This expiry feels less about direction and more about structure. With such a heavy concentration of ODTEs and strikes clustered around 6,800, the pinning effect has a real chance to dominate into the close — unless a macro surprise forces dealers to re-hedge aggressively. My base case is intraday volatility with a compressed close, not a clean Santa rally yet. Liquidity looks thin, sentiment fragile, and positioning crowded. For me, this is a session to trade levels, not narratives, and size down. December has been about survival and discipline, not hero trades.
$Oracle(ORCL)$ 4-Day Wipeout or Selective Rotation? Why the "Rubber Balls" Are About to Bounce The market just hit a brick wall. In a matter of four days, we’ve seen nearly two weeks of hard-earned index gains evaporate. If you’ve been heavy on the AI high-flyers, your portfolio probably feels like it just went through a blender. But while the headlines are screaming about a tech correction, the tape is telling a much more nuanced story. This isn't a "sell everything" moment—it's a "look where the money is hiding" moment. While the mega-cap tech giants are gasping for air, several industry groups are printing new Relative Strength (RS) highs. The question isn't whether the market is going down, but rather: which stocks are refusing to stay s
Year-End Market Reset: Why December Volatility Matters More Than the Santa Rally
As we head into the final stretch of 2025, markets feel restless. Volatility has picked up, rallies fade faster, and every headline seems to question whether the Santa Rally still exists. But stepping back, this does not feel like panic. It feels like transition. After a strong year driven by rate cuts, AI momentum, and returning liquidity, markets are no longer pricing upside blindly. Instead, they are digesting gains, resetting positions, and waiting for clarity. That is why December has been choppy rather than directional. Several forces are colliding at once: Thin year-end liquidity amplifying moves Heavy options positioning influencing daily price action Global macro uncertainty lingering, especially around policy shifts This creates an environment where price behaviour matters more t
In the rapidly evolving digital landscape of 2025, cybersecurity has shifted from a "nice-to-have" IT expense to a non-discretionary "survival cost." With the global cybersecurity market projected to grow from $245 billion in 2024 to over $500 billion by 2030, investors are increasingly looking at the two "Goliaths" of the industry: Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and CrowdStrike (CRWD). While both are leaders, they represent two distinct philosophies of security and investment profiles. The Growth Thesis: Why Cybersecurity Now? The investment case for cybersecurity rests on three pillars: The AI "Arms Race": Generative AI has lowered the barrier for hackers to create sophisticated phishing and malware. Conversely, companies must use AI-driven security to defend at machine speed.&nbs
AI Doesn’t Need More GPUs — It Needs Faster Wires $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ Over the past three years, whenever artificial intelligence comes up, most people immediately picture the same thing: NVIDIA's H100 GPUs forming massive black walls of compute power, followed by the Blackwell architecture's B200 chips, and then the Rubin platform. Investment bank reports compete to outdo each other on who has the most exaggerated claims about compute capacity, parameter counts, or teraflops per second. But here's the key question few people rea
📊🔥🌍 Weekly Market Recap for week ending 19Dec25 20Dec25 ET 🇺🇸 | 21Dec25 NZ 🇳🇿
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Bullish $Micron Technology(MU)$ Bullish $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🚦 Market Pulse From my seat, the tape confirmed structural strength rather than late cycle excess. The S&P 500 settled at 6,834.78, up +0.89% on the session, extending 2025 gains to +16%, and when I map this year against the full S&P 500 return distribution back to 1928, it registers as a solid double digit outcome rather than an outlier melt up. That distinction matters to me for forward expectations, valuation tolerance, and risk management discipline. What stands out to me next is the NASDAQ Composite closing at 23,307.62, up +1.31%. I read
The 2025 Whiplash: From Market Carnage to Record Highs and the Singapore Triumph
🌟🌟🌟What a rollercoaster 2025 has been! It started with a bang - a gut wrenching dip in April due to Trump's Tariffs, only for US equities to perform the most spectacular rebound in history. It wasn't just a Bull market. It was a beast unleashed. The Global Carnage and the AI Paradox We watched history unfold in real time as Gold finally breached the mythical USD 4,000 mark for the first time ever. Meanwhile $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ became an unstoppable force, hitting an eye watering USD 5 trillion market cap. But the year ended with a twist of irony: by December, capital appeared to be abandoning the very AI sector that fueled the rally. It was a classic "buy the rumour, sell th
The Oracle Rebound: From Debt Despair to TikTok Triumph
🌟🌟🌟Just when the bears thought they had $Oracle(ORCL)$ cornered, the script flipped. After a brutal stretch where Oracle stumbled 10% on earnings and sat at a staggering 50% below its year todate high, the tide has finally turned. Concerns over Oracle's debt levels and Credit Default Swap (CDS) pricing which had the market spooked, were overshadowed by a massive strategic win. With news that ByteDance and TikTok have signed binding agreements with a consortium including Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX, shares have surged 6% in after hours trading. This isn't just a bounce. It is a lifeline. Significance for Oracle's Long Term Fundamentals This agreement is a significant strategic
The USD 5 Trillion Question : Has NVIDIA Found Its Floor?
🌟🌟🌟The air is thick with tension as NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ the AI darling of the decade fights to reclaim its crown. After a gut wrenching correction that saw the market momentarily turn its back on Nvidia, the question on every investor's mind this December: Is Nvidia a buy the dip miracle or a trap waiting to spring? Nvidia's Rebound Riding on Micron's Coattails The clouds began to part this week as $Micron Technology(MU)$ delivered a blowout earnings report that acted like a shot of adrenaline to the sector. Nvidia, which had been languishing below key moving averages, caught a massive wave of sympathy bid. When the "mem
The “Dividend Hunter” Screener (Finding Hidden Gems) (Masterclass Series 3/3) 🦖 EP1326
🟩 Are you stuck in the "Blue Chip Loop," buying the same banks and telcos just because they're familiar, while smart money is quietly finding 6% yields in boring, overlooked sectors? Most retail investors in Singapore crowd into DBS or Singtel, completely missing out on stable industrial REITs and business trusts that pay reliable dividends without the headlines. The problem isn't a lack of good stocks on the SGX; it's the lack of a system to find them without spending hours reading annual reports. In this finale of our Investor’s Toolkit Masterclass, I reveal my personal "one-minute workflow" for filtering the entire Singapore market—over 700 stocks—down to a gold list of five to ten high-quality winners. We move beyond simple luck and start using institutional-grade screening tools to st
DBS vs UOB: Why The Divergence is Widening | Weekly Stock Ups and Downs 21 Dec 2025 🦖 EP1328
*** PERSONAL IGGY'S NOTE: If you look at the raw data models (like the ones I shared), they are currently flashing red on UOB. They flag it as 'overvalued' relative to its history and prefer OCBC for its momentum. If you were trading purely on numbers, you'd swap UOB for OCBC today. But here is the caveat: these algorithms can be blunt instruments. For example, the model flags UOB for 'burning cash'—but banks are supposed to deploy cash (lend it) to make money! It also penalizes UOB for lower margins, failing to account for its specific growth phase. The model sees 'weakness,' but I see a 'cyclical lag' that offers deep value. So, while I am adding OCBC to my portfolio to capture its current strength (respecting the data), I am not rejecting UOB. I am holding it as a value play. The lesson
Buy the Base? Charting Mapletree Industrial Trust’s Year-End Floor
$Mapletree Ind Tr(ME8U.SI)$ Current Price Action: The stock is trading at $2.04, successfully holding above the psychological $2.00 support level. Trendline Health: It is currently testing an ascending trendline (the black diagonal line in your chart). A sustained close below $2.02 would be a cautionary signal, potentially invalidating the recovery trend started in mid-2025. Resistance: Immediate overhead resistance is at $2.08, with a more significant barrier at $2.172. Fundamental Context: Investors are weighing a recent 5.6% drop in DPU against the growth potential of new Tokyo data center acquisitions. Direction: Sideway Consolidation until a breakout (either up or down). Kenny Loh is a distinguished MAS Private Wealth Advisor with a specia
How to qualify a business for portfolio - using financials? (22Dec25)
Earnings Calendar (22Dec25) With Christmas approaching, there will be fewer earnings in the coming week. Without any personal earnings at stake, I will share how I quantify business. How to conduct fundamental analysis To qualify an investment business, I utilise a fundamental analysis approach that focuses on long-term performance and financial health. I typically review 10 years of data to evaluate how a company builds resilience and recovers during economic downturns. Here is the framework I use to group and analyse key metrics: 1. Income Statement & Growth I look for consistent upward trends in the following areas: Revenue & Net Profit: Steady growth in both. For startups, I look for a clear trend of reducing losses. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Evidence of gro
Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is now signalling a downtrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have recently converged and are showing a bullish outlook. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. C
🚀🛰️📈 Rocket Lab Execution Is Forcing Repricing 📈🛰️🚀
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ 21Dec25 ET 🇺🇸 | 22Dec25 NZ 🇳🇿 I’m watching Rocket Lab move through a phase that separates real space companies from stories. Mission success, contract validation, analyst upgrades, and technically confirmed price discovery are now aligning. This is not a single headline move. This is layered execution. 🛰️ Mission Reliability Is Now Compounding I’m starting with operations because that is where value is earned in this industry. Rocket Lab has now completed its 21st successful Ele
🚗⚡📈 Tesla $TSLA Tightens At $483.50 As $500 Or Failure At $477 Comes Into Focus 📈⚡🚗
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 21Dec25 🇺🇸|22Dec25 🇳🇿 I’m treating this as a classic compression phase at elevated levels. $TSLA needs to hold $483.50 on a daily closing basis to keep the path toward $500 open. Price is tightening and needs to choose a direction. A hard loss of $477 would signal failed acceptance and, quite simply, no presents under the tree 🌲 for this name. 📊 My Daily Structure And Technical Read I anchor to the higher timeframe first. $TSLA has printed record weekly closes in the high $490s, which carries material
From my perspective, Nvidia's recent rebound alongside Micron's $Micron Technology(MU)$ strong earnings is a reminder that the market is still highly sensitive to real demand signals in the semiconductor space. When memory players start delivering upside, it usually confirms that the AI supply chain is not slowing, but rather broadening. That gives me more confidence that Nvidia's recent pullback was more about positioning and sentiment than any fundamental break. I also pay close attention to Morgan Stanley's stance, and their continued conviction matters. Naming Nvidia, Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , and Astera Labs as top semico
My 2025 Market Journey: Gains Earned, Lessons Learned
Looking back, I would describe 2025 as a very fruitful year for me as an investor. Despite the sharp sell-off in April, U.S. equities rebounded strongly and went on to set new record highs. Volatility was high, but overall I am satisfied with my investment returns, especially considering how quickly market narratives shifted throughout the year. A large part of my performance came from AI-related names. Stocks like Palantir $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ , Nebius, and CoreWeave were major contributors, and they reinforced my belief that being positioned early in structural themes still matters. Even though sentiment toward AI cooled toward year-end, the gains achieved earlier in the cycle made a meaningful difference to my overall p
My stock to watch today is $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ , as markets remain steady and attention shifts to company-specific catalysts. SoFi stands out following its announcement of a U.S. dollar stablecoin issued by a federally chartered bank. The launch of SoFiUSD goes beyond a typical crypto headline. Fully backed by cash held at the Federal Reserve, it positions SoFi as a bridge between traditional banking and blockchain infrastructure, with potential use across payments, remittances, and its Galileo platform. From an investment perspective, this adds strategic optionality. As stablecoins move closer to mainstream adoption, SoFi’s early, regulated entry could become a competitive edge. While execution remains key, the move underscores SoFi’
The Digital Shield: iShares Cybersecurity & Tech ETF (IHAK)
🌟🌟🌟In a world reeling from a year of market whiplash, AI paradoxes and geopolitical jitters, one truth has become terrifyingly clear: the Digital frontier is under siege. This is where $iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF(IHAK)$ comes in - not just as an investment but as a tactical bet on the importance of Cybersecurity. The Unstoppable Force of Fear Markets are driven by greed and fear and right now, fear is building the strongest fundamental case in the world. Cybercrime costs are expected to double in the coming years. Every AI breakthrough, every digital payment and every piece of data stored in the cloud is a target. Companies must spend on protection, making cybersecurity a non discretionary expense. IHAK taps into th