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585

Capital_Insights

08-12

Ahead of the US CPI release, a potentially overlooked technical risk is escalating in the bond market. A recent report from Bank of America Securities points out that trend-following CTAs are maintaining significant short positions in US Treasury futures despite unexpectedly weak US non-farm payroll data. US Treasury futures approached short-covering levels last week, but as yields rebounded from their lows, models indicate these short positions have not yet been forced to close. CTAs typically refer to systematic trend-following funds. These funds do not primarily focus on inflation, fiscal policy, or Federal Reserve policy itself, but rather trade assets such as stock indices, US Treasuries, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil based on price trends, volatility, and stop-loss thresholds

Tonight at 20:30 SG Time: US July CPI Data Analysis

@EraGrowth_Wealth：

The content is for research reference only on macro markets, CTA and quantitative trading mechanisms, and does not constitute investment advice. At 20:30 Singapore time tonight, the US will release its July CPI data. According to Reuters surveys, the market expects headline CPI to rise 0.1% month‑over‑month and 3.4% year‑over‑year; core CPI is projected to increase 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY. June’s headline CPI stood at 3.5% YoY. Tonight’s print will directly reshape market pricing for US inflation dynamics and the Federal Reserve’s policy path for September. That said, I believe what truly matters tonight is not simply whether CPI lands at 3.3%, 3.4% or 3.5%. A bigger risk variable may lie within the US Treasury market. The widely‑discussed “$400‑billion US Treasury short position” is, strict

Tonight at 20:30 SG Time: US July CPI Data Analysis

Ahead of the US CPI release, a potentially overlooked technical risk is escalating in the bond market. A recent report from Bank of America Securit...

TOPbouncyo: If CPI comes in soft, does gold really catch a bid? I trimmed risk a bit — dollar liquidity gets ignored way too often

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852

TheMarketLens101

08-12

Markets Pause Near Record Highs Ahead of CPI — Is 3.4% the Pass Mark? U.S. stocks are pausing near record highs ahead of today’s July CPI report. The market expects headline inflation to ease to 3.4% year-on-year, with core inflation at 2.5%. But with expectations for a September rate hike now near 50-50, the details—not just the headline number—could determine whether the rally continues. Previous Data: Numbers and Impact * June CPI: Headline -0.4% MoM / +3.5% YoY; core 0.0% / +2.6% Impact: Lower gasoline and shelter inflation reduced rate-hike fears and supported bonds and technology stocks. * June PCE: Headline -0.1% MoM / +3.7% YoY; core +0.1% / +3.3% Impact: Monthly inflation cooled, but elevated annual PCE kept the Fed cautious. * June JOLTS: Job openings fell to 7.36 million Impact:

Markets Pause Near Record Highs Ahead of CPI — Is 3.4% the Pass Mark? U.S. stocks are pausing near record highs ahead of today’s July CPI report. T...

# FOMC Minutes Due Thursday — Can S&P 500 All-Time High Hold?

TOPInvesting Leon: The CPI reading was actually not bad, but the weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data is also a real concern. The market still needs more time to digest these mixed signals. Overall, I’m not optimistic about the U.S. stock market over the coming period.

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385

Trend_Radar

08-12

$P Broke $109, And Next Number Is $120

$Everpure(P)$ $Everpure(P) Rockets +11.64% to Hit 52-Week High, Smashing $109 Resistance; $120 Target in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data: Closed at $109.38, surging +11.64% with a massive amplitude of 10.39%. The stock blasted through its previous 52-week high to set a new record, extending its after-hours momentum to $110.00. 💥 Core Market Drivers: The parabolic move was fueled by a double upgrade frenzy. Morgan Stanley upgraded to Overweight (PT $108) and Susquehanna raised to Positive (PT $120). The euphoria was supercharged by Everpure announcing a second design/supply contract with a global top-5 hyperscale cloud customer. ✨ Technical Analysis: The Volume Ratio exploded to 1.78, with 5.49M shares traded, signaling intense institutional accumulation. T

$P Broke $109, And Next Number Is $120

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967

EraGrowth_Wealth

08-12

Tonight at 20:30 SG Time: US July CPI Data Analysis

TOPAI_FocusedTrader: Citigroup Research believes the upward trend in precious metals is not yet over, with silver continuing to follow gold's direction and exhibiting a more aggressive upward movement due to its higher volatility. If the situation in the Strait of Hormuz eventually de-escalates, coupled with a less hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, investment demand for precious metals will continue to recover. Citigroup believes that short-term pullbacks do not change silver's position as a high-beta asset compared to gold. If easing geopolitical risks drive funds back into precious metals, silver could potentially rise to $95/oz by 2027. However, Citigroup also maintains a risk scenario. The bank believes there is still approximately a 20% probability that silver will fall to $50/oz, indicating that current precious metals trading remains highly dependent on interest rate expectations, the dollar's performance, and geopolitical risks. For the market, gold remains a core asset for defense and anticipation of interest rate cuts, while silver is better suited to expressing a more volatile market following a recovery in risk appetite.

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877

Investing Leon

08-12

Tencent Music Plunged 12% Overnight: If Earnings Grew, What Spooked the Market?

Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) fell 11.92% yesterday to close at $8.72, after touching an intraday low of $8.21. At first glance, the company’s earnings did not appear weak enough to justify such a sharp sell-off. So why did the stock tumble nearly 12% following the results? In the second quarter, TME generated RMB 8.93 billion in revenue, up 5.8% year over year and above market expectations. Revenue from music-related services increased 11% to RMB 7.61 billion, while membership revenue rose 8.1% to RMB 4.79 billion. Non-IFRS net profit increased 4.4% to RMB 2.69 billion. The problem is that markets do not simply price whether a company is growing. They price whether that growth is strong enough to justify its valuation. 1. Ximalaya contributed significantly to headline growth Ximalaya

Tencent Music Plunged 12% Overnight: If Earnings Grew, What Spooked the Market?

# 💰Stocks to watch today?(17 August）

TOPAI_FocusedTrader: Tencent Holdings announced that in the second quarter of 2026, the Group recorded negative free cash flow of RMB13.8 billion. This was due to net cash generated from operating activities of RMB52.7 billion, which was over-offset by capital expenditure payments of RMB59.3 billion, media content payments of RMB5 billion, and lease liability payments of RMB2.2 billion. Its operating cash flow included substantial AI-related prepayments used to provide infrastructure to support Hy model upgrades, WorkBuddy and CodeBuddy inference needs, WeChat AI initiatives, and the development of AI capabilities for our various products and services, while also meeting the continued growth in demand for our cloud services from external customers. Excluding prepayments for computing power procurement, our free cash flow was RMB37.6 billion.

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1.04K

AI_Dig

08-12

Tech Funds Could Pull In $216B: AI Money Is Rotating

Tech fund inflows remain extremely strong. At the current pace, 2026 inflows could reach roughly $216 billion, a new record. But recent market action shows one thing clearly: Money is not leaving AI. It is rotating within the trade. Mag 7: CapEx Is Still the Foundation $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ are still spending aggressively on AI infrastructure. J.P. Morgan has also highlighted improving cloud growth and stronger backlog v

Tech Funds Could Pull In $216B: AI Money Is Rotating

# 💰Stocks to watch today?(17 August）

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989

Papa Bear

08-11

$OKLO 20260821 37.0 PUT$ Limit order filled to sell OKLO cash secured put at strike below $40 psychological support for credit

OKLO PUT

08-10 21:39

US20260821 37.0

Side	Price \| Filled	Realized P&L
Sell Open	0.38 1Lot(s)	+84.22% Holding

Oklo Inc.

$OKLO 20260821 37.0 PUT$ Limit order filled to sell OKLO cash secured put at strike below $40 psychological support for credit

# Trade Feed: Who is your favorite trader?

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315

PoorBoyLeon

08-11

$INTC 20260814 93.0 PUT$ $INTC 20260814 93.0 PUT$ Intel dropped due to the report of share issuance and lagged while the sector is up. Should be a good entry to acquire or take premium profit in near term. 3DTE, take profit if >80%

INTC PUT

08-11 21:58

US20260814 93.0

Side	Price \| Filled	Realized P&L
Sell Open	1.27 2Lot(s)	-- Closed

Intel

$INTC 20260814 93.0 PUT$ $INTC 20260814 93.0 PUT$ Intel dropped due to the report of share issuance and lagged while the sector is up. Should be a ...

TOPAlanBright: Nice premium grab. 3DTE decays fast, but 93 looks decent into earnings if INTC doesn’t slip hard

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3.55K

Mathematical Money

08-11

$META RATIO_SPREAD_1X2 260911 PUT 560.0/PUT 550.0$ Put ratio spread. If it stays above, will still collect $281 each combi. If it goes below 550, will take assignment and ride meta

META Ratio Spread 1x2

08-11 22:20

US560.0/550.0

Side	Price \| Filled	Realized P&L
Credit Open	-2.81 3	-- Holding

META RATIO_SPREAD_1X2 260911 PUT 560.0/PUT 550.0

$META RATIO_SPREAD_1X2 260911 PUT 560.0/PUT 550.0$ Put ratio spread. If it stays above, will still collect $281 each combi. If it goes below 550, w...

# Trade Feed: Who is your favorite trader?

TOPTomCap: 560/550 is cleaner, I’d take the shares too if 550 breaks

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5.41K

VNW Capital

08-11

$NVDA 20260904 180.0 PUT$ Decided to close even there still 24 days left before expiration as it reach 87% profit. Recycled capital to silver which is offering good premium today.

NVDA PUT

08-11 21:57

US20260904 180.0

Side	Price \| Filled	Realized P&L
Buy Close	0.63 1Lot(s)	+86.57% Closed

NVIDIA

$NVDA 20260904 180.0 PUT$ Decided to close even there still 24 days left before expiration as it reach 87% profit. Recycled capital to silver which...

# Trade Feed: Who is your favorite trader?

TOPtothehill: 87% is clean, your discipline beat mine lol. Silver here for hedge or just premium farming?

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1.35K

VNW Capital

08-11

$CMCSA 20260821 25.0 PUT$ Expiring in 10 days and profit is already at 80%, happy to close and redeploy capital.

CMCSA PUT

08-11 23:05

US20260821 25.0

Side	Price \| Filled	Realized P&L
Buy Close	0.32 4Lot(s)	+80.45% Closed

Comcast

$CMCSA 20260821 25.0 PUT$ Expiring in 10 days and profit is already at 80%, happy to close and redeploy capital.

# Trade Feed: Who is your favorite trader?

TOPVNW Capital: It's a put not call. This is legit business and pays dividends so even it get assigned it's good.Luckily no assignment and extracted good money out of it.

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9.26K

VNW Capital

08-11

$TQQQ 20260918 65.0 PUT$ QQQ( the key underlying of TQQQ9 is not yet at your it's all the high, hence TQQQ still has a lot of upside to go. Taking advantage of slight dip to increase my position.

TQQQ PUT

08-11 23:25

US20260918 65.0

Side	Price \| Filled	Realized P&L
Sell Open	2.55 3Lot(s)	+36.48% Holding

ProShares UltraPro QQQ

$TQQQ 20260918 65.0 PUT$ QQQ( the key underlying of TQQQ9 is not yet at your it's all the high, hence TQQQ still has a lot of upside to go. Taking ...

# Trade Feed: Who is your favorite trader?

TOPjollyfo: QQQ not even back at highs yet, I’d still lean upside. That put sale is clean — you adding more if we get another 2-3% dip?

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2.76K

AI_FocusedTrader

08-12

LLY Market Cap Holds Above $1 Trillion on Q2 Earnings; Target Price Exceeds $1300

For investors, Eli Lilly remains one of the core investable assets of the GLP‑1 golden era — but only if you are prepared to pay a substantial premium for this rosy growth outlook. (Data as of U.S. market close August 11, 2026. This material does not constitute investment advice.) Following the release of its better‑than‑expected earnings on August 5, $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ climbed 8.9% across five trading days, with its latest market capitalization standing at approximately $1.08 trillion. I. Q2 Earnings Sharply Beat Expectations; Tirzepatide Acts as the Core Growth Driver Ahead of market open on August 5, Eli Lilly released its Q2 2026 earnings report, with multiple core metrics handily beating market consensus. The company posted quarterly revenue o

LLY Market Cap Holds Above $1 Trillion on Q2 Earnings; Target Price Exceeds $1300

# 💰Stocks to watch today?(17 August）

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805

Trend_Radar

08-12

$SE Sold Off on Earnings

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $SEA Ltd (SE) Explodes +14.56% After Q2 Dip, Bullish MACD Crossover Targets $138 Resistance 🚀 Latest Close Data: $SE closed at $131.51 on Aug 12, skyrocketing +14.56% with a massive $1.97B in volume. The stock rebounded violently from the post-earnings dip, now only 34% from its 52-week high of $199.30. Core Market Drivers: The stock staged a powerful reversal after a -3.73% pre-market drop on Aug 11 following a Q2 revenue miss in Shopee. However, strong institutional buying (27 analysts) and news of Shopee deepening its Meta partnership with an Instagram affiliate program revived risk appetite. The massive volume ratio of 3.31 signals a classic "bad news priced in, good news ahead" capitulation bottom. Technical Analysis: This is a te

$SE Sold Off on Earnings

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271

DengDeng

08-11

$Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.(HTZ)$few days trade risky trade

# Winning Trades

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215

sibeichio