$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ get ready for a generational buying opportunity! After breaking down from a double top pattern tsla tried to reclaim the neckline of $414.5 but couldn't close above it and was rejected twice. Price is consolidating Between the neckline and the 100 sma. The S&P index could be forming a head and shoulders pattern. If 6550 can't hold as support it's gonna get very ugly. Your portfolio is going to bleed but many of your favourite stocks will be in deep discounts so buckle up and get your cash ready haha [Miser]
This week’s volatility was intense, yet only a few strong names show early signs of stabilising. True bottoms need calmer yields, exhausted selling, and clear leadership, which are only partly visible now. The most resilient group remains big tech. Alphabet still holds its uptrend, Microsoft’s weakness is shallow, and Meta is firming. In healthcare, Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk stay strong due to solid GLP1 demand. Among semiconductors, Nvidia, Broadcom, and TSMC show early buying interest, though not a confirmed reversal. Weaker areas have likely not bottomed. Oracle still faces credit pressure, making further downside possible. Speculative AI names, crypto stocks, and Bitcoin remain fragile, with no clear support forming yet. For bottom fishing, focus only on high quality leaders and avoi
Oracle’s AI Gamble Backfires: CDS Doubles, Stock Craters $300B!
$Oracle(ORCL)$ Oracle’s high-stakes bet on AI has turned sour, with its stock plunging from a $615 billion peak on September 10, 2025, to $198.68 today—a gut-wrenching $416 billion wipeout that’s erased all gains since the OpenAI deal. The five-year CDS spread has doubled to 80 basis points, signaling investor panic over the software giant’s $38 billion debt-fueled AI infrastructure binge and a tangled web of deals with OpenAI, Microsoft, and others. Unlike peers with robust AI moats, Oracle’s pivot has left it underwater, with Moody’s warning of “extended high leverage and negative cash flow.” Is this the AI bubble’s first pop? Will the $300 billion OpenAI pact become a trillion-dollar trap? Dive into the unraveling, assess the risks, and strateg
Part 3 of 5 - S&P500 outlook - Technicals point to a recovery?
Market Outlook of S&P500 (24Nov25) Technical Indicators Overview MACD Trend Analysis The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently signalling a downtrend. This downward momentum suggests a potential weakening in the stock’s price movement and may indicate caution for traders monitoring short-term price action. Moving Averages The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both trending upward, which is typically considered bullish for both short- and long-term perspectives. This uptrend points to a positive sentiment in the market. The most recent candlestick has closed below the 50-day moving average line. This increased volatility, a bearish signal for the short term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) On the daily chart, the three exponential moving averages (EM
I prefer top down investing as a good company also needs the right economic conditions, policies and macroeconomic factors to survive and perform well. So, I look at macro then sectors, with a focus beyond just the current cycle but also longer term if I wish to invest for a longer horizon such as IT and AI sectors. For such sectors, if the macro are not conducive but I think they will grow in the longer term, I would seize the opportunity to invest in them if the price drop like tech companies during the rate hike years. I generally pick ETFs as it reduces the risk for a busy investor like me who may not want to keep studying the company on a regular basis and reduces the risk for me if I choose to invest for the medium to longer term. I might couple with bottom up investing once I identi
Part 5 of 5 - my investing muse (24Nov25) - layoffs, closures and a bad week
My Investing Muse (24Nov25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news Popular crypto company files for Chapter 15 bankruptcy as Bitcoin crashes. The decentralised application (dApp) analytics platform, DappRadar, decided to wind down as running a large organisation has become “financially unsustainable” in the “current environment.” - Yahoo Finance On the jobs front. ATT laid off 30% of its workforce last week which is huge even by their standards. I’ve been watching for it to pop up in the news, but haven’t seen anything? 3M also laid off last week with more to come. Roche laid off 50% in some divisions. AbbVie as well. - X user Chey Cab Verizon says it will cut 13,000 jobs - X user Unusual Whales Tyson Foods is closing a major beef plant in Lexington, Nebraska with 3,200 employees in Januar
Although there is a drop in the market, I don’t think this is the time to add. Market response has been mainly towards rate cut expectations and have ignored that fundamentally, the labour market remains strong and economic data have not suggested impending recession. Many of the companies have delivered earnings that beat expectations. The pullback has been painful but not big enough for me to add positions. I prefer to stay calm in this time and continue to watch the macroeconomic situation. The current valuation of most stocks are near historical ranges where they are neither too expensive to be considered a bubble but also not cheap enough for me to consider adding positions. I would need to wait for another 5-10% pullback before adding. I believe once the panic settles, there will act
🚀 Indexes Bounce Back with a Bang—But Is This the Start of a Holiday Rally or Just a Tease? Next Week's Make-or-Break Clues Revealed! 📈
Wall Street just shook off a brutal week of AI jitters and tech tumbles, closing Friday on a high note that had traders cheering from the trading floor. All three heavyweight indexes flipped the script: the Dow rocketed nearly 500 points in a single session surge, the S&P 500 clawed up 0.92% to hit 6,599 amid Fed rate-cut whispers, and the Nasdaq? Oh, it stole the show, spiking over 2% at its peak before settling into solid gains. This rebound came hot on the heels of a nasty weekly slide—Dow down 1.3%, S&P off 1.2%, Nasdaq shedding 1.8%—fueled by overblown fears that the AI boom was fizzling. But hold up: with valuations still sky-high and crypto crashes echoing in the background, was this just a pit stop or the green light for Santa's early sack of gains? Let's unpack the firewor
$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ 🔥📊🚀 The Magnificent 7 Are Repricing the Market. One Name Has Already Taken Control of 2025 🚀📊🔥 📈 The Macro Picture Behind the Index Rebound The leadership break inside the Magnificent 7 has accelerated. Combined Q3 revenue reached $588.7B, up from $278.3B in Q3 2020, yet performance dispersion is now extreme. Alphabet leads 2025 at 54.7%. Nvidia follows at 38.9%. Microsoft is at 15.6%. Apple at 7.2%. Amazon at 1.5%. Meta at 0.8%. Tesla flat. The past three months have moved faster; Alphabet is up roughly 45%, Meta is down more than 21%, Nvidia is marginally positive, and Amazon, Microsoft,
🌟🌟🌟Last week Oracle $Oracle(ORCL)$ is grappling with an investment paradox that has sent its stock down from its peak to USD 198.76 even though it is still up 19% year todate. What happened to Oracle? The Double Edged Sword of AI Ambition: Oracle's vision to power the AI revolution has secured major cloud deals with players like OpenAI and xAI. Yet this ambition comes at a significant cost, leading to 6 consecutive weeks of stock decline and raising serious red flags for both investors and analysts. Massive Capital Outlay: In order to compete with giants like Amazon and Microsoft, Oracle is investing heavily in data centers, primarily funded by significant borrowing
Can NetApp (NTAP) Show Quality Growth (Cloud & AFA)?
$NetApp(NTAP)$ is expected to release its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Tuesday, November 25, 2025, after the market closes. Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis The general consensus suggests a modest year-over-year increase for both revenue and EPS, building on the company's focus on its flash and cloud storage portfolios. Positive Tailwinds: The company is strategically focused on high-growth areas like All-Flash Arrays and enterprise AI solutions. Strong demand in these areas, coupled with hyperscaler partnerships (Amazon, Microsoft), is expected to be a primary driver of performance. Recent EPS History: NTAP has a history of generally beating or meeting consensus EPS estimates, but it did miss the consensus estimate in the prior quarter (Q1 2026). M
January 15 2026 : MSCI Reclassification Decision That Could Affect Bitcoin
🌟🌟🌟Based on recent news $Strategy(MSTR)$ and the broader cryptocurrency market are facing significant uncertainty. This is driven by a looming MSCI index reclassification decision, which could cause forced selling by institutional investors. Bitcoin's recent price drop below USD 90,000, combined with this regulatory risk, has intensified market volatility. What happened? On October 10 2025, MSCI, the world's 2nd largest index provider published a critical update. MSCI is questioning whether companies whose core business is holding crypto should be classified as companies or funds. If labeled as funds, these companies cannot be included in passive indices because it creates a circular feedback
Can Dell Technologies (DELL) Earnings Show Signs Of Rebound From Tech As AI Server Margins In Focus?
$Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$' upcoming earnings report for Fiscal Q3 2026 (Period ending October 2025) is scheduled to be released on Tuesday, November 25, 2025 (After Market Close). Dell stock has pulled back significantly (~15-20%) heading into this print. This creates an interesting "oversold" setup where the bar for a positive reaction might be lower than it was a few months ago. The market is anxious about AI server margins and the rising cost of memory components. DELL earnings would be interesting as we would be seeing how the AI narrative would be like when investors are anxious to look at its AI server margins, and this should give me some clues whether the AI bubbles might really formed? Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates Analysts and
I am watching the doubling of Oracle's Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads with significant concern, as it clearly signals a palpable rise in perceived risk regarding the company's enormous gamble on the Artificial Intelligence infrastructure buildout. The surge in the cost of insuring Oracle's debt to its highest level in two years—or even three, depending on the data source—is a direct reflection of investor anxiety over the multi-billion-dollar debt Oracle is taking on. This aggressive borrowing spree, with net adjusted debt potentially tripling by 2028, is a high-stakes strategy to challenge giants like Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and Amazon $Amazon.com(AMZN)$
It’s coming to 2 weeks since US government shutdown ended. On Wed, 12 Nov 2025, Trump signed the bipartisan funding bill that reopened the government and extended funding thru 30 Jan 2026. Effectively kicking the budget-bucket further down the road instead of addressing it heads on. With that, US economic reporting resumed, showing actual state of the US economy. Many believe these negative reports all played a role to further dampen US market sentiments, kickstarted by (a) Softbank, (b) Michael Burry and (c) Peter Thiel. Jobless Claims. (a) Weekly claims. For the week ended 15 Nov 2025, weekly initial claims fell by -8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 220,000 claims. (see above) Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 230,000 claims for the latest week. Note that latest claims data covered
$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ TPUs adding to $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ GPU demand. New TPU generation leans hard on HBM & $Micron Technology(MU)$ is one of the only suppliers with real capacity. As GOOGL scales TPU clusters, $Micron Technology(MU)$ becomes the go-to source for the extra memory the industry suddenly needs. $Micron Technology(MU)$ closing +2.98% | Volume 36.7M (≈ 1× avg)Range 9.64% | RSI(14) ≈ 58 (neutral zone)Intraday flow +$0.96B (3rd straight day of net inflow)Large lots modest net-out → small/mid lots catch, chips not loosened Technical Levels (1-3 day view)Support 202-205 ← multiple
🔥 This Week's Market Catalysts: Don't Just Watch, What's YOUR Trade?
Hey Tigers! 🐅A new week, a new opportunity! 🌟What's the first move you're making as the market opens?Jump in, share your plan, and let's make this week count!Let’s break it down. These stories drove the markets.More NewsWeekly Five Key Areas: Earnings, Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, FuturesCovering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!🌍 Monday — Macro EconomyU.S. stocks declined last week despite positive corporate and economic news, as investors worried about high valuations and AI's profitability. The Nasdaq fell the most, while small-cap indexes held up slightly better. Although NVIDIA reported record earnings and strong guidance, its shares fel