To The Moon

$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$  終於可以較低價入貨作長期持有。 我持續買入TQQQ的理由 一、核心論點：十六年分割八次的「隱性股皇」 坊間有一種說法：這類三倍槓桿ETF波動太大，只適合短線操作，不宜長期持有。 我曾經也篤信這個說法，直到完成一項研究後，發現了一個驚人的事實：一眾專家不斷看淡、不鼓勵客戶長揸的TQQQ，竟然比相對穩健的QQQ更值得長期持有。 支撐我這一論點的，從不是臆測與主觀感受，而是十六年間八次分割的真實數據記錄。 值得強調的是，TQQQ每次分割時，股價均處於自然高位（最低也在一百美元以上），相關機構為避免投資門檻過高、影響流通量，才主動進行分拆，並非為了分拆而分拆。「兩年倍翻的隱性股皇」這一稱號，TQQQ當之無愧。 若十六年前買入一股TQQQ，期間不做任何操作，今天你將持有256股。（按：TQQQ歷史分割包括7次1拆2及1次1拆3，若嚴格計算，初始1股經分割後實際股數會超過256股，此處以2^8簡化說明複利效果） 這不是魔法，而是複利的強大力量。TQQQ用十六年的歷史清晰告訴我們：它不僅不是「不宜長揸」，反而是愈長揸、愈強大的「隱性股皇」。 我離經叛道、直言不諱，不是為了「語不驚人死不休」，更不是為了反駁專家來抬高自己，核心原因只有一個——數字不會騙人。 二、最新發現：月供TQQQ的隱藏優勢 如果你對TQQQ或股票投資還沒有太多概念，但仍想參與其中，我有一個鮮為人知的祕訣分享給你： 你可以考慮開一個「月供股票」計劃（需接受風險評估）。 根據老虎證券的數據顯示，月供計劃的長期回

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  下一波應輪到炒特斯拉與space x合併 SpaceX與特斯拉：核心優勢、成長可能性、雙方協同價值 ## 一、SpaceX（太空商業巨頭） ### （一）核心好處/競爭優勢 1. **壓倒性發射成本壁壘** 獵鷹9號每公斤軌道成本約2,700美元，遠低於傳統航天3,000–50,000美元；星舰成熟後可壓到100–200美元/公斤，兩級完全可回收、單次載重100噸，一日可多次發射，徹底顛覆航天定價體系。 2. **星鏈Starlink穩定現金牛** 截至2026年Q1部署近9,600顆低軌衛星，2025年營收113.87億美元、經營利潤44.23億美元；覆蓋全球偏遠地區、海上、飛機、行動手機直連衛星，千萬級付費用戶，是公司持續研發火箭的資金來源。 3. **全球獨有的完整太空產業鏈** 唯一民企同時掌握：可回收運載火箭、大規模低軌衛星量產、載人太空飛行、地面終端、太空AI算力；拿下NASA載人、月球登陸合約，壟斷美國商業載人市場。 4. **AI新增長曲線（xAI整合後）** 已併購xAI，擁有Grok大模型；搭建吉瓦級地面AI算力集群，規劃2028年太空軌道AI衛星，可對外輸出高毛利算力服務，客戶包含Google、Anthropic等巨頭。 5. **獨特快速迭代工程文化** 矽谷軟體式試錯開發，不像傳統航天十年磨一型；星舰多輪爆炸測試快速修正，產線自動化量產，研發速度遠超波音、洛克希德馬丁。 ### （二）未來成長可能性 1. **短期（1–2年）** 星舰V3成熟量產，大規模擴充星鏈第二代衛星；

$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$  趁大市回落吸納愛股 RGTI（Rigetti Computing）不適合一般散戶盲目長線持有；較適合小額部位、能承受高風險、並可持有3–5年的投機或佈局型資金。 ✅ 看多理由（適合長線佈局） - 產業前景優異：量子計算長遠發展空間龐大（2030年預估市場規模達73億美元），RGTI是全棧超導量子計算的龍頭企業之一。 - 技術與訂單：已推出108Q量子系統；獲美國政府1億美元補助，並與廣達展開2.5億美元合作，訂單狀況明確。 - 財務與籌碼：現金約6億美元、無負債；機構持股比例達53.6%，籌碼相對集中。 - 分析師普遍看好：市場共識目標價約29美元，潛在漲幅超過60%。 ❌ 看空理由（長線持有主要風險） - 大幅虧損+高估值：2026年第一季營收僅440萬美元，營運虧損2600萬美元；本銷比高達244倍以上，遠超出行業平均水準。 - 商業化進度緩慢：具實用性的量子應用至少還需3–5年發展，短期難以獲利。 - 競爭激烈：IONQ、QBTS等同業積極追趕，且業界並非只有單一技術路線。 - 股價波動劇烈：貝塔係數約3.4，漲跌幅度大，容易影響投資心態。 🎯 結論與建議 - 一般散戶：不建議長線持有。估值存有泡沫、企業長期難以獲利，且股價波動風險極高。 - 高風險承受資金：可小額部位（佔資金≤5%）佈局，持有期3–5年，設定停損（例如下跌20%），股價走高時分批獲利了結。 - 觀察重點：季度營收是否穩定增長、虧損是否逐步收縮、1000Q技術發展藍圖能否如期落地。

$Apple(AAPL)$ $Apple(AAPL)$  再入五股長揸。 向低調高手庫克致敬 今日閒聊，不談紛擾的市場波動，不論喧囂的科技熱潮，只想致敬一位低調到极致，卻以超凡實力鑄就商業傳奇的頂級高手——蒂姆·庫克。他沒有賈伯斯的天馬行空與傳奇光環，沒有張揚的言辭與驚世的宣言，卻在無聲無息間，扛起一份沉甸甸的傳承：2011年接任時，蘋果深陷“沒有賈伯斯就會衰落”的漫天質疑，市值僅3500億美元，而他憑藉紮實的經營，硬生生將這家企業推向無人能及的巔峯，如今市值穩站2.6兆美元、最高曾破3兆，成為全球最具價值的公司之一。他用數十年的低調篤行，完美詮釋了“真正的高手，從不張揚，實力自會震撼時代”。 認識庫克的人，都深知他是個極度自律、低調刻入骨髓，卻藏著驚人力量的管理者。不同於許多科技巨頭CEO的高調曝光、刻意營銷，他從不經營個人聲名，沒有豪華鋪張的公開亮相，沒有誇誇其談的空洞承諾，甚至極少接受媒體深度採訪，將所有精力都傾注於事業本身。他的日常，簡單得近乎苛刻，卻藏著常人難及的堅持：每天清晨4點30分準時起床，閱讀郵件、規劃日程，數十年如一日從不間斷；穿搭永遠是簡潔的深色西裝、淺色襯衫，毫無過多裝飾，低調得仿佛公司裡一位普通員工，卻在低調中藏著無與倫比的篤定與力量。他曾說：“專注於你所做的事，而不是你所得到的關注，價值自會隨之而來。” 這句話，正是他一生的真實寫照——不戀名利，不貪掌聲，唯以匠心篤行，把每一件事做到極致，用行動勝過千言萬語。 庫克的作風，向來是“低調做事，高調成事”，穩健、精準、極致，是刻在他骨子里的標籤，更是他橫掃質疑、鑄就輝煌的核心底色。他接任蘋果時（2011年），外界

The Federal Reserve's June 17 meeting delivered a distinct hawkish shock under new Chair Kevin Warsh. While the benchmark rate was held steady at 3.50%–3.75%, the updated dot plot revealed that 9 out of 19 officials now forecast at least one rate hike in 2026 — with 6 of them expecting multiple hikes. This sudden shift from easing expectations to potential tightening caused a brief sector rotation away from high-beta tech into value. However, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s after-hours resilience—climbing back toward $206 after closing regular hours down at $204.65 — highlights that macro noise is hitting a massive structural wall of enterprise AI demand. Will the Volatility Continue? Yes, in the short term. High-growth tech stocks are highly sensitive to the co

No, AI won't fully offset higher rates. Warsh's Fed held rates at 3.5-3.75% but shifted dots toward hikes amid sticky inflation (~3.6% PCE forecast) from energy/geopolitics and resilient growth. AI drives record highs via massive capex ($500B+ in 2026 for hyperscalers) and earnings in tech/semiconductors, powering S&P concentration. Yet higher rates raise borrowing costs, pressure valuations, and risk a pullback if productivity/ROI lags. Markets are resilient but vulnerable to rotation or correction if AI hype meets reality. Diversify; expect volatility.

Kevin Warsh’s debut as Federal Reserve chair sent an unmistakable signal: the easy-money era is over. The central bank held its benchmark rate steady at 3.5% to 3.75%, but the updated projections told a different story. Nine officials now see at least one rate hike this year, a sharp pivot from earlier expectations of cuts. Sticky inflation, hovering near 3.6% on core PCE measures, driven by resilient growth, energy pressures, and lingering geopolitical tensions, has forced even patient policymakers to reconsider. I have followed monetary policy long enough to respect this shift. Warsh, known for his hawkish leanings, is confronting an economy that refuses to cool on schedule. Higher-for-longer rates or potentially higher rates raise the cost of capital across the board. That matters profo

I’m bullish on $SpaceX(SPCX)$ , but I think Elon Musk’s goal of growing revenue from $18.7 billion in 2025 to $1 trillion by 2030 is extremely ambitious. Even $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ AI-driven growth didn’t come close to that pace, so execution will be the biggest challenge. Still, SpaceX is unlike most companies. Starlink, launch services, defense contracts, and the potential of Starship give it multiple growth engines that could support a much higher valuation over time. If Starship reaches commercial scale, it could unlock entirely new markets that barely exist today. For this week, my prediction is that SpaceX’s market cap w

Most investors still analyse Starbucks as though it earns its living by selling lattes one cup at a time. I think that framework is becoming outdated. While near-term earnings remain under pressure from higher labour costs and ongoing operational investment, Starbucks is reshaping itself into something more valuable: a global consumer platform that increasingly resembles a royalty business. The market appears fixated on quarterly operating margins, but I believe the bigger story is that Starbucks’ economic model is becoming less dependent on store ownership and more reliant on monetising its brand, digital ecosystem and expanding licensed footprint. That distinction matters because businesses that earn royalties rather than directly operating every location tend to generate structurally hi

SpaceX (SPCX) share price rising sharply — why? What could happen in the next 3 months? (This is an analysis, not a guaranteed prediction.) SpaceX has seen strong buying interest after its market debut. The main reasons behind the rise appear to be: 🚀 Reasons for the current surge 1. IPO excitement & investor demand SpaceX attracted huge investor attention as one of the biggest public listings. Many investors want exposure to Elon Musk’s companies and the space/AI sectors. 2. Limited shares available (low float) Only a small percentage of shares are available for public trading initially. When demand is higher than available supply, the price can move very quickly upward. 3. Starlink growth expectations Investors are valuing future growth from satellite internet, global connectivity, a

$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ [财迷]  [财迷]  [财迷]  [得意]  

$Alibaba(BABA)$  still holding strong

$ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.(ZIM)$  DCA if opportunities come

$ROKU 20270319 75.0 PUT$ Bought back this long term Roku PUT option to take profit instead of waiting for 9 months for options to expire. Roku price went up recently after announcing to be acquired by Fox for 22 billion. [Miser]  

$ASML 20260918 1880.0 CALL$  I bought an ASML call last Friday, but I think I was a bit too eager to jump into the trade and ended up paying a premium for it. Because of that high entry price, I needed a massive upward move in the share price just to hit my break-even point and close it out profitably. Fortunately, ASML absolutely ripped the charts today, touching fresh 52-week highs following Intel’s 18A-P risk production announcement, which gave me the perfect exit window to secure a small profit. For now, I am going to sit on my hands, stay on the sidelines, and wait out the major market events scheduled for these next few days to see exactly where the broader trend is heading before I commit to any new positions.