Following the conclusion of the China-US summit in Busan, South Korea, the trade war between the two countries has effectively been put on pause, providing a "reassuring measure" for the global economy. The 24% retaliatory tariffs have been suspended for one year. This one-year suspension is significant because it coincides with the upcoming US midterm elections, and there remains considerable uncertainty whether the Republican Party, led by Trump, will maintain control over both chambers of Congress, which will directly impact the trajectory of US trade negotiations. From the current perspective, at least for one year the market's worries about China-US trade frictions can greatly ease. With the exception of precious metals, this is generally positive news for other asset classes.The succ

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Wishing everyone a pleasant weekend! $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold has entered a consolidation phase! As expected, it maintained a wide range yesterday between 4047 and 3972.4. This market environment is actually more suitable for short-term trading! Looking ahead to next week: Entering November, we anticipate continued cyclical volatility at the beginning of the month. D1 Chart Analysis: Significant retracement from highs is evident. Gold retreated from its $4381.29 peak, breaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level ($3972.61) but holding above the 0.500 retracement level ($3845.97). MACD forms a

Over the weekend, the market received favorable news: China and the United States reached a basic consensus on addressing each other's concerns during their economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur. This development led to varying degrees of gains and rebounds across most risk assets over the weekend. Given the previous experience of abrupt policy reversals and rhetoric from Trump, this outcome was not entirely unexpected. However, many assets had already sustained considerable damage from prior declines, and whether they can follow the U.S. stock market back to a gradual bull trend remains to be seen. In this context, the performance of the Japanese yen offers valuable reference points.Since the end of 2024, the yen has been oscillating near its lows without a definitive breakthro

As the end of the month approaches and the November 1 deadline for the US to impose significant tariffs on China looms, the US is increasingly eager to engage in trade talks with China. At this stage, continuing to raise tariffs would harm the US more than benefit it, thus giving China the upper hand in negotiations. Starting this week, information and outcomes from both sides' negotiations will gradually emerge. While a comprehensive deal is unlikely in one round, some progress is expected, which will help revive global trade.China-US Talks to Boost Commodity PricesThe tariff policies previously caused significant disruption in global trade and economics. As negotiations between these two major economies advance, market reactions to tariffs have become less reactive. Although tariff issue

$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: Gold Weakens After Sellers Defend $4,160 Resistance Zone! Gold shows initial signs of consolidation following a strong rebound. The near-term outlook has turned bearish as prices currently trade below the 21-, 50-, and 100-period simple moving averages (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, indicating waning bullish momentum.On the downside, the psychological $4,000 level remains a crucial support zone where dip buyers have been active in recent trading. A decisive break below this area could trigger a deeper pullback toward the $3,900 region.On the upside, the 100-period SMA near $4,090 presents immediate resistance, followed by $4,16

Last week, multiple Federal Reserve officials, including Powell, expressed their views, which were generally dovish. Powell mentioned considering ending the balance sheet reduction, further strengthening market expectations for an interest rate cut in October. This caused a temporary rebound in risk assets. However, later in the week, renewed problems in the US banking system emerged, leading to a decline in market risk appetite and a pullback in US stocks. This weighed on copper prices to some extent, followed by a profit-taking correction in gold.Market ReviewObservations from COMEX and SHFE Copper MarketsCOMEX copper prices fluctuated, seeking direction: dovish comments provided short-term support, but banking risks became a drag. Last week, several Fed officials’ comments leaned dovish

1. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ The recent gold market has been as volatile as Bitcoin! Earlier, I predicted a test of $4,220. Meanwhile, gold has fallen below $4,200, a 3.6% daily drop. The New York market will continue its decline, successfully breaking through the previous low of $4,188, further intensifying the downward trend.Financial chart displaying XAUUSD gold price in USD over time with candlestick patterns blue and red lines indicating trends volume bars at bottom and annotations highlighting 4188 level with red arrow pointing to downward movement from recent highs around 4200 to lows near 4100.2.A perfect crash, in line with expectations! Successfully reached $

With the U.S. government still shut down and no sign of a deal, the standoff could break duration records and prolong risk sentiment, whose economic impact remains to be seen but is unlikely to fade quickly in the near term. Hopes that the Israel–Gaza conflict might cool were dashed by fresh airstrikes in Gaza over the weekend, underscoring that peace will not be achieved overnight and that safe-haven demand may be repeatedly rekindled, fueling large price swings driven by sentiment rather than trend change. In such an environment, countertrend trading requires extra caution because volatility in a sentiment-led market does not automatically mean the underlying trend has reversed.​Has precious metals topped?Drawing on years of futures-market experience, the piece notes that while every squ

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1.GOLD RUSH: $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ (1) Overnight session, GOLD cash hits $4205 and keeps churning higher. (2) the measured move would suggest a top around $4400 in a few weeks. (3) the current structure is NOT a terminal move; instead, it looks like 3rd of 3rd wave, which means much higher to come.Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ WELL---seriously, how can you predict a crazy roadmap better than THIS?Be noted: THIS IS A 5-MIN CHART, with 100+ points swing on both directions. Yeah, I would say that I got most of them right, both in direction and in price range. Market BOTH BULLS & BEARS. 👌ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,

The U.S. government has once again fallen into a shutdown, with no signs of resolution so far. Market expectations estimate the shutdown will last between 15 to 29 days. Although this is not the first shutdown the U.S. government has faced, the market remains relatively calm for now. However, the shutdown delays the release of many critical economic data, preventing the Federal Reserve from making informed policy decisions based on the latest economic indicators. This uncertainty clouds the path toward interest rate cuts, leaving the market to continue operating along the current trend.Impact of the Shutdown on U.S. Stock IndexesThe longer the shutdown lasts, the more significant the damage to the U.S. economy will be. This is almost unimaginable in China, given the much broader government