$Apple(AAPL)$ - Halfway the Volume ShelfThe rally found rejection at the 10DMA just to resume the bearish move to set lower lows. $226 is the next destination for this pullback; at that level price could be oversold relative to the RSI and lower Bollinger Band.ImageI have done this analysis before:Weak setup but a short term bounce is likely considering the 100DMA and the volume shelf.The complete analysis in the weekly timeframe was included in the latest Weekly Compass, with specific targets.Image
$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Weakness ReturnsFailing to break $5,962, the stochastic has re-entered a bearish crossover in overbought territory and the downtrend is dominating price action.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ appears poised for a bounce, suggesting a likely resumption of the index decline. Although the daily chart (yesterday's post, this is the 4-hour chart) shows the 20DMA still providing support, I'd give that line ($5,926) one more chance to hold, given today's improved breadth.Everyone is focusing on this down channel so it makes sense to me that it will break out. I suspect to the upside. I kind of agree on that one, for that reason I'm giving a chance to the 20DMA to support price. Anyway tech looks b
$Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ - Financials Look Happy Gaps don't always fill immediately. Price is currently building volume within a potential launchpad volume shelf. Notably, $Bank of America(BAC)$ and $Citigroup(C)$ closed above their daily Bollinger Bands yesterday, while $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ and $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ are testing theirs. $127.80 serves as a good risk management level for long positions. Most oscillators (Stochastic, RSI, excluding Williams %R⚠️) are not yet overbought.Image
10x Stocks: Valuation, Buybacks, and Massive Gains
Why I Bought More MGM Resorts StockI’m going to use $MGM Resorts International(MGM)$ as a proxy here because I recently bought more in the Asymmetric Portfolio, but the same thesis can be applied to $Crocs(CROX)$ or $General Motors(GM)$ (which I recently sold).The analysis is pretty simple. I’m looking for:Strong cash flow from a business with a wide moat.They aren’t adding land to the Las Vegas Strip.Macau has limited land, only 6 concessionaires, and limits both buildings and tables/slots.Only 1 casino is approved in Japan (2030).People need/want to go to destinations to get together and have fun. This goes for parties and businesses, which are increasingly remote
Here’s a helpful mental model. When analysing a company, consider where its product/service fits in its customer’s income statement.I personally target essential spending, ideally related to OPEX and maintenance CAPEX.ImageThere are more essential software categories or only CybersecOffice software (eg Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ), payroll (ADP $Automatic Data Processing Inc(ADP)$ ), accounting (Intuit $Intuit(INTU)$ ), work force management (ATOSS $Atossa Genetics(ATOS)$ ), enterprise (SAP $SAP SE(SAP)$ , Oracle $Oracle(ORCL)$).
$TSM$Like Tesla, TSM publishes monthly reports, so earnings focus on Q1 outlook and overall 2025 expectations.Overall revenue in 2025 is expected to grow 20% to $113 billion. Q1 2025 sales are projected at $25-25.8 billion. Capital expenditure for 2025 is expected to increase to $38-42 billion.Regarding revenue growth, institutions believe annual growth will exceed TSM's expectations, projecting 26-30%.Earnings data generally meets analyst expectations, with institutional price targets at 250, so continue bullish on NVIDIA!TSM is also good, but considering margin efficiency and implied volatility, NVIDIA offers better value.$ASHR$The large single-leg call position of 66,400 contracts traded on December 10-11 $ASHR 20250221 29.0 CA
$META 20250124 565.0 PUT$ just open a weekly CSPut on META as it pulls back on some negative news. this strike is a little higher then the previous as the underlying share price has gone up the past days, in order to receive a decent premium, got to rise the strike as well. It is still within a level am happy to take assignment of it, if $META 20250124 565.0 PUT$ the share price do fall near the strike.
December Inflation. The December 2024 US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI data were finally out. Below is a quick recap. Headline Inflation. MoM: came in at 0.4% vs analysts’ forecast of 0.4% vs November’s data of 0.3%. YoY: came in at 2.9% vs analysts’ forecast of 2.9% vs November’s data of 2.7%. Both headline inflation numbers increased by +0.1% and +0.2% respectively. Core Inflation. MoM: was 0.2% vs analysts’ forecast of 0.3% vs November’s data of 0.3%. YoY: was 3.2% vs analysts’ forecast of 3.3% vs November’s data of 3.3%. Conversely, both core inflation numbers decreased by the same -0.1% quantum respectively. Above is how the consumer price indexes have evolved over the past 4 years. It is still quite far off from the 2% Fed’s target. US Market - 15 Jan 2024. Stocks surged We
Payment Giant Is In Crisis? Hold For Entry Opportunity?
$PayPal(PYPL)$ The past three years have been nothing short of disastrous for PayPal. After nearly a decade of exponential growth and a soaring stock price, the company suffered a dramatic 85% decline in its valuation in 2022. This downfall was driven by several factors threatening PayPal’s survival, including the rise of competing payment methods like Apple Pay and the slowdown in e-commerce as pandemic restrictions eased and consumers returned to physical stores. However, the situation took an even darker turn in December 2024 when PayPal became embroiled in massive fraud allegations. A popular YouTuber's investigation revealed that one of PayPal's most significant acquisitions, Honey—a prominent online coupon aggregator—was allegedly involved i
📊Will Apple’s 🍎 $2 Trillion Market Cap Hold Amid China Challenges🏆?
Apple’s Growing China Dilemma Apple’s( $Apple(AAPL)$ ) market cap, currently sitting above $2 trillion, is being tested as geopolitical tensions and regulatory crackdowns in China intensify. Reports reveal slowing iPhone 15 sales in China, Apple’s second-largest market, as local competitors like Huawei gain ground. Simultaneously, Chinese regulators are rumored to be pushing state-owned enterprises to replace foreign tech, including Apple products, with local alternatives. Despite this, Apple has maintained robust growth, and analysts remain divided: Will Apple sustain its $2 trillion valuation, or is a significant correction imminent? Key Metrics: Apple’s China Exposure Bull vs. Bear Case for Apple Amid Challenges Bullish Case Apple’s ecosystem
How to make from covered call on spyg flat or down 1-2% or up
What Is a Covered Call? A covered call is an options strategy used by investors to generate income from stocks they already own. It involves selling a call option on a stock while simultaneously holding an equivalent amount of the stock. This strategy is considered “covered” because the investor owns the underlying stock, reducing the risk of unlimited loss. How It Works 1. Stock Ownership – I own 100 shares of a stock. 2. Selling a Call Option – I sell (write) a call option contract, agreeing to sell my shares at a specific price (strike price) by a certain expiration date. 3. Premium Collection – I receive a premium (cash payment) from the buyer of the call option. 4. Possible Outcomes: • If the stock stays below the strike price, I keep both the stock and the premium. • If the stock ris
Undervalued Gold Growth Stock with Huge Upside Potential
$Gold Royalty Corp(GROY)$ Hi Tiger, Gold Royalty Corp is currently one of the undervalue Growth stocks, and in this article, we’ll dive deeper into what makes this company so intriguing. We’ll review their recent earnings and performance, discuss some price targets, and I’ll share my personal take on why I believe this stock presents a great investment opportunity right now. What is Gold Royalty Corp? Gold Royalty Corp is a precious metals royalty and streaming company specializing in acquiring and managing a portfolio of royalties and streams tied to gold and other valuable metals. Operating in the mining sector, the company provides capital to mining operations in return for a share of future production or revenue from specific projects. Their b
1. JPMorgan Chase & Co. $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ JPMorgan Chase had a strong fourth quarter, with key metrics beating analysts' expectations.The bank reported adjusted revenue of $43.74 billion, significantly beating the widely expected $42.01 billion.Earnings per share came in at $4.81, demonstrating strong profitability.Shares of JPMorgan Chase were up 2% in pre-market U.S. trading.Key performance indicators:Loans: $1.35 trillion, in line with expectationsProvision for credit losses: $2.63 billion, below expectations of $3.04 billionReturn on equity: 17% (vs. 14.1% expected)Return on tangible common equity: 21% (expected 17.2%)Book value per share: $116.07CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized the company's strong performance across all lines of business,
Option Movers | This Tesla Call Soars 328%; Rigetti Computing Volume Surges 6 Times
Market OverviewU.S. stocks gained Wednesday, with all three major indexes registering their biggest daily percentage gains in more than two months, as core inflation data and earnings from major U.S. banks fueled the rally.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 51,168,736 contracts was traded, up 12% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $Nvidia(NVDA)$, $Tesla(TSLA)$, $Apple(AAPL)$, $AMD(AMD)$, $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$, $Riot Platforms(RIOT)$, $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ The stock market is the only place where people don’t like discounts. I often hear people say, ‘My stock dropped 50%! What should I do? Should I sell?’ My answer: If you bought a quality company at $100, you should be even happier if it drops to $50 tomorrow—that’s your chance to buy more!(thats me, TSLA dropped from $400 to $101 and I just bought more and more). $4 k only can buy 10 units of TSLA share at $400 but 40 shares of TSLA at $101. Today, TSLA is back above $400 after 2 years of my wait despite people telling me TSLA has no future when I bought at $101. Trust your research, stay unemotional, and focus on the long term. In time, you’ll see the rewards.
$Plug Power(PLUG)$ Long plug power to average down on my position while at the same time performing a covered call at 3.0 expiring this week. Taking advantage of the high IV to earn tasty premium on the option . Should price be above 3.0 will buy back the shares and do a covered call at a much higher strike price .
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) reported a 57% jump in fourth-quarter net profit on Thursday, driven by robust demand for advanced chips used in artificial intelligence processing. The world's largest contract chipmaker posted a net profit of NT$374.68 billion ($11.60 billion) for the quarter ended December 31, exceeding expectations and marking a record high for any quarter. Revenue reached NT$868.5 billion ($26.3 billion), up 39% year-over-year. Key Drivers * AI Boom: Increased demand for high-performance computing chips used in AI applications, such as GPUs and AI processors, fueled TSMC's growth. * Advanced Technology Leadership:
Will Quantum Computing Stocks Outshine AI in 2025?
Welcome to Thursday Special![LOL]Microsoft has officially announced its "Quantum Ready" program, kicking off the commercial era of quantum computing this year. Following the news, U.S. quantum computing stocks skyrocketed—Quantum Computing Inc. surged 55%. Even Nvidia is joining the buzz, dedicating a "Quantum Day" at its upcoming GTC conference to collaborate with industry leaders.Is this the dawn of a new era, or just another wave of hype?On Wednesday, the entire quantum computing sector soared. Quantum Computing Inc. rallied 55%, Quantum Corp gained nearly 50%, and both D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing jumped over 22%. Tech giant Google also climbed more than 3%, partially supported by a CPI report that boosted risk appetite.Interestingly, just last week, Nvidia’s Jensen Huang stirr