Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

GOLD: Focused on the Broader Implications of Trump's Policies.

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.In early Asian trading on Friday (January 24), gold kept oscillating higher and is currently trading near $2766.29 USD. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold bottomed out on Thursday and fell to $2,735.83 earlier in the session, but after the change in U.S. initial jobless claims performed worse than market expectations and the dollar weakened after President Donald Trump's call for lower interest rates, gold recovered all of its losses to close at $2,754.59. Market attention remains focused on the broader implications of Trump's policies.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: Focused on the Broader Implications of Trump's Policies.
avatarZxyLoveZxh
01-22 15:35
【Voting Post】The first article in my series on investing in 2025 I am a veteran, and I have made 8% cumulative gains since opening an account in early 2021. I'm also new to global brokerage, having just started a few years ago. Like I didn't know about the 3700, 3400, CSI 300 and the CSI 300, I had little idea about the Nasdaq, Dow and Australian indexes, and I hadn't studied the Hang Seng specifics. For beginners to invest, start with the macro. China is deflationary and the United States is divided after inflation; China and the United States focus on resolving the economic structure of their own issues. Looking at the economic cycle, we may still be in the old cycle, as shown in Figure 1. Looking at the political cycle, there are many elections in 2024. As we can see in Figure 2, important economies
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Short strategists here:Call TSLA to crash all day long and all week long, as it keeps climbing and climbingWait for TSLA to shed 20% from daily/weekly gainsClaim the day/week as a victoryDoes it get any bigger of a LOSER group than that?[Facepalm][Facepalm][Facepalm]
avatarKYHBKO
01-19

The new era under Trump starts - Preview of the week starting 20Jan2025

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, and Singapore next week. Martin Luther King Holiday - Monday, January 17, 2022 - No ... On 20 Jan 2025 (Monday), the USA celebrates Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. Economic Calendar (20Jan2025) Notable Highlights S&P Global Manufacturing PMI reveals the contraction or growth of global manufacturing - which reveals anticipated demand. S&P Global Services PMI will also be released. A figure above 50 reveals growth and a figure lesser than that reveals contraction. Existing home sales let us in about the home real estate market. With the LA fire, we are expecting some increase in demand for homes in the coming weeks. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key macro data re
The new era under Trump starts - Preview of the week starting 20Jan2025

GOLD: Bullish Rally Here!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold's decline stopped at $2656.7 as it reached the 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of the rise from $2596.10 to $2697.7, starting a bullish rally and resuming its bullish trajectory on an intraday basis on the way to test $2700 as the first positive target. Supported by positive technical indicators, more expected gains are awaited in the coming sessions, noting that a break below $2,659 will stop the bullish wave and push the price to achieve more bearish corrections, with its next targets reaching $2,647 and then the $2,635 level. Today's trading range is expected to be between the $2,655 support level and the $2,695 resistance level. Trend Forecast: Bullish (Hold Buy trade on trade) Strategy: BUY:2663-2665
GOLD: Bullish Rally Here!
avatarKYHBKO
01-13

CPI data will be released this week - Economic Calendar of the week 13Jan25

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, or America next week. Economic Calendar (13Jan2025) Notable Highlights The Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched data for the coming week. CPI is one of the economic data used as a reference for inflation. This should influence the Fed’s decision on interest rates, which is likely to bring some volatility to the market. The Producer Price Index (PPI) reveals the inflation that hits the producer first. If it goes up, this implies that producers have inflationary price pressure, which should be passed on to the consumers. Some view this as the prelude to inflation. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales will usher in an understanding of consumer retail consumption.
CPI data will be released this week - Economic Calendar of the week 13Jan25

GOLD: Conflict Stitution Now!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Tuesday (7 January) Asian market, spot gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near $ 2637. Gold prices opened slightly lower on Monday, the Federal Reserve recently hinted that it will slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, U.S. Treasury yields climbed to refresh highs since May, gold prices once hit a three-session low of $2,614.69 during the session, but there are conflicting reports about how aggressive the U.S. tariff plan will be, the U.S. dollar index fell to more than a one-week low, and the gold price recovered in the end of the session, closing at $2,635.87 . $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2502(GCm
GOLD: Conflict Stitution Now!

The .SPX Pattern!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.Gap Zone 5940-70: $.SPX(.SPX)$ (1) today's unfilled gap marked two key points, 5940: the 50 DMA; & 5970--50% of retrace; (2) the market has been very sensitive to 5940 level, jumping up or down over it many times in last two months. (3) would be PERFECT for bears if it is gapped over tmrwImage2.Right Shoulder = Left Shoulder at 6020. Higher than my revised target at 5995, but still fit for the H&S pattern, as well as a flat w-b/2. The rebound is most likely over at 6021. The selloff after hitting 6020 signals a new regime coming.Image3.HIGHER TARGET: (1) with SPX future jumped over 5960 zone comfortably, the upward target for this rebound has moved to 5996, the 61.8%
The .SPX Pattern!
avatarKYHBKO
01-06

My investing muse for week of 06Jan25

My Investing Muse (06Jan2025) Layoffs & Closure news "The Tech industry witnessed a 42% decline in layoffs compared to 2023, which saw the highest number of job cuts in the last four years. Over 260,000 employees were handed pink slips by over 1,200 companies this year. The spate of layoffs in 2023 was driven by factors such as economic downturn, considering rising inflation and interest rates. The eventual decrease in consumer spending hit the tech industry which relies heavily on their demand for its products and services. Some other key reasons that prompted companies to cut jobs were the stock market downturn, shifting market dynamics, and largely the over-hiring spree during the pandemic." Will the layoff trend continue into 2025? Is recovery in sight? - Source: India Express US h
My investing muse for week of 06Jan25
avatarKYHBKO
01-06

Non-Manufacturing PMI, jobs and unemployment - how will they fare in this week (06Jan2025)

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, or America next week. Economic Calendar (06Jan2025) Notable Highlights The forecast for the S&P Global Services PMI stands at 58.5 and expectation of growth compared to the previous month. ISM non-manufacturing PMI will also be released with a forecast of 53.2. A number that is greater than 50 implies growth. The ISM non-manufacturing prices will also be released. These will reveal any inflationary pricing pressures faced by non-manufacturing businesses (services) sectors. JOLT job openings will be updated. The forecast is 7.77 million job openings. We can see some updates or revisions to the previous months. In the same week, there will also be an update about ADP nonfar
Non-Manufacturing PMI, jobs and unemployment - how will they fare in this week (06Jan2025)

GOLD: Downward Trend Will Not Stop!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ TECHNICAL: Gold prices continue to fall to test the 2600 handle, hitting a low near 2595.6 yesterday! to confirm a move towards the next major target of 2555.As a result, we will continue to suggest the next phase of the bearish trend supported by the negative pressure formed by the EMA50, noting that a break above 2640 will stop the bearish wave and push the gold price to realise new gains starting from the $2700 area.Expect today's trading range to be between the 2585 support level and the $2620 resistance level.Trend Forecast: Bearish (trade to keep sell orders trading)!
GOLD: Downward Trend Will Not Stop!

GOLD: Lose Appeal or Not?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ closed 0.48% lower at $2,620.96 per ounce on Friday (30 December), barely holding above the 100-day SMA at 2,616.01, as rising US Treasury yields diminished the appeal of non-yielding gold in thin holiday trading, with the market focused on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and his inflation-stimulating policies' impact on the Fed's outlook for 2025 Potential Impact. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: Lose Appeal or Not?
avatarKYHBKO
2024-12-30

layoffs, market top and free buffett tip - my investing muse (30Dec2024)

My Investing Muse (30Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Photo Credit: Fabrice COFFRINI | AFP | Getty Images From X user Evan:Google CEO Sundar Pichai and other Google leaders told employees last week at a 2025 strategy meeting that “the stakes are high” for next year - CNBC “I think it’s really important we internalize the urgency of this moment, and need to move faster as a company. The stakes are high. These are disruptive moments. In 2025, we need to be relentlessly focused on unlocking the benefits of this technology and solve real user problems.” - Sundar Pichai In summary, layoffs are coming. Now that Trump has won, they are revising all of their numbers during the Biden administration. The govt initially reported Q2 of 2024 had 653,000 job gains. It was actually NEGATIVE. There was a
layoffs, market top and free buffett tip - my investing muse (30Dec2024)
avatarKYHBKO
2024-12-30

Blackrock, Debts, banking News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24)

News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24) Is entitlement the curse of progress? Image BLACKROCK SAYS DIVERSIFY YOUR PORTFOLIO WITH GOLD AND BITCOIN TO HEDGE AGAINST EQUITY SELLOFFS Serbian President Vučić has stated that the Nord Stream pipeline may be restarted soon: "Germany urgently needs cheap Russian gas, so within a year, the remaining intact section of the Nord Stream pipeline could be sold to U.S. investors and put back into operation." - X user Russian Market HOMELESSNESS SURGES AS HOUSING COSTS SOAR 18% Homelessness in the U.S. jumped 18.1% this year, with over 770,000 people now living on the streets. Rising costs and a severe lack of affordable housing are driving the crisis. Major cities like NYC and Chicago are overwhelmed, with migrant surges adding to the strain. Meanwh
Blackrock, Debts, banking News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24)
avatarKYHBKO
2024-12-30

Happy New Year - PMI will start the economic calendar from 30Dec24

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. China America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on New Year’s Day (01 Jan 2025). Some countries operate half a day on New Year’s Day Eve (31 Dec 2024). Here is wishing all a Blessed New Year (2025). Economic Calendar (30Dec24) Notable Highlights Chicago PMI will be revealed with a forecast of 42.8. This implies a contraction of the sector in Chicago. China's manufacturing PMI will also be reviewed. A forecast of 50.3 implies a slight expansion in the sector. China is a global factory and this can also be seen as a barometer of global demand. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will also be announced. The forecast of 48.3 implies a contraction in the manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturi
Happy New Year - PMI will start the economic calendar from 30Dec24
avatarKYHBKO
2024-12-30

Preview of the week starting 30Dec24 - closing thoughts for 2024

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. China America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on New Year’s Day (01 Jan 2025). Some countries operate half a day on New Year’s Day Eve (31 Dec 2024). Here is wishing all a Blessed New Year (2025). Economic Calendar (30Dec24) Notable Highlights Chicago PMI will be revealed with a forecast of 42.8. This implies a contraction of the sector in Chicago. China's manufacturing PMI will also be reviewed. A forecast of 50.3 implies a slight expansion in the sector. China is a global factory and this can also be seen as a barometer of global demand. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will also be announced. The forecast of 48.3 implies a contraction in the manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturing PMI will be
Preview of the week starting 30Dec24 - closing thoughts for 2024

GOLD: STILL BERAISH TREND!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold price is showing a flat bullish bias approaching the key resistance level at $2,640 Stochastic is showing clear overbought signals waiting to push the price down again, keeping the bearish trend active for the session, with the next major target at $2,555 It is important to note that a break above 2640. would stop the downtrend and allow the price to try to resume the major bullish trend once again.The expected trading range for today is between support at 2615 and resistance at 2650.Trend forecast: bearish! (Trade to keep the sell order trade as the main one)[Happy][Happy][Happy]Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: STILL BERAISH TREND!
avatarKYHBKO
2024-12-23

layoffs, economy, Argentina and Energy - my investing muse (23Dec24)

My Investing Muse (23Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news BREAKING: Party City is closing all of its stores, and corporate employees were told today is their last day of employment - X user Unusual Whale Aerospace company Boeing has announced another round of layoffs, this one impacting 396 workers in Washington state. - NWPB Google has once again reduced its workforce, targeting 10% of its management roles, including directors and vice presidents. CEO Sundar Pichai announced the changes during an all-hands meeting. - DNAIndia Thyssenkrupp faces massive job cuts and plant closures amid international competition and possible management lapses. - DW News The Mersen Manufacturing plant said it is set to furlough 80% of its workers in Columbia. The furloughs were announced just weeks before the C
layoffs, economy, Argentina and Energy - my investing muse (23Dec24)
avatarKYHBKO
2024-12-23

Recession over? Government shutdown and debts? News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24)

News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24) Powell has said that "it's pretty clear we've avoided a recession." Do you agree? Image China is dominating the global auto market: China’s share of world car production is now at 39%, the highest on record. Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, this percentage has doubled. Its share is also ~11 percentage points larger than Europe, Japan, and the US combined. To put this into perspective, China’s share in global automotive production was just 1% in 2000. By comparison, the US, Japan and Europe accounted for 14%, 20% and 32% of production in 2000, respectively. China has taken over the global car market. X user The Kobeissi Letter Globalization brings access to bigger markets, costs savings and leads to better quality of life. When we limit access,
Recession over? Government shutdown and debts? News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24)
avatarKYHBKO
2024-12-23

Consumer Confidence and new home sales - Economic Calendar starting 23Dec24

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on Christmas Day (25 Dec 2024). Some countries are operating half a day on Christmas Eve (24 Dec 2024). Here's wishing all a “Blessed Christmas.” May 2025 be an awesome year of good health and success. Economic Calendar (23Dec24) Notable Highlights CB consumer confidence data will be released this coming Monday. This is a reflection of how the consumer sees the market. On the other hand, Durable goods orders are expecting a decline of 0.4%. New home sales data will be released with a forecast of 650,000 new home sales. This data provides some insight into residential real estate. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve use
Consumer Confidence and new home sales - Economic Calendar starting 23Dec24