To The Moon

Morgan Stanley paints a clean macro runway for 2026 with supportive policy, strong earnings and resilient growth. But markets rarely follow the script. The biggest risk is the assumption that all risk assets will rise together. The next cycle will reward precision, not passive optimism. 1. The Prediction Most Likely to Fail: A Smooth Macro and Even Rally Across Risk Assets The idea that everything will move up in harmony is the weakest point. Bond markets are already signalling stress, supply chains look vulnerable, and geopolitical catalysts can flip risk sentiment quickly. Tech valuations sit at premium levels, and any slowdown in cloud spending or AI hardware demand will hit megacaps first. The soft landing story can wobble if inflation stays sticky or if the Federal Reserve pivots too

"How to Trade a Long Straddle in Singapore ?" When you expect a big move in a stock — but you’re not sure if the price will explode up or crash down — the Long Straddle is one of the most powerful and straightforward options trading strategies. It removes the need to guess direction. You simply position yourself to profit from movement — in either direction. This makes the Long Straddle a favourite among high-income Singapore investors during earnings, Fed announcements, CPI releases, or major news events. What Exactly Is a Long Straddle? A Long Straddle is built using: 1️⃣ A Long Call (profit if the stock goes up) 2️⃣ A Long Put (profit if the stock goes down) Both options have: Same strike price Same expiration Same underlying stock With this setup, you are betting on volatility, not dir

The current squeeze looks more like a rebound than a true trend reversal. Two unusual moves stood out: 1️⃣ Tesla The long call position ($TSLA 20260220 440.0 CALL$ ) was fully closed — just one day after being rolled on Friday. That kind of rapid reversal is extremely rare. It signals that whoever held it is expecting a meaningful pullback and decided to take risk off the table early. 2️⃣ Google Options flow turned noticeably defensive. Major call open interest is being unwound, while new put positions are opening aggressively. One example: 21k contracts of the Dec 19th $310 puts ($GOOGL 20251219 310.0 PUT$ ) were bought. That’s a clear shift toward he