Emotional Investor
12-10

So as you can see by the screen shot below, this year has been a roller coaster. Coming out on top with a 46% return, but a few days back it was only 26% YTD. I think many other tigers may have similar stories, I'd love to here yours. 

I'm not big on listening to market predictions, they are generally wrong. I suppose the biggest one is the Ai bubble. I think those that are predicting a major crash in Ai in 2006 are full of shite. I certainly will not be going out and buying more speculative Ai or chip stocks. But I'll continue buying $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$. Just DCA into what's the cheapest every week. 

But I also see major synergy between industries. So I'll also keep buying power infrastructure, energy infrastructure, and storage solutions. And certain space companies. This to me is the future, and yes most are very expensive even on forward multiples. 

But to me future infrastructure although it requires significant and ongoing costs, will provale. We are only beginning to scratch the surface of future Innovation with Ai, Ai compute in the form of data centers, and the final frontier which is space. That's the sexy stuff. But we also need the infrastructure to power the revolution. Solar power and wind power need storage solutions like old school batteries. Wind power needs oil, solar cells need coal. batteries require the mining of minerals. To truly believe that our "new" energy is somehow clean and green, well I'd argue that if you believe that, you are not thinking.

My investment thesis going forward into 2026, let's call it my personal prediction. Logistics, oil, gas, mining, and related infrastructure. But also Ai, and Ai infrastructure (Like power). Plus space and space infrastructure to support communication and monitoring, for now.

So it's companies like $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$, black sky, asts space mobile and Iren, also maybe eos energy. That might be worth your DD. 

All have performed exceptionally for me this year, my only bad decision in hindsight was venture global, potentially the largest producer And exporter of LNG in the world. a few rather massive law suits there that could impact on their bottom line to the tune of over 4 billion. But it's muddy waters, and they did get around 20 billion selling gas on the spot market in 2022, pre production, shell, bp and a few other are arguing that they had contracts in force. Not boring you with the details, I'll just make one point.

Know everything you possibly can about the company your investing in, way easier to ride the waves of misinformation then. Brought more VG today btw. And I'll keep adding small bits. Today's paper loss is next years ya baby! Good things take time, and patience provided your original investment thesis still holds

Which 2026 Prediction Do You Think Is Most Likely to Fail?
Morgan Stanley recently released its 2026 outlook. Policy support and strong corporate earnings are expected to continue. Risk assets are set to lead, driven by micro factors (AI-related capex), a supportive policy mix (fiscal, monetary, and deregulation), and U.S. economic resilience. The U.S. remains the primary driver of global growth and market returns, What is your view on the predictions for 2026? Which do you think is most likely to come true, and which is most likely to fail?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Enid Bertha
    12-11
    Enid Bertha
    If Space X can list at $1.5 trillion then Rocket lab can easily go to $100 billion mkt cap. circa $200 SP over next 12 months as long as Neutron gets of the ground!

    • Emotional Investor
      It certainly can Enid, but im very sceptical of the spacex valuation, but can’t really say anything til I see their financials
  • Mortimer Arthur
    12-11
    Mortimer Arthur
    RKLB is the top space public company, and only 2nd to SpaceX which is private. SpaceX has an $800 billion valuation now. RKLB could easily start stealing SpaceX customers with the new Neutron rocket driving costs much lower.

    • Emotional Investor
      Yes it’s interesting that can’t remember exactly but roughly 6 months ago it was valued at $400 billion, quite a jump. I have starlink, expensive but fantastic. $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ could really kill starlink going forward though. I pay $nz159 per month and then I also need a phone plan for another $40 per month when not at home. Obviously there is plenty of room in the telco market for many players. But space X r&d costs for starship must be crazy insane, given they blow them up monthly. If the valuation is therefore based on starlink, that’s got some serious headwinds going forward. Personally if spacex does IPO I’m looking forward to seeing the numbers
  • AugustineMac-
    12-10
    AugustineMac-
    Solid DCA strategy mate! RKLB's been a rocket for me too [强][666]
    • Emotional Investor
      Rklb has made a lot of people millionaires. According to one source about 1500 in New Zealand alone, picking that’s a lot of rklb employees with stock plans in there. No wonder they work their butts off.
  • Emotional Investor
    12-13 12:55
    Emotional Investor
    I’m just annoyed I didn’t have the coin to buy more last week @ $42 ish, but got some so all good.
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