Last night, I hosted a futures livestream on Tiger Brokers covering changing trends in semiconductor stocks and US equity indexes, along with trading ideas for gold and silver. If you missed the live session, you can watch the course replay here >> 半導體股已見底還是跌勢剛開始？股指新一輪大行情正在醞釀 Next, I will categorize and summarize the course’s most important information and trading insights. This should help investors who did not have time to attend the class quickly understand my current market views. First, a brief personal introduction: My Professional Background Gu Mingzhe is a guest strategy instructor for CME, an instructor for the Singa

Options on futures are option contracts whose underlying assets are futures contracts. Trading volume and open interest reveal how capital is positioned across different expiries and strike prices. They provide useful signals on market expectations, risk appetite and potential support or resistance zones, although they should not be interpreted as direct bullish or bearish signals. Today’s analysis covers changes in large options trades and open interest on October 28 relative to October 27. These are the latest available data in this report and provide a reference for assessing positioning and risk appetite. The latest futures options data show continued divergence across markets. The S&P 500 saw a wider put-side advantage, with multiple near-term strikes adding positions and the 6,20

Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: Markets Turn Defensive as Volatility May Persist Through Next Year’s First Quarter  Under the US dollar cycle model, market volatility could continue through the first quarter of next year. Safe haven, arbitrage and options strategies should therefore take priority. If US equities break below key trendlines, investors should focus on risk control. Gold is unlikely to regain bullish momentum before reclaiming its 20 day moving average. A confirmed break below $4,000 could open

Risk Disclaimer: This article is for market commentary purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Leveraging its CUDA ecosystem and first-mover advantage in computing power, Nvidia has long captured over 70% of global revenue from AI accelerator chips. As the biggest beneficiary amid the global AI computing expansion cycle, it has reached a market cap of $5 trillion and forged the core legend of this AI bull market. Yet the pendulum of cycles always reverts to the mean. The confluence of industry sentiment, competitive landscape and technical patterns now signals that the era of steep premium valuation for its stock may be drawing to a close. On the industry cycle front, global AI capital expenditure is shifting from rapid expansion toward prudent validation. After massive pu

The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 

Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The

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Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So the equity market is still defying all odds, continue to smash records after records in the start of October. Bulls are definitely in LaLaLand and laughing at their bears counterparts. However, majority of the main indices are made up of high capex spend, hyperscaler tech companies with humongous forward estimate ratios. So there is a saying: “Whatever that rise fast, will fall fast too.” With that, I definitely will take this continuous bull run with a cautious approach, hunting down stocks near their support levels or resistance levels to increase my trade probability.[Serious] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options

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