which is dominated by technology stocks, has fallen 9.71% so far this year, Nvidia has
How the market has fallen and the Magnificent 7 are in BEAR territory. Some of us can be tempted to buy the dip. Let us do research. No trade can also be a good trade too. This is an excellent summary. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Extracted from X user global markets investor. ⚠️Current market situation is ABSOLUTELY WILD: 1. S&P 500 has dropped in 11 out of the last 14 trading DAYS. 2. The index has tumbled 10% from its all-time high in less than 3 weeks, the FASTEST 3-week drop from the peak since the 2020 CRASH. 3. The daily RSI is at 20, the lowest since the first leg of the 2020 SELL-OFF. 4. The S&P 500 has now erased over $5 TRILLION in market cap. 5. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 has plummeted 13% and officially entered a corr
Celestica’s ODM Boom Could Send This $10B Tech Stock Parabolic!
Highlights CLS ODM’s explosive potential and ties it to the company’s valuation $Celestica(CLS)$ is primed for a re-rating, and the numbers scream opportunity! CLS hit a dazzling $144.27 peak on February 5, 2025, after a 134% surge from $36.93 two years ago (March 2023). Now at $86.59 (March 12, 2025), it’s still up 92% from $44.94 a year ago (March 2024)—but analysts say it’s undervalued for what’s coming. This Toronto-based electronics manufacturing services (EMS) giant posted a 21% revenue leap in 2024 to $9.65 billion, fueled by its Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment—think AI servers and 5G gear for hyperscalers like Alphabet and Amazon. Its Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) segment powers aer
This is how my portfolio is positioned shopped heavily in last 2 months, I would not say that we are rebounding from here For a long term I would see if this portfolio getting doubled like end of 2026 I would be happy
S&P 500 Enters CORRECTION. Do You Buy Now Or Wait?
S&P 500 has officially entered correction territory coming down 10% off its recent highs. We also saw the QQQ are now down about 14% from their recent highs, this is despite we have a very decent piece of data, we have more than favorable producer numbers here in terms of inflation month over month came in at zero compared to 0.3%. This was a lot better than expected, on the year-over-year, PPI came in at 3.2 compared to 3.3 (estimate). In terms of core, we are actually deflationary month over month which is 0.1% to the downside, instead of the 3% expected and 3.4 on the core on year-over-year. The initial jobless claims were less than the anticipated amount, this prove to be not enough, yesterday’s CPI was also not enough to bring up the markets. The market went down after tariff news
US Stocks: Short-Term Buying Opportunity, but Medium-Term Outlook Remains Concerning
By Bo Pei,US Tiger ResearchI didn’t write my Market Commentary for the first three days of this week—partly because I felt the timing wasn’t right yet (the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hadn’t dropped 10%) and partly because I was taking time to think and analyze how this market downturn might play out.To get straight to the point: in the short term, I believe this could be a good opportunity to buy the dip in U.S. equities, as the market is likely to see a rebound. However, the medium-term outlook (over the next few months) remains concerning.Short-Term OutlookHere’s why I think a short-term rebound is likely. First, let’s look at historical probabilities.The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has now declined 10% from its recen
Recently, U.S. stocks have experienced a sharp correction, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index falling more than 10% from its peak, officially entering a technical correction phase. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ has declined even further, dropping over 14%. Does this rapid adjustment indicate a shift in market sentiment towards a bear market, or does it present a valuable buying opportunity? For investors, the current market environment allows for effective participation in index rebounds through options strategies while maintaining risk control. This article will explore several options strategies suitable for going long on indices in today’s market.Market Analysis: Is the Correction a Buying Opportunity?Historica
🎁What the Tigers Say | Volatility Ahead: Hedge or Buy the Dip?
On Monday, multiple stocks broke key support levels, and the Nasdaq dropped 4%. The VIX spiked 20% but remains below 30—a level historically linked to heightened market panic and potential bottom-fishing opportunities. Will you hedge with inverse ETFs for more downside, or start buying in anticipation of a rebound?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @KingDw: Strategic Breakdown: Inverse ETFs vs. Bottom-FishingKey Points:How I would Hedge and PrepareShort-Term (Next 1–3 Days):Hedge with inverse ETFs
What if the market crashes? These options strategies can help you
Recently, the Big Seven of Technology has been sold off due to poor performance.Despite the recent sell-off in U.S. technology stocks, Wedbush believes this is only a short-term phenomenon, saying that the stock prices of leading companies in the field of artificial intelligence are still expected to hit record highs in the second half of 2025. The bank's top stock picks include$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$、$苹果 (AAPL.US)$、$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$、$微软 (MSFT.US)$And$Palantir (PLTR.US)$。Data show that the Nasdaq index, which is dominated by technology stocks, has fallen 9.71% so far this year, Nvidia has
Trump's Tariff War and Market Volatility: How to Navigate and Benefit
Overview: Market Reactions to Trump’s Tariff Policies The U.S. markets have been under significant pressure in recent weeks, mainly due to President Trump's escalating tariff policies, leading to fears of a potential economic slowdown. Despite these concerns, President Trump has downplayed the risk of a recession and emphasized the nation's path to prosperity. Nevertheless, market volatility remains, with key benchmarks like the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ facing sharp declines. As the trade war intensifies, investors need to reassess their positions and consider how best to position themselves in these turbulent times. Trump’s Tariff War and Economic Concerns The ongoing tariff war, particularly with the U
When will CTA stop selling-off? Take this key support seriously!
CTA's long global equity position reached $158 billion at the end of February (historical 90th percentile), US equities were also close to the historical 90th percentile (According to Goldman Sachs).Fund managers began selling "passively" and "coincidentally".This quantitative passive selling scale surge, but also become one of the important reasons for the market sell-off in the past few days. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$DJIA(.DJI)$ Last week performanceImpact of quantitative trading on the current marketCTA primarily employs a trend-following strategy, which involves identifying and capitalizing on market trends.When the market is trending downwards,
Weak growth, low confidence, KSS still plunged on beat earnings,
Kohl's (KSS) Q4 2024 (ending February 1, 2025) earnings report presents a two-sided picture of earnings beat but weak growth momentum and dampened market confidence. $Kohl's(KSS)$ Performance and market feedbackCore Financial PerformanceRevenue: Q4 net sales of $5.2B (-9.4% YoY), comparable sales of -6.7%, slightly ahead of market expectations of $5.19B but down significantly YoYMargin: Gross margin 32.9% (+49bps YoY) thanks to promotion optimization and lower digital penetration; however, SG&A expense ratio rose to 28.5% (+148bps YoY), reflecting faster revenue declines than cost controlsEarnings: Adjusted EPS of $0.95 (-43% YoY) beat estimate of $0.72; however, GAAP net profit of $48M (-74% YoY) showed drag from one-off expenses.Market reacti
💰Post-Black Monday: US Rebound vs. HK New High; Stable SG Stocks:D05/F34/H02
💰 Finding certainty in uncertainty!💹 $DBS Group Holdings(D05.SI)$/ $Wilmar Intl(F34.SI)$ / $Haw Par(H02.SI)$: Here are the stable performers, who also offer astonishing dividend yields.📣 Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!A rebound in US stocks, or new highs in Hong Kong stocks? On Monday, U.S. stocks experienced a sharp decline.Since the beginning of this year, the US stock market has continued to fall, and the performance of Magnificent 7 has not been satisfactory. As of March 10, $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ has fallen 9.54% since the beginning of the year, $S&
Appropriate Inverse ETF Hedging When VIX Crosses 20%
When the Volatility Index (VIX) exceeds 20%, it is indicating heightened market volatility and potential downside risk, inverse ETFs can serve as a tactical hedge. In this article, I would like to share the approach I would use to effectively utilize inverse ETFs. Current VIX Level - Above 27 Currently the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is above 27 which signal market is experiencing high volatility and fear, there are panic selling as seen in last night trading, and there is a potential market bottoms. So VIX > 25, that signals high volatility/fear (panic selling, potential market bottoms). Select the Appropriate Inverse ETF Match Exposure: Choose inverse ETFs aligned with your portfolio's risk exposure. Here is what I would choose the ETFs for d
Celestica’s ODM Boom Could Send This $10B Tech Stock Parabolic!
Highlights CLS ODM’s explosive potential and ties it to the company’s valuation $Celestica(CLS)$ is primed for a re-rating, and the numbers scream opportunity! CLS hit a dazzling $144.27 peak on February 5, 2025, after a 134% surge from $36.93 two years ago (March 2023). Now at $86.59 (March 12, 2025), it’s still up 92% from $44.94 a year ago (March 2024)—but analysts say it’s undervalued for what’s coming. This Toronto-based electronics manufacturing services (EMS) giant posted a 21% revenue leap in 2024 to $9.65 billion, fueled by its Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment—think AI servers and 5G gear for hyperscalers like Alphabet and Amazon. Its Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) segment powers aer
With volatility expected to persist, inverse ETFs offer a more cost-effective hedge than buying puts. Puts suffer from time decay, making them expensive in choppy markets. Inverse ETFs, like SH or PSQ, provide direct downside exposure without the premium loss. They’re also easier to scale and manage in volatile conditions. For short-term hedging, inverse ETFs offer better flexibility and value.
ORCL Q3: AI-driven RPOs hit record highs, market divided on guidance
$Oracle(ORCL)$ Q3 FY2025C results highlight a strong demand environment, particularly in its cloud and AI segments.The company achieved record order intake and demonstrated strong financial discipline while improving shareholder returns, but current period results were somewhat short of expectations;Looking ahead, Oracle's strategic focus on artificial intelligence and multi-cloud partnerships puts it in a position to accelerate growth, with revenues expected to grow by approximately 20% in fiscal 2027.Performance and Market FeedbackCore Financial IndicatorsTotal Revenue: $14.1B (+6% yoy, +8% FX), below market expectation of $14.39BCloud Services & License Support Revenue: $11.0B (+10% yoy, FX +12%), 78% of revenue, but below estimates of $11.
Strategic Breakdown: Inverse ETFs vs. Bottom-Fishing The Nasdaq’s 4% plunge and VIX spike to ~28 (up 20%) signal heightened panic, but historical patterns and technicalindicators suggest caution. Here’s a tactical plan: 1. Key Observations VIX Context: - Current VIX : 28 (below the "panic threshold" of 30). Historically, sustained VIX levels above 30 correlate with capitulation and potential reversal points (e.g., March 2020, late 2022). - VIX Futures Curve: Backwardation (front-month > later months) suggests near-term fear but no systemic meltdown yet. Technical Damage: - Nasdaq broke below its 200-day moving average (~15,000), a critical long-term support level. - Next support: **14,200–14,500** (2023 highs and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from 2024 peak). Macro Triggers:
Trump Tariff 2.0: Stock Market Crashing is Nearing The End For Now?
$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ As we enter 2025, Last week, I updated that, suggesting that maybe the big crash I had anticipated might not be happening after all. Instead, it could be a short-term pullback that’s near its end. Now, I feel it's my responsibility to update you on everything that's happened since then. We’ll look at multiple factors—charts, data, and various points—to determine whether this is the beginning of a major bear market, with a potential drop of 20-25%, or if it's just a short-term correction after some over-exuberance and speculation. It’s possible that after this, we could return to an uptrend and make new all-time highs. I’m going to cover it all, and I hope you find it valuable. Looking at the NASDAQ, it's down almost 6% year-to-dat
When it comes to trading, I prefer tailwind as the stock price can continue to go higher up especially with the greater market sentiment. However, for investment, if the headwind is a temporary one, I would prefer to pick up good stocks at a discount. For both strategies, I prefer not to leverage as the risk is too much for my appetite. So, my preference depends on whether I am trading or intend to hold the stock for the longer term ie the horizon. While I like ETFs, I prefer the usual ones which are more intuitive than inverse ETFs.
Market Outlook for March 2025: Rebound vs. Continued Decline The Nasdaq’s entry into a technical correction zone and broader market volatility have raised concerns about whether March will bring a rebound or further declines. Here’s a synthesized outlook based on macroeconomic trends, technical indicators, and historical patterns: 1. Short-Term Outlook: Rebound vs. Sharp Drop Rebound Case: - Oversold Conditions: Last week’s intraday rally off lows suggests short-term oversold conditions, with technical indicators (e.g., RSI near 20) hinting at a potential bounce . - Historical Precedent: Historically, markets often rebound after falling below moving averages, especially if key support levels hold. For example, the S&P 500 is currently ~4% above its 200-day moving average, which could a