437
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07-20
The contradiction exists because different parts of the memory market are being priced very differently. The bearish case (cycle peak): Memory has always been one of the most cyclical semiconductor industries. Strong profits eventually encourage capacity expansion, leading to oversupply and falling prices. A 30% decline in Micron despite solid earnings suggests investors are looking beyond today's results and worrying about 2027 to 2028. SanDisk's roughly 580% gain this year means expectations are extremely high. Even excellent execution may not justify such valuations indefinitely. HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) is a hot segment, but it is still only one part of the broader memory market. The bullish case (AI supercycle): AI demand is fundamentally different from previous PC or smartphone cy
TOPwubbie: That 580% run is the problem, not the memory story. What HBM ASP CAGR are you baking in here?
677
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07-20
I would wait for the earnings report rather than buy immediately before it. Here's why: Reasons to wait High event risk. Tesla's earnings often trigger moves of 8% to 15% (or more). Buying beforehand means accepting that binary risk. Several key uncertainties remain: vehicle gross margins, demand trends, guidance, Robotaxi/autonomous driving progress, and management's outlook. Any one of these could dominate the market's reaction. Competition continues to intensify. Mercedes-Benz's CLA 250 Plus is another entrant targeting the premium EV segment. While it is unlikely to derail Tesla on its own, it reinforces the trend of increasing competition. Reasons to stay constructive long term Tesla's valuation is increasingly driven by its autonomy, AI, energy storage, and robotics ambitions rather
1.22K
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07-20
$Netflix(NFLX)$ Based on the scenario described, I would lean towards "potentially mispriced, but only if the business can reignite growth" rather than calling Netflix an obvious bargain. The bullish case A share price down around 50% has reset expectations significantly. If the market has become overly pessimistic, even modest improvements in revenue growth or margins could support a recovery. Netflix remains one of the strongest global streaming brands, with a large content library, international reach, and significant pricing power compared with many competitors. If the acquisition of Ben Affleck's AI film startup meaningfully improves production efficiency or content creation over time, it could help address one of Netflix's biggest chal
1.25K
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07-21
Is the Momentum Unwind in Memory Stocks Finally Over?
Hi everyone. Today I want to share a special analysis of the memory sector. Let me start with the conclusion: the most violent phase of forced deleveraging may be close to ending, but that does not mean the correction is over. Memory fundamentals remain strong, while price action and positioning have yet to confirm a genuine reversal. 1. Fundamentals: The thesis remains intact, but expectations got too far ahead The latest rally began after SanDisk’s earnings-driven rerating in late April. Kioxia, SK hynix, Micron and SanDisk all moved sharply higher. Fundamentals started the rally, but Momentum-driven capital eventually took over. This was not a purely speculative move. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ reported quarterly revenue of $5.95 bil
3.53K
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07-21
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ $GameStop(GME)$ 🎬 $AMC Q2 Earnings: 106-Year Record Revenue, EBITDA Explodes 70%, But Is Dilution Still the Villain? 🍿📈 $AMC Q2 2026 earnings: Record Top-Line Triggers Massive Operating Leverage, But GAAP Losses Persist. 🔸 Record Quarter: Delivered the highest quarterly revenue and Adjusted EBITDA in the company’s 106-year history. AMC delivered its highest quarterly revenue ($1.6B) and Adjusted EBITDA ($321.4M) in its 106-year history. The results strongly validate management’s core thesis: the company’s massive fixed-cost base creates powerful operating leverage when the box office recovers. A 14% YoY revenue increase translated into a remarkable 70% surge in Adjusted E
TOPI looked hard at Q2 — 70% EBITDA growth is the tell. Attendance matters most now, dilution only hurts if traffic stalls
206
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07-21
Oracle’s Stunning Collapse: Even Titans Crack When Debt Outruns Reality
Oracle was a $700 billion company as recently as June. Today the stock sits at $122 — down roughly 50% in just six weeks. From its September peak near $346, that’s a brutal 64% haircut. This isn’t some speculative startup that missed expectations. Oracle is a 48-year-old database powerhouse with decades of dominance in enterprise software. What’s breaking the stock is the balance sheet math. Free cash flow has turned deeply negative at minus $23.7 billion. Capital expenditures exploded to $56 billion — up 162% in a single year. Net debt now stands at $97.6 billion, with another $40 billion in new financing announced. S&P downgraded the company to BBB-, just one notch above junk status. Meanwhile, Oracle cut 21,000 jobs, trimming headcount by 13%. On the other side of the ledger sits a
207
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07-21
AI Edge Computing Keeps $AMBA in Focus After 6% Surge
$Ambarella(AMBA)$ $Ambarella Inc.(AMBA) Surged +6.24%: AI Chip Stock Reclaims $65, Next Resistance at $75 Latest Close Data 🎯 Closed at $65.70 (+6.24% 📈), still ~32% below its 52-week high of $96.69. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The stock has shown significant volatility recently, driven by sector-wide semiconductor sentiment and company-specific news. A key positive catalyst is the announced long-term edge AI collaboration with Hanwha, projected to generate over $800M in potential revenue over a decade, underscoring its leadership in AI chips. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume of 1.62M shares shows healthy participation. Daily RSI(6) at 40.02 is recovering from oversold levels (<30 last week), indicating momentum is building. However, MACD remains in nega
675
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07-17
$HOOD 20260724 99.0 PUT$ Limit order filled to sell Hood cash secured put just below $100 psychological price support
HOOD PUT
07-16 21:48
US20260724 99.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 1.00 1Lot(s) | -- Closed |
347
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07-17
$OKLO 20260724 39.0 PUT$ Limit order filled to sell OKLO cash secured put just below $40 psychological support
OKLO PUT
07-16 21:41
US20260724 39.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.79 1Lot(s) | +100.00% Holding |
1.11K
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07-21
ServiceNow Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: Navigating AI Adoption, Margin Pressures, and Asymmetric Short-Term Options Opportunities
$ServiceNow(NOW)$ reports its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, after market close. The stock enters this print down approximately 30–32% year-to-date, significantly underperforming the broader tech sector. Following a sharp drop post-Q1 due to compressed margin guidance from M&A integration costs, market expectations for this print are mixed, creating an asymmetric setup for short-term traders. Wall Street Consensus Estimates ServiceNow (NOW) reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on April 22, 2026. On paper, the quarter delivered solid top-line execution, beating Wall Street expectations across key operational metrics. Money365.Market - Advanced Investment Analysis & Market Insights However, despite beating earnings, NOW
894
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07-18
$SOXL 20260724 71.0 PUT$ 由於今周soxl大跌。莊家發行商亦加開下周70期權。正所謂早賣早發達。賣70sp。期權金都咁好價。唔出事既話。緊係發喇[贱笑] [贱笑]
SOXL PUT
07-18 02:33
US20260724 71.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.76 1Lot(s) | +100.00% Holding |
509
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07-21
Why Tesla’s Delivery Recovery May Not Be Enough to Satisfy the Market
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ enters its July 22 earnings report with an unusual conflict between stronger operating volume and increasingly demanding financial expectations. On July 2, Tesla reported second-quarter production of 451,758 vehicles and deliveries of 480,126 vehicles. Deliveries exceeded production by more than 28,000 units, suggesting the company reduced finished-vehicle inventory during the quarter. Energy-storage deployments reached 13.5 GWh. Tesla’s official delivery report also shows that Model 3 and Model Y accounted for 467,762 deliveries, leaving only 12,364 for Tesla’s other models. Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles during Q2 beating expectations of 406K The year-over-year comparison is encouraging.
1.01K
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07-20
$MINIMAX-W(00100)$ 今日眼見大市回升。而它竟然下跌。令我認為有不妥。所以我決定加倉。係207.2再買80股。而之後繼續下跌。連200大關都失守。證明我看錯了[喷血] [喷血] [喷血]
4.61K
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07-20
$FI2 CSOP HSI(07500)$ [开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] 今日又可以入返貨，你估吓今日大升之後又會唔會大跌？不過最近真係好波動，大家要小心
191
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07-20
$SKHY 20260724 100.0 PUT$ 大力士今晚回升。一開市趁仲算係好價。我緊係唔會放過呢個機會賣put喇。上周咁差都仲有160。今周正常唔會低過100。大手賣5張。應該easy win[贱笑] [贱笑]
SKHY PUT
07-20 21:32
US20260724 100.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.20 5Lot(s) | +100.00% Holding |
459
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07-21
Why Microsoft’s Helios Commitment Could Mark a Turning Point for AMD’s AI Strategy
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$’s expanded partnership with $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is significant because it moves the company beyond selling individual accelerators and toward supplying an integrated AI-computing platform. On July 20, Microsoft announced that Azure would deploy AMD’s Helios rack-scale infrastructure for frontier-model inference and other AI services. Helios combines MI455X accelerators, next-generation EPYC processors, Pensando networking products and AMD’s ROCm software environment. Systems are expected to begin reaching customers during the second half of 2026. Microsoft’s announcement and AMD’s technical overview both describe a much broader collaboration than a conventional processor-supply
569
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07-21
Why AMC’s Record Quarter Improves the Business Without Removing the Balance-Sheet Risk
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$’s second-quarter report was more than a temporary earnings beat. It provided genuine evidence that cinema economics can recover when the film slate, attendance and premium formats work together. It did not, however, resolve the company’s structural financial risks. AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results, Delivering the Highest Quarterly Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA in Its 106-Year History Second Quarter 2026 Summary Results Compared to the Second Quarter On July 20, $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ reported second-quarter revenue of $1.597 billion, up 14.2% from $1.398 billion one year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA increased 69.6% to $321.4 million, operating cash fl
2.37K
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07-20
$AVGO LADDER 260720 PUT 385.0/PUT 380.0/PUT 382.5$ Not bad for re-entry and profit for 3 days. Take, not greedy.
AVGO Ladder
07-20 21:35
US385.0/380.0/382.5
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 1.60 3 | -- Closed |
TOPNice 3-day scalp, taking profit here makes sense
359
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07-21
Why Exxon’s Oil Rally Is Both an Earnings Tailwind and a Geopolitical Trap
$Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ is benefiting from higher oil prices, but the current situation demonstrates why an energy producer’s earnings do not always move neatly with the spot price of crude. On July 20, Brent crude briefly traded above $90 per barrel before retreating as investors assessed the possibility of mediation in the US–Iran conflict. Disruption around the Strait of Hormuz has increased the risk premium in crude and refined products. The price move occurred on July 20; reports were published the same day. The Financial Times’ oil-market report describes both the surge and subsequent pullback. Higher oil prices normally strengthen Exxon’s upstream earnings because each barrel becomes more valuable while many production costs remain comparatively
2.58K
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07-20
$CRM 20260731 187.5 CALL$ Covered call Setting a goal for Jul 2026: to collect more than $3,000 in premium (including premiums paid to close the options). June 2026: $1,721 Jul 2026 - Collected to date: $12,511
CRM CALL
07-20 21:49
US20260731 187.5
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 1.15 1Lot(s) | +89.57% Holding |