I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
SPX Bounce Turns Choppy, QQQ Needs 610+ to Stabilize
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The pattern is repeating: Breach of the lower band + Oversold oscillator. This bounce has lead to choppy price action in the days ahead. The rejection at the 20DMA suggests so, but the recovery of $6,836 is an encouraging sign. Mentioned yesterday: "most of the move is in". 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 15minutes: Technicals work the same across timeframes. Price retraced as oscillators hit overbought and indecisive candles met the the upper Bollinger Band.Bulls need a close today above $610 for considering a bounce; much better $613, which just acted as resistance. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading o
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Lower Bollinger Band + 50DMAMy note this morning regarding caution when chasing the selloff highlighted the strength of these two levels combined, not to mention the confluence of the weekly layer of $6,836 plus the CML at $6,837. This zone remains the primary focus today. If a bullish reversal hammer forms by the end of the day, a gap-fill attempt could follow shortly. Strong bearish conviction, the 50DMA was breached. The chart is bearish until proven otherwise. Worth noting: a) The recent candle breached the lower Bollinger Band and the W%R is oversold, similar to previous bottoms highlighted. Most of the move is likely in, but if we see bearish continuation tomorrow, the 100DMA is a strong support. For SG users only, Welc
Hello everyone,What a day. The market unfolded the move that has been brewing for recent sessions in a rapid fashion. We first saw the warning signs when technology began diverging from other sectors, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was grinding higher while tech megacaps showed underlying weakness.Over the past few weeks, I have occasionally shared free articles demonstrating how technical indicators validate momentum and anticipate reversals. We’ve covered $NVIDIA(NVDA)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ so far. My next free post will focus on Crypto, showing
NDX, IWM & AAPL at a Crossroads: Fading Momentum and Key Support Tests
1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ A big move is coming. The vanishing move on Friday, validated by volume suggests that the 20DMA could be breached after being tested several times during the last two weeks following the bounce. The lack of bullish conviction is notable. 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Pullbacks in the Small Caps have been preceded by one of two factors: an overbought RSI or indecisive candle structures. We are seeing a confluence of both, suggesting an imminent "breather" for this outstanding rally that outperformed both $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ recently. 3.
Cracks Under the SurfaceWill Earnings Season Reverse the Weakening Technical Structure?Discipline, Precision, and Market NeutralitySuccess in the markets is built on disciplined technical analysis and the precise execution of price targets. This week, 7 of our 9 high-probability setups were successful, providing our subscribers with clear, actionable insights.A core tenet of our strategy is market neutrality. Upside momentum can be monetized through longs or call options, as well as downward moves via shorts and puts. Leveraged ETFs are also part of the equation for broader indices and specific mega-cap. Being truly neutral also considers rotation, finding opportunity wherever it emerges, whether in Tech, Retail, Finance, Pharma, Metals, Crypto, or Bonds. My only strict requirement is that
$SPY Momentum Fades, Support Test Near $686 Likely
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The bullish momentum seen on Thursday and Friday mornings vanished by the close, printing a series of lower highs and a breach of the diagonal support. With the MACD curling downward, the structure suggests a test of $686.4 reinforced by the 20DMA next week. This seems to be exactly the opposite of the trend of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ :The hammer candle formed yesterday after bouncing from the 20DMA in confluence with $6,912 (one of the levels for this week) suggested a continuation for the bounce. The futures are suggesting the thesis is valid. Despite of the red day, breadth improved. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up
The stock market concluded the week on a soft note, leaving major benchmarks lower as investors weighed solid economic data against renewed policy uncertainties. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dipped -0.4% and the Nasdaq 100 $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ fell -0.9%, while Small-caps $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ rallied to secure a 2.2% advance. Overall volume remained subdued, reflecting a market in search of fresh catalysts.This price action mirrors what we saw in November and December 2025: indecisive days, dips that are quickly bought, and rallies that evaporate just as fast. Since then, I have emphasized the power of individual names during times of consolidation.
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ The CWL of $343.5 was conquered on Monday morning suggesting a clean entry, by Tuesday the target was reached, securing a 3.3% gain. The chart shows a bearish daily shooting star candle that suggested exhaustion and a likely reversal considering the confluence of resistance levels, starting from our target, the upper Bollinger band, and the volume shelf. Locking gains was wise, the recent selloff is not a technical surprise, and considering the breach of $343.5, there is an invalidation of the bullish setup for now, but we made a decent 3.3% gain.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
$JPM Bearish Setup Plays Out, Oversold Bounce Likely
$JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ The Weekly Compass called it as bearish last Saturday. Note the precision of the selloff following Friday’s daily shooting star candle and the subsequent loss of the $324 Central Weekly Level (CWL). When price opened below the CWL on Monday, it validated a high-conviction short position. (As a reminder: investors can profit from downward moves through shorting just as they do from upward moves through long positions). JPM hit our initial targets of $323, $317.7, and $310.8 in rapid succession. When a level is breached with such conviction, you can navigate the move by trailing your stops lower, using the “support-turned-resistance” levels as a guide. Today JPM has reached oversold levels with an indecisive candle validated by
$Costco(COST)$ After breaking out from oversold conditions last week, the price action signaled a bullish continuation (as noted in the latest Weekly Compass considering additional indicators) with a target of $950.8 (+2.8%). Since the price held above the $905.8 Central Weekly Level (CWL), the bullish path was clear by Monday morning. Today, a trader might choose to lock in gains at the target or navigate the move by trailing their stop higher. The daily timeframe now reaching overbought levels relative to the Bollinger bands and the Stochastic oscillator suggests some consolidation. Not to mention the precision of our target set before the week started!For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG