Could be the way to go

Could be the way to go

The headline sounds powerful, but the market impact depends less on the number itself and more on credibility, pacing, and macro liquidity. --- 1. Would sovereign accumulation tighten supply? Yes, structurally, but only if execution is real and gradual. Bitcoin’s effective float is already smaller than headline circulating supply because: long-term holders rarely sell, lost coins reduce liquidity, ETF custody locks supply off exchanges. If a sovereign entity accumulates steadily over years, it removes marginal supply from the tradable market, which can: compress available float, increase price sensitivity to demand shocks, reinforce the “reserve asset” narrative. However, markets price actual buying, not proposals. Until purchases begin, the effect is mostly psychological. --- 2. Marginal

BRICS needs to establish a bitcoin strategic reserve.   All confiscated bitcoin could go into the reserve, and be used to back the brics unit.

1. Would sovereign accumulation tighten supply? Yes, if implemented, steady government buying would reduce liquid float. Bitcoin’s true tradable supply is already constrained by long-term holders and lost coins. A multi-year accumulation programme would act like a structural buyer, similar to central-bank gold purchases, gradually absorbing sell-side liquidity and increasing scarcity. The effect would be slow but cumulative rather than immediate. 2. Marginal vs ETF flows and macro cycles? In the near term, still marginal. ETF inflows/outflows and global liquidity conditions dominate price discovery because they move capital at institutional scale within weeks, not years. Rate expectations, USD strength, and risk appetite remain the primary drivers. A sovereign plan changes narrative, but E

$Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$  it's can't go down forever. There's too much money in the world 

Pounced on $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ eye watering rally. Sold $CONL 20260213 9.0 CALL$ & allow it to expire worthless. Aching! 

Brazil's Congress just unleashed a crypto earthquake with its proposal for a strategic Bitcoin reserve aiming to hoard 1 million BTC over five years – that's roughly 5% of total circulating supply at current levels, a figure that's got traders salivating over potential supply squeezes and reduced float. 😤 Bitcoin bounced over 5% on the news, climbing from $82K lows to test $86K resistance, but the rally's sustainability hangs in the balance amid political wrangling, fiscal roadblocks, and execution nightmares like sourcing coins without spiking prices. Emerging markets add nitro, with Latin America's adoption surge pulling 10% more demand as nations like El Salvador's BTC stash grows 15% yearly. But macro risk cycles from Fed pauses and tariff teases crimp global flows 5%, raising question

The market’s focus is gradually shifting from gold and silver to U.S. equities, but we want to remind everyone that around the coming Spring Festival period, U.S. equities are actually the asset most in need of bearish “protection.” After a sharp sell-off, the U.S. stock market has recently seen a modest rebound, which is technically normal. However, I would not take this small rebound as evidence that Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, and U.S. equities have returned to a sustained upward trend. On the contrary, I prefer to interpret it this way: the volatility cycle in U.S. equities most likely has not finished, and this rebound looks more like a “covering” move within volatility rather than a signal that a trend has been confirmed. First signal: the DXY The first signal that U.S. equities may

Good evening, everyone.$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$ $1-Ounce Gold - main 2604(1OZmain)$ I’ve compiled the key points from the February 5 session into a ready-to-read transcript, so those who missed the live broadcast can easily catch up and review. $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $E-mini Silver - main 2603(QImain)$ $Silver - Mar 2026(SI2603)$ $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2

Your question goes directly to the core of what determines Bitcoin’s medium-term price formation: who controls marginal supply. The Brazil proposal is symbolically powerful, but its real impact depends on scale, execution, and how it interacts with existing institutional demand channels. Let us separate signal from narrative. --- 1. What the Brazil proposal actually changes Recent reports indicate Brazilian lawmakers are proposing a strategic sovereign Bitcoin reserve targeting up to 1 million BTC accumulated over five years.  At face value, that sounds enormous: Total BTC supply cap: 21 million Circulating supply: ~19.6 million 1 million BTC ≈ 5% of circulating supply On headlines alone, this suggests a major supply shock. However, markets do not price headline totals. They price mar

Coinbase Is Down 60%+ Since July. What Its Chart Says Ahead of Earnings. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$   is heading into earnings this week at a time when the crypto firm's stock has fallen more than 60% from its July all-time high, has lost some 50% in three months and recently fell for 13 consecutive sessions. Let's see what technical and fundamental analysis tell us about this stock. Coinbase's Fundamental Analysis COIN is set to release Q4 results after the bell on Thursday, but its stock has been falling as Bitcoin has been falling. ( $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ is down some 45% from its October record highs.) The Street is looking for the company to report $0.66 in Q4 earnings per share on about $1.85 billion

🌟🌟🌟The financial world is no longer just shifting. It is being completely reborn.  We are standing at the edge of a Digital Renaissance, where the old guards of centralised banking are meeting the unstoppable force of the Blockchain.  For those who feel the adrenaline of the crypto market but seek a sophisticated, diversified way to capture its power, $iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF(IBLC)$ isn't just a fund.   IBLC is a front row seat to the future of money. While some traders are chasing individual memecoins into the abyss, the visionary investor looks at the infrastructure.  IBLC does not just buy the coins

Bitcoin had gone as low as $60K, but we saw it rebound to around $69K to $70K over the weekend, and now it is hovering around $70,000 at time of writing. What does it signal? If the Bitcoin bull run over? or are we going to see a super cycle restart? What are the signs and signals investors should look out for? We have seen how the market react to Strategy earnings release, and it have kind of affected some crypto-related stocks, $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$'s next earnings date is confirmed for Thursday 12 Feb 2026 after market next week, so will we see how investors on Coinbase have been acquiring Bitcoin and if the trend is poised to continue. In this article, we would like to look at a disciplined way to interpret the $60K → ~$70K rebound and

The proposed Brazilian plan to accumulate 1 million BTC over five years, representing approximately 5% of the total circulating Bitcoin, has indeed sparked a notable rebound in the cryptocurrency's price, with a 5% increase. To assess the sustainability of this bounce, let's break down the potential implications and factors at play. Sovereign Accumulation Impact: If Brazil were to successfully accumulate 1 million BTC, it would indeed reduce the float and tighten supply. This reduction in available Bitcoin for trading could potentially drive up demand and, consequently, the price. However, the actual impact would depend on how the accumulation is executed, whether it's through direct market purchases or other means, and how it's perceived by the market. Comparison with ETF Flows and Macro

$Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$  $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  🚨₿📉 BTC Enters Monthly Bear Cycle, $MSTR Breakdown Intensifies 📉₿🚨 I believe BTC has now entered a monthly bear cycle, and the transition from expansion into correction is now transmitting directly into BTC-proxy equities like $MSTR. I’m stepping back from intraday noise and focusing on higher timeframe structure because regime shifts register here first, and right now structure is delivering a clear message. 📉 ₿ BTC Monthly Structure Breakdown I’m treating the 118k to 127k zone as the likely cycle high f