Citron Shorts SanDisk: Turn to Short or Add Memory Now?

SanDisk fell 4.20% with $19.29 billion in trading volume after short seller Citron announced a short position, calling the current memory chip boom a “supply illusion.” Is the storage chip rally built on fragile fundamentals? Does the short thesis change your view on the sector?

avatarxc__
21:57

🚨 Citron's Savage Short on SanDisk: Memory Boom Busting or Buying Opportunity? 💥🔥

$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ SanDisk's shares took a brutal hit, plunging 4.2% amid massive $19.29 billion trading frenzy after notorious short-seller Citron Research dropped their bombshell report. 😱 They're labeling the sizzling memory chip rally a total "supply illusion," insisting it's all smoke and mirrors in a wildly cyclical market. But is this the end of the storage surge, or just a dip to load up on? Let's dive deep into the drama and decode if you should short-circuit your portfolio or amp up the bytes! 📉🛡️ First off, Citron's got some spicy takes: They slam SanDisk for trading like it's the next Nvidia, but without that killer moat. "Nvidia innovates; SanDisk peddles commodities," they quip. Ouch! 🌶️ Pointing fingers at Samsung's beast-mode do
🚨 Citron's Savage Short on SanDisk: Memory Boom Busting or Buying Opportunity? 💥🔥
Citron’s argument is not new in memory cycles, but the timing is interesting. Every memory upcycle eventually attracts a “supply illusion” thesis because historically, memory has been the most cyclical segment in semiconductors. The key question now is whether this cycle still behaves like the old PC and smartphone-driven cycles, or whether AI has structurally changed demand. --- 1. What the “supply illusion” thesis is really saying Short sellers are likely arguing three points: 1. Front-loaded AI orders Hyperscalers may be over-ordering storage and memory to avoid shortages, creating temporary demand spikes rather than sustainable consumption. 2. Capacity eventually catches up NAND historically swings from shortage to oversupply quickly once fabs ramp output. 3. End-demand outside AI rema
avatarBarcode
02:55
$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Micron Technology(MU)$  🚨📉🧠 Citron vs AI Memory Supercycle: Is $SNDK Mispriced or Misunderstood? 🧠📉🚨 📊 Structural demand is colliding with legacy cycle thinking SanDisk $SNDK just experienced a classic volatility event. Shares dropped about 5% on 24 February 2026 immediately after Citron Research announced a short position. That reaction came after a +1,200% move since the February 2025 spin-off from $WDC and roughly +175% year to date. Moves of that magnitude always attract skeptics. The core institutional question is straightforward. Is this the top of a commodity memory cycle, or the early innings of a s

The SSD / Memory Reckoning

Memory stocks have taken over recently. If the early AI “trade” was compute, the current trade is memory! Over the last year: $SK Hynix, Inc.(HXSCF)$ is up >300% $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ is up >200% $KIOXIA HLDGS CORP(KXHCF)$ is up ~1,000% $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ is up >1,200% $Micron Technology(MU)$ is up >300% $Western Digital(WDC)$ is up >400% This is by no means an exhaustive list of memory related stocks, but it should give you a flavor of what’s happening in the stock market for memory related companies.
The SSD / Memory Reckoning
avatarzubee
02-24 07:33
I do not get mad because of market fluctuation, but I feel bad when $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$  is a jumper while $Micron Technology(MU)$  is just like a laggard.
avatarxc__
02-13

Micron & SNDK's Explosive +10% Rally: Morgan Stanley's $450 Call – AI Data Boom's Ultimate Fuel? 😲🚀

Micron Technology ( $Micron Technology(MU)$ ) and SanDisk ( $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ ) defied gravity with blistering +10% surges, bucking broader market chop as capital floods back into AI infrastructure plays that promise massive data center expansions. 😎 This rotation spotlights the insatiable demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and storage solutions, with Micron leading the charge on its HBM4 capacity ramp accelerating faster than expected. Morgan Stanley slapped an Overweight rating on MU, hiking its price target from $350 to $450 – a bold bet citing AI's endless compute hunger driving 50%+ revenue growth in memory segments by mid-2026. SNDK's parallel pop reinforces the narrative, with sustained momen
Micron & SNDK's Explosive +10% Rally: Morgan Stanley's $450 Call – AI Data Boom's Ultimate Fuel? 😲🚀

Korean Stocks Hit Another all-time high, with South Korea ETFs Surging over 34% YTD!

Incredible! The South Korean market rallied sharply again today, with the KOSPI index jumping over 2.6% to fresh record highs! Its year-to-date gain has already exceeded 30%, making it the world's best-performing stock index: The chart below shows the KOSPI index trend since 1980: South Korea ETFs have performed even more impressively. $iShares MSCI South Korea ETF(EWY)$ has surged over 34% YTD, $Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF(FLKR)$ has gained over 33%, while the 3x leveraged South Korea ETF— $Direxion Daily MSCI South Korea Bull 3x Shares(KORU)$ —has skyrocketed over 127%! Investors who bought South Korea ETFs have truly hit the jackpot! What's driving such feroc
Korean Stocks Hit Another all-time high, with South Korea ETFs Surging over 34% YTD!
1. Rotation into AI Infrastructure and Memory Stocks • Memory and storage stocks have outperformed broader indices recently as investor focus shifts towards companies positioned to benefit from AI data-centre build-outs, elevated memory pricing and constrained supply. This narrative has underpinned rallies in Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital and other related names.  • Shares in Sandisk rose sharply, with reports noting a jump of over 10 % in early trading, tied to renewed interest in memory and storage demand coinciding with tight global supply conditions.  --- 2. Morgan Stanley’s Bullish Reassessment on Micron • Morgan Stanley raised its price target for Micron from USD 350 to USD 450 while maintaining an “Overweight” rating, naming Micron one of its top semiconductor picks. Th
avatarBarcode
01-31

💾🧠📈 $SNDK SanDisk and the AI memory regime shift, real earnings power meets extreme price extension 💿💾📈

$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$  $Western Digital(WDC)$  I am tracking $SNDK SanDisk through cycle structure, pricing reflexivity, volatility expansion, earnings quality, and historical memory-sector behaviour. This is not a narrative-driven rally. It reflects a real margin reset, NAND and DRAM pricing leverage, AI-driven demand acceleration, and a structural earnings inflection. At the same time, price is trading at statistically extreme extension where timing discipline matters more than thematic conviction. 📊 Price structure, volatility stretch, and mean-reversion risk On the 4H structure, I see $SNDK maintaining a confirmed uptr
💾🧠📈 $SNDK SanDisk and the AI memory regime shift, real earnings power meets extreme price extension 💿💾📈
1. Is This a Healthy Shakeout or the Start of a Deeper De-Rating? The evidence strongly points to a necessary and healthy valuation shakeout, not a fundamental break in the AI storage thesis. Here's the breakdown: Why This is a Healthy Shakeout: Mathematical Necessity: Stocks like SanDisk (WDC) up 1,100% in six months are mathematically primed for a correction. This is a textbook case of a parabolic move meeting gravity. The market is simply resetting from "extreme greed" to a more sustainable base. Crowded Trade Unwind: This was the most consensus long trade in tech. When macro risk appetite fades (higher rates, software selloff), the most crowded, high-beta names get hit first and hardest. This is liquidity-driven selling, not a reflection of broken fundamentals. Valuation Reset, Not Sto
The significant surge in Micron (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK) stocks, with both rising over 10%, is a notable development in the tech sector. This rally, despite broader market volatility, suggests that investors are rotating back into the AI infrastructure trade, driven by the growing demand for advanced memory and storage solutions. Morgan Stanley's decision to lift Micron's price target from 350 to 450, while reiterating an Overweight rating, is a bullish signal. The firm's citation of the accelerating HBM4 (High-Bandwidth Memory 4) capacity ramp as a key catalyst is particularly interesting. HBM4 is a critical component in high-performance computing applications, including AI and data center workloads. The SNDK rally, on the other hand, reflects the sustained momentum in storage and dat
My Take The +10% moves in Micron and SNDK suggest capital is rotating back into the AI hardware trade, specifically memory and storage. The key driver mentioned—HBM4 capacity ramp—is important. High Bandwidth Memory is becoming a bottleneck component for AI accelerators, and companies with credible supply visibility are being re-rated. Morgan Stanley lifting Micron’s target from $350 to $450 (while reiterating Overweight) indicates: • Increased confidence in pricing power • Improved earnings visibility • Potential multi-year AI-driven demand cycle What Matters Fundamentally • HBM Supply/Demand Tightness If HBM4 ramps successfully and remains supply-constrained, Micron could sustain premium pricing and margin expansion. • AI Data Center Capex Durability The thesis depends on hyperscalers co
avatarMrzorro
01-30
SanDisk Q2 Review: Blowout Results, Forward P/E 10x, Multi-Year Agreements—How Far Can SNDK Rerate? $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$  's FY2Q26 results and FY3Q26 guidance significantly exceeded both the company's own guidance and Wall Street expectations. But the bigger story is strategic: the company is signaling a shift from unit-led cyclicality toward price power, datacenter mix, and tighter contracting (multi-year agreements with prepayments). Financial Snapshot SanDisk delivered a sharp upside surprise in FY2Q26, driven primarily by pricing and mix rather than unit growth. – Revenue: $3.025B (+31% QoQ, +61% YoY).  – Non-GAAP gross margin: 51.1%, far above the company’s prior 41%–43% outlook. Management attributed the beat mainly to higher pri
avatarxc__
01-26

AI Storage Supercycle Showdown: Can Seagate and Western Digital Ride the Wave to New Heights? 🔥💾

Buckle up, investors! The AI-driven storage frenzy is hitting fever pitch as we dive into a pivotal earnings week. With data centers gobbling up massive capacities for training those beastly AI models, the "super cycle" in memory and storage is no joke—analysts predict shortages lasting until 2028, fueled by HBM demand and hyperscaler buildouts. But with Seagate ( $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ ) dropping its Q2 FY2026 bombshell tomorrow and Western Digital ( $Western Digital(WDC)$ ) following on Thursday, the big question looms: Will these titans deliver the goods and spark another leg up in the sector? Or is the hype finally cooling? Let's break it down with fresh insights, juicy comparisons, and a peek un
AI Storage Supercycle Showdown: Can Seagate and Western Digital Ride the Wave to New Heights? 🔥💾
avatarzhingle
02-03
🐯 Citi Lifts SanDisk to $750 — Why the AI Storage Trade Is Still Early 🚀💾 The market is starting to realize something important: AI is not just a compute story — it’s a storage supercycle. On Monday, Citigroup raised SanDisk’s target price from $490 to $750, highlighting: • +64% QoQ data-center revenue growth • Margin resilience despite past NAND cyclicality • Accelerating hyperscaler demand tied directly to AI workloads The result: • SanDisk +15.4% • Micron +5.5% • Western Digital +6.1% This move isn’t the end of the trade — it’s the recognition phase. ⸻ 1️⃣ AI Is Creating a Structural (Not Cyclical) Storage Shift 🤖📈 Every AI model requires: • Massive training datasets • Continuous high-speed inference access • Frequent data refresh and replacement This changes storage economics: • Higher
SanDisk (SNDK) and Western Digital (WDC) Market Trends and Analyst Expectations SanDisk (SNDK) AI-Driven Demand and Market Position SanDisk is positioned as a key beneficiary of the AI spending cycle due to accelerating demand for its NAND memory products, which are crucial for AI infrastructure. The company specializes in NAND flash memory for data centers, AI servers, and edge devices, aligning directly with increased storage needs from AI workloads. SanDisk's Enterprise SSDs are considered an industry standard for "checkpointing" in AI training, requiring ultra-fast storage. It has gained 2 percentage points of NAND market share during the 12 months ending June 2025, with hyperscalers testing its enterprise SSDs. Financial Performance and Outlook For 2026 Q1, SanDisk's revenue was $2.30
Why the +10% move matters This is not a random bounce. It reflects capital rotating back into the AI memory bottleneck trade. HBM is now structurally tight. If Micron’s HBM4 ramp accelerates meaningfully into 2026, ASP strength plus mix shift could drive: • higher gross margins • sustained pricing power • multi-year visibility Memory is no longer purely cyclical. It is partially strategic infrastructure. --- Is $450 “easy”? That depends on three variables: 1️⃣ HBM4 execution If Micron secures incremental AI GPU share and ramps without yield issues, earnings revisions will follow quickly. 2️⃣ Supply discipline If competitors avoid overbuilding, margins hold. If supply floods in 2027, multiples compress. 3️⃣ Valuation expansion Memory typically trades mid-cycle multiples. To justify $450, th
The recent upgrade of SanDisk's target price by Citigroup is a significant development, especially given the current market environment. Let's analyze the implications of this news and the potential for the AI trade. 1. AI-Driven Compute Demand: A Key Driver The accelerating demand for AI-driven compute solutions is a positive sign for SanDisk: Storage Cycle: The storage cycle is being propelled by the increasing demand for AI-driven compute solutions, which requires high-performance storage. SanDisk's Position: SanDisk's emergence as a key pure-play gauge for NAND and SSD momentum after its spinoff positions it well to benefit from this trend. 2. Crowded Trade or Under-Owned? The question remains whether the AI trade is crowded or under-owned: Crowded Trade: The recent surge in SanDisk's
avatarKYHBKO
01-10

(Full article) Preview of the week (12Jan2025) - Earnings start with Delta

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 12Jan2026) Inflation Indicators The primary economic figure to monitor in the coming week is the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The previous CPI reading stands at 2.7%, serving as a key benchmark for inflation. This data point will be closely analysed by the Federal Reserve as it considers its next decision regarding interest rates. In addition to the CPI, the Producer Price Index (PPI) is another significant measure of inflation to observe. The most recent month-over-month PPI data for November was 0.3%. The PPI reflects inflation at the producer level and is often seen as a leading indicator, as increases in producer costs can eventually be passed down to consumers. Bond Market Activity It is also important to keep an eye on the
(Full article) Preview of the week (12Jan2025) - Earnings start with Delta
The recent decline in storage stocks, including SanDisk (SNDK), Western Digital, Micron Technology, and Seagate Technology, can be attributed to a crowded-trade unwind, where investors are taking profits after a significant run-up in prices. The sharp decline, with SanDisk falling 12% and others following suit, suggests a valuation reset rather than a fundamentals break. The fact that SanDisk's six-month gains exceeded 1,100% and bullish targets were piling up indicates that expectations had become overly optimistic. This correction can be seen as a healthy shakeout, as it brings valuations back to more reasonable levels. However, it's also possible that this could be the start of a deeper de-rating for AI storage stocks. If investors continue to lose risk appetite and profit-taking accele