To The Moon

Time in the market beats timing the market 

NVIDIA a bit overvalued, wait n see

NVDA $200 🔥 TSLA $600 🔥

Very interesting insight 

 I strongly believe in $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ coming into the new year. Its a great potential growth company.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ H200 China sales still hinges on demand from customers in China, though Nvidia reportedly saw strong interest in its H200 AI processors. So there have been news of Huawei Ascend 910C Accelerator challenging Nvidia H200. If you have been dabbling with AI development, one would look at maturation of the technology, adaptation of current AI model and infrastructure to any new hardware (e.g. Chips). So in this article, I would like to share what I think of the current situational and investment-oriented assessment of Nvidia’s H200 China sales prospects, the competitive positioning of Huawei’s Ascend line (especially the 910C), and the implications for Nvidia’s longer-term dominance with CUDA and overall AI infrastructure leadership. Chi

Reading the news, it seemed like the Chinese government was trying to prevent h200 chip sales from properly happening, in part to avoid reliance on nvidia (and western companies as a whole) and in part to encourage their local manufacturers to produce something competitive enough. Unsurprising considering China has seen how volatile the US president is and they themselves like to string their trade partners up high and dry to get their way. It is absolutely terrible that countries do not play nice and hse trade between one another as a cudgel to whack one another to get whatever they want. This only serves to cut efficiency of using resources and serves to fragment the world. I am curious if nvda has had any expression of interest by China companies, or are they simply believing in th

Chinas purchase could force USA hand, trump could easily step in the way or punish the deal forcing shaky value growth imo. 

Feels like another attempt to keep the market floating upwards

Temporarily measures to keep the US economy humming, whilst China is playing catch up A time will come when China will just dump H200 chip. 

Hopefully this is the right move

1. China H200 ship-ups and catalyst potential Plans to begin delivering H200 AI chips to China around mid-February 2026 are now widely reported. Initial shipments are expected to comprise roughly 5,000–10,000 module sets, equivalent to approximately 40,000–80,000 chips, subject to Chinese regulatory approval. The move follows a reversal in U.S. export policy that permits H200 sales to “approved customers” with a 25% revenue share for the U.S. government. These shipments would mark the first major resumption of Nvidia’s AI chip exports to China after prior bans.  From a demand perspective, the China market represents a meaningful addressable opportunity for Nvidia given the scale of AI adoption among hyperscalers and cloud providers there. Analysts estimate H200 sales could add materia

From my perspective, confirmation that NVIDIA plans to resume H200 deliveries to China around mid-February 2026 is a meaningful near-term catalyst. The expected 5,000–10,000 module sets—equivalent to roughly 40,000–80,000 H200 chips—won't redefine NVIDIA's global revenue base on their own, but they clearly help stabilize expectations around China exposure. After months of uncertainty driven by export controls, even partial normalization reduces downside risk and improves visibility, which explains why the stock reacted positively with a 3% gain. That said, I see the China H200 story more as a confidence booster than a structural growth re-acceleration. The volume involved is material, but not transformative compared with hyperscaler demand in the US, Middle East, and Europe. What matters m

Nvidia Best Buy 2026

SoftBank's bold pivot: Masayoshi Son just liquidated the firm's entire $5.8B NVIDIA stake (and chunks of T-Mobile too) to go ALL IN on OpenAI with a massive $22.5B funding commitment. They're even leveraging Arm holdings as collateral to seal the deal by year-end. Talk about doubling down on AI dominance! But the risks? Massive concentration in one volatile sector—OpenAI's sky-high valuation could pop like an AI bubble, regulatory hurdles loom (antitrust, ethics), and SoftBank's track record (WeWork vibes) screams "high-stakes gamble." If OpenAI pays off, genius. If not? Ouch. What do you think—smart move or recipe for disasters? $Softbank Holdings(BK4549)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  

Yess. AI will slowly be monetized by companies as the technology matures. We have only scratched the surface. I have been using AI throughout 2025 for work, personal life like learning and holiday planning. I'm sure companies are finding ways to get am edge by using AI. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  Is at the fore front of it all. CUDA ecosystem is like a moat. As other companies try to gain market share, NVDA growth will still carry on. NVDA will not stay still. At this price, it's a steal and without doubt 200 will be broken in 2026

🤖 AI Is Quietly Crossing the Point of No Return — And the Market Is Still Debating Valuation 🏦 Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan just made a statement that deserves far more attention: AI is now having a meaningful impact on the U.S. economy. This matters because markets don’t reprice themes — they reprice economic forces ⚙️📈 When CEOs start describing AI in economic terms, not innovation buzzwords, we’re no longer in a “story phase”. We’re entering an execution phase. ⸻ 📊 Why JPMorgan’s “conservative pricing” comment isn’t crazy On the surface, AI stocks look expensive. Under the hood, expectations are still… modest. What’s largely not priced in 👇 • 🚀 AI inference demand beyond Big Tech • 🏢 Enterprise-wide AI deployment becoming default • 🌍 Sovereign & national AI infrastructure spen

1. Will AI Continue as a Dominant Investment Theme in 2026? Strong consensus among major strategists and market outlooks suggests that AI will remain a central theme driving investment flows and economic growth into 2026. Economic Growth and Corporate Capex • Large financial institutions, including Bank of America, highlight that AI investment has meaningfully contributed to current US economic growth and is expected to continue growing in 2026, potentially becoming a more significant driver of productivity and capital spending next year. � • BlackRock’s outlook also points to AI capital expenditure supporting economic growth next year, at three times historical averages. � Market Strategy and Asset Allocation Views • Several brokerages and analysts believe AI will cement itself as a core

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bank of America's top boss Brian Moynihan just dropped a game-changer, highlighting how AI's grip on the US economy is ramping up big time. He pointed out that AI investments have been building steam all year, setting the stage for massive growth kicks in 2026 and beyond. With the domestic economy forecasted to hit 2.4% growth next year, up from 2% in 2025, Moynihan sees AI as the secret sauce supercharging margins and productivity across sectors. This isn't fluff – it's backed by real momentum, with AI weaving into everything from banking ops to consumer trends, turning soft spots like labor cools into opportunity goldmines. JPMorgan chimes in too, arguing that AI companies' market pricing stays conservative despite the hype, leavi

Reading the latest remarks from the Bank of America $Bank of America(BAC)$  CEO reinforces my belief that AI is shifting from hype to real economic impact. When corporate leaders start to point out that AI investment is not only persistent but also increasingly influential on economic growth, it signals that we may be entering a new phase where AI becomes a core driver of productivity and investment returns, not just a narrative. Coupled with JPMorgan's  $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$  view that the market is still pricing AI stocks conservatively, I see this as a reason to remain bullish on leading AI names. If the market hasn't fully priced in the long-term earnings power of AI leaders, th

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I’m positioning for a structural shift in AI leadership where implied volatility has fallen below realised movement while export headwinds ease, hyperscaler capex accelerates, and $NVDA trades red against a green semiconductor backdrop because forced deleveraging is giving me a precise accumulation zone. Implied volatility is discounted. Earnings momentum is not. Flow regime is turning. $NVDA volatility edge, policy détente, and capital rotation Immediate Market Read: Volatility risk premium printed minus 2.0% on 04Dec25 with a 3-month percentile of 8.06%. IV curve underprices realised volat

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ H200 China sales still hinges on demand from customers in China, though Nvidia reportedly saw strong interest in its H200 AI processors. So there have been news of Huawei Ascend 910C Accelerator challenging Nvidia H200. If you have been dabbling with AI development, one would look at maturation of the technology, adaptation of current AI model and infrastructure to any new hardware (e.g. Chips). So in this article, I would like to share what I think of the current situational and investment-oriented assessment of Nvidia’s H200 China sales prospects, the competitive positioning of Huawei’s Ascend line (especially the 910C), and the implications for Nvidia’s longer-term dominance with CUDA and overall AI infrastructure leadership. Chi

Wedbush's renowned tech analyst outlines a bullish roadmap for AI-driven market leadersAs 2025 winds down, Wedbush Securities' Dan Ives has released his highly anticipated Top 10 Tech Predictions for 2026, painting a wildly optimistic picture for the sector. For investors navigating the AI revolution, these predictions offer a clear blueprint for potential outperformance. Here's your actionable breakdown, complete with key stock tickers.Wedbush1. 20%+ Surge in Tech Stocks : The AI Derivatives BoomIves predicts a 20%+ surge in tech stocks as AI's "second, third, and fourth derivatives" materialize across software, semiconductors, and infrastructure. This isn't just about AI pure-plays—it's about AI-enabled transformation touching every corner of tech.Investment Angle: Consider broad tech ET

1. China H200 ship-ups and catalyst potential Plans to begin delivering H200 AI chips to China around mid-February 2026 are now widely reported. Initial shipments are expected to comprise roughly 5,000–10,000 module sets, equivalent to approximately 40,000–80,000 chips, subject to Chinese regulatory approval. The move follows a reversal in U.S. export policy that permits H200 sales to “approved customers” with a 25% revenue share for the U.S. government. These shipments would mark the first major resumption of Nvidia’s AI chip exports to China after prior bans.  From a demand perspective, the China market represents a meaningful addressable opportunity for Nvidia given the scale of AI adoption among hyperscalers and cloud providers there. Analysts estimate H200 sales could add materia

Macro Highlights This WeekThe December FOMC delivered a widely expected 25bp rate cut and announced roughly USD 40bn in short-term Treasury purchases to replenish system reserves. However, the market’s real focus was not the policy action itself, but Chair Powell’s rare admission that current job growth may be “systematically overstated.”The latest dot plot shows a sharply widened divergence in views on the 2026 rate path. While the median still points to one 25bp cut, the range now spans from no cuts to as much as 150bp of easing, highlighting a lack of consensus among policymakers on the economic outlook.At the corporate level, Oracle’s earnings triggered the market’s first broad-based concern over AI capex returns. Weak cloud revenue combined with sharply higher capital spending drove t

This Week’s Macro ThemeNovember employment data showed the U.S. unemployment rate unexpectedly rising to 4.6%. While still low by historical standards, this marks the highest level since early 2021. Under the current macro pricing framework, a moderate softening in labor data is paradoxically viewed as positive by markets.The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75% this week, in line with market expectations. This move lifts Japanese interest rates to their highest level in 30 years and marks the first rate hike in 11 months since January 2025, signaling continued progress toward policy normalization. While the pace remains gradual, the shift has created marginal disruptions to global capital flows and carry trades.U.S. stocks sold off sharply on Wednesday, but rebounded on

1. Will AI Continue as a Dominant Investment Theme in 2026? Strong consensus among major strategists and market outlooks suggests that AI will remain a central theme driving investment flows and economic growth into 2026. Economic Growth and Corporate Capex • Large financial institutions, including Bank of America, highlight that AI investment has meaningfully contributed to current US economic growth and is expected to continue growing in 2026, potentially becoming a more significant driver of productivity and capital spending next year. � • BlackRock’s outlook also points to AI capital expenditure supporting economic growth next year, at three times historical averages. � Market Strategy and Asset Allocation Views • Several brokerages and analysts believe AI will cement itself as a core

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I have spent decades analysing liquidity regimes and volatility mechanics across global markets. Today’s Tesla gamma dynamics are some of the most tactically significant I have seen in recent months. The GEX progression shows a clear transition from negative to positive dealer exposure. Early session positioning pinned $TSLA beneath the $450 call wall with negative GEX stacked from $455 to $485. As flows evolved, positive GEX rapidly expanded between $445 and $470, meaning market makers are increasingly hedging by buying strength rather than sellin

From my perspective, confirmation that NVIDIA plans to resume H200 deliveries to China around mid-February 2026 is a meaningful near-term catalyst. The expected 5,000–10,000 module sets—equivalent to roughly 40,000–80,000 H200 chips—won't redefine NVIDIA's global revenue base on their own, but they clearly help stabilize expectations around China exposure. After months of uncertainty driven by export controls, even partial normalization reduces downside risk and improves visibility, which explains why the stock reacted positively with a 3% gain. That said, I see the China H200 story more as a confidence booster than a structural growth re-acceleration. The volume involved is material, but not transformative compared with hyperscaler demand in the US, Middle East, and Europe. What matters m

Despite $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ lofty valuations, regulatory risks, economic uncertainty, and edge computing shifts pose challenges to long-term AI infrastructure dominance, it remain a Top 2026 Chip pick? So whether Nvidia (NVDA) can continue to hold the “top AI stock” position in 2026 — and whether its current valuation reflects fundamentals or speculative exuberance. Hyperscalers GPU Infrastructure Build If hyperscalers continue to build out this infrastructure, it is hard to see Nvidia's business slowing down anytime soon. We have heard Nvidia announced that it has booked $500 billion in orders for its Blackwell chips and their looming successor, Rubin, through the end of next year, with $150 billion of that already delivered. Nvidia has enjoy this dat

🌟🌟🌟The air is thick with tension as NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  the AI darling of the decade fights to reclaim its crown.  After a gut wrenching correction that saw the market momentarily turn its back on Nvidia, the question on every investor's mind this December: Is Nvidia a buy the dip miracle or a trap waiting to spring? Nvidia's Rebound Riding on Micron's Coattails The clouds began to part this week as $Micron Technology(MU)$  delivered a blowout earnings report that acted like a shot of adrenaline to the sector.  Nvidia, which had been languishing below key moving averages, caught a massive wave of sympathy bid. When the "mem

Macro HighlightsIn Japan, Governor Ueda successfully persuaded the Prime Minister to agree to a 25bp rate hike to 0.75% in December, marking the official end of Japan’s ultra-low interest rate era. With the potential retracement of the trillion-dollar yen carry trade, markets are concerned about spillover risks. However, since this coincides with the Fed’s pause in rate cuts, the impact is expected to be less severe than the 2022 year-end “carry trade plunge.”In the US, the Fed officially ended balance sheet reduction on Monday, signaling a key shift in liquidity direction. Markets widely expect the next FOMC to announce a Reserve Management Purchase (RMP) program, potentially starting $35B/month of short-term bond purchases from January, indicating a policy shift from “draining” to “injec

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bank of America's top boss Brian Moynihan just dropped a game-changer, highlighting how AI's grip on the US economy is ramping up big time. He pointed out that AI investments have been building steam all year, setting the stage for massive growth kicks in 2026 and beyond. With the domestic economy forecasted to hit 2.4% growth next year, up from 2% in 2025, Moynihan sees AI as the secret sauce supercharging margins and productivity across sectors. This isn't fluff – it's backed by real momentum, with AI weaving into everything from banking ops to consumer trends, turning soft spots like labor cools into opportunity goldmines. JPMorgan chimes in too, arguing that AI companies' market pricing stays conservative despite the hype, leavi

$Apple(AAPL)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I am stalking a regime change in $AAPL that could unleash asymmetric volatility as capital flees AI fragility 🎮 Fundamentals Driving Expectation I have a market that wants stability inside a chaotic AI tape. UBS reiterates Neutral with a $280 price target implying about 0.8% upside from $277.89. App Store growth is slowing but resilient at 6% YoY in November after 9% in October and 7% in September. FX added about 5%. Quarter to date is tracking near 7% reported and 6% FX neutral. December must deliver mid teens growth to print double digits which creates a high stakes comp setup. Apple quietly retired its AI chief on

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   The $4 Trillion Question: Is Nvidias Moat Indestructible ​As we close out 2025, Nvidia (NVDA) isn't just a chip company; it is the central nervous system of the AI economy. Trading near $180 with a market cap breaching $4.4 trillion, the company has defied gravity. But for investors and tech watchers, the narrative is shifting from "unlimited growth" to "strategic durability." ​Here is the analytical breakdown of where Nvidia stands right now. ​1. The Blackwell Supercycle is Real ​Any fears of an "air pocket" in demand between generations have evaporated. The Blackwell (B200/GB200) architecture is shipping in volume (~1,000 racks/week) and has successfully reset the performance baseline. ​The Mo

🐯 NVDA 2026 Outlook: Still the Undisputed King of AI or Pricing in Perfection? NVIDIA Corp $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  continues to defy gravity, riding the massive wave of hyperscaler infrastructure spending. But as we look toward 2026, the narrative is shifting from "how high can it go?" to "can it justify the premium?" With regulatory headwinds, custom silicon threats, and shifting compute needs, investors are rightly asking: Is $180+ the new floor, or are we staring at a valuation ceiling? Here is the deep dive on whether Nvidia stays a Top Pick for 2026. 1️⃣ The Bull Case: The Infrastructure Supercycle isn’t Over If you think the AI trade is done, look at the order book.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ China's H200 hunger is off the charts, blasting past Nvidia's production lines and sparking talks of ramped-up output to feed the beast. ByteDance and Alibaba are lining up orders after Trump's green light, signaling a revenue revival that could add billions to the AI king's coffers. But Friday's session saw NVDA slide lower despite the buzz, closing at $175.02 on Dec 12 amid broader tech turbulence. Enter BofA's bullish reset: After a private huddle, they're sticking with Buy and a $275 target, eyeing 50% upside from today's levels on exploding AI chip demand. With China's demand overwhelming supply, this turbulent China path might finally smooth out, but tariffs loom like storm clouds. Can resumed sales supercharge revenue and sna

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Market mayhem just got a Trump twist – the President announced Nvidia can sell its powerhouse H200 chips to "approved customers" in China, slapping a 25% fee on revenues but unlocking a lifeline for the AI giant's battered sales path. Shares jumped 1.2% after-hours on December 9, 2025, to $187.50 from a $185.55 close, snapping a recent decline that's shaved 5% off NVDA in November amid export curbs and demand jitters. This green light isn't charity – it's a calculated crack in the trade wall, potentially boosting Nvidia's China revenue (15% of total) b

From my perspective, Nvidia's recent rebound alongside Micron's  $Micron Technology(MU)$  strong earnings is a reminder that the market is still highly sensitive to real demand signals in the semiconductor space. When memory players start delivering upside, it usually confirms that the AI supply chain is not slowing, but rather broadening. That gives me more confidence that Nvidia's recent pullback was more about positioning and sentiment than any fundamental break. I also pay close attention to Morgan Stanley's stance, and their continued conviction matters. Naming Nvidia, Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO)$  , and Astera Labs as top semico