A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about

$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$   $ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$   $Sprott Physical Silver Trust(PSLV)$   Welcome to Muthu Boy Prata Shop ☕🫓 I’m breaking down my silver analysis the simple way—big global picture first, then the China/SHFE drama, COMEX delivery pressure in March, why CME margin hikes can only do so much, defensive tool loosing steam and the real risks at the end. Chinese billionaire Bian Ximing (via Zhongcai Futures) built a huge naked short position in silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE)—around 450 tonnes (30,000 contracts).  This exceeded the exchange

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   📉 Gamma Flip, Convexity Unwind, Positioning Washout, Execution Edge 📉 🧠 Cross-Asset Repricing and Capital Reallocation I’m watching capital reprice decisively across assets, not rotate casually. The most telling signal is structural, not emotional: $NVDA has once again overtaken Silver in market value, reversing the brief January inversion where $SLV and $GLD collectively eclipsed AI leaders during a leverage-driven blow-off. That reversal matters. It confirms capital preference is re-

If there’s one clear focus in the futures market recently, it’s undoubtedly silver.But today, let’s take a step back from silver and zoom out for a broader perspective: Does the recent surge in gold and silver signal the start of a bull market in base metals? There’s a well-known commodity cycle that combines the Merrill Lynch Investment Clock with Jeremy Grantham’s concept of the “commodity supercycle launch sequence.” It goes like this: The early warning sign that an economic downturn is ending is a rise in gold and silver prices. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ Why? Because during late-stage slowdowns, real demand is weak and industrial commodities languish—so capital flows into safe-haven assets like precious metals. At the same time, central banks w

The Silver and Copper sectors rose an average of ~8.36% and 7.61% respectively at the February 3, 2026 ET market close, primarily driven by a sharp technical rebound and dip-buying after severe prior sell-offs, fueled by renewed industrial demand expectations (especially AI/data centers and clean energy for both metals), supply tightness, and a pause in the US dollar's rally following recent volatility from Fed chair nomination concerns and margin hikes. This relief rally followed dramatic plunges in precious metals late last week, with silver futures surging over 12% and copper advancing amid broader commodity stabilization. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ pulled back as investors dumped technology stocks and moved into shares more broadly linked to improvem

🌟🌟🌟Silver surged back to over USD 83/oz as of February 10, recovering from a brutal 35% flash crash in late January.  This latest jump is primarily driven by a weaker US Dollar, which fell to 4 year lows, making silver cheaper for international buyers. Key Reasons for Silver Recent Rebound  Dollar Weakness and Fed Uncertainty :  Markets are pricing in potential interest rate cuts for later in 2026.  Growing concerns of the Fed's independence and the recent nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair have created volatility, leading investors to seek hard assets like Gold and Silver. Central Banks' Gold Buying Spree:   Central banks around the world especially China, have continued their gold buying spree.  This has created a spillover effect that driv

After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi

Earlier this Tuesday, a U.S. financial journalist asked President Donald Trump a question that has broadly worried Wall Street: “Are you concerned about the recent decline in the U.S. dollar?” Trump’s response surprised the market: he said no, he thought it was great, and that the dollar should be allowed to find its own level because that is “fair”—adding that if you look at China and Japan, they always want their currencies to depreciate. In market reporting, bullion rose as much as 1.3% on Wednesday after jumping 3.4% the day before (its biggest one-day gain since April), and Trump said he was not concerned about a weaker dollar even as the world’s premier reserve currency slid to its weakest level in nearly four years. This statement clearly reads as tacit approval—or even welcome—for

As of the market close on January 27, 2026 ET, Precious Metals & Minerals has risen average by 4.14%. mainly due to:Heightened geopolitical risks + persistent expectations of Fed rate cuts + structural supply shortages in silver, platinum, and related metals, which together drove sharp gains in spot gold, silver, and platinum prices, lifting mining stocks significantly.The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ climbed to a new all-time high and closed at a record on Tuesday as traders eagerly awaited earnings from major tech companies.The best-performing concepts is Precious Metals & Minerals. Considering the different perceptions of the stock, this time TigerPicks chose $Avino Silver & Gold Mines(ASM)$<

⭐Highlights:The surge of silver price reflects a mix of fundamental supply pressures and speculative momentum.Retail and ETF flows have significantly amplified price moves beyond pure industrial demand.Investors should pay close attention to monetary policy, speculative positioning, physical demand, and macro risk indicators when assessing future price risks and opportunities.Silver Price: Current Status, Drivers of the Surge, and Outlook(1)In Part 1, we reviewed key silver-related stocks and ETFs and how extreme price volatility has already spilled into equity and passive vehicles.In this article, we turn to the drivers behind the move — separating fundamentals from speculation, and assessing what this means for silver

1. How I View Silver's Plunge The 14% single-day plunge is dramatic but not entirely surprising within the context of the recent parabolic rally. My view is that this is a necessary and healthy correction driven by a confluence of factors: Technical Overextension: Silver had risen nearly 50% in a matter of weeks, breaking decades-old records. The market became overheated, with extreme bullish sentiment and overbought technical indicators. A sharp correction was the most likely outcome. Catalyst Alignment: The fundamental triggers you mentioned—easing geopolitical fears (reduced safe-haven rush) and resilient U.S. data (lowering odds of imminent, deep Fed rate cuts)—provided the perfect fundamental excuse for profit-taking. Liquidity & Leverage: Such violen

Gold’s been in the spotlight all year, but silver? That’s where things really got crazy. While many were watching gold break records, silver staged a violent comeback of its own — and some Tigers timed it perfectly: @等也是一种策略 如何等在哪里等 traded silver futures, up $410,000 @小强尼虎虎生威 traded silver options, up +335% @Cashflow Blazer traded silver options, up +90.98% @Shernice軒嬣 2000 traded silver options, up +90.98% Why Silver Exploded This wasn’t just a bounce. It was the classic playbook: extreme selloff → leveraged unwinds → sharp reversal. Silver and gold both suffered historic drawdo

Yesterday, silver surged by as much as 14%, soaring past the $117 mark! However, the rally proved short-lived as silver plunged sharply during the session, with gains narrowing from 14% to less than 1%, leaving behind a long upper shadow! Silver-related ETFs also experienced massive volatility: $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ narrowed its gains from over 14% to 5.8%, $ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$ retreated from nearly 30% to 9.7%, $Global X Silver Miners ETF(SIL)$ fell from over 6% to 0.4%, and $Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF(SILJ)$ even dropped 1%: In technical analysis, a long upper shadow forming at elevated levels often s

$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$  $XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$  $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$   The key question is not why gold and silver fluctuate violently—but how to position when they do. 1. Understand the Nature of the Volatility Gold and silver volatility usually comes from three sources: • Macro shocks: CPI, Fed policy shifts, rate expectations, dollar moves • Liquidity events: leverage unwinds, forced selling, margin pressure • Sentiment extremes: panic buying or panic selling Silver amplifies these forces more than gold. That’s why vehicles like SLV m

The recent crash in silver prices, with a decline of over 16%, can be attributed to the CME's decision to hike margins for gold and silver contracts. The increase in margins, effective after the February 6 close, has forced deleveraging among traders, leading to a sharp sell-off in silver. The higher margins, particularly the 18% increase for silver, have reduced the attractiveness of holding leveraged positions, resulting in a rapid unwinding of trades. The fact that gold prices fell less, with a decline of up to 3.5%, suggests that the yellow metal is showing relative resilience compared to silver. This could be due to gold's larger market size and more diversified investor base, which can help absorb selling pressure. In the short term, margin-driven selling may continue to push silver

The silver market is exhibiting signs that suggest a potential physical squeeze, driven by a combination of surging demand, tightening supply, and unique market dynamics. 1. Explosive Price Performance and Market Warnings Silver has experienced an unprecedented rally, surging 152% year-to-date, making it its strongest annual performance since 1978. This has led to spot prices exceeding $110 per ounce. UBS has warned that recent moves in precious and industrial metals appear "out of control". 2. Structural Supply Deficit The global silver market is facing its seventh consecutive year of deficit in 2025, with a cumulative shortfall of nearly 800 million ounces since 2021. This is largely due to mine output continuing to decline while demand surges. Approximately 70% to 80% of global silver p

IShares Silver Eclipses Invesco QQQ in Options Market as Investors Flee $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$   has eclipsed $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$   to become the third biggest player in the options market as investors and speculators manage the risk that comes with the metal's 260% rally over the past year.  Open interest, or the tally of outstanding options contracts tied to SLV has climbed to 11.11 million put and call options, surpassing QQQ's 8.05 million. SLV is now just behind $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  's 14.58 million contracts, and